Flash Flood Warning 177, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

186 
WGUS74 KEWX 310842
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
342 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

TXC019-029-031-053-091-209-259-265-453-491-311400-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.W.0177.000000T0000Z-151031T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BLANCO TX-BANDERA TX-COMAL TX-WILLIAMSON TX-BURNET TX-TRAVIS TX-
KENDALL TX-BEXAR TX-KERR TX-HAYS TX-
342 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT
SATURDAY FOR BLANCO...EASTERN BANDERA...COMAL...WILLIAMSON...
BURNET...TRAVIS...KENDALL...BEXAR...SOUTHEASTERN KERR AND HAYS
COUNTIES...

AT 340 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN EXTENDING FROM JARRELL TO AUSTIN TO SAN
ANTONIO. THIS LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS AREAS THAT RECEIVED
UP TO 16 INCHES OF RAIN ON FRIDAY. SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS REMAIN
OUT OF BANKS OR IN FLOOD. IN ADDITION...THE SOILS ARE SATURATED AND
RUNOFF WILL BECOME RAPID. NEW RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 2 INCHES
WILL CAUSE RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE AGAIN WITH NEW FLASH FLOODING
EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
SAN ANTONIO...AUSTIN...ROUND ROCK...NEW BRAUNFELS...CEDAR PARK...
GEORGETOWN...PFLUGERVILLE...SAN MARCOS...UNIVERSAL CITY...TAYLOR...
BOERNE...ELGIN...MARBLE FALLS...BURNET...COMFORT...WIMBERLEY...
DRIPPING SPRINGS...BLANCO...GRANGER AND BERTRAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME
UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE.

&&

LAT...LON 3091 9783 3074 9727 3062 9722 3021 9751
      2974 9803 2959 9831 2945 9814 2914 9838
      2926 9880 2969 9881 2965 9885 2962 9920
      2987 9920 3013 9891 3014 9859 3049 9859
      3049 9835 3103 9834 3103 9791

$$

CP

220 
WGUS74 KEWX 310935
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
435 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

TXC019-029-031-053-091-209-259-265-453-491-311400-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.W.0177.000000T0000Z-151031T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BLANCO TX-BANDERA TX-COMAL TX-WILLIAMSON TX-BURNET TX-TRAVIS TX-
KENDALL TX-BEXAR TX-KERR TX-HAYS TX-
435 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT
SATURDAY FOR BLANCO...EASTERN BANDERA...COMAL...WILLIAMSON...
BURNET...TRAVIS...KENDALL...BEXAR...SOUTHEASTERN KERR AND HAYS
COUNTIES...

AT 429 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED EAST OF I-35. HOWEVER...LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINS CONTINUED EAST OF A NEW BRAUNFELS TO HORSESHOE BAY TO
BRIGGS LINE. THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCED RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP
TO TWO INCHES. THIS NEW RAINFALL WILL CAUSE NEW RISES ON SOME
STREAMS AND RIVERS AS WELL AS RENEWED FLASH FLOODING. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
SAN ANTONIO...AUSTIN...ROUND ROCK...NEW BRAUNFELS...CEDAR PARK...
GEORGETOWN...PFLUGERVILLE...SAN MARCOS...UNIVERSAL CITY...TAYLOR...
BOERNE...ELGIN...MARBLE FALLS...BURNET...COMFORT...WIMBERLEY...
DRIPPING SPRINGS...BLANCO...GRANGER AND BERTRAM.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME
UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE.

&&

LAT...LON 3091 9783 3074 9727 3062 9722 3021 9751
      2974 9803 2959 9831 2945 9814 2914 9838
      2926 9880 2969 9881 2965 9885 2962 9920
      2987 9920 3013 9891 3014 9859 3049 9859
      3049 9835 3103 9834 3103 9791

$$

CP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1241 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

