Alert archive / Wisconsin / Small Craft Advisories in 2015

Small Craft Advisory 64, NWS Green Bay, WI

October 9, 2015

NWS Green Bay, WI issued this small craft advisory at Oct 9, 2015, 8:57 PM CDT. It took effect at Oct 10, 2015, 10:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 54 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 9, 2015, 8:57 PM CDT (01:57 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 10, 2015, 10:00 AM CDT
Expired
Oct 12, 2015, 4:00 PM CDT
In force
54 hr
Issued by
NWS Green Bay, WI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

191 
WHUS73 KGRB 100157
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
857 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

...INCREASING WINDS AND WAVES SATURDAY...

.GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SATURDAY MID MORNING AND
CREATE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST
FLOW WILL CAUSE BUILDING WAVES...WITH THE HIGHEST WAVES NEAR
NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY. WINDS AND WAVES SHOULD DIMINISH SATURDAY
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS AND
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR ALL OF LAKE MICHIGAN ON
SUNDAY.

LMZ521-541-542-101000-
/O.NEW.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.151010T1500Z-151011T0300Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-
857 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT
SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BY MID MORNING...AND
  CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT ON THE BAY...AND 3 TO 5 FT ON THE
  LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
11 follow-up statements
388 
WHUS73 KGRB 100832
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
332 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015

...INCREASING WINDS AND WAVES THIS WEEKEND...

.AS A SURFACE RIDGE SLIDES EAST THIS MORNING...GUSTY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID MORNING AND CREATE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS
TO SMALL CRAFT. PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CAUSE BUILDING
WAVES...WITH THE HIGHEST WAVES NEAR NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY. WINDS
AND WAVES SHOULD DIMINISH SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER THEY SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO WARRANT THE
CONTINUANCE OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NEAR NORTHERN DOOR
COUNTY. ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS AND HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED FOR ALL OF LAKE MICHIGAN ON SUNDAY AND LIKELY CONTINUE
INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK. WHILE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
COULD EASILY BE ISSUED THROUGH EARLY IN THE WEEK...WILL EXTEND THE
CURRENT ONES AROUND DOOR COUNTY INTO SUNDAY AT THIS TIME.

LMZ521-541-101645-
/O.EXT.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.151010T1500Z-151011T2200Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
332 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
5 PM CDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BY MID MORNING...AND
  CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY. GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS ON THE LAKE.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT ON THE BAY...AND 4 TO 7 FT ON THE
  LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ542-101645-
/O.EXT.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.151010T1500Z-151011T1000Z/
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-
332 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
5 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BY MID MORNING...AND 
  CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. 

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

KURIMSKI
723 
WHUS73 KGRB 101454
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
954 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015

...INCREASING WINDS AND WAVES THIS WEEKEND...

.AS A SURFACE RIDGE SLIDES EAST THIS MORNING...GUSTY WINDS ARE
DEVELOPING...AND WILL CREATE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CAUSE BUILDING WAVES...WITH THE
HIGHEST WAVES NEAR NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY. WINDS AND WAVES SHOULD
DIMINISH SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER THEY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO WARRANT THE CONTINUANCE OF THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY NEAR NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY. ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY
WINDS AND HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR ALL OF LAKE
MICHIGAN ON SUNDAY AND LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE
WEEK. WHILE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE ISSUED THROUGH INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE CURRENT ADVISORY FOCUSES ON THE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS INTO SUNDAY. IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES BEYOND THAT
TIME...THE ADVISORY WILL BE EXTENDED.

LMZ521-541-102300-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.151010T1500Z-151011T2200Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
954 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS. GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS ON
  THE LAKE.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT ON THE BAY...AND 4 TO 6 FT ON 
  THE LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ542-102300-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.151010T1500Z-151011T1000Z/
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-
954 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS. 

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
506 
WHUS73 KGRB 102026
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
326 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015

...GUSTY WINDS AND WAVES THIS WEEKEND...

.AS A SURFACE RIDGE SLIDES EAST THIS MORNING...GUSTY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO CREATE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CAUSE BUILDING WAVES...WITH THE
HIGHEST WAVES NEAR NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY. WINDS AND WAVES SHOULD
DIMINISH SLIGHTLY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER THEY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH TO WARRANT THE CONTINUANCE OF THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY NEAR NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY. ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY
WINDS AND HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR ALL OF LAKE
MICHIGAN ON SUNDAY AND LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE
WEEK. WHILE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE ISSUED THROUGH INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE CURRENT ADVISORY FOCUSES ON THE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS INTO SUNDAY. IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES BEYOND THAT
TIME...THE ADVISORY WILL BE EXTENDED.

