Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

December 17, 20155 counties in Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Dec 17, 2015, 4:48 AM EST for 5 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Dec 17, 2015, 4:48 AM EST (09:48 UTC)
Expired: Dec 17, 2015, 5:15 AM EST
In force: 27 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

Counties Monroe County, GA, Schley County, GA, Taylor County, GA, Upson County, GA, Webster County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Dec 17, 3:22 AM EST, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 17, 3:22 AM EST, 1 hour 26 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
322 AM EST THU DEC 17 2015

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE STATE THIS MORNING AS
MOISTURE SURGES INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THE 24-HOUR
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE HIGHEST OVER THE SW ATL METRO AREA...WITH TOTALS
THROUGH 06Z BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 INCHES. WPC IS STILL ADVERTISING AN
ADDITIONAL 1.5-2 INCHES OR MORE ACROSS THE NORTHERN METRO AND NE
GEORGIA COUNTIES THROUGH TODAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE
STATE. THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THIS AREA THROUGH 23Z. ALTHOUGH
MANY AREAS WILL BE ABLE TO HANDLE THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL...FLOOD
PRONE AND LOW LYING AREAS AS WELL AS THE TRADITIONALLY FLASHY
RIVER BASINS /E.G. BIG CREEK/ WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE.

ALTHOUGH FORECAST INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO BE THE LIMITING FACTOR
WITH THIS SYSTEM...MU CAPE IN THE 500-600 J/KG RANGE AND SHEAR OF 40-
50KT WILL SUPPORT EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE RAIN...AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE MAIN
CONCERN WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...THOUGH AN ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADO
CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

MODELS CONSISTENT WITH SUGGESTING THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL
BE ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND MOVING
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY THIS EVENING. HAVE QUICKLY
TAPERED OFF POPS FROM THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TO PARALLEL MODEL
SOLUTIONS.

BEHIND THE FRONT...COOL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM. WILL FINALLY SEE MORE SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES FRIDAY WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S...AND HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S AND 50S.

31

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE
CENTER WILL MOVE OFFSHORE ON SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL LINGER FROM
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION BACK THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY FOR MUCH OF THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK...BUT SHOULD
FINALLY START PUSHING SOUTH INTO THE REGION FOR THE LATTER PART OF
THE WEEK. PREVIOUS RUNS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF WERE WET FOR TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY...BUT BOTH ARE NOW BRINGING THE PRECIP INTO THE AREA
A LITTLE SOONER ON MONDAY. POPS REMAIN HIGH DURING THE PERIOD.

MAX/MIN TEMPS WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL VALUES FOR THE WEEKEND...BUT
START INCREASING DURING THE WEEK. BY CHRISTMAS EVE...THE MODELS ARE
PROGGING TEMPS TO BE AROUND 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...IN THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 70S. SINCE THIS IS SEVEN DAYS OUT...THE FORECAST CAN
DEFINITELY CHANGE...ESPECIALLY WITH A COLD FRONT IN THE AREA BY LATE
IN THE WEEK.

NLISTEMAA

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE... IFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT AFTER 18Z. WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH 18Z...THEN AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE
STATE...END FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST BY 00-06Z. SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE SW BY MID MORNING...THEN SHIFT TO THE NW BY
18-20Z. SPEEDS WILL BE 6-10KT.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.

31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          66  41  52  30 / 100  20   5   0
ATLANTA         65  38  50  31 / 100  10   5   0
BLAIRSVILLE     60  33  43  24 / 100  10   5   0
CARTERSVILLE    63  34  49  27 / 100  10   5   0
COLUMBUS        69  42  55  33 / 100  20   5   0
GAINESVILLE     63  39  49  31 / 100  10   5   0
MACON           71  43  55  30 / 100  30   5   0
ROME            61  33  49  27 / 100  10   5   0
PEACHTREE CITY  66  36  51  28 / 100  10   5   0
VIDALIA         76  53  61  36 / 100  60   5   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BARTOW...CARROLL...CHEROKEE...COBB...DAWSON...DEKALB...DOUGLAS...
FANNIN...FLOYD...FORSYTH...GILMER...GORDON...GWINNETT...HALL...
HARALSON...LUMPKIN...MURRAY...NORTH FULTON...PAULDING...
PICKENS...POLK...SOUTH FULTON...TOWNS...UNION...WHITE.

&&

SHORT TERM...31
LONG TERM....NLISTEMAA
AVIATION...31

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 16, 12:10 PM EST, 16 hours 38 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1210 PM EST WED DEC 16 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-171715-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1210 PM EST WED DEC 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE
EXTREME WESTERN PARTS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AS A WARM
FRONT MOVES NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AND INTO CENTRAL
GEORGIA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS MAINLY THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN PARTS OF THE
REGION. HOWEVER AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO ALABAMA LATER
TONIGHT...A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...MAINLY SOUTH OF I-20
AND WEST OF I-75...AND MAINLY AFTER 3 AM TONIGHT. GUSTY WINDS OF
UP TO 50 MPH ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN
COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA ON THURSDAY. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE SOUTH OF
I-20 WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOES. HEAVY RAIN
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 17, 1:28 AM EST, 3 hours 20 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
128 AM EST THU DEC 17 2015

GAZ032-033-042>046-052>055-057-066-067-170730-
HEARD GA-DEKALB GA-HENRY GA-COBB GA-NORTH FULTON GA-SOUTH FULTON GA-
TROUP GA-CLAYTON GA-COWETA GA-CARROLL GA-ROCKDALE GA-FAYETTE GA-
DOUGLAS GA-MERIWETHER GA-
128 AM EST THU DEC 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEARD...SOUTHWESTERN DEKALB...
NORTHWESTERN HENRY...SOUTHERN COBB...NORTH FULTON...SOUTH FULTON...
TROUP...CLAYTON...COWETA...SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL...SOUTHWESTERN
ROCKDALE...FAYETTE...DOUGLAS AND NORTHWESTERN MERIWETHER COUNTIES
UNTIL 230 AM EST...

