Alert archive / Kansas / Red Flag Warnings in 2015

Red Flag Warning 5, NWS Goodland, KS

March 23, 201513 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Hitchcock County, Red Willow County, Nebraska; Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado

NWS Goodland, KS issued this red flag warning at Mar 23, 2015, 3:55 AM CDT for 13 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Hitchcock County, Red Willow County, Nebraska; Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado. It took effect at Mar 24, 2015, 12:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 23, 2015, 3:55 AM CDT (08:55 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 24, 2015, 12:00 PM CDT
Expired
Mar 24, 2015, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Goodland, KS

Counties Cheyenne County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Logan County, KS, Norton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Dundy County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2015-03-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2015-03-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 33 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3475 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
33 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

290 
WWUS83 KGLD 230855
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
255 AM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY TUESDAY...

.LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND STRONG WINDS GUSTING TO 45 MPH WILL
COMBINE WITH ALREADY DRY FUELS TO CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS BY MIDDAY TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. WHILE THERE
IS SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL REGARDING WIND AND HUMIDITY OVER PARTS
OF THE REGION...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-231700-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.W.0005.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
255 AM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ TO 8 PM
MDT /9 PM CDT/ TUESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...013...014...015...
016...027...028...029...041...042...079...080...081...252...
253 AND 254...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ TUESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE KS...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 
  SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 
  SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  029 GOVE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 WICHITA. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 080 HITCHCOCK AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED 
  WILLOW.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD AND 
  BECOME OUT OF CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-231700-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.W.0005.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
255 AM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ TO 8 PM
MDT /9 PM CDT/ TUESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...013...014...015...
016...027...028...029...041...042...079...080...081...252...
253 AND 254...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ TUESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE KS...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 
  SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 
  SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  029 GOVE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 WICHITA. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 080 HITCHCOCK AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED 
  WILLOW.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD AND 
  BECOME OUT OF CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)
7 follow-up statements
892 
WWUS83 KGLD 230913
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
313 AM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY TUESDAY...

.LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND STRONG WINDS GUSTING TO 45 MPH WILL
COMBINE WITH ALREADY DRY FUELS TO CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS BY MIDDAY TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. WHILE THERE
IS SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL REGARDING WIND AND HUMIDITY OVER PARTS
OF THE REGION...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-231715-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0005.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
313 AM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ TUESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...013...014...015...
016...027...028...029...041...042...079...080...081...252...
253 AND 254...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...013...
014...015...016...027...028...029...041...042...079...080...081...
252...253 AND 254...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE KS...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 
  SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 
  SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  029 GOVE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 WICHITA. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 080 HITCHCOCK AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED 
  WILLOW.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD AND 
  BECOME OUT OF CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-231715-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0005.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
313 AM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ TUESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...013...014...015...
016...027...028...029...041...042...079...080...081...252...
253 AND 254...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...013...
014...015...016...027...028...029...041...042...079...080...081...
252...253 AND 254...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE KS...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 
  SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 
  SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  029 GOVE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 WICHITA. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 080 HITCHCOCK AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED 
  WILLOW.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD AND 
  BECOME OUT OF CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)
917 
WWUS83 KGLD 231706
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1106 AM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY TUESDAY...

.LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND STRONG WINDS GUSTING TO 45 MPH WILL
COMBINE WITH ALREADY DRY FUELS TO CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS BY MIDDAY TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-240115-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0005.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1106 AM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ TUESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...013...014...015...
016...027...028...029...041...042...079...080...081...252...
253 AND 254...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE KS...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 
  SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 
  SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  029 GOVE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 WICHITA. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 080 HITCHCOCK AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED 
  WILLOW.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD AND 
  BECOME OUT OF CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-240115-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0005.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1106 AM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ TUESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...013...014...015...
016...027...028...029...041...042...079...080...081...252...
253 AND 254...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE KS...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 
  SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 
  SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  029 GOVE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 WICHITA. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 080 HITCHCOCK AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED 
  WILLOW.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD AND 
  BECOME OUT OF CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)
127 
WWUS83 KGLD 232041
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
241 PM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY TUESDAY...

.LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND STRONG WINDS GUSTING TO 45 MPH WILL
COMBINE WITH ALREADY DRY FUELS TO CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS BY MIDDAY TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-240600-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0005.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
241 PM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ TUESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...013...014...015...
016...027...028...029...041...042...079...080...081...252...
253 AND 254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE KS...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 
  SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 
  SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  029 GOVE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 WICHITA. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 080 HITCHCOCK AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED 
  WILLOW.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD AND 
  BECOME OUT OF CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)
538 
WWUS83 KGLD 240336
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
936 PM MDT MON MAR 23 2015


KSZ004-241200-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.A.0003.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0005.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
NORTON-
936 PM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT
TUESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
004...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD AND 
  BECOME OUT OF CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ252>254-KSZ001>003-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-241200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0005.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-SHERMAN-
THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-
HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
936 PM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ TUESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...013...014...015...016...
027...028...029...041...042...079...080...081...252...253 AND
254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE KS...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 016 GRAHAM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 029 GOVE...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 WICHITA. IN 
  NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  080 HITCHCOCK AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED WILLOW.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD AND 
  BECOME OUT OF CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)
443 
WWUS83 KGLD 241106
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
506 AM MDT TUE MAR 24 2015

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY TODAY...

.LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND STRONG WINDS GUSTING TO 45 MPH WILL
COMBINE WITH ALREADY DRY FUELS TO CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS BY MIDDAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. WHILE THERE IS SOME
UNCERTAINTY STILL REGARDING WIND AND HUMIDITY OVER PARTS OF THE
REGION...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-241900-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0005.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
506 AM MDT TUE MAR 24 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...
013...014...015...016...027...028...029...041...042...079...080...
081...252...253 AND 254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE KS...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 
  SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 
  SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  029 GOVE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 WICHITA. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 080 HITCHCOCK AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED 
  WILLOW.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD AND 
  BECOME OUT OF CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)
202 
WWUS83 KGLD 241645
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1045 AM MDT TUE MAR 24 2015

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY...

.LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND STRONG WINDS GUSTING TO 45 MPH WILL
COMBINE WITH ALREADY DRY FUELS TO CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS BY MIDDAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-250200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0005.150324T1700Z-150325T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1045 AM MDT TUE MAR 24 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 001...002...003...004...013...014...015...016...027...028...029...
041...042...079...080...081...252...253 AND 254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE KS...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 
  SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 
  SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  029 GOVE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  042 WICHITA. IN NEBRASKA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 080 HITCHCOCK AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED 
  WILLOW.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 9 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD AND 
  BECOME OUT OF CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)
635 
WWUS83 KGLD 250156
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
756 PM MDT TUE MAR 24 2015


COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-250300-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150325T0200Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
756 PM MDT TUE MAR 24 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
001...002...003...004...013...014...015...016...027...028...029...
041...042...079...080...081...252...253 AND 254...

WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAS RECOVERED.
THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 23, 12:29 AM CDT, 3 hours 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 23, 12:29 AM CDT, 3 hours 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1129 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 154 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2015

VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWED MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS
REGION IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON WITH A FEW HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A STEADY STREAM OF VERY DRY AIR MOVING FROM THE
CENTRAL MEXICAN DESERT INTO THE TRI STATE AREA...HOWEVER THE DRY AIR
SLOT WAS MOVING OUT OF THE AREA WITH INCREASED AREAS OF UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE MOVING ACROSS THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE AND INTO THE HIGH
PLAINS.

INCREASED MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE REGION OVER THE
COLORADO FRONT RANGE TONIGHT...WHICH WILL BRING INCREASED UPPER
LEVEL CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME
WEAK COOL AIR ADVECTION AT 850 MB AND THE SURFACE...THE CLOUD COVER
BLANKET SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S TONIGHT.

SURFACE WINDS WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY AFTER A SURFACE
TROUGH REDEVELOPS OVER THE AREA...BUT CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO
PERSIST OVER THE AREA TO KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY COOLER IN
THE MID 60S...WHICH IS STILL ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THE
LOWER TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 25 AND 30
PERCENT...SO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED
MONDAY.

