Blizzard Watch 1, NWS Grand Forks, ND

837 
WWUS43 KFGF 071816
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1216 PM CST WED JAN 7 2015

MNZ001-004-005-007-008-013>015-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026-027-054-
090000-
/O.EXP.KFGF.WC.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150107T1800Z/
/O.CON.KFGF.BZ.A.0001.150108T1500Z-150109T0000Z/
WEST POLK-KITTSON-ROSEAU-WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-PENNINGTON-
RED LAKE-EAST POLK-TOWNER-CAVALIER-PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-
EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-WESTERN WALSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROOKSTON...EAST GRAND FORKS...
HALLOCK...ROSEAU...WARREN...NEWFOLDEN...THIEF RIVER FALLS...
RED LAKE FALLS...FOSSTON...CANDO...LANGDON...CAVALIER...MADDOCK...
LEEDS...DEVILS LAKE...GRAFTON...NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA...
GRAND FORKS...ADAMS
1216 PM CST WED JAN 7 2015

...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
...WIND CHILL WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT NOON CST TODAY...

THE WIND CHILL WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT NOON CST TODAY. A BLIZZARD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. 

GROUND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THURSDAY MORNING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE THURSDAY MORNING 
  AND WILL GUST TO AROUND 50 MPH BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 
  VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE AT 
  TIMES IN OPEN COUNTRY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...LIGHT SNOW WILL FALL LATE TONIGHT INTO 
  THURSDAY MORNING...WITH AROUND AN INCH POSSIBLE. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...OPEN COUNTRY GROUND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS MAY 
  DEVELOP THURSDAY MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON IN THE NORTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY INTO THE DEVILS 
  LAKE BASIN. 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

&&

$$

MNZ002-003-006-009-016-017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ028>030-038-039-
049-052-053-071930-
/O.EXP.KFGF.WC.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150107T1800Z/
NORMAN-CLAY-LAKE OF THE WOODS-NORTH BELTRAMI-NORTH CLEARWATER-
SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-
EAST BECKER-WILKIN-WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-
GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HALSTAD...MOORHEAD...BAUDETTE...
RED LAKE...BAGLEY...BEMIDJI...MAHNOMEN...LAKE ITASCA...
PARK RAPIDS...DETROIT LAKES...WOLF LAKE...BRECKENRIDGE...
FERGUS FALLS...NEW YORK MILLS...WADENA...ELBOW LAKE...
COOPERSTOWN...FINLEY...MAYVILLE...VALLEY CITY...FARGO...LISBON...
GWINNER...WAHPETON
1216 PM CST WED JAN 7 2015

...WIND CHILL WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT NOON CST TODAY...



$$

166 
WWUS43 KFGF 072121
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
321 PM CST WED JAN 7 2015

MNZ001-004-005-007-008-013>015-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026-027-054-
090000-
/O.UPG.KFGF.BZ.A.0001.150108T1500Z-150109T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.BZ.W.0002.150108T1500Z-150109T0000Z/
WEST POLK-KITTSON-ROSEAU-WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-PENNINGTON-
RED LAKE-EAST POLK-TOWNER-CAVALIER-PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-
EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-WESTERN WALSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROOKSTON...EAST GRAND FORKS...
HALLOCK...ROSEAU...WARREN...NEWFOLDEN...THIEF RIVER FALLS...
RED LAKE FALLS...FOSSTON...CANDO...LANGDON...CAVALIER...MADDOCK...
LEEDS...DEVILS LAKE...GRAFTON...NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA...
GRAND FORKS...ADAMS
321 PM CST WED JAN 7 2015

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY. THE
BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

GROUND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN RURAL AREAS THURSDAY MORNING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN FROM 9 TO 11 AM
  IN THE DEVILS LAKE BASIN AND NORTHERN VALLEY...TOWARDS NOON IN
  ADJACENT NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING THURSDAY MORNING
  TO 25 TO 35 MPH AND WILL GUST TO AROUND 50 MPH BY THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER
  MILE AT TIMES WITH WHITE OUT CONDITIONS IN OPEN COUNTRY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...LIGHT SNOW WILL FALL LATE TONIGHT INTO
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH AROUND AN INCH POSSIBLE.

* WINDS WILL DIMINISH SOME THURSDAY EVENING HOWEVER HAZARDOUS WIND
  CHILLS FROM 25 TO 35 BELOW WILL DEVELOP AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
336 AM CST WED JAN 7 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 335 AM CST WED JAN 7 2015

THE MAIN CHALLENGE WILL BE WIND CHILLS THIS MORNING...THEN
BLOWING SNOW AND GROUND BLIZZARD POTENTIAL ON THURSDAY. MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT...AND CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR HIGH
WINDS/BLOWING SNOW THREAT ON THURSDAY.