AT 127 AM EST...A LINE OF SHOWERS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
EXTENDED FROM NEAR FAIRBURN TO NEAR LAGRANGE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 25 MPH. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE.

  HAZARD...HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
           IS LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR
           POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER
           COVERS THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
ATLANTA...MARIETTA...NEWNAN...DOUGLASVILLE...LAGRANGE...DECATUR...
FAYETTEVILLE...JONESBORO...FRANKLIN...SANDY SPRINGS...SMYRNA...
PEACHTREE CITY...EAST POINT...STOCKBRIDGE...UNION CITY...FOREST
PARK...RIVERDALE...COLLEGE PARK...FAIRBURN AND TYRONE.

LAT...LON 3338 8527 3398 8443 3358 8410 3289 8519
TIME...MOT...LOC 0627Z 234DEG 20KT 3357 8462 3309 8510

Special weather statement, Dec 17, 3:50 AM EST, 58 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
350 AM EST THU DEC 17 2015

GAZ032>034-044>046-053>057-066>069-078-079-170945-
DEKALB GA-UPSON GA-COBB GA-NORTH FULTON GA-SOUTH FULTON GA-
CLAYTON GA-GWINNETT GA-ROCKDALE GA-PIKE GA-FAYETTE GA-MERIWETHER GA-
HENRY GA-HARRIS GA-TALBOT GA-TROUP GA-SPALDING GA-COWETA GA-
350 AM EST THU DEC 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DEKALB...NORTHWESTERN UPSON...
SOUTHEASTERN COBB...NORTH FULTON...SOUTH FULTON...CLAYTON...
SOUTHWESTERN GWINNETT...WESTERN ROCKDALE...WESTERN PIKE...FAYETTE...
MERIWETHER...WESTERN HENRY...NORTHERN HARRIS...NORTHWESTERN TALBOT...
TROUP...WESTERN SPALDING AND COWETA COUNTIES UNTIL 445 AM EST...

AT 350 AM EST...A LINE OF SHOWERS CONTAINING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WAS EXTENDING FROM PALMETTO TO NEAR RIVER VIEW...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

  HAZARD...HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
           IS LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR
           POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER
           COVERS THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
ATLANTA...NEWNAN...LAGRANGE...GRIFFIN...DECATUR...FAYETTEVILLE...
JONESBORO...HAMILTON...GREENVILLE...SANDY SPRINGS...SMYRNA...
PEACHTREE CITY...EAST POINT...STOCKBRIDGE...UNION CITY...FOREST
PARK...SNELLVILLE...RIVERDALE...COLLEGE PARK AND FAIRBURN.

LAT...LON 3368 8465 3374 8458 3377 8459 3389 8451
      3386 8400 3270 8459 3274 8513 3278 8512
      3281 8517 3285 8515 3286 8518
TIME...MOT...LOC 0850Z 218DEG 27KT 3355 8468 3277 8507

Special weather statement, Dec 17, 4:48 AM EST, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
448 AM EST THU DEC 17 2015

GAZ069>071-079>081-091>093-102>104-171015-
WEBSTER GA-TALBOT GA-UPSON GA-MARION GA-SUMTER GA-MACON GA-
STEWART GA-TAYLOR GA-SCHLEY GA-CRAWFORD GA-LAMAR GA-MONROE GA-
448 AM EST THU DEC 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEBSTER...SOUTHEASTERN TALBOT...
UPSON...EASTERN MARION...WESTERN SUMTER...NORTHWESTERN MACON...
SOUTHEASTERN STEWART...TAYLOR...SCHLEY...WESTERN CRAWFORD...
SOUTHEASTERN LAMAR AND SOUTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTIES UNTIL 515 AM
EST...

AT 447 AM EST...A LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM
WAS EXTENDING FROM NEAR THOMASTON TO NEAR BUENA VISTA TO 7 MILES
NORTHWEST OF CUTHBERT...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

  HAZARD...40 TO 50 MPH WIND AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW
           LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY. MOTORISTS
           SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE LOSS OF
           CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS THE
           ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
AMERICUS...THOMASTON...FORSYTH...BUENA VISTA...BUTLER...ELLAVILLE...
ROBERTA...PRESTON...RICHLAND...REYNOLDS...PLAINS...IDEAL...
YATESVILLE...CULLODEN...LINCOLN PARK...THE ROCK...WESTON...PUTNAM...
SEMINOLE AND RUPERT.

LAT...LON 3197 8444 3192 8446 3192 8482 3228 8452
      3295 8434 3306 8383 3188 8434
TIME...MOT...LOC 0947Z 233DEG 26KT 3292 8431 3231 8448 3185 8487

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 17, 1:28 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clayton, Coweta, Douglas, Fayette, Fulton, Heard and 1 more	62 min
Dec 17, 3:50 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clayton, Coweta, DeKalb, Fayette, Fulton, Harris and 2 more	55 min
Dec 17, 5:19 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bibb, Crawford, Macon, Monroe, Peach, Schley and 3 more	56 min
Dec 17, 6:08 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Forsyth	19 hr
Dec 17, 6:08 AM EST	River Flood Warning	FFC	Forsyth, Fulton	55 hr
Dec 17, 6:09 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bibb, Crawford, Macon, Peach, Sumter	66 min
Dec 17, 7:04 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Crawford, Macon, Peach, Schley, Sumter, Taylor and 1 more	41 min
Dec 17, 7:46 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bleckley, Dodge, Laurens, Telfair, Wilcox	44 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2015 Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.