Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 10, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

May 15, 2015Frio County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at May 15, 2015, 8:46 AM CDT for Frio County, Texas. It took effect at May 17, 2015, 1:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 26 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2015, 8:46 AM CDT (13:46 UTC)
In effect from
May 17, 2015, 1:00 AM CDT
Expired
May 18, 2015, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
26 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Frio County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Frio River near Derby (DBYT2). The gauge peaked at 2.24 ft at May 18, 2015, 7:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate0505/1505/1605/1705/1805/19
Action stage
6 ft
Minor stage
6 ft
Moderate stage
7 ft
Major stage
17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08205500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

761 
WGUS44 KEWX 151346
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
846 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Frio River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC163-160746-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0010.150517T0600Z-150518T0800Z/
/DBYT2.1.ER.150517T0600Z.150517T1200Z.150517T2000Z.NO/
846 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for the Frio River Near Derby.
* from late Saturday night to late Sunday night...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  7:46 AM Friday the stage was 0.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise above flood stage by early Sunday
  and continue to rise to near 6.1 feet by Sunday morning.The river level is
  then expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the Farm to Market 1581 
  bridge floor..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Derby               6    6    0.5   Fri 08 AM   3.9   6.1   4.9   2.9   2.3


&&

LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910

$$
7 follow-up statements
746 
WGUS84 KEWX 151858
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
158 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Frio River Near Derby AFFECTING Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC163-161258-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0010.150517T1030Z-150518T1200Z/
/DBYT2.1.ER.150517T1030Z.150517T1200Z.150518T0000Z.NO/
158 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

 The flood warning continues for the Frio River Near Derby.
* At  1:30 PM Friday the stage was 0.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. The river level will rise to crest around 6 feet
  late Saturday evening into early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the Farm to Market 1581 
  bridge floor.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Derby               6    6    0.5   Fri 01 PM   2.5   6.1   4.8   2.9   2.4

&&

LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910


$$
804 
WGUS84 KEWX 160103
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
803 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Frio River Near Derby AFFECTING Frio County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC163-161903-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0010.150517T1200Z-150518T1400Z/
/DBYT2.1.ER.150517T1200Z.150517T1800Z.150518T0200Z.NO/
803 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Frio River Near Derby.
* At  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 0.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to around flood stage by late 
  Saturday. 
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the Farm to Market 1581 
  bridge floor..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Derby               6    6    0.5   Fri  7 PM   6.0   5.1   3.0   2.3      


&&

LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910


$$
418 
WGUS84 KEWX 160747
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
247 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Frio River Near Derby AFFECTING Frio County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC163-170147-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0010.150517T1115Z-150518T1500Z/
/DBYT2.1.ER.150517T1115Z.150517T1800Z.150518T0300Z.NO/
247 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Frio River Near Derby.
* At 2:30 AM Saturday the stage was 0.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to rise to 
  near 6.2 feet by Sunday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by
  early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the Farm to Market 1581 
  bridge floor..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM 
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
  Derby              6    6    0.5   Sat  2 AM   1.7   6.1   4.8   2.6   2.2


&&

LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910


$$
538 
WGUS84 KEWX 161432
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
932 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Frio River Near Derby AFFECTING Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC163-170832-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0010.150517T1704Z-150518T1800Z/
/DBYT2.1.ER.150517T1704Z.150518T0000Z.150518T0600Z.NO/
932 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015

 The flood warning continues for the Frio River Near Derby.
* At  8:30 AM Saturday the stage was 0.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. The river level is expected to begin rising on
  Saturday. The river level is expected to rise to crest around 6 feet by
  late Sunday afternoon...then begin falling. There is the possibility that
  the river level may not quite reach 6 feet...but until the river begins to
  respond we will continue issuing river flood warnings.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the Farm to Market 1581 
  bridge floor..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Derby               6    6    0.5   Sat 08 AM   4.9   5.3   3.0   2.4   2.1

&&

LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910


$$
568 
WGUS84 KEWX 170253
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
953 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Frio River Near Derby AFFECTING Frio County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC163-172053-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0010.150518T1136Z-150519T0300Z/
/DBYT2.1.ER.150518T1136Z.150518T1200Z.150518T1500Z.NO/
953 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Frio River Near Derby.
* At  9:30 PM Saturday the stage was 0.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Monday morning and continue to rise to 
  near 6.1 feet by Monday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by late 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the Farm to Market 1581 
  bridge floor..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Derby               6    6    0.5   Sat  9 PM   6.1   3.3   1.7   1.0      