.AVIATION...
MAIN LINE OF STORMS HAS MOVED THROUGH KDRT AND WILL BEGIN THAT
TAF WITH VCSH FOR A FEW HOURS. CONDITIONS THERE HAVE ALSO IMPROVED
TO VFR. FOR THE I-35 TAF SITES...IFR CEILINGS ARE IN PLACE AND
SHOULD BE UNTIL AFTER THE LINE OF STORMS MOVE THROUGH. THE LINE
SHOULD BE INTO THE SITES AROUND 7-9Z AND WILL HANDLE THIS WITH
VCTS WITH TEMPO -TSRA. COULD ALSO SEE GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS AS THE
LINE MOVES THROUGH. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER THE
LINE OF STORMS MOVE THROUGH WITH POSSIBLE IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR
CONDITIONS. RIGHT NOW HAVE VFR RETURNING BY LATE MORNING BUT THIS
MAY BE A BIT TOO LATE GIVEN THAT KDRT IS ALREADY VFR. WILL AMEND
THE TAFS AS NECESSARY BASED ON FUTURE TRENDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1151 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015/

UPDATE... /WATCH EXPANSION FOR SVA NUMBER 525/

NEW CELL DEVELOPMENT IS FORMING ON THE INFLOW SIDE OF A SUPERCELL
MOVING THROUGH GILLESPIE COUNTY SUGGESTING A FORWARD SHIFT IN THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. FIVE HILL COUNTRY COUNTIES WERE ADDED AS
THIS COULD EVENTUALLY REPLACE THE SQUALL LINE MOVING THROUGH THE
EDWARDS PLATEAU. HELICITIES ANALYZED IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD OF 200
M2/S2 ALONG WITH BULK SHEAR VALUES OF 50-75 KNOTS AND MU CAPES AT
AROUND 1000 J/KG SHOULD SUPPORT THIS EASTWARD SHIFT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 645 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015/

UPDATE...
ROUND TWO OF STORMS IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS VAL VERDE
COUNTY AT THE PRESENT TIME. ONE SEVERE STORM IS ALREADY ONGOING
AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LOCATIONS WEST
OF A KERRVILLE TO PEARSALL LINE. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
DEVELOPING EAST OF A SURFACE LOW CENTERED JUST WEST OF THE RIO
GRANDE. THE ENVIRONMENT IS SUPPORTIVE FOR SEVERE CONVECTION WITH
SBCAPES APPROACHING 2500 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES
APPROACHING 55-70 KNOTS. A PACIFIC FRONT OR DRYLINE WILL SERVE AS
THE SURFACE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION AS THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD MOVE
EAST THIS EVENING.

A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE BUT SHOULD NOT
MOVE INTO OUR REGION UNTIL AFTER DAY BREAK. HIGH-RES MODEL OUTPUT
SHOWS THE PACIFIC FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA BY 14Z TOMORROW
MORNING WITH WEST WINDS AND DRIER CONDITIONS BEHIND THE FRONT
CLEARING THINGS OUT. WITH AN ACTUAL BOUNDARY PUSHING THROUGH THE
AREA...ANY ONE LOCATION SHOULD NOT RECEIVE FURTHER PROLONGED
CONVECTION. THE LATEST HRRR RUN SUPPORTS OUR CURRENT FORECAST OF
1-2 INCHES WITH AN ISOLATED 5 INCH TOTAL. EVEN THOUGH THESE TOTALS
ARE NOT HIGH...1-2 INCHES WILL LEAD TO FURTHER QUICK RISES OF
AREA CREEKS WHICH ALREADY RECEIVED EXTREME RAINFALL TODAY.
THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 628 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS AREA SITES THIS EVENING
WITH PERIODS OF IFR AND EVEN LIFR OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY.
A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS COUPLED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
PUSHING FROM WEST TEXAS TOWARDS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. WITH THIS
SCENARIO IN PLACE...EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 52 KNOTS. DURING THESE
STORMS CIGS AND VBSYS WITH LOWER SIGNIFICANTLY. AS THE COLD FRONT
PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA...A WIND SHIFT IS EXPECTED FIRST ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU WITH WIND SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
ALONG THE I-35 TERMINALS AROUND MID MORNING (16Z) SATURDAY.
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FROM WEST TO EAST ON SATURDAY WITH
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAINLY AFFECTING THE THE EASTERN
COUNTIES...AWAY FROM AREA TERMINALS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 440 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
A RELATIVE LULL IN OUR HISTORIC HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS OVER MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
AS MOST OF THE REGION REMAINS IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE PACIFIC
MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE NOW THAT THE WARM FRONT HAS MOVED NORTH OF OUR
CWA. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM WILL
CONTINUE MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 10 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 281.
ALTHOUGH CAPE IS CURRENTLY FAIRLY LIMITED NORTH OF AN AUSTIN TO LA
GRANGE LINE...EFFECTIVE STORM RELATIVE HELICITY VALUES APPROACHING
300 M^2/S^2 AND BULK SHEAR VALUES OF 40-45 KTS WILL ALLOW ANY
STRONGER CELLS TO ROTATE SHOULD ANY DEVELOP. THUS...HAVE ALLOWED
THE TORNADO WATCH FOR OUR NORTHWESTERN MOST SIX COUNTIES TO
CONTINUE THROUGH 7PM CDT AFTER COORDINATING WITH SPC OUT OF AN
ABUNDANCE OF CAUTION SHOULD CAPE RECOVER MORE QUICKLY THAN
EXPECTED. ASIDE FROM THAT...THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS FOR THE I-35 CORRIDOR WILL BE SIGNIFICANT RIVER
FLOODING ISSUES AS THE LAST FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR ONION CREEK
HAS EXPIRED BEFORE TWO SEPARATE POTENTIAL ROUNDS OF STORMS MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT.

