Frost Advisory 6, NWS Atlanta, GA

Bleckley County, GA, Chattahoochee County, GA, Crisp County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Harris County, GA, Houston County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Macon County, GA, Marion County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Muscogee County, GA, Peach County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Schley County, GA, Stewart County, GA, Sumter County, GA, Talbot County, GA, Taylor County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Webster County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilcox County, GA

732 
WWUS72 KFFC 150130
NPWFFC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
830 PM EST SAT NOV 14 2015


GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-081>084-
151000-
/O.CON.KFFC.FZ.W.0004.151115T0500Z-151115T1400Z/
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-
HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-
NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-
SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP-
MERIWETHER-PIKE-UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-WASHINGTON-
GLASCOCK-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-BIBB-TWIGGS-WILKINSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...
ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...
LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...
DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...
GRIFFIN...MILLEDGEVILLE...MACON
830 PM EST SAT NOV 14 2015

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST
SUNDAY... 

* LOCATIONS...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM LAGRANGE TO MACON
  AND LOUISVILLE.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.

* TIMING...BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 9 AM SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION LEFT OUTDOORS OR UNPROTECTED COULD
  BE KILLED OR SUFFER DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO THREATEN
OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS IN THE WARNED AREA
ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ078>080-085-086-089>098-102>113-151000-
/O.CON.KFFC.FR.Y.0006.151115T0500Z-151115T1400Z/
HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-JOHNSON-EMANUEL-MUSCOGEE-CHATTAHOOCHEE-
MARION-SCHLEY-MACON-PEACH-HOUSTON-BLECKLEY-LAURENS-TREUTLEN-
STEWART-WEBSTER-SUMTER-DOOLY-CRISP-PULASKI-WILCOX-DODGE-TELFAIR-
WHEELER-MONTGOMERY-TOOMBS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SWAINSBORO...COLUMBUS...WARNER ROBINS...
DUBLIN...LUMPKIN...AMERICUS...CORDELE...VIDALIA
830 PM EST SAT NOV 14 2015

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST
SUNDAY... 

* LOCATIONS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM HAMILTON TO
  WARNER ROBINS AND SWAINSBORO.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWER AND MIDDLE 30S.

* TIMING...BETWEEN MIDNIGHT TO 9AM SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION LEFT OUTDOORS OR UNPROTECTED COULD
  BE KILLED OR SUFFER DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS EXPECTED. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

790 
WWUS72 KFFC 151050
NPWFFC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
550 AM EST SUN NOV 15 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-081>084-
151400-
/O.CON.KFFC.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-151115T1400Z/
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-
HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-
NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-
SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP-
MERIWETHER-PIKE-UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-WASHINGTON-
GLASCOCK-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-BIBB-TWIGGS-WILKINSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...
ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...
LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...
DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...
GRIFFIN...MILLEDGEVILLE...MACON
550 AM EST SUN NOV 15 2015

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM LAGRANGE TO 
  MACON AND LOUISVILLE.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.

* TIMING...THROUGH 9 AM.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION LEFT OUTDOORS OR UNPROTECTED 
  COULD BE KILLED OR SUFFER DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO
THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS IN THE
WARNED AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ078>080-085-086-089>098-102>113-151400-
/O.CON.KFFC.FR.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-151115T1400Z/
HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-JOHNSON-EMANUEL-MUSCOGEE-CHATTAHOOCHEE-
MARION-SCHLEY-MACON-PEACH-HOUSTON-BLECKLEY-LAURENS-TREUTLEN-
STEWART-WEBSTER-SUMTER-DOOLY-CRISP-PULASKI-WILCOX-DODGE-TELFAIR-
WHEELER-MONTGOMERY-TOOMBS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SWAINSBORO...COLUMBUS...WARNER ROBINS...
DUBLIN...LUMPKIN...AMERICUS...CORDELE...VIDALIA
550 AM EST SUN NOV 15 2015

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM HAMILTON TO 
  WARNER ROBINS AND SWAINSBORO.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWER AND MIDDLE 30S.

* TIMING...THROUGH 9AM.

* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION LEFT OUTDOORS OR UNPROTECTED 
  COULD BE KILLED OR SUFFER DAMAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS EXPECTED. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

959 
WWUS72 KFFC 151402
NPWFFC

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
902 AM EST SUN NOV 15 2015


GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-081>084-
151515-
/O.EXP.KFFC.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-151115T1400Z/
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-
HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-
NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-
SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP-
MERIWETHER-PIKE-UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-WASHINGTON-
GLASCOCK-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-BIBB-TWIGGS-WILKINSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...
ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...
LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...
DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...
GRIFFIN...MILLEDGEVILLE...MACON
902 AM EST SUN NOV 15 2015

...FREEZE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING.

$$

GAZ078>080-085-086-089>098-102>113-151515-
/O.EXP.KFFC.FR.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-151115T1400Z/
HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-JOHNSON-EMANUEL-MUSCOGEE-CHATTAHOOCHEE-
MARION-SCHLEY-MACON-PEACH-HOUSTON-BLECKLEY-LAURENS-TREUTLEN-
STEWART-WEBSTER-SUMTER-DOOLY-CRISP-PULASKI-WILCOX-DODGE-TELFAIR-
WHEELER-MONTGOMERY-TOOMBS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SWAINSBORO...COLUMBUS...WARNER ROBINS...
DUBLIN...LUMPKIN...AMERICUS...CORDELE...VIDALIA
902 AM EST SUN NOV 15 2015

...FROST ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE FROST ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
906 AM EST SAT NOV 14 2015

.UPDATE...
MAIN UPDATE TO THE FORECAST IS TO LET THIS MORNINGS FREEZE/FROST
HEADLINE EXPIRE. A FREEZE WARNING STILL REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
EXTREME NE GA FOR TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS NPW WILL
LIKELY HAVE TO BE TWEAKED FOR THE AFTERNOON ISSUANCE.

