Wind Chill Warning 1, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Clare County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mason County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Van Buren County, MI

762 
WWUS43 KGRR 150232
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
932 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

MIZ037-043-050-056-064-071-150900-
/O.EXT.KGRR.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150215T0900Z/
MASON-OCEANA-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...HART...MUSKEGON...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
932 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW SHOWERS AND WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW PRODUCING
   NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING. OPEN AREAS
   ALONG WEST TO EAST ROADS MOST SUSCEPTIBLE. NORTH WIND GUSTS TO
   35 MPH WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

 * WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO DANGEROUS VALUES OF 15 TO 35 BELOW 
   FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. 

 * ADDITIONAL LOCALIZED SNOW AMOUNTS OF AN INCH TOWARD LUDINGTON 
   AND SOUTH HAVEN WILL BE POSSIBLE. LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL 
   ACCUMULATION ELSEWHERE. 

IMPACTS...

 * DANGEROUS TRAVEL DUE TO WHITEOUTS AND ROADS THAT ARE EITHER 
   SLIPPERY OR DRIFTED. TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS AND DELAYS CAN BE 
   EXPECTED. 

 * THE BITTER COLD WILL MAKE IT VERY HAZARDOUS IF YOU SHOULD 
   BECOME STRANDED. FROSTBITE TIMES UNDER 30 MINUTES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * IF YOU MUST TRAVEL MAKE SURE TO CARRY A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT 
   WHICH INCLUDES A CHARGED CELL PHONE... BLANKETS AND WARM 
   CLOTHING... FLASHLIGHT... A SACK OF SAND OR CAT LITTER... AND 
   BATTERY BOOSTER CABLES. 

 * LIMIT YOUR TIME OUTSIDE AND DRESS IN MULTIPLE LAYERS THIS 
   WEEKEND. MAKE SURE ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. 

&&

$$

MIZ038>040-044>046-051-052-057>059-065>067-072>074-151045-
/O.CON.KGRR.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150215T1700Z/
LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-
IONIA-CLINTON-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BALDWIN...REED CITY...CLARE...FREMONT...
BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...
IONIA...ST. JOHNS...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...KALAMAZOO...
BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
932 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SUNDAY...

 * WIND CHILLS WILL BE DROPPING TO DANGEROUS VALUES OF 15 TO 35 
   BELOW FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. 

IMPACTS...

 * ROADS WILL REMAIN SLIPPERY AND SOME DRIFTS WILL REMAIN 
   POSSIBLE TONIGHT. 

 * THE BITTER COLD WILL MAKE IT VERY HAZARDOUS IF YOU SHOULD 
   BECOME STRANDED. FROSTBITE TIMES WILL BE UNDER 30 MINUTES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * IF YOU MUST TRAVEL MAKE SURE TO CARRY A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT 
   WHICH INCLUDES A CHARGED CELL PHONE... BLANKETS AND WARM 
   CLOTHING... FLASHLIGHT... A SACK OF SAND OR CAT LITTER... AND 
   BATTERY BOOSTER CABLES. 

 * A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN A STRONG WIND WILL 
   COMBINE WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD 
   CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE 
   IT IS 25 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL 
   HOURS. THOSE PLANNING TO VENTURE OUTDOORS SHOULD USE COMMON 
   SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY... MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN 
   IS COVERED. 

&&

$$

198 
WWUS43 KGRR 150803
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
303 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

MIZ037-043-050-056-064-071-151615-
/O.CAN.KGRR.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150215T0900Z/
/O.EXA.KGRR.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150215T1700Z/
MASON-OCEANA-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...HART...MUSKEGON...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
303 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WIND
CHILL WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * SNOW SHOWERS HAVE MOVED OFFSHORE AND WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED. NO
   ADDITIONAL SNOW OR BLOWING SNOW IS EXPECTED TODAY.

 * WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO DANGEROUS VALUES OF 15 TO 30 BELOW
   THIS MORNING.

IMPACTS...

 * ROADS WILL REMAIN SLICK THROUGH THE DAY TODAY WITH THE VERY
   COLD TEMPERATURES IN PLACE. 

