Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
332 PM EDT FRI AUG 7 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
OVERALL A QUIET SHORT TERM ON TAP. THIS AFTERNOON...FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA WILL CONTINUE TO SINK INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA
THROUGH TONIGHT...LIMITING POP CHANCES TO THE NORTH. LARGE MCS OVER
MS/AL LOOKS TO STAY WELL TO THE WEST...NOT IMPACTING THE STATE. HAVE
CONTINUED MENTION OF SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE FAR
SOUTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES...THEN DIMINISH THEM QUICKLY INTO THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT PERIODS.

A NEARLY POP-FREE FORECAST IN PLACE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
SHORT TERM. LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE CENTERED OVER TEXAS WILL DRIFT
EASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY...RESULTING IN LIMITED PRECIP CHANCES AND
WARMING TEMPERATURE TRENDS. THE GFS IS A BIT OVER DONE WITH THE
WARMING TEMPERATURES /850MB TEMPS 2-3 DEGREES WARMER THAN MODEL
CONSENSUS/...AGREE THAT GEORGIA SHOULD SEE HIGHS BACK INTO THE 90S
FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE CONTINUED
MENTION OF SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST GEORGIA TO
ACCOUNT FOR ANY ACTIVITY THAT MAY RESULT FROM THE OROGRAPHIC
INFLUENCE. BEST CHANCES SHOULD BE IN THE MID AFTERNOON TO EARLY
EVENING.

31

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST. OLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BE SITUATED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE CWFA BY
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND WILL BE MOSTLY
DRY...JUST SOME ISOLD ACTIVITY POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR SE AND THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NE. PRECIP CHANCES BEGIN TO INCREASE ON
MONDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT.

THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH NORTH GA ON TUESDAY...BEFORE
STALLING ACROSS CENTRAL GA ON WEDNESDAY. THE BOUNDARY WILL PUSH
FURTHER SOUTH ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM
THE NORTH.

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE FOR THE LATE WEEKEND. THE HIGH
CENTER WILL BEGIN TO RETROGRADE BY EARLY TUESDAY AS A TROUGH DIGS
ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. THE TROUGH SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

NLISTEMAA

01

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD...EXCEPT FOR POTENTIAL
PATCHY MVFR VSBYS BETWEEN 09-13Z. NW WINDS AT 8-12KT THIS
AFTERNOON /WITH GUSTS TO 18-24KT/ WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...AND
SHIFT TO THE NE BY 12Z SATURDAY. SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN UNDER 6KT THROUGH
THE DAY...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY THE AFTERNOON.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON WIND DIRECTION AFTER 12Z SATURDAY.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.

31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          71  92  72  93 /   5  10   5  10
ATLANTA         71  92  75  92 /   5  10   0   5
BLAIRSVILLE     63  88  64  87 /   5  20   5  10
CARTERSVILLE    67  92  71  92 /   0  10   0   5
COLUMBUS        73  96  76  95 /   5  10   5  10
GAINESVILLE     70  89  72  89 /   5  10   5  10
MACON           71  95  73  94 /   5  10   5  10
ROME            69  93  69  93 /   0  10   0   5
PEACHTREE CITY  69  92  71  93 /   5  10   0   5
VIDALIA         74  94  75  95 /  10  10   5  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...31
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...31

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
526 AM EDT FRI AUG 7 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-081200-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
526 AM EDT FRI AUG 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE LIKELY...WITH
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE NEAR THE COLUMBUS AREA. ANY SEVERE
STORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. ISOLATED STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY
WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION DURING THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES
INTO THE SOUTHEAST. THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG STORMS WILL
CONTINUE...AND ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ROCK EAGLE 4-H CENTER   33.42N  83.40W
08/06/2015                   PUTNAM             GA   OTHER FEDERAL

            50 TO 100 TREES SNAPPED OR DOWNED. 2 CARS DESTROYED AND
            7 CABINS DAMAGED DUE TO FALLING TREES OR LIMBS. 400
            STUDENTS AND ADULTS WERE VISITING AT THE TIME. NO
            INJURIES REPORTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1500615

SNELSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
406 PM EDT FRI AUG 7 2015

GAZ102-072030-
STEWART GA-
406 PM EDT FRI AUG 7 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STEWART COUNTY UNTIL 430 PM
EDT...

AT 405 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF LUMPKIN...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...PEA SIZED HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
           GROUND LIGHTNING. HEAVY RAIN CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
LUMPKIN...RICHLAND...OMAHA...FLORENCE MARINA STATE PARK...LOUVALE...
PROVIDENCE CANYON STATE PARK...WESTVILLE...BROOKLYN AND CHARLES.

LAT...LON 3192 8480 3193 8480 3192 8483 3208 8505
      3212 8506 3218 8502 3220 8496 3221 8498
      3222 8498 3222 8493 3223 8492 3223 8487
      3216 8465 3215 8464 3211 8464 3192 8475
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 302DEG 36KT 3214 8495