Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015
Flash Flood Warning 17, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Jul 27, 2015, 11:56 PM EDT for Union County, North Carolina. It was in force for 3 hr. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 27, 2015, 11:56 PM EDT (03:56 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 28, 2015, 2:45 AM EDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
County Union County, NC
The radar
The Columbia radar (KCAE), 144 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 12:30 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 4 Nw Trinity, NC | ROADS FLOODED AT LATHAN ROAD AND PLYLER MILL ROAD. |
| Jul 28, 12:30 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 5 Nnw Trinity, NC | ROADS FLOODED AT GRIFFITH ROAD AND PLYLER MILL ROAD. |
| Jul 28, 12:35 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 4 Wnw Trinity, NC | ROADS FLOODED AT RUBEN ROAD AND PLYLER MILL ROAD. |
| Jul 28, 1:00 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 4 Sse Monroe, NC | MACEDONIA CHURCH ROAD FLOODED AT LITTLE RICHARDSON CREEK BRIDGE. |
| Jul 28, 1:00 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 5 Sse Monroe, NC | 1200 BLOCK OF STACK ROAD FLOODED AT LITTLE RICHARDSON CREEK BRIDGE. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 5 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 34 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 579 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -27 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1378 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 20 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 73 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 1.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
504
WGUS52 KGSP 280356
FFWGSP
NCC179-280645-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FF.W.0017.150728T0356Z-150728T0645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1156 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
UNION COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
* UNTIL 245 AM EDT
* AT 1151 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN
SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF UNION COUNTY. THE SHOWERS PRODUCING THIS
HEAVY RAINFALL WERE NEARLY STATIONARY. RADAR INDICATES THAT MANY
AREAS FROM NEW SALEM TO MONROE TO TRINITY HAVE RECEIVED IN EXCESS
OF THREE INCHES OF RAIN THUS FAR THIS EVENING...AND ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AT RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY THROUGH AT
LEAST 1 AM EDT.
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
MONROE...UNIONVILLE...WINGATE...MARSHVILLE...MINERAL SPRINGS...NEW
SALEM...TRINITY...FAIRVIEW IN UNION COUNTY AND STURDIVANTS.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF
THE WARNED AREA. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING ALONG ADAMS
BRANCH...LITTLE RICHARDSON CREEK...WATSON CREEK...AS WELL AS THE
ROCKY RIVER AND NEARBY TRIBUTARIES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. DO NOT
DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. ONLY A FEW INCHES
OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN
AROUND...DONT DROWN.
PLEASE REPORT FLOOD WATER FLOWING OVER ROADS OR THREATENING PROPERTY
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE
SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT
OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3497 8031 3481 8038 3482 8076 3518 8050
3518 8048 3517 8047 3516 8044 3517 8042
3516 8041 3518 8037 3517 8036 3518 8031
3519 8030 3519 8028
$$
HG3 follow-up statements
484
WGUS72 KGSP 280514
FFSGSP
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
114 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015
NCC179-280645-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-150728T0645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UNION NC-
114 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 AM EDT FOR
UNION COUNTY...
AT 105 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED
THAT 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARNED AREA
FROM NEW SALEM TO MONROE TO NEAR TRINITY IN UNION COUNTY NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS. THE ONGOING NEARLY STATIONARY
RAIN SHOWERS HAVE GENERALLY DIMINISHED TO LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL
AT THIS HOUR...BUT WITH A FEW SHOWERS STILL PRODUCING LOCAL ONE INCH
PER HOUR RAINFALL RATES.
FLASH FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED EARLY THIS MORNING AT LOCATIONS
FROM SOUTHWEST OF MONROE TO WEST OF TRINITY...WITH THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AT VARIOUS POINTS ALONG PLYLER MILL ROAD.
ADDITIONAL FLOODING MAY DEVELOP ALONG AND NEAR CROOKED
CREEK...RICHARDSON CREEK...AND STEWART BRANCH THROUGH 230 AM.
DEEP PONDING OF WATER AND STREET FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS REMAIN
POSSIBLE NEAR MONROE...WINGATE...NEW SALEM...TRINITY...
FAIRVIEW...AND SURROUNDING AREAS IN UNION COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE
WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER
CAN CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
PLEASE REPORT FLOOD WATER FLOWING OVER ROADS OR THREATENING PROPERTY
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE
SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT
OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3497 8031 3481 8038 3482 8076 3518 8050
3518 8048 3517 8047 3516 8044 3517 8042
3516 8041 3518 8037 3517 8036 3518 8031
3519 8030 3519 8028
$$
HG342
WGUS72 KGSP 280612
FFSGSP
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
212 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015
NCC179-280645-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-150728T0645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UNION NC-
212 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 AM EDT FOR
UNION COUNTY...
