Alert archive / Colorado / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Grand Junction, CO

August 3, 2015Pitkin County, Colorado

NWS Grand Junction, CO issued this special weather statement at Aug 3, 2015, 2:16 PM MDT for Pitkin County, Colorado. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 3, 2015, 2:16 PM MDT (20:16 UTC)
Expired
Aug 3, 2015, 2:45 PM MDT
In force
29 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Junction, CO

County Pitkin County, CO

The radar

The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2015-08-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 37 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2015-08-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
37 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-97 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1396 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 3, 1:00 PM MDT, 1 hour 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 3, 1:00 PM MDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before
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</head>
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      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
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        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 3, 5:30 AM MDT, 8 hours 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
530 AM MDT MON AUG 3 2015

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-041130-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
530 AM MDT MON AUG 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY SHOWERS TODAY WILL BE
CENTERED FROM NORTHEAST UTAH TO NORTHWEST COLORADO. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NUMEROUS IN COVERAGE BY THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT DECREASING BUT STRONG WIND
AND POTENTIAL HAIL THREAT INCREASING. BACKCOUNTRY TRAVELERS SHOULD
REMAIN AWARE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPIDLY RISING SMALL STREAMS OR
NORMALLY DRY WASHES ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE CREEKS ARE SWOLLEN
FROM RAIN ON SUNDAY. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED MAINLY
NORTH OF THE BOOKCLIFFS AND TAVAPUTS TODAY.

DRY AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AS THE
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE NORTH OUT OF UTAH AND COLORADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

TUESDAY...SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN COLORADO HIGH COUNTRY. THESE STORMS WILL
BE WEAKER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN IS LOW.

DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM MAY OCCUR OVER THE WESTERN COLORADO HIGH
COUNTRY.

THE SUMMER MONSOON RETURNS LATE ON FRIDAY OR SATURDAY AND BRINGS
A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON OVER NORTHEAST
UTAH AND NORTHWEST COLORADO.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 3, 2:16 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
216 PM MDT MON AUG 3 2015

COZ008>010-012-013-032045-
GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS CO-CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN CO-
FLATTOPS CO-WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS CO-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS CO-
216 PM MDT MON AUG 3 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL EAGLE...NORTHWESTERN
PITKIN AND SOUTHEASTERN GARFIELD COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM MDT...

AT 215 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS
NEAR GLENWOOD SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.  BRIEF HEAVY
RAIN AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE PASSAGE OF
THESE STORMS.  WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GLENWOOD SPRINGS...CARBONDALE...DOTSERO...CATTLE CREEK...SHOSHONE AND
EL JEBEL.

LAT...LON 3919 10749 3949 10749 3974 10712 3951 10692
TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 235DEG 25KT 3947 10735

TGR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Junction, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 6:17 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTGarfield43 min
Aug 2, 7:38 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTMoffat52 min
Aug 3, 4:45 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTDolores30 min
Aug 3, 5:41 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJTDolores, San Miguel2 hr
Aug 3, 5:59 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGJTDolores3 hr
Aug 2, 7:25 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGJTSan Juan3 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Colorado, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.