Alert archive / Wisconsin / Gale Warnings in 2015

Gale Warning 17, NWS Green Bay, WI

November 17, 2015

NWS Green Bay, WI issued this gale warning at Nov 17, 2015, 4:23 AM CST. It took effect at Nov 17, 2015, 9:09 PM CST. It was in force for 60 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 17, 2015, 4:23 AM CST (10:23 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 17, 2015, 9:09 PM CST
Expired
Nov 20, 2015, 9:00 AM CST
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Green Bay, WI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

797 
WHUS73 KGRB 171023
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
423 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STRONG LATE AUTUMN STORM TO BRING SIGNIFICANT WINDS AND WAVES
TO THE BAY AND LAKE THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY...
THEN TURN NORTHEAST AND TRACK TO CENTRAL MINNESOTA BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THE STORM WILL CONTINUE ON TO THE NORTH WEDNESDAY AND
MERGE WITH ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM RACING SOUTHEAST ACROSS CANADA.
THE MERGER WILL RESULT IN AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER
WESTERN ONTARIO BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AND TONIGHT
AS THE PLAINS STORM NEARS THE REGION. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO
THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AS THE STORM SYSTEMS CONSOLIDATE WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY EVENING.

LMZ521-522-171830-
/O.EXB.KGRB.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KGRB.GL.W.0017.151118T1200Z-151120T0300Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
423 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 9 PM CST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 9 PM CST
THURSDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS BY
  LATE TODAY OR EARLY TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY VEER TO THE
  SOUTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GALE FORCE GUSTS WILL BEGIN
  TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY BECOME MORE NUMEROUS. THE STRONGEST
  WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

* WAVES...WAVES WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED
THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR
TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ541>543-171830-
/O.EXT.KGRB.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KGRB.GL.W.0017.151118T1200Z-151120T0300Z/
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
423 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 9 PM CST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 9 PM CST
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS BY
  LATE TODAY...THEN GRADUALLY VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY
  NIGHT. GALE FORCE GUSTS WILL BEGIN TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY
  BECOME MORE NUMEROUS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

* WAVES...THE LARGEST WAVES...7 TO 11 FEET...ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
  WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED
THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR
TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JS
13 follow-up statements
782 
WHUS73 KGRB 171616
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1016 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STRONG LATE AUTUMN STORM TO BRING SIGNIFICANT WINDS AND WAVES
TO THE BAY AND LAKE THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY...
THEN TURN NORTHEAST AND TRACK TO CENTRAL MINNESOTA BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THE STORM WILL CONTINUE ON TO THE NORTH WEDNESDAY AND
MERGE WITH ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM RACING SOUTHEAST ACROSS CANADA.
THE MERGER WILL RESULT IN AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER
WESTERN ONTARIO BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS THE PLAINS STORM NEARS THE REGION. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY VEER TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AS THE STORM SYSTEMS
CONSOLIDATE WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY EVENING.

LMZ521-522-541>543-180030-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
/O.CON.KGRB.GL.W.0017.151118T1200Z-151120T0300Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
1016 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 9 PM CST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS BY
  LATE TODAY OR EARLY TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY VEER TO THE
  SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GALE FORCE GUSTS WILL BEGIN
  TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY BECOME MORE NUMEROUS. THE STRONGEST
  WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 6 FT ON THE BAY...AND TO 7 TO 11 FT ON
  LAKE MICHIGAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

BERSCH
395 
WHUS73 KGRB 172128
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
328 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STRONG LATE AUTUMN STORM TO BRING SIGNIFICANT WINDS AND WAVES
TO THE BAY AND LAKE THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK FROM KANSAS TO CENTRAL MINNESOTA
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE STORM WILL CONTINUE ON TO THE
NORTH WEDNESDAY AND MERGE WITH ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM RACING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS CANADA. THE MERGER WILL RESULT IN AN INTENSE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER WESTERN ONTARIO BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE
STORM NEARS THE REGION. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO THE WEST-
SOUTHWEST AS THE STORM SYSTEMS CONSOLIDATE WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY EVENING.