AT 207 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE HEAVY RAINFALL HAD
LARGELY DISSIPATED ACROSS UNION COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA.
HOWEVER...SEVERAL REPORTS OF FLOODED ROADWAYS HAVE EMERGED ACROSS
UNION COUNTY THIS MORNING AND HIGH WATER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO
LINGER IN A FEW SPOTS UNTIL 245 AM EDT.
FLASH FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED ALONG PLYLER ROAD...STACK
ROAD...AND MACEDONIA CHURCH ROAD BETWEEN TRINITY AND MONROE...MAINLY
ALONG LITTLE RICHARDSON CREEK. HIGH WATER CONDITIONS ARE ALSO LIKELY
ALONG WATSON CREEK...CANE CREEK...AND CROOKED CREEK FROM MONROE TO
NEW SALEM TO NEAR FAIRVIEW.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE
WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER
CAN CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
PLEASE REPORT FLOOD WATER FLOWING OVER ROADS OR THREATENING PROPERTY
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE
SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT
OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3497 8031 3481 8038 3482 8076 3518 8050
3518 8048 3517 8047 3516 8044 3517 8042
3516 8041 3518 8037 3517 8036 3518 8031
3519 8030 3519 8028
$$
HG262
WGUS72 KGSP 280638
FFSGSP
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
238 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015
NCC179-280647-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-150728T0645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UNION NC-
238 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR UNION COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 245 AM
EDT...
ALTHOUGH HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED AND FLOOD WATERS ARE RECEDING...
STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN AT ELEVATED LEVELS. LOW WATER CROSSINGS
AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY STILL BE COVERED WITH WATER. DO NOT CROSS
FLOODED ROADWAYS AND HEED ALL ROAD CLOSURES.
LAT...LON 3497 8031 3481 8038 3482 8076 3518 8050
3518 8048 3517 8047 3516 8044 3517 8042
3516 8041 3518 8037 3517 8036 3518 8031
3519 8030 3519 8028
$$
HGWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 27, 10:47 PM EDT, 1 hour 9 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 10:47 PM EDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1047 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK...WITH
CONTINUED WARM TEMPERATURES. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY AND SETTLE SOUTHWARD OF THE
REGION ON FRIDAY. THE FRONT WILL LIKELY REMAIN STALLED JUST SOUTH OF
THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED AND
BETTER CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
0245 UTC...POPS AND QPF WERE AGAIN ADJUSTED TO ACCOUNT FOR
INCREASING ACTIVITY EAST OF CHARLOTTE.
0215 UTC UPDATE...POPS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED PER RADAR TRENDS...
FAVORING THE SC COUNTIES SOUTH OF CHARLOTTE. OVERALL...A DECREASING
TREND HAD BEEN ACCOUNTED FOR.
0130 UTC UPDATE...POPS WERE ADJUSTED TO FAVOR THE NORTHERN SC
PIEDMONT PER RADAR TRENDS...AND WERE LOWERED ELSEWHERE. SKY COVER
WAS UPDATED FROM INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY.
0015 UTC UPDATE...POPS AND QPF WERE RAISED IN THE PIEDMONT AND THE
NC MOUNTAINS...AND LOWERED ELSEWHERE...PER RADAR TRENDS.
2315 UTC UPDATE...POPS AND QPF HAVE BEEN INCREASED OVER AND EAST OF
INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR PER RADAR TRENDS. WINDS WERE UPDATED WITH
THE LATEST NAM GUIDANCE. SKY COVER WAS UPDATED FROM SATELLITE
IMAGERY.
2020 UTC UPDATE...POPS AND QPF HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED UP FARTHER EAST
FROM THE BLUE RIDGE PER RADAR TRENDS...ESPECIALLY IN THE NC
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. SKY COVER WAS UPDATED FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY.
AS OF 230 PM...SCATTERED CONVECTION SHUD CONTINUE TO FIRE ACRS THE
HIGH TERRAIN THRU THE REST OF THE AFTN...AS A MID LVL VORT MAX
ENTERS THE MTNS. INSTBY IS STILL ON THE WEAK SIDE...WITH SPC
MESOANALYSIS PAGE SHOWING MOST OF THE AREA IN A CAPE MINIMUM
BETWEEN 500-1000 J/KG. SO FAR...THE CONVECTION THAT HAS DEVELOPED
HAS NOT BEEN PRODUCING CG-LIGHTNING IN THE CWFA. THIS IS INDICATE OF
THE SHALLOW NATURE OF THE CAPE. I TWEAKED THE POPS FOR THE AFTN/EVE
WITH THE LATEST CAMPOP. COVERAGE WAS BUMPED UP...BUT I THINK MOST OF
THAT WILL BE SHOWERS. SEVERE THREAT IS VERY LOW.
