Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015

Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

May 11, 2015Avery County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at May 11, 2015, 4:58 PM EDT for Avery County, North Carolina. It was in force for 4 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2015, 4:58 PM EDT (20:58 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2015, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Avery County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 11, 5:22 PM EDTFLASH FLOODBanner Elk, NCOFFICIALS ARE CLOSING THE STREETS NEAR THE BANNER ELK POLICE DEPARTMENT. THE STREAM AT THAT LOCATION IS OUT OF ITS BANKS. THERE IS ALSO MANY AREAS AROUND BANNER ELK WITH STANDING WATER WHICH IS CREATING HAZARDS FOR MOTORISTS ON AREA ROADS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 24 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -10 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
953 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-15 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

039 
WGUS52 KGSP 112058
FFWGSP
NCC011-120100-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FF.W.0007.150511T2058Z-150512T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
458 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN AVERY COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 900 PM EDT
    
* AT 457 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING 
  HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE 
  FALLEN WITHIN THE PAST HOUR AND A HALF. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED 
  TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  BANNER ELK...SEVEN DEVILS...GRANDFATHER MOUNTAIN...SUGAR MOUNTAIN
  AND GRANDFATHER MOUNTAIN STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE
WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER
CAN CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

PLEASE REPORT FLOOD WATER FLOWING OVER ROADS OR THREATENING
PROPERTY...OR LANDSLIDES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE
SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY
POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR
MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT
OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3628 8190 3627 8189 3625 8190 3624 8190
      3623 8191 3621 8191 3619 8188 3619 8186
      3616 8183 3611 8181 3618 8199 3629 8192

$$

KRENTZ
1 follow-up statement
641 
WGUS72 KGSP 112341
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
741 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

NCC011-112350-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150512T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
AVERY NC-
741 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN AVERY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS ENDED FOR TODAY...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER 
EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT. ANY ELEVATED STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO 
RECEDE AS THE EVENING CONTINUES.

LAT...LON 3628 8190 3627 8189 3625 8190 3624 8190
      3623 8191 3621 8191 3619 8188 3619 8186
      3616 8183 3611 8181 3618 8199 3629 8192

$$

08

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 11, 2:55 PM EDT, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 11, 2:55 PM EDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
255 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
THE REMNANTS OF ANA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
OUR AREA BEFORE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH AND
REMAINS THROUGH THURSDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION
ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM EDT MONDAY...NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER TROF CONTINUES TO
EJECT THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS WHILE A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE
IMPULSES SLIDE THROUGH THE MEAN FLOW ALOFT OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI
AND LOWER OHIO VALLEY REGION LEADING TO RATHER ROBUST/EXPANDING
CONVECTION ALONG/AHEAD OF A SFC COLD FRONT.  CLOSER TO HOME...MODEST
DESTABILIZATION IN THE WARM SECTOR HAS OCCURRED AS EXPECTED WITH
MOST RECENT SPC MESOANALYSIS INDICATING UPWARDS OF 2-3K J/KG SBCAPE
AMIDST LITTLE TO NO CIN.  THUS...CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FIRE ACROSS
THE HIGH TERRAIN WHERE WEAK UPSLOPING HELPS TO INITIATE ENOUGH
LIFT.  FURTHER SOUTHEAST OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GA AND THE NC/SC
PIEDMONT REGIONS...THE AIRMASS REMAINS UNSTABLE WITH LITTLE IN THE
WAY OF TRIGGERING PRESENT.  NEVERTHELESS...SOUNDINGS DUE TO SHOW
CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES AT KGSP/KCLT IN THE MID/UPPER 80S WITH
CURRENT OBSERVED TEMPERATURES NEARING THOSE VALUES.  THEREFORE AM
EXPECTING FURTHER EXPANSION OF CONVECTION INTO THESE REGIONS LATER
THIS AFTERNOON.  WITH PWAT VALUES EXCEEDING 1-2 STD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
NORMAL...AND STORM MOTIONS GENERALLY LESS THAN 5-7KTS...CONDITIONS
ARE FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED MINOR FLASH FLOODING WITH THE HEAVIEST
STORMS.  IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL...SOUNDINGS EXHIBIT
INVERTED V CHARACTERISTICS YIELDING AMPLE DCAPE AND THUS WET
MICROBURST POTENTIAL.  THEREFORE...WILL PLAN ON KEEPING CURRENT
WORDING IN THE HWO FOR THIS PACKAGE THAT HIGHLIGHTS ALL THESE
THREATS.

CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH WITH HEATING LOSS THIS
EVENING AS THE ABOVE MENTIONED COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH THE TN
VALLEY.  THE FRONT IS FCST TO ENTER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF WESTERN NC
AROUND 12Z TUESDAY WITH LITTLE FAN FARE...BEFORE SLIDING THROUGH
REMAINDER OF THE CWFA THROUGH THE MORNING.  SOME DESTABILIZATION
WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL AXIS AS IT SLIDES THROUGH THE
PIEDMONT REGIONS WITH LIFT ALONG THE FRONT PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR
CONVECTION.  THUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FCST AGAIN ON TUESDAY
HOWEVER THE WITH ANY SEVERE WX EXPECTED TO RESIDE EAST OF THE REGION
WHERE SPC PLACES A MARGINAL RISK OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS OF NC/SC.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
200 PM EDT MONDAY...SHORT TERM LOOKS TO BE RATHER TRANQUIL AS
COLD FRONT SETTLES WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA AS DRY CP HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE NW. AN UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD ACROSS
THE SE U.S. WED THROUGH THU. DEWPOINTS ARE FORECAST TO DROP WELL
INTO THE 40S ON WED WITH ONLY A SLOW RECOVERY ON THU INTO THE 50S AS
THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES TO THE COAST. HENCE...MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS
WILL BE IN THE FORECAST TUE NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH TEMPS
LOWERING TO NEAR SEASONAL VALUES.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
215 PM EDT MONDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE WILL BE UNSETTLED AS THE
AXIS OF THE UPPER HIGH INITIALLY MOVES EAST OF THE AREA ALONG THE
COAST. ALSO AS THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC...RETURN FLOW WILL TAP INTO GULF MOISTURE. MODEL TIME
HEIGHTS INDICATE THAT DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL ADVECT INTO THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NE GA DURING FRIDAY AND REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. WITH THE PERSISTENT DEEP MOISTURE IN
PLACE...MODELS AND ESPECIALLY THE GFS RESPOND WITH CONSIDERABLE QPF.
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE ON THE LOW SIDE INITIALLY ON FRI AS
PERHAPS IN-SITU CAD DEVELOPS. MODELS INDICATE THAT INSTABILITY WILL
THEN GRADUALLY INCREASE EACH AFTERNOON FROM SAT THROUGH MON.THE EC
SHOWS MORE OF A DIURNAL CYCLE TO THE QPF OVER THE WEEKEND WHICH
LOOKS MORE REASONABLE AND WILL TREND FROECAST THAT WAY. WILL RAMP UP
POPS TO CHANCE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GUIDANCE THEN SUGGESTS THAT SOME
LIKLEY POPS WILL BE NEEDED SAT AND SUN AFTERNOONS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS. ON MONDAY...COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY
BECOME LESS IF UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK OVER THE REGION PER THE GFS.
INCREASED CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPS IN CHECK INITIALLY WITH A
REDUCED DIURNAL RANGE. MAX TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW CLIMO
FRI...THEN INCREASE TO AROUND CLIMO SAT AND THEN ABOVE SUN AND MON
AS UPPER RIDGE REESTABLISHES ITSELF.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...PREDOMINATELY VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
POSSIBLE MVFR RESTRICTIONS RESULTING FROM AFTERNOON CONVECTION.
INITIALIZED TAF WITH MODEST SW WINDS UNDER FEW LLV CU AS LAPSE RATES
CONTINUE TO STEEPEN WITH HEATING.  FURTHER CU FIELD EXPANSION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...THUS PREVAIL LLV VFR CIGS AT 20Z
WITH A 4HR TEMPO FOR DEVELOPING AIRMASS TSRA YIELDING VRB 20KT
GUSTS.  ALL WX IS REMOVED NLT 01Z WITH MID LEVEL CLOUDS PREVAILING
UNDER BKN HIGH LEVEL CIGS WITH LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.
WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AS FRONTAL AXIS APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST...HOWEVER REMAINING SW WITH NO GUSTING.