LMZ521-522-541>543-180530-
/O.CON.KGRB.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
/O.CON.KGRB.GL.W.0017.151118T1200Z-151120T0300Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
328 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 9 PM CST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY
  VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GALE FORCE
  GUSTS WILL BEGIN TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY BECOME MORE NUMEROUS.
  THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
  THURSDAY.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 6 FT ON THE BAY...AND TO 7 TO 11 FT 
  ON LAKE MICHIGAN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
295 
WHUS73 KGRB 180309
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
909 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STRONG LATE AUTUMN STORM TO BRING SIGNIFICANT WINDS AND WAVES
TO THE BAY AND LAKE THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK FROM KANSAS TO CENTRAL MINNESOTA
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE STORM WILL CONTINUE ON TO THE
NORTH WEDNESDAY AND MERGE WITH ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM RACING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS CANADA. THE MERGER WILL RESULT IN AN INTENSE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER WESTERN ONTARIO BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH GALES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY. GALES WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AS THE
STORM SYSTEMS CONSOLIDATE WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE STRONG WINDS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY EVENING.

LMZ521-522-541>543-181115-
/O.CAN.KGRB.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KGRB.GL.W.0017.151118T0309Z-151120T0300Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
909 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY
  VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GALE FORCE
  GUSTS TONIGHT WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS WEDNESDAY. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
  THURSDAY.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 6 FT ON THE BAY...AND TO 7 TO 11 FT 
  ON LAKE MICHIGAN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
600 
WHUS73 KGRB 181050
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
450 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...STRONG LATE AUTUMN STORM TO BRING SIGNIFICANT WINDS AND WAVES
TO THE BAY AND LAKE THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS...

.A STORM SYSTEM ALONG THE MINNESOTA IOWA BORDER EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL TRACK NORTH TODAY. THE STORM WILL MERGE WITH ANOTHER
STORM SYSTEM RACING EAST ACROSS CANADA. THE MERGER WILL RESULT IN
AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER WESTERN ONTARIO BY EARLY THIS
EVENING.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH EARLY THIS MORNING...AND GRADUALLY
VEER TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST BY EARLY THURSDAY.

LMZ521-522-541>543-181900-
/O.CON.KGRB.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-151120T0300Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
450 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
  AND TONIGHT. FREQUENT GALE FORCE GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED.
  WINDS WILL VEER TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 35 KNOT
  GALES THURSDAY MORNING. SOME GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY.

* WAVES...WAVES WILL BUILD TO 8 TO 12 FEET ON THE LAKE...AND TO 5
  TO 8 FEET ON THE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JS
772 
WHUS73 KGRB 181650
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1050 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...STRONG LATE AUTUMN STORM TO BRING SIGNIFICANT WINDS AND WAVES
TO THE BAY AND LAKE THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTH INTO NORTHERN MINNESOTA TODAY.
THE STORM WILL MERGE WITH ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM RACING EAST ACROSS
CANADA. THE MERGER WILL RESULT IN AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
OVER WESTERN ONTARIO BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN GRADUALLY VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT INTO
EARLY THURSDAY.

LMZ521-522-541>543-190100-
/O.CON.KGRB.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-151120T0300Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
1050 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
  AND TONIGHT. FREQUENT GALE FORCE GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED.
  WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 35 KNOT GALES
  THURSDAY MORNING. SOME GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY.

* WAVES...8 TO 12 FEET ON THE LAKE...AND TO 5 TO 8 FEET ON THE
  BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

BERSCH
378 
WHUS73 KGRB 182129
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
329 PM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WINDS AND WAVES EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
AS A STRONG STORM CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION...

.AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER WESTERN ONTARIO LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTH...REACHING HUDSON BAY BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY.

LMZ521-522-541>543-190530-
/O.CON.KGRB.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-151120T0300Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
329 PM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED
  TONIGHT. FREQUENT GALE FORCE GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS ARE ALSO
  EXPECTED. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 35
  KNOT GALES ON THURSDAY. SOME GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS ARE LIKELY ON
  THURSDAY.

* WAVES...7 TO 12 FEET ON THE LAKE...AND TO 4 TO 7 FEET ON THE 
  BAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
895 
WHUS73 KGRB 190317
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
917 PM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WINDS AND WAVES EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
AS A STRONG STORM CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION...

.AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WAS OVER WESTERN ONTARIO
THIS EVENING WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTH...REACHING HUDSON BAY BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY
THURSDAY.

LMZ521-522-541>543-191130-
/O.CON.KGRB.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-151120T0300Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
917 PM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED
  OVERNIGHT WITH FREQUENT GALE FORCE GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. WINDS
  WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 35 KNOT GALES ON
  THURSDAY. SOME GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS ARE LIKELY ON THURSDAY.

* WAVES...5 TO 9 FEET ON THE LAKE...AND TO 3 TO 5 FEET ON THE
  BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
352 
WHUS73 KGRB 190940
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
340 AM CST THU NOV 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WINDS AND WAVES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND
TONIGHT...

.AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER CANADA WILL SLOWLY EDGE AWAY
FROM THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...STRONG WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM.