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE REGION MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHICH COULD SPARK SOME RAIN SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MAINLY FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 36
AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 283.  NOT VERY CONFIDENT AND REMAIN SKEPTICAL
THAT STORMS WILL INITIATE GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE LOWER LEVEL
CAPPING INVERSION AND LACK OF A SOLID MOIST LAYER IN MODEL
SOUNDINGS. LAPSE RATES STEEP ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ANY CAPE ARE MOSTLY
RESULTING FROM PARCELS ORIGINATING AT 700 MB.  MOST LIKELY WILL SEE
SOME GROWING CUMULUS CLOUDS INSTEAD OF THUNDERSTORMS...BUT ANY
STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL NOT BE IMPRESSIVE IN STRENGTH OR
DURATION.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2015

WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT WITH
STRONGER FORCING AHEAD OF NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH ARRIVING BY 12Z
TUESDAY. DRY AIR AND STRONG CAP WILL GENERALLY
INHIBIT INITIATION...THOUGH THERE IS INDICATION OF A WEAKENING OF
THE CAP IN THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA. BETTER
INSTABILITY TRANSITIONS EAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS
MAY IMPACT MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH 15Z TUESDAY...HOWEVER AS
TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS EAST STRONG SUBSIDENCE WILL LEAD TO CLEARING
FROM THE WEST TO THE EAST.

TUESDAY...GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW FAVORABLE SET UP FOR STRONG
WINDS AND LOW TD VALUES TUESDAY...AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH WAS
ISSUED BASED ON CURRENT RH/WIND FORECAST. I COULD STILL SEE
MARGINAL HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF
THE CWA BASED ON MIXING HEIGHTS AND H7 JET AXIS...HOWEVER IT IS
STILL TOO UNCERTAIN FOR HIGH WIND WATCH ISSUANCE. THERE IS SOME
INDICATION OF HIGHER RH VALUES HOLDING UP IN OUR NORTHEAST BASED
ON HOW WARM TEMPS GET...AND HOW FAR EAST DRIER AIR ADVECTS. I
DECIDED TO KEEP THINGS SIMPLE AND INCLUDE ENTIRE AREA IN FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...CONSIDERING THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS. IF THERE
IS A WETTING RAIN FUELS MAY ALSO BE UNFAVORABLE IN THE NORTH AND
EAST...SO THIS WILL NEED TO BE A CONSIDERATION FOR LOCATION OF RED
FLAG WARNING WHEN IT COMES TIME TO UPGRADE.

WEDNESDAY-SUNDAY...AMPLIFIED FLOW WITH ACTIVE NORTHERN FLOW WILL
BE IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE RIDGE TRANSITIONS EAST OVER OUR
CWA. QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGHS/MID LEVEL VORTICITY MAXES WILL
ROTATE SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS AND COULD LEAD TO OCCASIONAL SHOTS
OF LIGHT SHOWERS. BEST SIGNAL CONTINUES TO BE THURSDAY...THOUGH
MOISTURE MAY BE A CONCERN AND ANY PRECIP WOULD BE LIGHT. NEAR
SEASONAL TEMPS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH A
RETURN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1127 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 20Z AT BOTH TAF SITES. SOME
THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
MAINLY AT MCCOOK. AT THIS TIME THOUGH...DO NOT FEEL PROBABILITY
HIGH ENOUGH FOR PREVAILING GROUP.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042.

CO...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR COZ252>254.

NE...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR NEZ079>081.

&&

SHORT TERM...MK
LONG TERM...DR
AVIATION...JRM
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 22, 4:56 PM CDT, 10 hours 59 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
356 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2015

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-232200-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
356 PM MDT SUN MAR 22 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE TRI STATE AREA WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AFTER SUNSET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

VERY DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR
LESS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THESE
WINDS MAY ALSO LEAD TO LOCAL VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS DUE TO
BLOWING DUST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Kansas, 2015Red Flag Warnings in Nebraska, 2015Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2015Every red flag warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.