TONIGHT...CONVECTION SHUD WANE AFTER SUNSET...AS VORT MAX EXITS TO
THE EAST AND WE LOSE INSTBY. SOME OF THE CAMS...PARTICULARLY THE
HRRR...WANT TO LINGER CONVECTION THRU THE EVENING ACRS THE NC
PIEDMONT. I/M NOT SURE WHAT THAT IS KEYING ON...UNLESS THE VORT MAX
IS STILL A FACTOR. OTHERWISE...EXPECT PLENTY OF LINGERING MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS. PATCHY FOG EXPECTED IN THE MTNS AND
WHEREVER A DECENT DOWNPOUR OCCURS. TEMPS ABOUT A CATEGORY ABOVE
NORMAL.
TUESDAY...LARGE UPPER RIDGE ACRS THE PLAINS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN
SOMEWHAT ACRS THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY. SUBTLE VORT MAXES
WILL DRIFT SWD ACRS THE CWFA. IN SPITE OF THIS...FCST SNDGS SHOW
SLIGHTLY BETTER MID LVL LAPSE RATES AND MUCH MORE CAPE THAN LAST
COUPLE DAYS. TO ADD TO THIS...DEWPTS ARE FCST TO REMAIN A LITTLE
MORE ELEVATED...AS WEAK FLOW DOESN/T MIX THEM OUT AS MUCH. SO EXPECT
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHWRS AND STORMS ACRS THE AREA. THE SEVERE
THREAT LOOKS LIMITED TO HOW MUCH DCAPE WILL DEVELOP. THE NAM FCST
SNDGS SHOW A FAIR AMOUNT OF MID LVL MOISTURE. SO I EXPECT A LOW
SEVERE THREAT.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 220 PM MONDAY...VERY LITTLE CHANGE OF SUBSTANCE IS ANTICIPATED
IN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER OKLAHOMA...PERHAPS UNDERGOING A SLIGHT
STRENGTHENING EARLY IN THE PERIOD. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...THERE
MAY BE A BIT OF RETROGRADE EFFECT...AS A SUBSTANTIAL SHORT WAVE
TROUGH PROGRESSES ACROSS THE NORTHERN CONUS...WHICH WILL INTRODUCE
HEIGHT FALLS TO MUCH OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS. CLOSER TO
HOME...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS ANTICIPATED
THROUGH THE PERIOD...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MODEST
IMPROVEMENT IN BUOYANCY EACH DAY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW DIURNAL POPS TO
REMAIN AT OR JUST ABOVE CLIMO THROUGH THE PERIOD. CONVECTIVE CHANCES
COULD BE FURTHER ENHANCED BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...AS HEIGHT FALLS
ALLOW A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO SAG INTO THE AREA.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 210 PM MONDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE FCST PICKS UP AT 00Z ON
FRIDAY WITH A BROAD NORTHERN STREAM UPPER TROF MOVING ACROSS ONTARIO
AND VERY BROAD UPPER RIDGING IN PLACE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. THIS
BROAD UPPER TROFFING IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE NE
CONUS FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD WITH THE UPPER RIDGE STRENGHTENING OVER
THE WEST AND PERSISTING BEYOND DAY 7. AT THE SFC...IN THE WAKE OF A
WEAK FROPA ON THURS...SFC RIDGING WILL SPREAD BACK OVER THE CWFA
FROM THE NW ON FRI AND LINGER INTO THE WEEKEND. FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN REMAINS FAIRLY UNCERTAIN WITH A SFC
LOW TRYING TO DEVELOP TO OUR SOUTH OVER THE WEEKEND...YET AT PRESENT
BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF REMAIN LUKE WARM WITH ITS ORGANIZATION. THEY
CONTINUE TO KEEP A HEALTHY AMOUNT OF DEEP LYR MOISTURE OVER THE
EXTREME SE THRU DAY 7...SO THIS SHOULD PROVIDE BETTER CHANCES FOR
WIDESPREAD SH AND TS EACH DAY/EVENING. AS FOR THE SENSIBLE FCST...WE
CAN EXPECT MOSTLY DIURNAL CHANCES FOR SCT TO WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
EACH DAY/EVENING WITH THE BEST CHANCES OVER THE SE ZONES. TEMPS WILL
START OUT RIGHT AROUND NORMAL AND ARE EXPECTED TO DROP JUST BELOW
NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND.