FOR TODAY...DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
MORNING...AND WILL LEAVE WINDCHILL WARNINGS IN PLACE THROUGH 18Z.
TEMPS SHOULD WARM ENOUGH THIS AFTERNOON TO AROUND 0 IN MOST
AREAS...WITH WESTERLY FLOW.

FOR TONIGHT...A FAST MOVING CLIPPER WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION
AFTER 6Z. EXPECT AN AREA OF LIGHT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 9Z ALONG
AND WEST OF THE VALLEY. THE MOST FOCUSED MID LEVEL WAA/ISENTROPIC
LIFT WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 2...AND WILL CONTINUE WITH
THE HIGHER POPS HERE LATER TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY SLOWLY RISE
OVERNIGHT WITH CLOUDS AND SNOW MOVING IN.

ON THURSDAY...EXPECT LIGHT SNOW FOR MOST AREAS DURING THE EARLY
MORNING AREA. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE DURING THE
MORNING...WITH ABOUT 45-50KT TO MIX FROM ABOUT 850MB DEVELOP
AROUND 18Z AND PERSISTING THROUGH 00Z. GIVEN THE FACT THAT ABOUT
AN INCH OF SNOW...PERHAPS UP TO 2...WILL FALL IN THE DEVILS LAKE
BASIN INTO THE NORTHERN VALLEY...AND THIS AREA HAS SNOW ON THE
GROUND ALREADY...AND GROUND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP. THE
CANADIAN BLOWING SNOW MODEL INDICATES HIGH PROBABILITIES FOR AT
LEAST OPEN COUNTRY GROUND BLIZZARD POTENTIAL IN THIS AREA AS WELL.
THEREFORE...CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ENOUGH TO ISSUE A BLIZZARD WATCH
FROM EDDY COUNTY THROUGH GRAND FORKS COUNTY INTO POLK COUNTY AND
POINTS NORTH FROM 15ZTHU-00ZFRI. WINDS SHOULD SUSTAIN AROUND 30KT
WITH GUST TO NEARLY 45KT POSSIBLE IN THE WESTERN AREAS. TEMPS
WILL FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS
DEVELOPING THURSDAY EVENING.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 335 AM CST WED JAN 7 2015

FOR THU NIGHT...WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AND DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL
BE THE MAIN THREAT.

ON FRIDAY...IT SHOULD BE DRY WITH TEMPS AROUND 0 SOUTH TO 5 BELOW
NORTH...AND DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AT LEAST.

FOR SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WILL STILL BE TRYING TO SLOWLY BRING
IN SOME WARMER TEMPS. STILL HAVE HIGHS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS FOR
SAT/SUN BUT WILL TRY TO REACH 10F BY MON AND TEENS ABOVE BY TUE.
DESPITE BOTH SHOWING A WARMING TREND THE 00Z ECMWF IS A BIT COOLER
THAN THE GFS SO WILL HAVE TO SEE HOW THIS SHAKES OUT. LOOKING AT THE
OVERALL PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND MAINLY SFC
HIGH PRESSURE. THEREFORE WILL STICK WITH A DRY FORECAST
THROUGHOUT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2015

A CLEAR SKY REST OF THE NIGHT THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY BEFORE AN
INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS WED EVE. WINDS NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 KTS
OVERNIGHT INTO WED MORNING TURNING MORE WEST DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY AND THEN EVENTUALLY SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KTS WED
EVE.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...WIND CHILL WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR NDZ006>008-014>016-
     024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054.

     BLIZZARD WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026-027-054.

MN...WIND CHILL WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR MNZ001>009-013>017-
     022>024-027>032-040.

     BLIZZARD WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR MNZ001-004-005-007-008-013>015.

&&

SHORT TERM...DK
LONG TERM...GODON/DK
AVIATION...RIDDLE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
458 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2015

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-071100-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-
GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-
WESTERN WALSH-
458 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIND
CHILL ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT TODAY FOR WIND CHILLS FROM 25
BELOW TO 35 BELOW ZERO. SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS
EXPECTED IN THE DEVILS LAKE REGION AND THE NORTHERN RED RIVER
VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...AS NORTHWEST WINDS BECOME
RATHER GUSTY. WIND CHILL WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR WIND
CHILLS FROM 40 BELOW TO 50 BELOW ZERO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WIND CHILL WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
ANOTHER SHOT OF LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING...WITH MOST AREAS RECEIVING UP TO AN INCH OF
LIGHT FLUFFY SNOW. ALONG AND AFTER THIS SNOW MOVES THROUGH...THERE
LOOKS TO BE ANOTHER PERIOD OF GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. VISIBILITIES
COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WHERE
THERE IS ENOUGH SNOW TO BLOW AROUND. HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS RETURN
THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.