ATTENTION FOR OUR FIRST ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED
LATER TONIGHT FOR THE I-35 CORRIDOR...HILL COUNTRY...AND EDWARDS
PLATEAU TURNS OUT WEST WHERE CONVECTION IS TRYING TO DEVELOP
ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH OR PSEUDO DRYLINE THAT IS MOVING INTO
WESTERN VAL VERDE COUNTY. ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO FIRE IN
MEXICO ALONG THE SERRENIAS DEL BURRO MOUNTAINS WITH A LINE OF
CONVECTION IN THE NE PART OF SAN ANGELOS CWA ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE...WITH SOME AGITATED CU IN BETWEEN THE TWO AREAS. THE LAST
SEVERAL RUNS OF THE HRRR AND 12Z TX TECH WRF HAVE HANDLED THE
TIMING OF THIS INITIATION RELATIVELY WELL COMPARED TO MOST OTHER
GLOBAL MODELS AND HI-RES GUIDANCE...SO TRUST THAT AT LEAST A FEW
CONVECTIVE CELLS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE EAST INTO THE EVENING
HOURS...REACHING THE I-35 CORRIDOR AROUND 9-10 PM CDT. FAVORABLE
HELICITY AND SHEAR VALUES WILL SUPPORT ROTATING UPDRAFTS SHOULD
THESE CELLS DEVELOP AND REMAIN FAIRLY DISCRETE...SO STRAIGHT LINE
WIND DAMAGE...SEVERE HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