ELSEWHERE...MUCH THE SAME AS KCLT ABOVE WITH AFTERNOON CONVECTION
LEADING TO POSSIBLE MVFR VISB RESTRICTIONS.  INITIALIZED ALL TAFS
WITH NO WX MENTION ASIDE FOR KAVL WHERE VCTS PREVAILED DUE TO
PROXIMITY OF CURRENT RADAR ECHOES.  NEVERTHELESS...ALL SITES HAVE
TEMPOS THIS AFTERNOON FOR ABOVE MENTIONED CONVECTION.
OTHERWISE...LOW VFR CIGS LIFT OVERNIGHT AS CONVECTION DIES DOWN AND
A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  THUS...KEPT ALL TAFS VFR
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF LIGHT MVFR BR AT KAVL/KHKY AMIDST LIGHT/CALM
SSW FLOW.  WINDS WILL GRADUALLY START TO VEER WESTERLY NEAR PERIODS
END WITH KAVL BEING THE ONLY SITE WITH POST FROPA NW FLOW.  WINDS
WILL LIKELY BE GUSTY ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ON
TUESDAY...HOWEVER BEYOND THIS TAF CYCLE.

OUTLOOK...A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY...POSSIBLY
BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF DIURNAL SHRA AND TSRA. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE
IN ON WEDNESDAY...BUT THE FRONT MAY STALL JUST TO THE
SOUTH...POSSIBLY ALLOWING UNSETTLED CONDITIONS TO RETURN TO THE AREA
LATE IN THE WEEK.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            19-01Z        01-07Z        07-13Z        13-18Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  96%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...CDG
SHORT TERM...LG
LONG TERM...LG
AVIATION...CDG
Hazardous weather outlook, May 11, 5:14 AM EDT, 11 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
514 AM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-121000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
514 AM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME OF
THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL OR
DAMAGING WINDS. HEAVY RAINFALL COULD OCCUR WITH SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

07

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 11, 3:33 PM EDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
333 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

NCZ049-050-503-505-112015-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS NC-BURKE MOUNTAINS NC-YANCEY NC-MITCHELL NC-
333 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MITCHELL...SOUTHEASTERN YANCEY AND CENTRAL MCDOWELL COUNTIES UNTIL
415 PM EDT...

AT 332 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES NORTHWEST OF MARION...OR OVER B.R. PARKWAY...LITTLE SWITZERLAND
TO LINVILLE...MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEAST.

HALF INCH HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
B.R. PARKWAY...LITTLE SWITZERLAND TO LINVILLE...B.R. PARKWAY...CRAGGY
TO LITTLE SWITZERLAND...MOUNT MITCHELL STATE PARK...NORTH COVE...
LITTLE SWITZERLAND...BUSICK AND WOODLAWN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES THAT ARE DEAD...OR THAT HAVE WEAKENED
ROOT SYSTEMS. OUTDOOR FURNITURE AND SIMILAR ITEMS CAN BE TOSSED
AROUND IF NOT ANCHORED. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3578 8191 3574 8198 3569 8221 3579 8230
      3591 8201
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 239DEG 48KT 3576 8216

LG
Special weather statement, May 11, 3:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
343 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

NCZ052-064-112015-
TRANSYLVANIA NC-HAYWOOD NC-
343 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
TRANSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEASTERN HAYWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

AT 342 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS
7 MILES WEST OF BREVARD...OR 6 MILES SOUTH OF GRAVEYARD FIELDS...
MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEAST.

HALF INCH HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOUNT PISGAH...LOOKING GLASS...BLACK BALSAM AREA...GRAVEYARD
FIELDS...B.R. PARKWAY...BLACK BALSAM TO MOUNT PISGAH...B.R.
PARKWAY...BALSAM GAP TO BLACK BALSAM AREA...NORTH TRANSYLVANIA...
BALSAM GROVE AND CRUSO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3542 8274 3536 8267 3531 8264 3521 8293
      3524 8292 3529 8292 3530 8293 3531 8295
      3532 8296 3533 8296 3534 8297 3543 8276
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 020DEG 60KT 3523 8287

SPS
Special weather statement, May 11, 4:07 PM EDT, 51 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
407 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

NCZ048>050-112030-
YANCEY NC-MADISON NC-MITCHELL NC-
407 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
MADISON...CENTRAL MITCHELL AND YANCEY COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

