Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 129, NWS El Paso, TX

October 3, 2015Doña Ana County, Otero County, New Mexico

NWS El Paso, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 3, 2015, 4:24 PM MDT for Doña Ana County, Otero County, New Mexico. It was in force for 51 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 3, 2015, 4:24 PM MDT (22:24 UTC)
Expired: Oct 3, 2015, 5:15 PM MDT
In force: 51 min
Issued by: NWS El Paso, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.5 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Doña Ana County, NM, Otero County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 63 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -157 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2432 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -1 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 3, 3:46 PM MDT, 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 3, 3:46 PM MDT, 38 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 3, 1:40 PM MDT, 2 hours 44 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
140 PM MDT SAT OCT 03 2015

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-041245-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA
HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-EASTERN BLACK
RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-
SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-
SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500
FEET-SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-
EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO
MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-RIO GRANDE VALLEY
OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF
EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
140 PM MDT SAT OCT 03 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. A
FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER WITH HAIL UP TO AN INCH AND
A HALF IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH.  UP TO 2 INCHES OF
RAIN MAY FALL OVER VERY ISOLATED LOCATIONS RESULTING IN
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY AROUND LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL FALL WITH ISOLATED LOCATIONS
RECEIVING OVER 2 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
THUS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FOR A FEW LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY
AROUND LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH AND HAIL WILL ALSO ALSO BE POSSIBLE
WITH A FEW STORMS...ESPECIALLY MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALSO EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TO REPORT HEAVY
RAINFALLS...STRONG WINDS AND HAIL TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

GRZYWACZ

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 3, 3:34 PM MDT, 50 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 3, 3:51 PM MDT, 33 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 3, 4:00 PM MDT, 24 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 3, 4:02 PM MDT, 22 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 3, 4:08 PM MDT, 16 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Oct 3, 4:22 PM MDT, 2 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS El Paso, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 3, 12:11 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Doña Ana	49 min
Oct 3, 12:30 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Luna	45 min
Oct 3, 12:33 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Doña Ana	42 min
Oct 3, 12:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EPZ	Luna	45 min
Oct 3, 12:56 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EPZ	Doña Ana	49 min
Oct 3, 1:25 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EPZ	Otero	50 min
Oct 3, 1:29 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Otero	46 min
Oct 3, 1:33 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EPZ	Doña Ana	42 min
Oct 3, 1:48 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Luna	42 min
Oct 3, 1:59 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EPZ	Doña Ana	46 min
Oct 3, 2:02 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Otero	43 min
Oct 3, 2:06 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EPZ	Doña Ana, Otero	39 min
Oct 3, 2:11 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ		49 min
Oct 3, 2:22 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ		53 min
Oct 3, 2:27 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EPZ	Doña Ana	48 min
Oct 3, 2:48 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EPZ	Otero	42 min
Oct 3, 2:55 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Doña Ana	50 min
Oct 3, 3:03 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Otero	42 min
Oct 3, 3:06 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EPZ	Otero	39 min
Oct 3, 3:11 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Doña Ana	49 min
Oct 3, 3:18 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EPZ	Otero	27 min
Oct 3, 3:26 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Sierra	34 min
Oct 3, 3:34 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Otero	41 min
Oct 3, 3:39 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EPZ	Doña Ana	51 min
Oct 3, 3:51 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Doña Ana	39 min
Oct 3, 4:02 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Sierra	43 min
Oct 3, 4:08 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Sierra	37 min
Oct 3, 4:34 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Doña Ana	41 min
Oct 3, 4:40 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Luna	50 min
Oct 3, 5:17 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	Luna	43 min
Oct 3, 5:46 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ		44 min
Oct 3, 2:20 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	El Paso	40 min
Oct 3, 2:58 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	El Paso	47 min
Oct 3, 3:48 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EPZ	El Paso	42 min
Oct 3, 3:49 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EPZ	El Paso	116 min
Oct 3, 4:00 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	El Paso	45 min
Oct 3, 4:22 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	El Paso	53 min
Oct 3, 5:07 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	EPZ	El Paso	38 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.