LMZ521-541-110430-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151011T2200Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
326 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS. GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS ON
  THE LAKE.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT ON THE BAY...AND 4 TO 6 FT ON 
  THE LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ542-110430-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151011T1000Z/
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-
326 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
550 
WHUS73 KGRB 110214
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
914 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015

...GUSTY WINDS AND WAVES THIS WEEKEND...

.AS A SURFACE RIDGE SLID EAST THIS EVENING...GUSTY WINDS CONTINUEDTO
CREATE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST
FLOW WILL CAUSE BUILDING WAVES...WITH THE HIGHEST WAVES NEAR
NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY. WINDS AND WAVES SHOULD DIMINISH SLIGHTLY
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE
ENOUGH TO WARRANT THE CONTINUANCE OF THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NEAR
NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY. ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS AND HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR ALL OF LAKE MICHIGAN ON SUNDAY AND
LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK. WHILE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES MAY BE ISSUED THROUGH INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE
CURRENT ADVISORY FOCUSES ON THE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS INTO SUNDAY.
IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES BEYOND THAT TIME...THE ADVISORY WILL BE
EXTENDED.

LMZ521-541-111015-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151011T2200Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
914 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS. GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS ON 
  THE LAKE. 

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT ON THE BAY...AND 4 TO 6 FT ON 
  THE LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ542-111000-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151011T1000Z/
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-
914 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM CDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
640 
WHUS73 KGRB 110834
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
334 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015

...GUSTY WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...

.GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE OHIO VALLEY SLOWLY SINKS SOUTH OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN US.
THIS WILL BRING GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH FUNNELING EFFECTS
ACROSS THE BAY OF GREEN BAY...WITH HIGH WAVES ACROSS THE LAKE
MICHIGAN NEARSHORE AREAS GIVEN THE PERSISTENT GUSTY WINDS.

THE LOW WILL PASS TO THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND INTO
MONDAY...BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES.
THIS WILL BRING GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT...WITH GUSTS APPROACHING GALE FORCE AT TIMES ACROSS NORTHERN
DOOR COUNTY.

GIVEN THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF HIGH WINDS AND/OR WAVES EXPECTED
ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL ISSUE AND EXTEND THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ALL OF THE LAKE MICHIGAN NEARSHORE AREAS AS
WELL AS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BAY OF GREEN BAY THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT. WHILE THERE MAY BE A PERIOD OF A LIGHTER WINDS LATER TODAY
AND INTO THIS EVENING...THE LULL DOES NOT APPEAR ENOUGH TO NOT
CARRY THE HEADLINES THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL
APPROACH GALE FORCE ACROSS NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY MONDAY
NIGHT...CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO ISSUE GALE HEADLINES WITH
THIS ISSUANCE.

LMZ522-543-111645-
/O.EXB.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151013T1200Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
334 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND TONIGHT. WEST
  WINDS TO 30 KNOTS ON MONDAY...BECOMING NORTHWEST MONDAY NIGHT.
  GUSTS APPROACHING GALE FORCE MONDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT ON THE BAY...AND 4 TO 6 FT ON 
  THE LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ521-541-542-111645-
/O.EXT.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151013T1200Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-
334 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND TONIGHT. GUSTS UP
  TO 30 KNOTS ON THE LAKE. WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS ON
  MONDAY...BECOMING NORTHWEST MONDAY NIGHT. GUSTS APPROACHING GALE
  FORCE MONDAY NIGHT.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT ON THE BAY...AND 4 TO 7 FT ON THE
  LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

KURIMSKI
894 
WHUS73 KGRB 111428
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
928 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015

...GUSTY WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...

.GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WHILE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY SLOWLY SINKS SOUTH OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN US. THIS WILL BRING GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH
FUNNELING EFFECTS UP THE BAY OF GREEN BAY...WITH HIGH WAVES
ACROSS THE LAKE MICHIGAN NEARSHORE AREAS GIVEN THE PERSISTENT
GUSTY WINDS.

THE LOW WILL PASS TO THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY...
BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL
BRING GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
WITH GUSTS APPROACHING GALE FORCE AT TIMES ACROSS NORTHERN DOOR
COUNTY.