&&
.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...CHANCES FOR RESTRICTIONS WILL WANE WITH PASSAGE OF THE
CURRENT PRECIPITATION. MODEL GUIDANCE GENERALLY FAVORS CLOUD HEIGHTS
AROUND 6000 FT. ALTHOUGH THE MODELS DO NOT FAVOR A DAYBREAK FOG
RESTRICTION...WITH PRECIPITATION MOVING OVER THE AREA...A CHANCE OF
DAYBREAK FOG EXISTS. NAM WINDS FAVOR VEERING THE WIND BEHIND THE
CURRENT PRECIPITATION BAND TO NE THIS EVENING AND THEN SE LATE
TONIGHT...REMAINING THERE ON TUESDAY. CONVECTIVE CHANCES WARRANT A
MENTION ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
ELSEWHERE...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS THE
CURRENT ACTIVITY MOVES OFF OF THE SE. EVEN THE LESS PESSIMISTIC
GUIDANCE FAVORS DAYBREAK FOG AT KAVL...WITH BRIEF IFR. GUIDANCE
FAVORS VFR AT FOOTHILL SITES...BUT AS PRECIPITATION OCCURRED AT ALL
SITES...SOME FOG IS POSSIBLE. GUIDANCE VEER FOOTHILL WINDS NE
OVERNIGHT...LEAVING KAVL NW...THEN VEERS ALL WINDS SE ON MONDAY.
CONVECTIVE CHANCES WARRANT A MENTION AT ALL SITES ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...DECENT COVERAGE OF AFTN/EVE SHRA/TSRA EXPECTED EACH DAY
THRU THE END OF THIS WEEK...AS MOIST AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
02-08Z 08-14Z 14-20Z 20-00Z
KCLT HIGH 100% HIGH 90% HIGH 94% HIGH 100%
KGSP HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 95% HIGH 100%
KAVL HIGH 100% HIGH 97% HIGH 98% HIGH 100%
KHKY HIGH 91% HIGH 87% HIGH 90% HIGH 100%
KGMU HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 95% HIGH 100%
KAND HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...ARK/JAT
SHORT TERM...JAT/JDL
LONG TERM...JPT
AVIATION...JATHazardous weather outlook, Jul 27, 9:59 PM EDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 959 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015 NCZ071-072-082-SCZ009-013-014-290200- MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER- 959 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE FROM CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065- 068>070-501>510-SCZ001>008-010>012-019-290200- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER- IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS- GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD- POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS- GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS- GREENWOOD- 959 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 6:29 PM EDT, 5 hours 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
629 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
NCZ057-071-072-272330-
CABARRUS NC-ROWAN NC-MECKLENBURG NC-
629 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
...CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
MECKLENBURG...SOUTHERN ROWAN AND CABARRUS COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM
EDT...
AT 629 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A CLUSTER
OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTH OF
SALISBURY TO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF UPTOWN CHARLOTTE...AND MOVING EAST
AT 10 MPH.
PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES
UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EAST CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...SALISBURY...MINT HILL...HARRISBURG...
CHINA GROVE...SPENCER...LANDIS...ENOCHVILLE AND GRANITE QUARRY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.
&&
LAT...LON 3515 8063 3533 8086 3570 8056 3569 8033
3564 8029 3562 8025 3559 8022
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 275DEG 7KT 3559 8047 3529 8076
RWHSpecial weather statement, Jul 27, 7:08 PM EDT, 4 hours 48 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
708 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
SCZ008-009-013-014-280000-
CHEROKEE SC-UNION SC-CHESTER SC-YORK SC-
708 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
...CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EASTERN UNION...
YORK...SOUTHEASTERN CHEROKEE AND CHESTER COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM EDT...
AT 707 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A CLUSTER
OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTH OF ROCK
HILL TO 8 MILES NORTH OF CHESTER TO 13 MILES SOUTH OF YORK TO 15
MILES SOUTHEAST OF UNION...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES
UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCK HILL...YORK...CHESTER...FORT MILL...TEGA CAY...CLOVER...
NEWPORT...TOWN OF LAKE WYLIE...LESSLIE AND GREAT FALLS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.
&&
LAT...LON 3455 8159 3482 8156 3496 8152 3516 8130
3515 8105 3511 8103 3506 8106 3504 8104
3511 8093 3506 8090 3501 8091 3492 8086
3490 8088 3484 8087 3483 8090 3470 8086
3464 8090 3455 8087 3457 8142 3450 8143
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 284DEG 12KT 3507 8108 3483 8123 3481 8132 3460
8139
RWHSpecial weather statement, Jul 27, 7:10 PM EDT, 4 hours 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
710 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
NCZ037-057-280000-
DAVIE NC-ROWAN NC-
710 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
...CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ROWAN AND
SOUTHEASTERN DAVIE COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM EDT...