 * THE BITTER COLD WILL MAKE IT VERY HAZARDOUS IF YOU SHOULD 
   BECOME STRANDED. FROSTBITE TIMES WILL BE UNDER 30 MINUTES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * IF YOU MUST TRAVEL MAKE SURE TO CARRY A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT 
   WHICH INCLUDES A CHARGED CELL PHONE... BLANKETS AND WARM 
   CLOTHING... FLASHLIGHT... A SACK OF SAND OR CAT LITTER... AND 
   BATTERY BOOSTER CABLES. 

 * A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN ENOUGH WIND WILL COMBINE WITH
   COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
   EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 25 DEGREES
   BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. THOSE
   PLANNING TO VENTURE OUTDOORS SHOULD USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
   WARMLY... MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED.

&&

$$

MIZ038>040-044>046-051-052-057>059-065>067-072>074-151615-
/O.CON.KGRR.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150215T1700Z/
LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-
IONIA-CLINTON-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BALDWIN...REED CITY...CLARE...FREMONT...
BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...
IONIA...ST. JOHNS...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...KALAMAZOO...
BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
303 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO DANGEROUS VALUES OF 20 TO 35 BELOW THIS
   MORNING.

IMPACTS...

 * ROADS WILL REMAIN SLICK THROUGH THE DAY TODAY WITH THE VERY
   COLD TEMPERATURES IN PLACE. 

 * THE BITTER COLD WILL MAKE IT VERY HAZARDOUS IF YOU SHOULD 
   BECOME STRANDED. FROSTBITE TIMES WILL BE UNDER 30 MINUTES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * IF YOU MUST TRAVEL MAKE SURE TO CARRY A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT 
   WHICH INCLUDES A CHARGED CELL PHONE... BLANKETS AND WARM 
   CLOTHING... FLASHLIGHT... A SACK OF SAND OR CAT LITTER... AND 
   BATTERY BOOSTER CABLES. 

 * A WIND CHILL WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN ENOUGH WIND WILL COMBINE WITH
   COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR
   EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 25 DEGREES
   BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. THOSE
   PLANNING TO VENTURE OUTDOORS SHOULD USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
   WARMLY... MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED.

&&

$$

NJJ

833 
WWUS43 KGRR 151636
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1136 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-160045-
/O.CAN.KGRR.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150215T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KGRR.WC.Y.0005.150215T1636Z-150216T1500Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON...
GREENVILLE...ALMA...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS...
HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
1136 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WIND
CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY. THIS
REPLACES THE WIND CHILL WARNING...WHICH HAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

 * WIND CHILLS WILL BE AT OR NEAR DANGEROUS VALUES OF 15 TO 20
   BELOW ZERO THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

IMPACTS...

 * THE BITTER COLD WILL MAKE IT VERY HAZARDOUS IF YOU SHOULD
   BECOME STRANDED. FROSTBITE TIMES WILL BE AT OR UNDER 30
   MINUTES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * IF YOU MUST TRAVEL MAKE SURE TO CARRY A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT 
   WHICH INCLUDES A CHARGED CELL PHONE... BLANKETS AND WARM 
   CLOTHING... FLASHLIGHT... A SACK OF SAND OR CAT LITTER... AND 
   BATTERY BOOSTER CABLES. 

 * A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ENOUGH WIND WILL COMBINE
   WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS
   FOR EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15
   DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS.
   THOSE PLANNING TO VENTURE OUTDOORS SHOULD DRESS WARMLY...
   MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED.

 * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT 
   WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. 

&&

$$

OSTUNO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
736 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

LATEST UPDATE...
UPDATE

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 330 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

DANGEROUS COLD IS IN STORE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. WIND CHILLS
OF 20 TO 35 BELOW WILL RESULT IN FROSTBITE TIMES OF 15 MINUTES OR
LESS.

STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL SUBSIDE THIS EVENING. HEAVY SNOW
SHOWERS NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN WILL END BY MIDNIGHT. WIND CHILLS WILL
RECOVER SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT WINDS AND BRIGHT SUNSHINE BUT
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ONLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE WELL BELOW FOR THE NEXT WEEK
OR MORE. ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF SNOW ARE LIKELY... HEAVY AT TIMES
NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN.