&&

LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910


$$
949 
WGUS84 KEWX 170853
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
353 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC163-180253-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0010.150518T0452Z-150518T2230Z/
/DBYT2.1.ER.150518T0452Z.150518T0600Z.150518T1030Z.NO/
353 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Frio River near Derby.
* At  3:30 AM Sunday the stage was 1.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Sunday night and continue to rise to near 
  6.3 feet by early Monday morning. The riverwill fall below flood stage around
  7 am Monday.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the Farm to Market 1581 
  bridge floor.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM 
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
  Derby              6    6    1.9   Sun  3 AM   2.2   5.9   2.9   1.6   1.0


&&

LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910


$$
993 
WGUS84 KEWX 171420
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
920 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Frio River Near Derby AFFECTING Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC163-171450-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-150518T2230Z/
/DBYT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
920 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for the Frio River Near Derby.
* At  8:30 AM Sunday the stage was 2.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level has not responded to the recent heavy rains as
  expected. The river level will rise and have multiple crests during the next
  few days...but is not expected to rise above flood stage. This will be the
  last forecast for this event.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Derby               6    6    2.0   Sun 08 AM   3.9   2.3   3.3   2.2   1.1


&&

LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 15, 6:57 AM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 15, 6:57 AM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
657 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

.AVIATION... /12Z TAF UPDATE/
SLOW MOVING COMPLEX WILL BRING A ROUND OF TSRA THROUGH THE I-35
TERMINALS THROUGH 14-16Z WITH A WEAK MCV TO BRING IMPROVEMENTS
TO POSSIBLY VFR SKIES AT SAT/SSF BY 14Z. IMPROVEMENTS WILL BE
SLOWER TO COME BY AT AUS WHERE ADDITIONAL TRAILING CONVECTION
EXTENDS DEEP INTO THE HILL COUNTRY. NO CONVECTION IS ACCOUNTED FOR
IN THE DRT TAF AS ONLY SOME ISOLATED ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
FORM...WITH NO GOOD MODEL SIGNALS ON TIMING. SATURATED LOW LEVELS
SHOULD LEAD TO QUICK LOW CLOUD FORMATION THIS EVENING WITH MANY
AREAS FALLING INTO IFR OR LOWER LEVELS WITH BOTH CIGS AND PATCHY
FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 546 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015/