LMZ521-522-541>543-191745-
/O.EXT.KGRB.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-151120T1000Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
340 AM CST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST GALES OF 35 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO 45
  KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY DIMINISH
  TONIGHT...THOUGH GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO OCCUR
  THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.

* WAVES...WAVES OF 5 TO 8 FEET ARE EXPECTED TODAY ON THE
  BAY...WITH 8 TO 12 FOOT WAVES ON THE LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JS
103 
WHUS73 KGRB 191620
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1020 AM CST THU NOV 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WINDS AND WAVES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND
TONIGHT...

.AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER CANADA WILL SLOWLY EDGE AWAY
FROM THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...STRONG WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM.

LMZ521-522-541>543-200030-
/O.CON.KGRB.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-151120T1000Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
1020 AM CST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST GALES OF 35 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO 45 
  KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY DIMINISH 
  TONIGHT...THOUGH GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO OCCUR 
  THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. 

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET ARE EXPECTED TODAY...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 6
  FEET OVERNIGHT. THE LARGEST WAVES ARE EXPECTED NEAR DEATHS
  DOOR...AND TOWARD THE OPEN WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

BERSCH
388 
WHUS73 KGRB 192121
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
321 PM CST THU NOV 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WINDS AND WAVES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

.AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER HUDSON BAY WILL SLOWLY MOVE
AWAY FROM THE REGION TONIGHT. HOWEVER...STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL PERSIST IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM.

LMZ521-522-541>543-200530-
/O.CON.KGRB.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-151120T1000Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
321 PM CST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST GALES OF 35 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS ARE
  EXPECTED THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY DIMINISH
  TONIGHT...THOUGH GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO OCCUR
  THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET ARE EXPECTED TODAY...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 6 
  FEET OVERNIGHT. THE LARGEST WAVES ARE EXPECTED NEAR DEATHS 
  DOOR...AND TOWARD THE OPEN WATERS OF GREEN BAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
592 
WHUS73 KGRB 200511
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1111 PM CST THU NOV 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WINDS AND WAVES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

.AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER HUDSON BAY WILL SLOWLY MOVE
AWAY FROM THE REGION TONIGHT. HOWEVER...STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL PERSIST IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM UNTIL LATE TONIGHT
BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING ON FRIDAY.

LMZ521-522-541>543-201000-
/O.CON.KGRB.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-151120T1000Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
1111 PM CST THU NOV 19 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST GALES OF 35 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. WINDS
  WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THOUGH GALE
  FORCE GUSTS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET ARE EXPECTED TODAY...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 6 
  FEET OVERNIGHT. THE LARGEST WAVES ARE EXPECTED NEAR DEATHS 
  DOOR...AND TOWARD THE OPEN WATERS OF GREEN BAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
159 
WHUS73 KGRB 200945
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
345 AM CST FRI NOV 20 2015

.STRONG WEST WINDS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THIS MORNING...AS THE STORM
SYSTEM GENERATING THE WINDS CONTINUES TO PULL AWAY FROM THE AREA.

LMZ521-522-541>543-201500-
/O.EXT.KGRB.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-151120T1500Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
345 AM CST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT GALE FORCE GUSTS TO
  35 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MID-MORNING.

* WAVES...WAVES OF 4 TO 7 FEET ARE EXPECTED EARLY TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS AROUND 35 KNOTS OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JS
879 
WHUS73 KGRB 201454 AAA
MWWGRB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
854 AM CST FRI NOV 20 2015

...GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH WAVES WILL SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON...

.THE BRISK WEST WINDS WILL END BY THIS AFTERNOON...AS THE STRONG
LOW OVER CANADA FINALLY MOVES AWAY AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION.

LMZ521-522-541>543-202200-
/O.EXP.KGRB.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-151120T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KGRB.SC.Y.0081.151120T1500Z-151120T2200Z/
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  CEDAR RIVER TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
GREEN BAY SOUTH OF LINE FROM  OCONTO WI TO LITTLE STURGEON BAY WI-
ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI-TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI-
854 AM CST FRI NOV 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM CST THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS...WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KTS...WILL EASE TO 15 TO 20 KTS
  BY LATE AFTERNOON.

* WAVES...WAVES WILL SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4 FT ON THE BAY...TO 3 TO 5
  FT ON THE LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OVER 20 KNOTS OR
WAVES GREATER THAN 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Green Bay, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 17, 3:55 AM CST, 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 17, 3:55 AM CST, 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
355 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR ROUTINE MORNING FORECAST ISSUANCE

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 349 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

A MAJOR LATE-AUTUMN STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING PLENTY OF RAIN AND
WIND TO THE AREA THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. TURNING COLDER LATER THIS
WEEK IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM.