&&

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 736 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

WE ARE ISSUING AN UPDATE EARLY THIS EVENING TO TRANSITION ALL
INLAND COUNTIES OVER TO A WIND CHILL WARNING. THE WINTER STORM
WARNING WILL CONTINUE FOR NOW UNTIL THE EXPIRATION TIME OF 10 PM
THIS EVENING...DEPENDING ON HOW FAST/SLOW THE LAST SNOW BANDS MOVE OFFSHORE.

THE MAIN HAZARD FOR INLAND AREAS HAS NOW TRANSITIONED TO THE
DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING. THE
SNOW SHOWERS HAVE COME TO AN END INLAND...AND WINDS HAVE
DIMINISHED ENOUGH TO ALLOW THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING TO DIMINISH.
WIND CHILLS CONTINUE TO LOOK LIKE THEY WILL APPROACH 30 BELOW AT
MOST INLAND LOCATIONS WITH A WIND REMAINING UP AND THE COLD ARCTIC
AIR STILL MOVING IN.

WE WILL LIKELY DO THE SAME THING FOR THE LAKESHORE COUNTIES ONCE
THE SNOW SHOWERS ARE PUSHED OFFSHORE BY THE DEVELOPING LAND BREEZE
COMPONENT. WE DO NOT WANT TO DO IT YET AS MANY COMMUNITIES/
COUNTIES ALONG THE LAKESHORE ARE HAVING TROUBLES WITH MANY ROADS
BEING DRIFTED SHUT STILL WITH THE FALLING SNOW AND BETTER WINDS THERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 330 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

ATTENTION SHIFTS FROM SNOW/BLOWING SNOW AND HIGH WINDS TO EXTREME
COLD TONIGHT. THE ONGOING HEADLINES WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR A FEW
MORE HOURS TO COVER THE PERIODIC WHITEOUT/GROUND BLIZZARD SITUATION
THEN BECOME WIND CHILL HEADLINES.

WIND GUSTS ARE PEAKING NOW THROUGH ABOUT 5 PM BUT ARE EXPECTED TO
SHUT DOWN PRETTY QUICK THIS EVENING AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
SHORTLY AFTER 7 PM. HOWEVER SUSTAINED WINDS DO STAY UP MUCH OF THE
NIGHT WITH SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH. GUIDANCE HAS BEEN CONSISTENT
SHOWING AIR TEMPS FALLING TO 5 TO 15 BELOW WHICH SUPPORTS MIN WIND
CHILLS REACHING 25 BELOW OR LOWER OVER MUCH OF THE AREA.

INLAND CLEARING/LAND BREEZE FORMATION THIS EVENING WILL ASSIST IN
SENDING LAKESHORE SNOWS OFFSHORE. LATEST HRRR HAS THE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW BANDS SHIFTING OFFSHORE OF MKG AROUND 7 PM...HOLLAND AROUND 8
PM... SOUTH HAVEN AROUND 10 PM... AND LUDINGTON AROUND MIDNIGHT.

SURFACE RIDGING BUILDS IN QUICKLY ON SUNDAY CAUSING WINDS TO LIGHTEN
UP CONSIDERABLY. THUS WIND CHILLS RECOVER SUBSTANTIALLY IN THE
AFTERNOON UNDER BRIGHT SKIES IN FRIGID ARCTIC AIR MASS.

HI RES MODELS BEYOND 24 HOURS INDICATE MESOLOW CIRCULATION WILL
DEVELOP OVER SRN OR CNTRL LAKE MICHIGAN WITHIN MID LAKE CONVERGENCE
BAND. THIS SEEMS REASONABLE GIVEN VERY COLD/CLEAR SYNOPTIC PATTERN
AND STRONG LAND BREEZE CIRCULATIONS ON ALL SIDES OF LK MI. THIS
FEATURE SHOULD EVENTUALLY COME ONSHORE NORTH OF HOLLAND LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING AS SYNOPTIC FLOW TURNS SOUTHWESTERLY.