OTHERWISE...WILL ONLY MAKE SLIGHT TWEAKS TO THE TEMP/SKY GRIDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 647 AM EST SAT NOV 14 2015/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED /

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE HAS SETTLED OVER THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH ITS CENTER OVER NW MISSISSIPPI AND
EASTERN ARKANSAS. THIS POSITION HAS PROVEN CRITICAL AS WINDS HAVE
REMAINED ELEVATED THUS FAR THIS MORNING...KEEPING EACH HOURLY
TEMPERATURE ABOVE WHAT WAS FORECAST. THE COLDEST TEMPS ARE OVER
FAR NW GA WHERE UPPER 30S ARE COMMON BUT FURTHER EAST...TEMPS
REMAIN IN THE 40S. HAVENT GIVEN UP ON FREEZE YET THOUGH AS WE ARE
STILL RELATIVELY EARLY IN THE NIGHT AND DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS ARE
LARGE WITH PLENTY OF ROOM FOR FURTHER TEMP DROPS AS WINDS EASE.

SHOULD BE A FANTASTIC START TO THE WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
AND TEMPS IN THE 60S. WILL SEE HIGH TRANSITION NE AND IT WILL
RESIDE OVER PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC BU
00Z.

HIGH POSITION WILL AGAIN BE QUITE IMPORTANT IN DETERMINING FREEZE
CHANCES FOR SUNDAY MORNING. SHOULD SEE EASTERLY FLOW OVER MOST OF
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA AND THIS SHOULD KEEP MOST SITES
SAFELY ABOVE FREEZING. MAIN AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE THE NORTHERN
TIER AND ESPECIALLY THE MOUNTAINS OF NE GA WHERE WINDS LOOK TO BE
THE LIGHTEST. REGARDLESS OF FREEZE POTENTIAL...SHOULD BE SOME
FROST OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA AS MOISTURE RECOVERS SLIGHTLY AND
TEMPS FALL INTO THE LOW AND MID 30S.

DEESE

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA TO START THE EXTENDED
FORECAST BUT THINGS CHANGE AS NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM NEARS THE
REGION. ONCE AGAIN THE MODELS START OFF IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT
BUT THERE ARE SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES AS WE MOVE DEEPER INTO THE
EXTENDED FORECAST. THE MODELS START OFF WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE CAROLINAS/MID ATLANTIC STATES WITH THIS
RIDGE AXIS OVER GA THROUGH TUE/WED. THE POSITIONING OF THE RIDGE
HELPS TO INCREASE MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA AS ONSHORE
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW SETS UP MONDAY...AND CONTINUES UNTIL THE MAIN
FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH BY DAY 5/6. THE MAIN FRONTAL SYSTEM
BEGINS DEVELOPING AS A SHORTWAVE OVER TX SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A
CLOSED LOW CENTER DEVELOPING OVER CO/KS MONDAY. THIS DEVELOPING
FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE MS RIVER VALLEY TUESDAY WITH ITS
EASTERLY PROGRESSION SLOWED DOWN AS IT PUSHES INTO THE EXISTING
RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THE MODELS ARE IN A BIT BETTER
AGREEMENT ON THE TIMING OF THE FRONTS MOVEMENT FROM YESTERDAY BUT
THE ECMWF IS STILL A BIT FASTER WITH ITS EASTERLY MOVEMENT THAN
THE GFS. CURRENTLY MY CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING WITH THE TIMING AND
IT IS STARTING TO LOOK LIKE WED WILL BE THE DAY THIS FRONT MOVES
THROUGH GA. THERE IS ALSO A SMALL THREAT FOR SOME POSSIBLE SEVERE
WEATHER WED INTO THU WITH A LOW CAPE HIGH SHEER ENVIRONMENT
FORMING JUST AHEAD OF THE MAIN FRONTAL SYSTEM.

01

FIRE WEATHER...
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVER THE AREA AND WENT A LITTLE HIGHER
THAN GUIDANCE FOR AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES. THIS BROUGHT RH VALUES
DOWN A BIT AND NOW EXPECT WIDESPREAD SUB 25 PERCENT CONDITIONS FOR
4 TO 5 HOURS TODAY. THIS HAS REQUIRED THE ISSUANCE OF A FIRE
DANGER STATEMENT.

AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL FLIRT
WITH NNE FOR THE ATL SITES BUT SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED LATER THIS
MORNING BEFORE FINALLY GOING OVER FOR GOOD DURING THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON NNE TIMING.
HIGH ON REMAINING ELEMENTS.

DEESE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          61  36  62  40 /   0   0   0   0
ATLANTA         60  39  60  44 /   0   0   0   0
BLAIRSVILLE     58  30  61  35 /   0   0   0   0
CARTERSVILLE    60  31  61  40 /   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS        63  40  63  45 /   0   0   0   0
GAINESVILLE     60  37  60  41 /   0   0   0   0
MACON           63  34  63  42 /   0   0   0   0
ROME            61  30  61  38 /   0   0   0   0
PEACHTREE CITY  60  31  60  40 /   0   0   0   0
VIDALIA         64  38  65  46 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: FANNIN...LUMPKIN...TOWNS...UNION...WHITE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
900 AM EST SAT NOV 14 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-151100-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
900 AM EST SAT NOV 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER NORTH
AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS LATE
TONIGHT. REFER TO THE FREEZING WARNING /ATLNPWFFC/ FOR MORE
INFORMATION. AREAS OF FROST CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

AREAS OF FROST AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE MID 20S TO MID 30S
ACROSS NORTH AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA.

AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. THERE IS STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM SO
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR FUTURE UPDATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.