Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 101, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

October 24, 2015Comal County, Gonzales County, Guadalupe County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at Oct 24, 2015, 10:04 AM CDT for Comal County, Gonzales County, Guadalupe County, Texas. It took effect at Oct 24, 2015, 2:52 PM CDT. It was in force for 14 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 24, 2015, 10:04 AM CDT (15:04 UTC)
In effect from: Oct 24, 2015, 2:52 PM CDT
Expired: Oct 25, 2015, 5:09 AM CDT
In force: 14 hr
Issued by: NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Comal County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Comal River at New Braunfels (NBCT2). The gauge peaked at 4.84 ft at Oct 24, 2015, 9:00 AM CDT.

Action stage: 9 ft
Minor stage: 11 ft
Moderate stage: 15 ft
Major stage: 23 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08169000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

420 
WGUS44 KEWX 241504
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1004 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Comal River...Guadalupe River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC265-250904-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0100.151024T1942Z-151025T1740Z/
/HNTT2.1.ER.151024T1942Z.151024T2200Z.151025T0540Z.NO/
1004 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Guadalupe River at Hunt.
* from this afternoon to Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 8.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 11.9 feet by late this afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by
  after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding reaches the Highway 39 
  bridge floor two miles east of Hunt preventing easy travel to western parts of
  the county. Areas of the headwaters are isolated temporarily as low water 
  crossings flood.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Hunt               10   10    8.0   Sat 09 AM   9.2   8.4   8.3   8.3   8.2


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9941 3010 9941 3010 9916 3003 9919


$$

TXC091-177-187-250904-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0101.151024T1952Z-151025T1009Z/
/NBCT2.1.ER.151024T1952Z.151024T2100Z.151025T0409Z.NO/
1004 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Comal River At Comal.
* from this afternoon to late tonight...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 4.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 14.1 feet by late this afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by
  tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding closes many secondary roads 
  and streets making them and low bridges dangerous to motorists.  The tube 
  chute at Prince Solms Park is flooded to the walkway across the low dam.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Comal               9   11    4.8   Sat 10 AM   6.0   4.8   4.6   4.5   4.5


&&

LAT...LON 2971 9815 2973 9813 2972 9812 2971 9811
      2969 9812 2970 9814             

$$

TXC091-187-250904-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0102.151024T2100Z-151025T1500Z/
/GBCT2.1.ER.151024T2100Z.151024T2300Z.151025T0300Z.NO/
1004 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Guadalupe River At NB Blo Comal.
* from this afternoon to Sunday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise 
  to near 13.4 feet by this evening.The river will fall below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding extends into the flood plain 
  closing lowest roads and crossings near the river.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 NB Blo Comal       13   13   10.2   Sat 10 AM  11.0  10.2  10.0   9.9   9.8


&&

LAT...LON 2969 9812 2971 9809 2963 9801 2958 9797
      2952 9801 2959 9807             

$$

2 follow-up statements

944
WGUS84 KEWX 241952
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
252 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

Guadalupe River at Hunt Affecting Kerr County
Comal River At Comal Affecting Comal...Gonzales and Guadalupe Counties
Guadalupe River At NB Blo Comal Affecting Comal and Guadalupe Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

TXC265-251352-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0100.000000T0000Z-151025T1700Z/
/HNTT2.1.ER.151025T0230Z.151025T0300Z.151025T0500Z.NO/
252 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

The flood warning continues for
the Guadalupe River at Hunt.
* At 2:15 PM Saturday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage Saturday evening and crest near 10.1
feet. The river will fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Water extends into low areas of the flood plain..

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Hunt 10 10 8.3 Sat 2 PM 9.3 8.4 8.2 8.2 8.2

LAT...LON 3003 9941 3010 9941 3010 9916 3003 9919

TXC091-177-187-251144-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0101.151025T0226Z-151025T1144Z/
/NBCT2.1.ER.151025T0226Z.151025T0300Z.151025T0544Z.NO/
252 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

The flood warning continues for
the Comal River.
* At 1:45 PM Saturday the stage was 4.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage Saturday evening and crest near 12.6
feet late tonight. The river will fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding extends into low areas near the
tube chute at Prince Solms Park above San Antonio Street and low areas of the
flood plain.

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Comal 9 11 4.5 Sat 2 PM 6.5 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.5

LAT...LON 2971 9815 2973 9813 2972 9812 2971 9811
2969 9812 2970 9814

TXC091-187-251352-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0102.151025T0353Z-151025T1820Z/
/GBCT2.1.ER.151025T0353Z.151025T0400Z.151025T0620Z.NO/
252 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

The flood warning continues for
the Guadalupe River at NB Blo Comal.
* At 1:45 PM Saturday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage Saturday evening and crest near 13.1
feet Saturday night. The river will fall below flood stage near midnight Saturday night.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding extends into the flood plain
closing lowest roads and crossings near the river.