A VERY ENERGETIC LATE-AUTUMN PATTERN IS IN PLACE ACRS THE WRN
HEMISPHERE...AND WL REMAIN SO THROUGHOUT THE FCST PERIOD. THE FLOW
IS CURRENTLY SPLIT OVER THE ROCKIES...WHERE A CLOSED UPR LOW IS
LOCATED. DOWNSTREAM...FULL LATITUDE RIDGING EXTENDS FM THE SERN
CONUS TO WRN HUDSON BAY. AS THE RIDGE EDGES EWD THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...THE SRN STREAM UPR TROF WL LIFT NEWD AND PHASE WITH
ADDITIONAL ENERGY DIGGING SE FM THE GULF OF AK. THE RESULT WL BE A
MUCH MORE CONSOLIDATED REGIME...WITH UPR TROF LOCATED OVER THE WRN
GREAT LAKES REGION BY LATE IN THE WEEK. THE UPR TROF POSN MAY
BRIEFLY BE PULLED BACK WWD DURING THE WEEKEND AS THE NEXT SHRTWV
DIGS SEWD FM WRN NOAM. AFTER THAT...THE FLOW SHOULD TREND BACK
TOWARD A LOWER AMPLITUDE REGIME LATE IN THE PERIOD...BEFORE LIKELY
AMPLIFYING AGAIN NEXT WEEK.

AN UNSEASONABLY STG INFLUX OF GULF MOISTURE COMBINED WITH
EJECTING SRN STREAM SYSTEM WL SUPPORT HEAVY PCPN AMNTS THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS. ANOTHER LIGHTER PCPN EVENT IS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WL CONTINUE WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS...TREND DOWN TO A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL BY THE
WEEKEND...THEN REBOUND NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY...TONIGHT...AND WEDNESDAY
ISSUED AT 349 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

SRN ROCKIES CLOSED LOWWL SHIFT INTO THE PLAINS TDA...THEN OPEN UP
AS IT LIFTS NEWD TO WRN GREAT LAKES REGION TNGT AND WEDNESDAY.
DOWNSTREAM...STG DEEP SLY FLOW WL BRING AN UNSEASONABLE SURGE OF
GULF MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. /PWATS ON THE 00Z KOUN RAOB WERE AT
312 PCT OF NORMAL./ THE INITIAL SLOW EWD MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM WL
ALLOW THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT TO LINGER ACRS THE AREA TDA...
TNGT...AND INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE IT SHIFTS OFF TO THE E. AS A
RESULT...NEAR 100 PCT POPS WERE WARRANTED FOR MUCH OF THE SHORT-
TERM. IT APPEARS PCPN WL PROBABLY TAPER TO SCT SHOWERS ACRS MUCH
OF THE AREA LATE WED AFTN AS THE WCB SHIFTS E...SO WORKED THAT
TREND INTO THE GRIDS.

LDS INDICATING A LOT OF LTG STRIKES TO THE SW EARLY THIS MORNING.
BUT THE MAIN PUSH OF THAT SEEMED TO BE NWD RATHER THAN NEWD. IN
ADDITION...ELEVATED INSTABILITY PROGGED TO REMAIN VERY
LIMITED...AND MID-LVL LAPSE RATES WL REMAIN RATHER STABLE GIVEN
ALL THE PCPN. SO...OPTED FOR JUST ISOLD THUNDER OVER MAINLY THE
SRN AND WRN PART OF THE AREA TDA INTO TNGT.

TEMP TRENDS WL BE DRIVEN BY ADVECTION...WITH LITTLE DIURNAL
COMPONENT. ADJUSTED GRIDS ACCORDINGLY.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WL GENERATE GUSTY WINDS.
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT COULD ALSO GET MIXED DOWN BY THE HEAVIER
PCPN. THE WINDIEST PERIOD...HOWEVER...WL OCCUR IN THE LONG-TERM
PART OF THE FCST WHEN THE CAA STEEPENS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
PROMOTES DEEP MIXING INTO STG WLY FLOW ALOFT.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
ISSUED AT 349 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

OVERALL NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST
AS THERE IS FAIRLY GOOD CONSENSUS AMONG MODEL GUIDANCE WITH
RESPECT TO OVERALL PHASING OF TWO POTENT UPPER-LEVEL SHORT WAVE
DISTURBANCES OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY IN THE
EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. ONCE THESE DISTURBANCES
PHASE...STRONG SURFACE LOW CYCLONE WILL FORM OVER JUST EAST OF
LAKE WINNIPEG BY 00Z THURSDAY...THEN DRIFT NORTHEAST TOWARD
HUDSON BAY BY 00Z FRIDAY.