MID LAKE MESO FEATURES CAN PRODUCE EXCESSIVE SNOW RATES... SO THIS
WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY WATCHED. ALSO DEEPER MOISTURE ARRIVES ABOUT
THE SAME THIS FEATURE COMES ONSHORE AND THE DGZ RETURNS BACK INTO
THE CLOUD LAYER DUE TO WARMING. ADVISORY/WARNING MAY BE NEEDED
MON/MON NGT FOR WEST CENTRAL LWR MI INCLUDING MKG/LDM AREAS.
POSSIBLY BIV/GRR AS WELL DEPENDING ON MEAN LOW LEVEL WIND DIRECTION.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

THE LONG RANGE FORECAST PERIOD CONTINUES TO LOOK VERY COLD AND
SNOWY. ANOTHER SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR WILL BEGIN TO ARRIVE LATE TUESDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT. MAX TEMPS
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH THE UPPER SINGLE
DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS.

THE ARCTIC FRONT WILL BRING POTENTIAL FOR A ROUND OF SNOW SHOWERS
TUESDAY WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ANTICIPATED MID TO LATE WEEK.
SIGNIFICANT HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENTS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED BUT
SEVERAL INCHES OF VERY DRY FLUFFY SNOW ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MID TO
LATE WEEK.

WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE QUITE COLD AS WELL MID TO LATE WEEK. WIND
CHILL READINGS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING COULD BE COLDER THAN
15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO... ESPECIALLY OVER THE INTERIOR.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 645 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

FOR THE MOST PART THE SNOW PART OF THIS EVENT IS ENDED AT MOST OF
THE TAF SITES...ONLY MKG WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SNOW SHOWERS TILL
AROUND 06Z-08Z. SURFACE WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO NORTH AROUND 10
KNOTS BY 06Z AND REMAIN SO THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

ALL OF THE MODELS ARE EMPHATIC ABOUT BRINGING DRY AIR DOWN FROM
THE NORTH CLEARING BETWEEN 03Z AND 05Z. SATELLITE IMAGES GIVE THE
MODEL FORECAST STRONG SUPPORT AS IR LOOPS SHOW THIS ALREADY
HAPPENING. AFTER THAT SKIES REMAIN CLEAR MOST OF THE DAY ON
SUNDAY. THIS HAPPENS DUE TO WINDS THROUGH 10000 FT AGL TURNING
NORTH BY 03Z THEN NORTH NORTHEAST BY 09Z AND REMAINING SO THROUGH
MOST OF SUNDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA. ALL
OF THIS WILL ALSO MEANS WILL DIMINISH CONSIDERABLY OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. BY 06Z ALL BUT MKG SHOULD BE CLEAR WITH A NORTH WIND
AROUND 10 KNOTS.

MUSKEGON WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO THE EDGE OF THE ACTIVE SNOW BAND
UNTIL AROUND 06Z AFTER THAT IT SHOULD PUSH OFF SHORE. MY TAF MAY
HAVE THE SNOW LASTING TO LONG THERE...BUT WE WILL MONITOR THAT
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 1115 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

THE CORE OF THE WINTER SEASONS COLDEST AIR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY INTO SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
TUMBLE.
THEREFORE...ICE HAS NOT BUDGED AND CONDITIONS ARE STABLE. THERE IS
IS LOW RISK THAT ANY MOVEMENT WILL OCCUR THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS THE
WARMEST HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ONLY REACH INTO
THE 20S. DAILY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS
WILL AID IN ADDITIONAL ICE FORMATION OR EXPANSION.

LIQUID CONTRIBUTION WILL REMAIN RATHER LOW DAY TO DAY. ADDITIONAL
ROUNDS OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE THIS WEEK...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE
SHORE...BUT NOT MUCH MELTING WILL BE TAKING PLACE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR MIZ037-043-
     050-056-064-071.

     WIND CHILL WARNING UNTIL NOON EST SUNDAY FOR MIZ038>040-044>046-
     051-052-057>059-065>067-072>074.