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
NB Blo Comal 13 13 10.0 Sat 2 PM 11.2 10.2 10.0 9.9 9.9

LAT...LON 2969 9812 2971 9809 2963 9801 2958 9797
2952 9801 2959 9807

954 
WGUS84 KEWX 250141
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
841 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River at Hunt Affecting Kerr County
  Comal River At Comal Affecting Comal...Gonzales and Guadalupe Counties
  Guadalupe River At NB Blo Comal Affecting Comal and Guadalupe Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC265-250211-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0100.000000T0000Z-151025T1700Z/
/HNTT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
841 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Guadalupe River at Hunt.
* At  8:15 PM Saturday the stage was 8.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 9.0 feet early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Water extends into low areas of the flood plain..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Hunt               10   10    8.2   Sat 08 PM   9.0   8.3   8.2   8.2   8.2


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9941 3010 9941 3010 9916 3003 9919


$$

TXC091-177-187-250211-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-151025T1144Z/
/NBCT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
841 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Comal River At Comal.
* At  7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 4.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 4.8 feet. The river will 
  fall to 4.4 feet by tomorrow evening.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Comal               9   11    4.5   Sat 08 PM   4.7   4.4   4.4   4.4   4.4


&&

LAT...LON 2971 9815 2973 9813 2972 9812 2971 9811
      2969 9812 2970 9814             

$$

TXC091-187-250211-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-151025T1820Z/
/GBCT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
841 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Guadalupe River At NB Blo Comal.
* At  7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 10.3 feet early tomorrow.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 NB Blo Comal       13   13   10.1   Sat 08 PM  10.3   9.8   9.8   9.8   9.7


&&

LAT...LON 2969 9812 2971 9809 2963 9801 2958 9797
      2952 9801 2959 9807             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 24, 6:49 AM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 24, 6:49 AM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
649 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
AFFECTING THE AREA TERMINALS FOR MUCH OF TODAY. IFR CIGS SHOULD
PREVAIL THROUGH 21 TO 22Z ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR. KDRT SHOULD
PREVAIL MVFR FOR MUCH OF TODAY...HOWEVER...CANT RULE OUT IFR CIGS
DURING THE PASSAGE OF A HEAVY SHOWER. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH A WIND SHIFT EXPECTED
AROUND 21 TO 22Z. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...MODERATE NORTHERLY
WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE. SOME LINGERING
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT WITH A LULL OVERNIGHT AND THEN
PICK UP AGAIN SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF
AREA SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 412 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015/

..HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD EVENT UNDERWAY TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT...

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN AND PACIFIC CONTINUES
TO INCREASE WITH PWS AROUND 2 INCHES ACROSS MOST SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING EAST OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO
AND HURRICANE PATRICIA MOVING NORTHEAST INTO CENTRAL MEXICO ALONG
WITH AN UPPER LEVEL JET ARE INCREASING UPWARD FORCING WHILE A
COLD FRONT AND LOWER LEVEL JET ENHANCE THE FORCING. A SURFACE LOW
IS FORECAST TO FURTHER ENHANCE THE FORCING TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

TODAY...COLD FRONT ALONG A LAKE AMISTAD TO ROCKSPRINGS TO LLANO
TO TEMPLE LINE IS SAGGING SOUTH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO TRAIN ALONG THE FRONT WITH POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN AS IT
DRIFTS TO THE SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE ESCARPMENT THIS MORNING TO
MIDDAY. THE LOWER LEVEL JET HAS DEVELOPED A BAND OF SHOWERS WITH
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS AND POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN ALONG HIGHWAY 281
WITH A FEW WEAKER BANDS FURTHER TO THE EAST. THE TWO AREAS OF RAIN
WILL MERGE BY MIDDAY...WITH SOME DECREASE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE
THIS AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT...THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE BIG BEND WHILE THE
MID LEVEL REMNANTS OF PATRICIA MOVE TOWARD THE LOWER RIO GRANDE.
THIS CAUSES A SURFACE LOW TO DEVELOP OVER FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS
EARLY THIS EVENING AND RAPIDLY DEEPEN WHILE MOVING UP THE TEXAS.
AS THIS HAPPENS...THE HEAVIER RAINS WILL FOCUS MORE EAST OF I-35
AS THE COLD FRONT SHIFTS SOUTHEAST OF OUR AREA.

SUNDAY...THE UPPER TROUGH AND REMNANTS OF PATRICIA MOVE ACROSS
TEXAS WHILE THE SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. SOME
HEAVY RAINS LINGER ACROSS FAR EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA IN THE
MORNING AND THEN MOVE EAST OF OUR AREA IN THE AFTERNOON AS PWS
DECREASE.