UPDATE...
THE RAINS HAVE ENDED ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU. THERE MAY BE SOME
LIGHT RAIN IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...FLASH FLOODING IS NO
LONGER EXPECTED AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR EDWARDS...REAL AND
VAL VERDE COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ALSO...HAVE TRIMMED DOWN
EXPECTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE REMAINING WATCH AREA TO 1 TO 3
INCHES WITH ISOLATED ADDITIONAL 4 INCHES SINCE THE MCS HAS BECOME
MORE PROGRESSIVE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY DEVELOPED AN MCS ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS
THURSDAY EVENING. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE BRINGING MOISTURE FROM
THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND STRONG DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ALONG WITH A
SOUTHEASTERLY LOWER LEVEL FLOW BRINGING MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO MAINTAINED THE MCS OVERNIGHT. RADAR TRENDS SHOW THE MCS
STARTING TO MOVE EAST. EXPECT IT TO MAKE IT TO THE I-37 CORRIDOR
THIS MORNING BEFORE IT WEAKENS. THE I-37 CORRIDOR AREA HAD VERY
HEAVY RAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING MAKING THE SOILS EVEN
MORE SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINS. EXPECT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE.
AS A RESULT...HAVE EXPANDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE SAN
ANTONIO AND BEXAR COUNTY SOUTHEAST TO ATASCOSA...KARNES AND WILSON
COUNTIES. EXPECT THE MCS TO WEAKEN BY MIDDAY WITH THE WATCH
EXPIRING AT NOON. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH
THE MCS. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL LINGER OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS INTO THE AFTERNOON AND HAVE MAINTAINED HIGH POPS THROUGH
TODAY. THE SHORTWAVE MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST WHILE THE AIRMASS
STABILIZES TONIGHT. HAVE RETAINED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AS AMPLE
MOISTURE LINGERS. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY CENTERED JUST
OFF POINT CONCEPTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST INTO THE ROCKIES ON SATURDAY. UPWARD
FORCING INCREASES LEADING TO CHANCE POPS WITH SOME STRONG STORMS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WHILE ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DROPS SOUTH OFF
THE WEST COAST. THE UPPER LEVEL JET BECOMES MORE ACTIVE WITH THE
DRYLINE MOVING TO THE EAST. POPS WILL INCREASE AGAIN SATURDAY
NIGHT IN THE NORTH AND ALL AREAS ON SUNDAY. STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE. SOME FLOODING MAY
RESULT FROM STORMS TRAINING OVER THE SAME AREAS. THE HIGH POPS
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY WHEN A COLD FRONT MAY MOVE INTO CENTRAL
TEXAS PROVIDING ADDITIONAL UPWARD FORCING. THIS NEXT WEST COAST
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INLAND ON MONDAY AND THEN INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES BY WEDNESDAY...REPLACED BY YET ANOTHER UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH THAT APPROACHES THE WEST COAST THAT WILL MOVE INTO
THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES ON FRIDAY. WILL MAINTAIN POPS FOR ALL OF
NEXT WEEK DUE TO THESE FEATURES AND OTHER WEAKER DISTURBANCES IN
THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. LOOKING AHEAD TO THE MEMORIAL DAY
WEEKEND...THE MODELS INDICATE AT LEAST SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AS THE
PATTERN CONTINUES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              82  71  85  72  83 /  60  20  30  50  60
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  82  71  84  73  84 /  60  20  30  40  60
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     82  70  84  72  83 /  60  20  30  30  60
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            80  69  82  70  81 /  60  20  40  70  70
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           83  71  87  69  85 /  40  20  30  50  40
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        80  70  83  71  82 /  60  20  40  60  70
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             82  71  85  72  83 /  80  20  30  40  60
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        81  71  85  72  83 /  60  20  30  30  60
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   82  72  85  74  85 /  50  20  30  20  40
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       82  71  84  72  83 /  70  20  30  40  60
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           83  72  86  73  84 /  80  20  30  40  50

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:
ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BEXAR...DIMMIT...FRIO...KARNES...KERR...
KINNEY...MAVERICK...MEDINA...UVALDE...WILSON...ZAVALA.

&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...18
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...01
Hazardous weather outlook, May 15, 6:17 AM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
617 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-161130-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
617 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON CDT TODAY FROM
THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND THE CENTRAL HILL COUNTRY TO THE I-37
CORRIDOR...INCLUDING THE SAN ANTONIO AREA. THE FLOOD THREAT AREA
IS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM BRACKETTVILLE TO
CONCAN TO MOUNTAIN HOME TO LEON SPRINGS TO STOCKDALE. EXPECT
A SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS
AROUND 4 INCHES. THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL FALL OVER AREAS WHERE
SOILS AND NORMALLY DRY CREEK BEDS ARE SATURATED FROM RECENT
RAINFALL...PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING AND RAPID RISES OF CREEKS AND
STREAMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A STORMY AND WET PATTERN CONTINUES WITH CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS
AND STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR TONIGHT...BUT MAY BE
NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 15, 4:00 AM CDT, 4 hours 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
400 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

TXZ219-150945-
FRIO TX-
400 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN FRIO COUNTY UNTIL
445 AM CDT...

AT 359 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
BLUFF...OR 14 MILES WEST OF PEARSALL...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PEARSALL...MOORE...FRIO TOWN...WEST PEARSALL...BLUFF...NORTH PEARSALL
AND THREE OAKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2884 9940 2897 9942 2902 9941 2909 9901
      2909 9897 2883 9894
TIME...MOT...LOC 0859Z 264DEG 18KT 2894 9933

RUNYEN
Special weather statement, May 15, 4:30 AM CDT, 4 hours 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
430 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

TXZ218-228-151000-
DIMMIT TX-ZAVALA TX-
430 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ZAVALA AND
NORTHWESTERN DIMMIT COUNTIES UNTIL 500 AM CDT...