A SECOND ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
WITH THE MAIN COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT...WHICH THE MOST RECENT RUN OF
THE HRRR AND TX TECH WRF INDICATE WILL REACH THE I-35 CORRIDOR
AROUND 3-5 AM CDT SATURDAY MORNING. THESE STORMS SHOULD INCLUDE A
STRAIGHT-LINE WIND THREAT IN ADDITION TO THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT.
GIVEN THE 5-10 INCHES AND ISOLATED 12-16 INCH TOTALS THAT HAVE
FALLEN ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR FROM A SWATH FROM FAR NW BEXAR
COUNTY TO WIMBERLEY TO EAST AUSTIN TO ELGIN...ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL THAT FALLS WILL DIRECTLY RUNOFF RESULTING IN FLASH
FLOODING AND FURTHER COMPLICATING ONGOING RIVER FLOODING ISSUES.
THE FAST PROGRESSION OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD KEEP AVERAGE RAINFALL
TOTALS TO 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED SPOTS UP TO 4 INCHES. SOME
RUNS OF THE HRRR SUGGEST THIS MAY BE A BROKEN LINE OF CONVECTION
WHILE THE TX TECH WRF SHOWS IT WILL BE CONTINUOUS...SO HOPEFULLY
THE BROKEN LINE MATERIALIZES TO HELP MITIGATE SOME OF THESE ISSUES
OR THE RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EVENLY DISTRIBUTED. RAIN CHANCES WILL
END FROM WEST TO EAST BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS DRIER AIR AND
CLEARER SKIES MOVE IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TO CAUSE A COOL AND
DRY HALLOWEEN NIGHT FOR TRICK OR TREATING.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AS MOISTURE DOES NOT
BEGIN TO RETURN WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW UNTIL MONDAY EVENING. RAIN
CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE BY LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
AHEAD OF OUR NEXT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. THESE RAIN CHANCES ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              57  77  50  80  53 /  10  -   -    0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  57  77  48  80  49 /  10  -   -    0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     57  78  51  81  52 /  -    0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            54  75  51  79  52 /  10  -    0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           53  82  51  82  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        55  75  51  79  51 /  10  10  -    0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             54  80  50  82  51 /  -    0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        57  77  51  80  51 /  -    0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   59  76  53  81  53 /  10  10  -   -   -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       56  78  51  81  53 /  -    0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           57  79  51  84  54 /  -    0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...
CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...FAYETTE...GILLESPIE...GONZALES...
GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...
MEDINA...TRAVIS...WILLIAMSON...WILSON.

&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...HAMPSHIRE
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...OAKS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
632 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-312345-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
632 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. ANOTHER
ROUND OF CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. 1-2 INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED LOCATIONS
REACHING 5 INCHES WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING FOR
LOCATIONS WHICH ALREADY RECEIVED EXTREME RAINFALL TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

CHANCES OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM SATURDAY MORNING ALONG AND
EAST OF A LINE FROM KERRVILLE TO PEARSALL. HEAVY RAINFALL
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT
BUT DAMAGING WINDS AND FREQUENTLY LIGHTNING WILL ALSO EXIST WITH
THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES THROUGH BY THE AFTERNOON WHEN SKIES CLEAR
OUT BEHIND THE FRONT. A STORM SYSTEM PRODUCING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL APPROACH BY WEDNESDAY BUT NO WIDESPREAD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1129 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

TXZ183-202-310530-
VAL VERDE TX-KINNEY TX-
1129 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN VAL VERDE AND KINNEY
COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...

AT 1128 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR AMISTAD VILLAGE TO 5
MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAUGHLIN AFB TO 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF
QUEMADO...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DEL RIO...BRACKETTVILLE...SPOFFORD...ALAMO VILLAGE...STANDART...LAKE
VIEW...AMANDA...VAL VERDE PARK...CIENEGAS TERRACE...ANACACHO...
AMISTAD VILLAGE...LAUGHLIN AFB...KICKAPOO CAVERN STATE PARK AND
TURKEY MOUNTAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2963 10086 2962 10011 2909 10012 2908 10066
      2917 10078 2920 10077 2926 10081 2928 10087
      2931 10089 2936 10100 2946 10106 2947 10111
TIME...MOT...LOC 0428Z 264DEG 32KT 2946 10106 2929 10085 2908 10086

CP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1206 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

TXZ171-172-190-310545-
BURNET TX-BLANCO TX-LLANO TX-
1206 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN BLANCO...WEST
CENTRAL BURNET AND SOUTHEASTERN LLANO COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 AM CDT...

AT 1206 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER WILLOW CITY...OR 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF FREDERICKSBURG...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 TO 40 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KINGSLAND...MARBLE FALLS...BURNET...BUCHANAN DAM...GAINESVILLE...
GRANITE SHOALS...HORSESHOE BAY...HIGHLAND HAVEN...INKS LAKE STATE
PARK...BLOWOUT AND SUNRISE BEACH VILLAGE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3069 9816 3038 9859 3050 9859 3050 9877
      3088 9838
TIME...MOT...LOC 0506Z 226DEG 33KT 3043 9870

ALLEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1225 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

TXZ185>188-310630-
BANDERA TX-REAL TX-GILLESPIE TX-KERR TX-
1225 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BANDERA...REAL...GILLESPIE AND
KERR COUNTIES UNTIL 130 AM CDT...