THERE IS NO CHANGE ON THE EXPECTED RAIN TOTALS FOR TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. HIGHEST RAINFALL OVER THE HILLS AND ALONG THE ESCARPMENT
THIS MORNING TO MIDDAY SHIFTS EAST OF HIGHWAY 281 AND I-35 THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 10 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED TOTALS UP TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE
HEAVIEST TOTALS WILL BE OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS IN PROXIMITY TO
THE SURFACE LOW. ELSEWHERE...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. WILL MAINTAIN
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL AREAS AS DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING IS
EXPECTED. SOME AREAS MAY BE TRIMMED FROM THE WATCH LATER TODAY AS
THE HEAVY RAINS SHIFT TO THE EAST.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
SOME SHOWERS MAY LINGER IN THE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY DUE
TO THE PROXIMITY OF THE SURFACE AND UPPER LOW AS IT MOVES EAST OF
TEXAS. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING A DRY AIRMASS ACROSS
THE AREA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS
THE PLAINS BRINGS A COLD FRONT INTO OUR AREA LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT REINFORCING THE DRIER AIRMASS. PWS GENERALLY FALL
BELOW AN INCH ON MONDAY AND REMAIN THROUGH MID WEEK.

THE PATTERN CHANGES TO WET AGAIN LATE THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH/LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES/NORTHWESTERN
MEXICO. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN MORE CONSISTENT WITH A SLOWER MOVEMENT
AND WILL FOLLOW WHILE THE GFS HAS GONE BACK AND FORTH FROM SLOW TO
PROGRESSIVE. MOISTURE COMES BACK INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WITH PWS
RISING BACK TO THE 1.5 TO 2 INCH RANGE BY LATE FRIDAY. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ALONG AND WEST OF I-35 THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN
SPREAD TO ALL AREAS FRIDAY AS UPWARD FORCING INCREASES. A SURFACE
BOUNDARY SLOWLY MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA AS WELL. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
COULD AGAIN DEVELOP FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH THE HIGHER PWS AND A
SURFACE BOUNDARY TO FOCUS RAINFALL.

HYDROLOGY...
SOME AREAS MAY SEE RIVER AND STREAM RISES FROM THE HEAVY RAINS...
ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-35.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              74  62  67  61  73 / 100  90  50  20  10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  74  61  68  59  74 / 100  90  50  20  10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     75  63  69  60  76 / 100  90  40  10  10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            72  59  65  57  72 / 100  80  40  10  10
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           73  60  74  56  77 /  90  40  10  -   -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        73  60  66  58  72 / 100  90  50  20  10
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  61  73  57  77 / 100  60  30  10  -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        73  63  68  60  74 / 100  90  50  20  10
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   77  65  70  61  72 / 100 100  70  40  20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       74  63  71  60  76 / 100  80  30  10  10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           76  64  73  61  78 / 100  80  30  10  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...
CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...FRIO...
GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...
KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...
UVALDE...VAL VERDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON...ZAVALA.

&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...17
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 24, 7:15 AM CDT, 2 hours 49 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
715 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-251215-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
715 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. AN UPPER DISTURBANCE INTERACTING
WITH MOISTURE FROM PACIFIC TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA WILL PRODUCE A
THREAT OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS...ESPECIALLY AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF I-35. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR WITH UP TO 6
INCHES EAST OF INTERSTATE 37. ISOLATED SPOTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE
STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES OUT OF THE AREA AND THE UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST...ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES FOR A
POTENTIAL OF FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 24, 6:37 AM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
637 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

TXZ193-194-209-241230-
FAYETTE TX-BASTROP TX-LEE TX-
637 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BASTROP...NORTHWESTERN FAYETTE
AND LEE COUNTIES UNTIL 730 AM CDT...

AT 636 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LEXINGTON TO CAMP SWIFT TO
9 MILES SOUTH OF CEDAR CREEK...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BASTROP...GIDDINGS...SMITHVILLE...LEXINGTON...CIRCLE D-KC ESTATE...
TANGLEWOOD...FEDOR...ROSANKY...CIRCLE D-KC ESTATES...CAMP SWIFT...
DIME BOX...PAIGE...WYLDWOOD...UPTON...MANHEIM...ALUM CREEK...
LINCOLN...STRING PRAIRIE...HILLS PRAIRIE AND KOVAR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3025 9671 3025 9673 3022 9674 2979 9731
      2999 9756 3054 9696 3049 9689 3047 9691
      3046 9688 3043 9687 3043 9685 3039 9679
      3032 9674 3032 9669 3030 9667 3030 9665
TIME...MOT...LOC 1136Z 309DEG 15KT 3041 9700 3018 9726 2994 9752

CP

Local storm report, Oct 24, 6:48 AM CDT, 3 hours 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
648 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0642 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NNW CAMP MABRY        30.36N  97.79W
10/24/2015                   TRAVIS             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROAD CREWS REPORTING 3 FEET OF WATER OVER THE ROAD AT
            FM 2222 AND BULL CREEK.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500806

LJH

Local storm report, Oct 24, 7:04 AM CDT, 3 hours before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
704 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0642 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NNW CAMP MABRY        30.36N  97.79W
10/24/2015                   TRAVIS             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CORRECTION...3 FEET OF WATER OVER A SIDE ROAD NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF FM 2222 AND BULL CREEK.