GIVEN THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF HIGH WINDS AND/OR WAVES EXPECTED
ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL ISSUE AND EXTEND THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ALL OF THE LAKE MICHIGAN NEARSHORE AREAS AS
WELL AS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BAY OF GREEN BAY THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT. THERE MAY BE A PERIOD OF A LIGHTER WINDS LATER TODAY AND
INTO THIS EVENING...THE LULL DOES NOT APPEAR ENOUGH TO DEMAND
SEPARATE ADVISORIES. ALSO...THOUGH WINDS MAY APPROACH GALE FORCE
ACROSS NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY MONDAY NIGHT...CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO ISSUE GALE HEADLINES WITH THIS ISSUANCE.

LMZ521-522-541>543-112230-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151013T1200Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
928 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND TONIGHT. GUSTS 
  UP TO 30 KNOTS ON THE LAKE. WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS ON MONDAY...
   BECOMING NORTHWEST MONDAY NIGHT. GUSTS APPROACHING GALE FORCE 
  MONDAY NIGHT. 

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT ON THE BAY...AND 4 TO 7 FT ON 
  THE LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
765 
WHUS73 KGRB 112011
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
311 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015

...GUSTY WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...

.GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT AS A STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA. THIS WILL BRING
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH FUNNELING EFFECTS UP THE BAY OF GREEN
BAY...WITH HIGH WAVES ACROSS THE LAKE MICHIGAN NEARSHORE AREAS
GIVEN THE PERSISTENT GUSTY WINDS.

THE LOW WILL PASS TO THE NORTH LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO
MONDAY NIGHT... BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES. THIS WILL BRING EVEN GUSTIER WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS EXPECTED.

GUSTY WINDS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT MAY CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY.
BOATERS SHOULD MONITOR THE FORECASTS FOR ADDITIONAL ADVISORIES
THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

LMZ521-522-541>543-120415-
/O.EXT.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151012T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KGRB.GL.W.0014.151012T2100Z-151013T0600Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
311 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 1 AM CDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 1 AM CDT
TUESDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS. WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS ON
  MONDAY... BECOMING NORTHWEST MONDAY NIGHT. GALE FORCE GUSTS UP
  TO 40 KTS ARE EXPECTED BY MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY
  NIGHT...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF LAKE
  MICHIGAN

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT ON THE BAY...AND 4 TO 7 FT ON 
  THE LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
638 
WHUS73 KGRB 120212
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
912 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015

...GUSTY WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...

.GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT AS A STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA. THIS WILL BRING
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH FUNNELING EFFECTS UP THE BAY OF GREEN
BAY...WITH HIGH WAVES ACROSS THE LAKE MICHIGAN NEARSHORE AREAS
GIVEN THE PERSISTENT GUSTY WINDS.

THE LOW WILL PASS TO THE NORTH LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO
MONDAY NIGHT... BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES. THIS WILL BRING EVEN GUSTIER WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS EXPECTED.

GUSTY WINDS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT MAY CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY.
BOATERS SHOULD MONITOR THE FORECASTS FOR ADDITIONAL ADVISORIES
THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

LMZ521-522-541>543-121015-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151012T2100Z/
/O.CON.KGRB.GL.W.0014.151012T2100Z-151013T0600Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
912 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO 1 AM CDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS. WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS ON 
  MONDAY... BECOMING NORTHWEST MONDAY NIGHT. GALE FORCE GUSTS UP 
  TO 40 KTS ARE EXPECTED BY MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT...
   WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF LAKE 
  MICHIGAN 

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT ON THE BAY...AND 4 TO 7 FT ON 
  THE LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
183 
WHUS73 KGRB 120824
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
324 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2015

...GUSTY WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH TUESDAY...

.SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS AS WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID LEVEL TROUGH.
AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THIS TROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO GUST TO GALE FORCE ACROSS ALL OF THE MARINE ZONES FROM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE WILL EXTEND THE GALE
WARNING FOR ALL ZONES FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING. ONCE GALE FORCE CONDITIONS SUBSIDE TUESDAY
MORNING...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

LMZ521-522-541>543-121630-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151012T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KGRB.GL.W.0014.151012T2100Z-151013T1500Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
324 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM
CDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING
  TO 30 TO 35 KNOTS THIS MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST TUESDAY.
  GALE FORCE GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 KTS ARE EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON
  INTO TUESDAY MORNING...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE
  NORTHERN HALF OF LAKE MICHIGAN

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

KURIMSKI
274 
WHUS73 KGRB 121451
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
951 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2015

...GUSTY WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH TUESDAY...

.SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS AS WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID LEVEL TROUGH.
AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THIS TROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO GUST TO GALE FORCE ACROSS ALL OF THE MARINE ZONES
FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. ONCE GALE FORCE
CONDITIONS SUBSIDE TUESDAY MORNING...A NEW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
WILL BE NECESSARY.