AT 406 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A CLUSTER OF
THUNDERSTORMS 8 MILES EAST OF MARSHALL...OR OVER MARS HILL...MOVING
SLOWLY NORTHEAST.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES
UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BURNSVILLE...BAKERSVILLE...SWISS...POPLAR...MICAVILLE...BANDANA...
WOLF RIDGE...GREEN MOUNTAIN...RAMSEYTOWN AND FAUST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3613 8227 3613 8226 3601 8205 3599 8206
      3596 8205 3581 8235 3582 8236 3582 8238
      3580 8249 3588 8259 3612 8235 3614 8229
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 020DEG 60KT 3580 8254

LG
Special weather statement, May 11, 4:32 PM EDT, 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
432 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

NCZ033-048>050-501-112115-
AVERY NC-YANCEY NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS NC-MADISON NC-MITCHELL NC-
432 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
CALDWELL...EAST CENTRAL MADISON...MITCHELL...NORTHERN YANCEY AND
AVERY COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

AT 431 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS
9 MILES WEST OF NEWLAND...OR 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF BAKERSVILLE...
MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEAST.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BURNSVILLE...NEWLAND...BANNER ELK...ELK PARK...BAKERSVILLE...
CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...SEVEN DEVILS...GRANDFATHER MOUNTAIN AND
B.R. PARKWAY...LINVILLE FALLS TO GRANDFATHER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3627 8189 3621 8190 3616 8183 3611 8181
      3612 8168 3612 8155 3610 8152 3582 8249
      3595 8256 3601 8246 3607 8242 3613 8225
      3616 8222 3614 8218 3615 8215 3611 8213
      3610 8208 3613 8205 3612 8203 3629 8192
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 239DEG 49KT 3607 8209

LG
Special weather statement, May 11, 4:47 PM EDT, 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
447 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

NCZ048-052-112115-
HAYWOOD NC-MADISON NC-
447 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MADISON
AND NORTHWESTERN HAYWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

AT 445 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS
8 MILES NORTH OF MARSHALL...OR 5 MILES EAST OF HOT SPRINGS...MOVING
SLOWLY NORTHEAST.

MARBLE SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOT SPRINGS...SMOKY MOUNTAINS...BIG CREEK...MAX PATCH...SPRING
CREEK...WALNUT...ALLENSTAND...WATERVILLE AND FAUST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3602 8261 3597 8261 3595 8257 3588 8252
      3569 8315 3575 8318 3576 8316 3579 8308
      3578 8299 3584 8292 3587 8292 3588 8290
      3593 8292 3594 8290 3595 8285 3593 8281
      3597 8278 3600 8277 3606 8263
TIME...MOT...LOC 2045Z 239DEG 49KT 3591 8274

LG
Special weather statement, May 11, 4:47 PM EDT, 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
447 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

NCZ048-052-112115-
HAYWOOD NC-MADISON NC-
447 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MADISON
AND NORTHWESTERN HAYWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

AT 446 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS
8 MILES NORTH OF MARSHALL...OR 5 MILES EAST OF HOT SPRINGS...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES
UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOT SPRINGS...SMOKY MOUNTAINS...BIG CREEK...MAX PATCH...SPRING
CREEK...WALNUT...ALLENSTAND...WATERVILLE AND FAUST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3602 8261 3597 8261 3595 8257 3588 8252
      3569 8315 3575 8318 3576 8316 3579 8308
      3578 8299 3584 8292 3587 8292 3588 8290
      3593 8292 3594 8290 3595 8285 3593 8281
      3597 8278 3600 8277 3606 8263
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 239DEG 49KT 3592 8273

GABRIC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 2:06 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPTransylvania24 min
May 11, 2:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHenderson, Transylvania44 min
May 11, 2:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPJackson22 min
May 11, 2:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Henderson, McDowell, Rutherford47 min
May 11, 3:05 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMcDowell25 min
May 11, 3:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMcDowell42 min
May 11, 3:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPTransylvania32 min
May 11, 4:01 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPMcDowell3 hr
May 11, 4:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMitchell, Yancey23 min
May 11, 4:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAvery, Mitchell, Yancey43 min
May 11, 4:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMadison28 min
May 11, 5:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPMadison44 min
May 11, 6:51 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPRutherford24 min
May 11, 7:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPJackson36 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.