LM...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...NJJ
SYNOPSIS...MEADE
SHORT TERM...MEADE
LONG TERM...LAURENS
AVIATION...WDM
HYDROLOGY...JAM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
735 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

LMZ844>849-MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-
151100-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-MASON-LAKE-
OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-MONTCALM-
GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-
VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
735 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE NEAR AND WEST OF US-31
INTO LATE THIS EVENING. STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL
RESULT IN FREQUENT WHITEOUTS. WIND GUSTS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS
EVENING BUT GUSTS MAY STILL REACH 40 MPH AT TIMES INTO THE MID
EVENING HOURS.

DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS OF SUNDAY AS TEMPERATURES FALL TO NEAR 10
BELOW ZERO. SINCE WINDS WILL STILL BE AROUND 10 MPH OVERNIGHT...
WIND CHILLS BELOW 25 BELOW ARE EXPECTED IN ALL AREAS. EXPOSED SKIN
CAN FREEZE IN LESS THAN 30 MINUTES UNDER THESE CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS ARE FORECASTED FOR MUCH OF SUNDAY. SNOW
COVERED ROADS ON SUNDAY WILL CAUSE SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

THERE IS AN INCREASED RISK TRAVEL IMPACTS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
ESPECIALLY NORTH OF A HOLLAND TO GRAND RAPIDS LINE. LOCALIZED
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS MAY COMBINE WITH GUSTY WINDS TO
POTENTIALLY LEAD TO HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS ARE LIKELY AS WE GO THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THE
WEEK...POSSIBLY PROLONGING THE TRAVEL IMPACTS.

DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILL VALUES LOOK LIKELY FOR MONDAY WITH
VALUES COLDER THAN 20 BELOW ZERO FOR MANY LOCATIONS. ADDITIONALLY
THE PERIOD FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY COULD FEATURE DANGEROUSLY
COLD WIND CHILL VALUES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

WDM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
506 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     SNOW             1 WSW GRANDVILLE        42.90N 85.78W
02/14/2015  M6.8 INCH        KENT               MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            SINCE THE SNOW BEGAN AROUND 3 PM YESTERDAY
            THERE HAS BEEN 6.8 INCHES OF SNOW. OF THAT,
            1.9 INCHES HAS FALLEN SINCE 7 AM. THERE IS
            CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING. SEVERAL
            DRIFTS ARE OVER 2 FEET DEEP. SNOW DURATION
            24 HOURS.

&&

NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
512 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0341 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WSW GRANDVILLE        42.90N 85.78W
02/14/2015  M46 MPH          KENT               MI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            THE MAXIMUM GUST RECORDED TODAY SO FAR IS 46
            MPH USING A DAVIS WEATHER STATION. THE WIND
            GAGE IS 26 FEET ABOVE THE GROUND.

&&

NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
523 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 E CASTLE PARK         42.74N 86.11W
02/14/2015  M41 MPH          ALLEGAN            MI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION W MICH REGIONAL ARPT /BIV/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0425 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S DEWITT              42.78N 84.59W
02/14/2015  M43 MPH          CLINTON            MI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION CAPITAL CITY AIRPORT /LAN/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0414 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ENE LUDINGTON         43.97N 86.42W
02/14/2015  M45 MPH          MASON              MI   AWOS

            AWOS STATION MASON CO APT /LDM/ NON-TSTM WND
            GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0402 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NE PORTAGE            42.23N 85.55W
02/14/2015  M46 MPH          KALAMAZOO          MI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KZOO/BATTLE CREEK INTL AIRPORT
            /AZO/ NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0400 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NW ROOSEVELT PARK     43.23N 86.34W
02/14/2015  M49 MPH          MUSKEGON           MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MUSKEGON GLERL /MKGM4/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0351 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WNW BATTLE CREEK      42.31N 85.25W
02/14/2015  M45 MPH          CALHOUN            MI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION W K KELLOGG AIRPORT /BTL/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0350 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WNW LEONI             42.26N 84.31W
02/14/2015  M40 MPH          JACKSON            MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 2 WNW LEONI /EW4469/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0334 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WSW NORTON SHORES     43.15N 86.29W
02/14/2015  M40 MPH          MUSKEGON           MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 1 WSW NORTON SHORES /EW5320/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0330 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST WABANINGO               43.37N 86.42W
02/14/2015  M59 MPH          MUSKEGON           MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION WABANINGO /DW2963/ NON-TSTM
            WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0323 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ENE KENTWOOD          42.89N 85.54W
02/14/2015  M45 MPH          KENT               MI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION GERALD R FORD INTL /GRR/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0313 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ESE REEMAN            43.44N 85.99W
02/14/2015  M41 MPH          NEWAYGO            MI   AWOS