LMZ521-522-541>543-122300-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151012T2100Z/
/O.CON.KGRB.GL.W.0014.151012T2100Z-151013T1500Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
951 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM CDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING
  TO 30 TO 35 KNOTS LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON...BECOMING NORTHWEST TUESDAY. GALE FORCE GUSTS OF 40
  TO 45 KTS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY
  MORNING...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
  LAKE MICHIGAN

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
028 
WHUS73 KGRB 122102
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
402 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2015

...GUSTY WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH TUESDAY...

.AS AN LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SWINGS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION
THIS AFTERNOON...WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AND GUST TO
GALE FORCE ACROSS ALL OF THE MARINE ZONES. STRONG WINDS WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. ONCE GALE FORCE
CONDITIONS SUBSIDE TUESDAY MORNING...A NEW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
WILL BE NECESSARY.

LMZ521-522-541>543-130515-
/O.EXP.KGRB.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-151012T2100Z/
/O.CON.KGRB.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-151013T1500Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
402 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WINDS...WEST AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS LATE THIS...BECOMING NORTHWEST
  TUESDAY. GALE FORCE GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 KTS ARE EXPECTED THIS INTO
  TUESDAY MORNING... WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN
  HALF OF LAKE MICHIGAN

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Green Bay, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 9, 5:48 PM CDT, 3 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 5:48 PM CDT, 3 hours 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
548 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

UPDATED AVIATION PORTION FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 209 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

WARM THIS WEEKEND /ESPECIALLY SUNDAY/...THEN WINDY AND COOLER
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FAIRLY TYPICAL MID-AUTUMN FLOW REGIME EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD.
THE MAIN WESTERLIES WL REMAIN PRIMARILY ACRS SRN CANADA AND THE
NRN CONUS. THE PRIMARY WX MAKER WL BE MAJOR SHRTWV EXPECTED TO
CROSS THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK. AFTER THAT..PATTERN WL UNDERGO
MODEST AMPLIFICATION WITH BROAD LNGWV TROF OVER ERN NOAM AND
RIDGING NR THE WEST COAST.

THE STG WLY UPR FLOW WITH THE MAIN JET N OF THE AREA FAVORS WELL
ABV NORMAL TEMPS FOR THE FIRST COUPLE DAYS OF THE PERIOD...THEN
READINGS SHOULD DROP BACK CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS. GULF
MOISTURE WL REMAIN WELL S OF THE AREA...SO A FAIRLY DRY PERIOD IS
EXPECTED. AMNTS WL VERY LIKELY END UP WELL BLO NORMAL FOR THE
PERIOD.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
ISSUED AT 209 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

MAIN FOCUS TO BE ON TEMPS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS HI PRES TO BE
IN CONTROL OF THE GREAT LAKES WEATHER. THE POINT OF EMPHASIS TO BE
ON MINS TNGT AND WHETHER A FROST HEADLINE WL BE NEEDED ACROSS
CNTRL WI.

THE 19Z MSAS SFC ANALYSIS INDICATED A LARGE RDG OF HI PRES THAT
EXTENDED FROM THE SRN PLAINS NEWD THRU THE UPR MS VALLEY AND INTO
ONTARIO. FROM THE SFC RDG AXIS EWD...VSBL SATL IMAGERY SHOWED
PLENTY OF FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS THAT POPPED UP MAINLY DUE TO
DAYTIME HEATING. WINDS HAVE STARTED TO EASE WITH THE APPROACH OF
THE HI PRES...AND THIS TREND WL CONT FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON.

THE SFC RDG AXIS IS FCST TO MOVE OVER WI THIS EVENING AND BE TO
OUR EAST BY DAYBREAK. LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING WL ALLOW THE CUMULUS
CLOUDS TO FADE AWAY BY EARLY EVENING...HOWEVER SOME HI CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DRIFT INTO THE REGION DURING THE OVRNGT HOURS AS
WARMER AIR ALOFT BEGINS TO OVERSPREAD WI. GUSTY N-NW WINDS WL
SUBSIDE BY EARLY EVENING...THUS FAVORABLE RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS TO EXIST FOR MOST OF THE TNGT. THE KEY MAY BE THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE INTO THE 20-25
KT RANGE TOWARD SUNRISE. THIS MAY PROVIDE JUST ENUF MIXING TO
PREVENT TEMPS FROM DIPPING INTO THE UPR 30S OVER CNTRL WI LONG
ENUF FOR A FROST TO DEVELOP. FOR NOW...HAVE MIN TEMPS RANGING FROM
THE MID TO UPR 30S NORTH...UPR 30S CNTRL AND 40-45 DEG RANGE
E-CNTRL WI. HAVE ADDED PATCHY FROST TO CNTRL WI...BUT PASS ON ANY
HEADLINES AT THIS TIME.