AT 1224 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SEGOVIA TO 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUNTAIN HOME TO NEAR KERR WILDLIFE
MANAGEMENT AREA TO 12 MILES NORTH OF LOST MAPLES STATE PARK TO NEAR
LEAKEY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MEDINA...KERRVILLE...FREDERICKSBURG...LEAKEY...VANDERPOOL...HUNT...
INGRAM...CAMP WOOD...KERR WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA...LOST MAPLES
STATE PARK...MOUNTAIN HOME...KERRVILLE STATE PARK...CRABAPPLE...
DOSS...HARPER...CAMP VERDE...WALTONIA...TUFF...TIVYDALE AND CHERRY
SPRING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2964 9917 2964 10001 2965 10002 2991 9989
      3007 9976 3029 9975 3029 9930 3049 9930
      3050 9874
TIME...MOT...LOC 0524Z 245DEG 36KT 3047 9958 3034 9950 3016 9950 3002
9956 2968 9975

CP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
118 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

TXZ171-172-186>190-310730-
BANDERA TX-BURNET TX-GILLESPIE TX-BLANCO TX-KENDALL TX-KERR TX-
LLANO TX-
118 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLANCO...BANDERA...BURNET...
LLANO...GILLESPIE...KENDALL AND SOUTHEASTERN KERR COUNTIES UNTIL 230
AM CDT...

AT 117 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR PONTOTOC TO NEAR
HILLTOP TO NEAR CENTER POINT TO NEAR TARPLEY...AND MOVING EAST AT 40
MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MEDINA...KERRVILLE...FREDERICKSBURG...BOERNE...KINGSLAND...MARBLE
FALLS...BURNET...LLANO...COMFORT...BLANCO...BERTRAM...BANDERA...ROUND
MOUNTAIN...BUCHANAN DAM...GAINESVILLE...GRANITE SHOALS...HORSESHOE
BAY...INGRAM...MEADOWLAKES AND JOHNSON CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3099 9788 3006 9833 2963 9888 2965 9945
      3050 9919 3050 9896 3092 9896 3092 9845
      3093 9841 3096 9845 3103 9844 3103 9791
TIME...MOT...LOC 0617Z 256DEG 34KT 3088 9898 3034 9897 2997 9910 2968
9936

CP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
201 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1142 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N FREDERICKSBURG      30.28N  98.87W
10/30/2015                   GILLESPIE          TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG CRABAPPLE ROAD AND OAKHAVEN
            ROAD IN NORTH FREDERICKSBURG. SOCIAL MEDIA REPORTS BBQ
            PIT TOSSED AND CHILDERNS PLAY SET DESTROYED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500855

ALLEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
212 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

TXZ172-173-190>192-310830-
WILLIAMSON TX-BURNET TX-TRAVIS TX-BLANCO TX-HAYS TX-
212 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL BLANCO...WILLIAMSON...
BURNET...TRAVIS AND NORTHERN HAYS COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CDT...

AT 212 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BEND
TO NEAR GRANITE SHOALS TO NEAR JOHNSON CITY TO NEAR FLUGRATH...AND
MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AUSTIN...ROUND ROCK...CEDAR PARK...GEORGETOWN...PFLUGERVILLE...
TAYLOR...MARBLE FALLS...BURNET...DRIPPING SPRINGS...GRANGER...
BERTRAM...ROUND MOUNTAIN...WINDEMERE...TANGLEWOOD FOREST...ANDERSON
MILL...SERENADA...AUSTIN BERGSTROM INT AP...LEANDER...HUTTO AND
LAKEWAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3091 9783 3087 9763 3080 9743 3044 9740
      3011 9762 3013 9855 3049 9835 3103 9841
      3103 9791
TIME...MOT...LOC 0712Z 255DEG 38KT 3104 9843 3055 9846 3031 9844 3017
9852

CP