            AWOS STATION FREMONT MUNICIPAL ARPT /FFX/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0308 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE NORTON SHORES      43.17N 86.24W
02/14/2015  M45 MPH          MUSKEGON           MI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION MUSKEGON COUNTY AIRPORT /MKG/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0251 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 W WHEELER             43.41N 84.46W
02/14/2015  M43 MPH          GRATIOT            MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 1 W WHEELER /CW0681/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0244 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SSE HART              43.64N 86.33W
02/14/2015  M48 MPH          OCEANA             MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 4 SSE HART /AU347/ NON-TSTM
            WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0230 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST MACATAWA                42.77N 86.20W
02/14/2015  M57 MPH          OTTAWA             MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION HOLLAND HARBOR /HLNM4/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0224 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S LUDINGTON           43.95N 86.44W
02/14/2015  M42 MPH          MASON              MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION LUDINGTON /LDTM4/ NON-TSTM
            WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

0223 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SSE HART              43.64N 86.33W
02/14/2015  M41 MPH          OCEANA             MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 4 SSE HART /C049/ NON-TSTM
            WND GST DURATION 6 HOURS.

&&

NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
550 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     SNOW             3 E GANGES              42.57N 86.16W
02/14/2015  U0.0 INCH        ALLEGAN            MI   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WHITEOUT CONDITIONS REPORTED ACROSS WESTERN
            ALLEGAN COUNTY WITH MULTIPLE ACCIDENTS.

&&

WH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
648 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0351 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WNW BATTLE CREEK      42.31N 85.25W
02/14/2015  M45 MPH          CALHOUN            MI   ASOS

            ASOS STATION W K KELLOGG AIRPORT /BTL/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 24 HOURS.

0400 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 W WHEELER             43.41N 84.46W
02/14/2015  M43 MPH          GRATIOT            MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 1 W WHEELER /CW0681/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 24 HOURS.

0350 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WNW LEONI             42.26N 84.31W
02/14/2015  M40 MPH          JACKSON            MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 2 WNW LEONI /EW4469/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 24 HOURS.

0553 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 S IONIA               42.94N 85.06W
02/14/2015  M39 MPH          IONIA              MI   AWOS

            AWOS STATION IONIA COUNTY ARPT /Y70/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 24 HOURS.

0535 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SE MASON              42.57N 84.42W
02/14/2015  M39 MPH          INGHAM             MI   AWOS

            AWOS STATION MASON JEWETT ARPT /TEW/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 24 HOURS.

0356 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WNW BRADLEY           42.64N 85.68W
02/14/2015  M38 MPH          ALLEGAN            MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 2 WNW BRADLEY /CW5467/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 24 HOURS.

0600 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SSE SHEPHERD          43.47N 84.67W
02/14/2015  M37 MPH          ISABELLA           MI   MESONET

            MESONET STATION 2 NNE FOREST HILL /EW4977/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 24 HOURS.

0455 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NE MOUNT PLEASANT     43.62N 84.74W
02/14/2015  M37 MPH          ISABELLA           MI   AWOS

            AWOS STATION MT PLEASANT MUNI ARPT /MOP/
            NON-TSTM WND GST DURATION 24 HOURS.

&&

NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
720 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     SNOW             3 W ZEELAND             42.82N 86.07W
02/14/2015  E8.5 INCH        OTTAWA             MI   COCORAHS

            THE SNOW ENDED BY 3:30 PM. OF THE 8.5
            INCHES, 5.5 INCHES FELL BY 7 AM, THEN
            ANOTHER 3.5 INCHES FELL BETWEEN 7 AM AND
            3:30 PM. ALL ROADS ARE SNOW PACKED AND
            DRIFTS ARE HAS HIGH AS 2 FEET. SNOW DURATION
            12 HOURS 30 MINUTES.

&&

WDM