&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500806

LJH

Local storm report, Oct 24, 8:02 AM CDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
802 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 N STARTZVILLE         29.88N  98.28W
10/24/2015  M4.50 INCH       COMAL              TX   PUBLIC

            4.5 INCHES OBSERVED SOUTH SIDE OF CANYON LAKE SINCE
            1030 PM...BUT MOST FELL IN LAST FEW HOURS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500807

LJH

Local storm report, Oct 24, 9:06 AM CDT, 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
906 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0817 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LEAKEY                  29.72N  99.76W
10/24/2015                   REAL               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HWY 336 CLOSED ALONG FRIO RIVER NORTH OF LEAKEY

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500808

LJH

Local storm report, Oct 24, 9:11 AM CDT, 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
911 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 AM     FLASH FLOOD      8 SW ROCKSPRINGS        29.94N 100.32W
10/24/2015                   EDWARDS            TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER ROAD AT FM 674 AND CR 520

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500809

LJH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 23, 8:19 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe	116 min
Oct 23, 10:55 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Llano	3 hr
Oct 23, 11:45 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Burnet, Llano	3 hr
Oct 24, 12:28 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Val Verde	4 hr
Oct 24, 1:39 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Edwards, Val Verde	4 hr
Oct 24, 1:47 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Atascosa, Bexar	3 hr
Oct 24, 1:50 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Burnet, Llano	4 hr
Oct 24, 2:00 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Bandera, Blanco, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr, Real	4 hr
Oct 24, 3:00 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe, Kendall	4 hr
Oct 24, 3:06 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Val Verde	54 min
Oct 24, 3:21 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Williamson	114 min
Oct 24, 3:29 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Bandera, Edwards, Kerr, Real	3 hr
Oct 24, 3:52 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Travis, Williamson	3 hr
Oct 24, 4:23 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Travis, Williamson	7 hr
Oct 24, 4:43 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Edwards, Kinney, Val Verde	3 hr
Oct 24, 4:50 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Blanco, Comal, Gillespie, Hays, Kendall, Kerr	2 hr
Oct 24, 5:53 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Bastrop, Lee	6 hr
Oct 24, 6:22 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Edwards, Real, Uvalde	3 hr
Oct 24, 6:37 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Bastrop, Lee	53 min
Oct 24, 6:48 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell, Comal, Gillespie and 6 more	3 hr
Oct 24, 8:16 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Caldwell, Fayette, Gonzales, Guadalupe	3 hr
Oct 24, 8:20 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Val Verde	36 hr
Oct 24, 8:20 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Val Verde	45 hr
Oct 24, 8:20 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Val Verde	32 hr
Oct 24, 8:32 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Maverick	3 hr
Oct 24, 8:46 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Blanco	25 hr
Oct 24, 9:16 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Atascosa, Bexar, Frio, Karnes, Medina, Wilson	3 hr
Oct 24, 9:17 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	DeWitt, Lavaca	3 hr
Oct 24, 9:24 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Bandera, Edwards, Kerr, Real	3 hr
Oct 24, 9:42 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, Guadalupe, Hays	2 hr
Oct 24, 9:55 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Blanco, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr	3 hr
Oct 24, 9:59 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Bexar, Wilson	45 hr
Oct 24, 10:04 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Kerr	27 hr
Oct 24, 10:04 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Comal, Guadalupe	24 hr
Oct 24, 11:09 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Travis, Williamson	6 hr
Oct 24, 11:36 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Bastrop, Lee	3 hr
Oct 24, 11:45 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Caldwell, Fayette, Gonzales, Guadalupe	3 hr
Oct 24, 11:57 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, Guadalupe, Hays, Wilson	3 hr
Oct 24, 12:12 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Atascosa, Bexar, Frio, Medina, Wilson	2 hr
Oct 24, 12:20 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Atascosa, DeWitt, Karnes, Lavaca	115 min
Oct 24, 2:17 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	DeWitt, Karnes, Lavaca, Wilson	3 hr
Oct 24, 2:23 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Bastrop, Lee	3 hr
Oct 24, 2:30 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Bastrop, Lee	3 hr
Oct 24, 2:43 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Caldwell, Fayette, Gonzales, Guadalupe	3 hr
Oct 24, 4:00 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	EWX	Bastrop, Caldwell, DeWitt, Fayette, Gonzales, Guadalupe and 7 more	8 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2015 Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.