AT 430 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
COMETA...OR 10 MILES WEST OF CRYSTAL CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CRYSTAL CITY...CARRIZO SPRINGS...CHULA VISTA-RIVER SPUR...COMETA...
WINTER HAVEN AND LAS COLONIAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 2870 10011 2884 9982 2852 9978 2851 10012
TIME...MOT...LOC 0930Z 238DEG 30KT 2867 10000

RUNYEN
Local storm report, May 15, 4:38 AM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
438 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BATESVILLE              28.95N  99.61W
05/15/2015                   ZAVALA             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ON RAMOS ST. IN BATESVILLE BLOCKING ROAD.
            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500373

LJH
Local storm report, May 15, 5:47 AM CDT, 2 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
547 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 NW CARRIZO SPRINGS    28.57N  99.91W
05/15/2015                   DIMMIT             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HWY 277 4 MILES NW OF CARRIZO SPRINGS SEVERELY FLOODED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500374

LJH
Local storm report, May 15, 5:50 AM CDT, 2 hours 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
550 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SSW CRYSTAL CITY      28.68N  99.83W
05/15/2015                   ZAVALA             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WEST LAKE ST. IN CRYSTAL CITY COMPLETELY FLOODED

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500375

LJH
Local storm report, May 15, 5:54 AM CDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
554 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 AM     FLASH FLOOD      8 SE PALOMA             28.82N 100.32W
05/15/2015                   MAVERICK           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CARS PUSHED OFF ROAD DUE TO FLOODED WATER AT
            INTERSECTION OF HWY 57 AND FM 481 FROM 215-415 AM.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500376

LJH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 14, 7:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXMedina25 min
May 14, 7:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXBurnet45 min
May 14, 7:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXKarnes57 min
May 14, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Zavala52 min
May 14, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXUvalde29 min
May 14, 8:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXMaverick26 min
May 14, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMaverick36 min
May 14, 8:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXKarnes38 min
May 14, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXReal, Uvalde46 min
May 14, 8:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Maverick26 min
May 14, 8:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMaverick35 min
May 14, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMaverick32 min
May 14, 9:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXKinney32 min
May 14, 9:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney45 min
May 14, 9:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMaverick, Zavala37 min
May 14, 9:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXUvalde, Zavala60 min
May 14, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXReal14 min
May 14, 9:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMaverick27 min
May 14, 9:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXKinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Zavala2 hr
May 14, 10:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXKinney28 min
May 14, 10:04 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXMaverick26 min
May 14, 10:15 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKarnes16 hr
May 14, 10:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXMaverick, Zavala42 min
May 14, 11:12 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXUvalde, Zavala63 min
May 15, 12:02 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXKinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Zavala3 hr
May 15, 12:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMaverick, Zavala43 min
May 15, 1:30 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXUvalde30 min
May 15, 2:28 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXZavala32 min
May 15, 2:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXZavala50 min
May 15, 3:01 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXKinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Zavala3 hr
May 15, 3:32 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXFrio, Zavala28 min
May 15, 4:00 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXFrio45 min
May 15, 4:21 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXFrio3 hr
May 15, 4:30 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXZavala30 min
May 15, 4:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit, Zavala44 min
May 15, 5:12 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXDimmit, Zavala2 hr
May 15, 5:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit, Zavala46 min
May 15, 5:39 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXMedina111 min
May 15, 6:01 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXDimmit, Kinney, Maverick, Uvalde, Zavala119 min
May 15, 6:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit31 min
May 15, 7:12 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXFrio2 hr
May 15, 7:16 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXMedina119 min
May 15, 7:56 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXAtascosa, Dimmit, Frio, Maverick, Medina, Uvalde and 1 more4 hr
May 15, 8:16 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBlanco, Burnet, Hays, Travis, Williamson3 hr
May 15, 8:26 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe, Karnes, Kendall and 1 more4 hr
May 15, 8:38 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Fayette, Hays, Lee, Travis and 1 more4 hr
May 15, 9:50 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXKarnes, Wilson4 hr
May 15, 12:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXDeWitt, Gonzales, Karnes3 hr
May 15, 12:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXDeWitt55 min
May 15, 12:51 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXDeWitt54 min
May 15, 2:33 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKarnes17 hr
May 15, 2:33 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKarnes17 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.