AT 710 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A CLUSTER
OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MOCKSVILLE TO NEAR SALISBURY...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES
UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SALISBURY...MOCKSVILLE...SPENCER...GRANITE QUARRY...ROCKWELL...
COOLEEMEE...FAITH...HIGH ROCK LAKE...GOLD HILL AND HIGH ROCK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.
&&
LAT...LON 3550 8031 3565 8065 3592 8054 3592 8037
3589 8037 3588 8042 3586 8039 3584 8039
3585 8042 3583 8043 3583 8046 3584 8047
3583 8049 3577 8045 3574 8046 3572 8042
3571 8033 3568 8033 3559 8021 3550 8018
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 282DEG 12KT 3584 8044 3566 8049
RWHSpecial weather statement, Jul 27, 7:57 PM EDT, 3 hours 59 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
757 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
SCZ009-014-280100-
CHESTER SC-YORK SC-
757 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
...CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN YORK AND
CHESTER COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM EDT...
AT 756 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A CLUSTER
OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES SOUTH OF YORK TO
3 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHESTER TO 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF WINNSBORO...AND
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES
UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCK HILL...YORK...CHESTER...LESSLIE...GREAT FALLS...FORT LAWN...
MCCONNELLS...RICHBURG...LOWRYS AND CHESTER STATE PARK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 8089 3464 8090 3460 8089 3454 8088
3457 8137 3480 8138 3503 8132 3491 8087
3490 8088 3487 8088 3484 8087 3483 8090
3479 8088 3475 8088 3470 8086
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 299DEG 10KT 3494 8123 3475 8117 3457 8127
RWHSpecial weather statement, Jul 27, 9:11 PM EDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
911 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
SCZ009-014-280200-
CHESTER SC-YORK SC-
911 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
...AREA OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN YORK
AND CHESTER COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM EDT...
AT 911 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A AREA OF
HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
ROCK HILL TO NEAR CHESTER TO 16 MILES SOUTHEAST OF UNION...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE SHOWERS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHESTER...ROCK HILL...LESSLIE...FORT LAWN...MCCONNELLS...RICHBURG...
LOWRYS...CHESTER STATE PARK...CATAWBA AND FISHING CREEK RESERVOIR.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.
&&
LAT...LON 3483 8090 3482 8090 3479 8088 3475 8087
3454 8091 3458 8143 3464 8142 3468 8145
3472 8146 3491 8138 3490 8088 3487 8088
3484 8087
TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 243DEG 10KT 3484 8110 3472 8122 3457 8140
RWHSpecial weather statement, Jul 27, 11:22 PM EDT, 34 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1122 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
NCZ072-280415-
CABARRUS NC-
1122 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015
...HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL CABARRUS
COUNTY UNTIL 1215 AM EDT...
AT 1118 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A SERIES OF SLOWLY
MOVING RAIN SHOWERS AFFECTING THE AREA FROM CONCORD TO EAST OF
HARRISBURG TO NEAR MIDLAND IN CABARRUS COUNTY. RADAR INDICATED
RECENT RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES FROM THESE SHOWERS...AND ADDITIONAL
ONE INCH PER HOUR RAINFALL RATES ARE LIKELY THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
DEEP PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS IS LIKELY...WITH RAPID
RISES POSSIBLE ON AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS AS WELL. ISOLATED FLOODING
WILL BE MOST LIKELY ON TRIBUTARIES FEEDING THE ROCKY RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.
&&
LAT...LON 3528 8044 3525 8046 3525 8063 3527 8067
3530 8068 3534 8069 3535 8070 3542 8072
3542 8039
TIME...MOT...LOC 0318Z 180DEG 0KT 3533 8056
HGThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 11:16 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Union | 119 min |
| Jul 27, 11:22 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Cabarrus | 53 min |
| Jul 28, 3:55 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Rutherford | 35 min |
| Jul 28, 4:24 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Transylvania | 36 min |
| Jul 28, 4:27 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Gaston | 63 min |
| Jul 28, 5:16 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Caldwell | 44 min |
| Jul 28, 5:53 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Caldwell, Davie | 67 min |
| Jul 28, 6:02 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Haywood | 28 min |
| Jul 28, 6:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Davie, Iredell | 38 min |
| Jul 28, 6:58 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Iredell | 2 hr |
| Jul 28, 7:00 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Davie | 60 min |
| Jul 28, 7:32 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Davie | 58 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.