A MILDER AND BREEZY DAY IS FCST FOR NE WI ON SAT AS GUSTY SW WINDS
TO DEVELOP BETWEEN THE RETREATING SFC RDG TO OUR EAST AND STRONG
LOW PRES LOCATED WELL TO OUR NW OVER THE CANADIAN PRARIE. OTHER
THAN SOME THIN CIRRUS CLOUDS...EXPECT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE OVER THE
REGION. WAA TO BE ALREADY BE UNDERWAY AND THIS WL HELP BOOST MAX
TEMPS INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S NORTH AND LAKESHORE...MIDDLE TO
UPPER 60S ELSEWHERE.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
ISSUED AT 209 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

THE MAIN FCST ISSUES WL BE TEMPERATURES DURING THE WEEKEND...AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR A FAIRLY WINDY PERIOD EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
STG/DEEPENING CYCLONE TRACKS N OF THE AREA.

OVERALL...BLEND OF THE TOP PERFORMING GUIDANCE PRODUCTS SUPPORTED
TEMPS SIMILAR TO THOSE ALREADY IN THE FCST...SO CHGS FM THE PREV
FCST WERE RATHER SMALL. NEW MAX TEMP FCST FOR SUNDAY WL BE ABOUT
74-79F AWAY FM THE LAKE...AND RECORD MAX TEMPS ARE IN THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 80S AT ALL THE MAIN REPORTING STNS IN THE FCST AREA.

THE MAJOR SHRTWV EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA SUN NGT INTO MONDAY
WL BE QUITE STG. A LITTLE NERVOUS ABOUT HAVING A DRY FCST GIVEN
THOSE DYNAMICS...THOUGH THIS IS THE TIME OF YEAR WHERE THAT CAN
HAPPEN WHEN GULF MOISTURE IS LACKING AS IN THIS CASE. WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED IF A NARROW BAND OF SPRINKLES OR LGT SHOWERS MANAGES TO
DEVELOP NEAR THE FRONT/AHEAD OF THE SHRTWV. BUT SUPPORT FOR THAT
IN THE GUIDANCE IS PRETTY MUCH NON-EXISTENT AT THIS POINT...SO
STUCK WITH DRY FCST.

DEEP MIXING INTO STG WLY FLOW ALOFT WL LIKELY RESULT IN A WINDY
DAY ON MONDAY.

NO SIG CHGS TO THE EXTENDED FCST INITIALIZATION GRIDS DERIVED FM A
BROAD BLEND OF GUIDANCE PRODUCTS.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE
ISSUED AT 543 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND THE APPROACH OF HIGH PRESSURE FROM
MINNESOTA WAS CAUSING CUMULUS TO RAPIDLY DISSIPATE EARLY THIS
EVENING. EXPECT ONLY HIGH CLOUDS TO AFFECT THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE MAIN FCST CONCERN WILL BE INCREASING
S-SW WINDS ON SATURDAY...WITH GUSTS TO 20 TO 25 KTS ANTICIPATED
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WILL LIKELY NEED TO ADD
LLWS TO THE TAFS FOR TOMORROW EVENING...BUT THAT IS JUST BEYOND
THE VALID TIME OF THIS SET OF TAFS.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 209 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

A BRIEF BREAK IN THE GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TNGT AS THE SFC RDG
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. AS THIS RDG SLIDES TO THE EAST ON SAT...
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CAUSE WINDS AND WAVES TO ONCE AGAIN
BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR THE MARINE AREAS DURING THE WEEKEND.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS.......SKOWRONSKI
SHORT TERM.....AK
LONG TERM......SKOWRONSKI
AVIATION.......KIECKBUSCH
MARINE.........AK
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 9, 2:25 PM CDT, 6 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
225 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-101100-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY-LINCOLN-
LANGLADE-MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO COUNTY-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-
WOOD-PORTAGE-WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-
CALUMET-MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY-
SOUTHERN OCONTO COUNTY-
225 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-101100-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
225 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT DUE TO STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND INCREASING WAVES.
ANOTHER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA. THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS
SUNDAY NIGHT AND GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS MONDAY INTO MONDAY
NIGHT. GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

KALLAS/SKOWRONSKI

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Wisconsin, 2015Every small craft advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.