PRIMARY IMPACT OVER THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER
SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS THAT WILL USHER IN THE COLDEST AIRMASS SO
FAR THIS SEASON. STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT...CAA AND SUBSIDENCE WILL
LEAD TO WIND GUSTS IN THE 30 TO 35 MPH RANGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WITH
DEEPER MIXING DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY...COULD SEE WESTERLY
WIND GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANG. PRIMARY SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR
WILL BE FELT SHORTLY AFTER 06Z THURSDAY. SCATTERED TO BROKEN AREA
OF RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH CFP AND WEAK SECONDARY
UPPER- LEVEL IMPULSE WILL QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS
ESPECIALLY AFTER 09Z THURSDAY OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHCENTRAL
WISCONSIN. WITH DEEPER MOISTURE SCOURED OUT OF THE AREA BY THIS
TIME...LOOKING AT MAINLY LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS GENERALLY
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 8 IN VILAS COUNTY THURSDAY MORNING. IN THE WAKE
OF THE DEPARTING LOW...PREDOMINATELY WESTERLY WIND FETCH WILL BE
UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY NOTABLE LES FOR THE SNOWBELT REGION OF FAR
NORTHERN WISCONSIN.

GRADIENT WILL BE SLOW TO RELAX THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING
THUS WILL STILL SEE GUSTY WEST WINDS DURING THAT PERIOD.
PERSISTENT CYCLONIC FLOW WILL ALSO KEEP CLOUDS AROUND DURING THE
DAY ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

BY FRIDAY...BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL DOMINATE MOST OF THE NORTHERN
CONUS WITH STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS TO THE SOUTHERN MIDWEST REGION. SHORTWAVE IMPULSE EJECTING
OUT OF THE ROCKIES WILL INTERACT WITH THIS BAROCLINIC ZONE SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS TAKING PLACE SOMEWHERE OVER NORTHERN ILLINOIS BY 06Z
SATURDAY. ECMWF AND GFS ARE GENERALLY PAINTING A SIMILAR SCENARIO
WITH THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION CLOUD SHIELD STAYING JUST
SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY...HOWEVER WILL NEED TO KEEP AN
CAREFUL EYE ON THIS SYSTEM AS WOULD NOT TAKE MUCH OF A NORTHWARD
DRIFT TO BRING PRECIPITATION INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA. AIRMASS OVER THE STATE IS PLENTY COLD SUCH THAT
SNOW WOULD BE THE PRIMARY PRECIPITATION TYPE WITH THIS SYSTEM.
THIS SYSTEM CERTAINLY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DROP A RATHER
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST...TO LOWER
MICHIGAN. AS THIS SYSTEM DEEPENS AND MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES...A REINFORCING SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR WILL LIKELY MAKE ITS WAY
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH A SOMEWHAT
MORE FAVORABLE SETUP FOR LES FOR THE LAKE SUPERIOR SNOWBELT REGION
AS WELL.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR 12Z TAF ISSUANCE
ISSUED AT 349 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

WIDESPREAD POOR FLIGHT CONDITIONS AND STG LLWS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT
THE TAF PERIOD.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS.......SKOWRONSKI
SHORT TERM.....SKOWRONSKI
LONG TERM......ESB
AVIATION.......SKOWRONSKI
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 17, 3:51 AM CST, 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
351 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-181000-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY-LINCOLN-
LANGLADE-MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO COUNTY-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-
WOOD-PORTAGE-WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-
CALUMET-MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY-
SOUTHERN OCONTO COUNTY-
351 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN SOME PONDING OF
WATER IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND IN URBAN LOCATIONS WHERE STORM SEWER
GRATES ARE CLOGGED WITH LEAVES. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS COULD ALSO
ACCOMPANY THE HEAVIER RAIN SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN CENTRAL AND EAST-CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE SOAKING RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY AND THEN DIMINISH
DURING THE AFTERNOON. WEST WINDS WILL GUST TO 35 TO 45 MPH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS MUCH COLDER AIR SURGES
INTO THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-181000-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
351 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM. A FEW GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

GALE FORCE GUSTS FROM THE SOUTH WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS
WEDNESDAY. WEST TO SOUTHWEST GALES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS COLDER AIR SURGES INTO THE AREA IN THE
WAKE OF THE STORM.

SKOWRONSKI/ESB

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Wisconsin, 2015Every gale warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.