Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Kansas City, MO

763 
WWUS43 KEAX 262146
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
346 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

...FREEZING RAIN TO IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AS
COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL
RAPIDLY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT... DROPPING BELOW FREEZING BETWEEN 6 PM
AND MIDNIGHT IN FAR NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS AND
BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM NEAR THE KANSAS CITY METRO. UP TO A
QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWEST
MISSOURI... AND SEVERAL HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ARE POSSIBLE AS
FAR SOUTHEAST AS A LINE FROM PAOLA... KS TO LAMONI... IA. FREEZING
RAIN WILL LIGHTEN IN INTENSITY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...BUT COULD LAST
OFF AND ON THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY.

MOZ001-270615-
/O.CON.KEAX.WS.W.0003.151127T0000Z-151127T1500Z/
ATCHISON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TARKIO...ROCKPORT
346 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY...

* TIMING...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH THE NIGHT AND COULD
  START FREEZING TO SURFACES AS EARLY AS 6 PM. ICE ACCUMULATION WILL
  CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF
  FRIDAY MORNING. 

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION 
  IS EXPECTED BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. 

* MAIN IMPACT...THE MAJORITY OF ICE ACCUMULATION WILL OCCUR ON 
  ELEVATED SURFACES LIKE BRIDGES...POWER LINES...AND TREES. TREE 
  BRANCHES MAY BREAK UNDER THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE ACCRETION...AND 
  ANY UNTREATED SIDEWALKS AND ROAD SURFACES WILL BECOME ICE 
  COVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

KSZ057-103>105-MOZ013-014-020>022-028>030-037-270615-
/O.EXB.KEAX.ZR.Y.0001.151127T0900Z-151128T0000Z/
MIAMI-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-DE KALB-DAVIESS-BUCHANAN-
CLINTON-CALDWELL-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...
OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...
ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO...
PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...
RICHMOND...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE
346 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM CST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL HAS
ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO
6 PM CST FRIDAY. 

* TIMING...RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND COULD START
  FREEZING TO SURFACES AS EARLY AS MIDNIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATION WILL
  CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WITH SOME SLEET MIXED IN
  COULD PERSIST OFF AND ON THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE
  ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* MAIN IMPACT...ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ON ELEVATED 
  SURFACES LIKE BRIDGES...POWER LINES...AND TREES. WEAK TREE 
  BRANCHES COULD BREAK UNDER THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE ACCRETION...
  AND ANY UNTREATED SIDEWALKS AND ROAD SURFACES WILL BECOME 
  QUITE SLICK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

KSZ025-102-MOZ002>005-011-012-270615-
/O.CON.KEAX.ZR.Y.0001.151127T0300Z-151128T0000Z/
ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-HOLT-ANDREW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...TROY...MARYVILLE...
GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY...MOUND CITY...OREGON...
SAVANNAH
346 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY...

* TIMING...RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AND COULD START 
  FREEZING TO SURFACES AS EARLY AS 9 PM. ICE ACCUMULATION WILL 
  CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING 
  OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WITH SOME SLEET MIXED IN
  COULD PERSIST OFF AND ON THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE
  ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

* MAIN IMPACT...ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ON ELEVATED 
  SURFACES LIKE BRIDGES...POWER LINES...AND TREES. WEAK TREE 
  BRANCHES COULD BREAK UNDER THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE ACCRETION...
  AND ANY UNTREATED SIDEWALKS AND ROAD SURFACES WILL BECOME 
  QUITE SLICK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

056 
WWUS43 KEAX 270553
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1153 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015


MOZ001-271400-
/O.CON.KEAX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151127T1500Z/
ATCHISON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TARKIO...ROCKPORT
1153 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY...

* TIMING...INTERMITTENT FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO MID FRIDAY
  MORNING.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION 
  IS EXPECTED BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. 

* MAIN IMPACT...THE MAJORITY OF ICE ACCUMULATION WILL OCCUR ON 
  ELEVATED SURFACES LIKE BRIDGES...POWER LINES...AND TREES. TREE 
  BRANCHES MAY BREAK UNDER THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE ACCRETION...AND 
  ANY UNTREATED SIDEWALKS AND ROAD SURFACES WILL BECOME ICE 
  COVERED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

KSZ025-102-MOZ002>005-011-012-271400-
/O.CON.KEAX.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-151128T0000Z/
ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-HOLT-ANDREW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...TROY...MARYVILLE...
GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY...MOUND CITY...OREGON...
SAVANNAH
1153 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
FRIDAY...

* TIMING...INTERMITTENT LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
  THE FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP IN INTENSITY BY MID TO
  LATE MORNING AND THEN TAPER OFF LATER FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SOME SLEET
  COULD MIX IN OFF AND ON THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION
  IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* MAIN IMPACT...ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ON ELEVATED 
  SURFACES LIKE BRIDGES...POWER LINES...AND TREES. WEAK TREE 
  BRANCHES COULD BREAK UNDER THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE ACCRETION... 
  AND ANY UNTREATED SIDEWALKS AND ROAD SURFACES WILL BECOME 
  QUITE SLICK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

KSZ057-103>105-MOZ013-014-020>022-028>030-037-271400-
/O.CON.KEAX.ZR.Y.0001.151127T0900Z-151128T0000Z/
MIAMI-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-DE KALB-DAVIESS-BUCHANAN-
CLINTON-CALDWELL-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...
OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...
ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO...
PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...
RICHMOND...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE
1153 PM CST THU NOV 26 2015

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM CST
FRIDAY...

* TIMING...LIGHT RAIN WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT BUT AS
  TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING TOWARDS THE PRE-DAWN HOURS OF
  FRIDAY MORNING ANY RAIN WILL START FREEZING. INTERMITTENT LIGHT
  FREEZING RAIN WILL PICK UP IN INTENSITY AFTER SUNRISE AND CONTINUE
  INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SOME SLEET COULD BE MIXED IN AND PERSIST
  OFF AND ON THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION
  IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* MAIN IMPACT...ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ON ELEVATED 
  SURFACES LIKE BRIDGES...POWER LINES...AND TREES. WEAK TREE 
  BRANCHES COULD BREAK UNDER THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE ACCRETION... 
  AND ANY UNTREATED SIDEWALKS AND ROAD SURFACES WILL BECOME 
  QUITE SLICK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

985 
WWUS43 KEAX 270953
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
353 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN CONTINUE TODAY...

.A SECOND SURGE OF MOISTURE IS NOW APPROACHING EASTERN KS AND
PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND WILL MOVE OVER AREAS WHERE
TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR OR BELOW THE FREEZING MARK. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO FALL TODAY...AND PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED
TODAY...WHICH COULD ALSO BRIEFLY MIX WITH OR CHANGE OVER TO SLEET.
TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH
IN WESTERN MISSOURI...UP TO GREATER THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH IN EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS.

MOZ001-271100-
/O.CAN.KEAX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151127T1500Z/
ATCHISON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TARKIO...ROCKPORT
353 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL HAS
CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. WINTRY PRECIPITATION HAS
TAPERED OFF IN THE WARNED AREA...ENDING THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION.

$$

MOZ002>005-011-014-022-030-271100-
/O.CAN.KEAX.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-151128T0000Z/
NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-HOLT-DAVIESS-CALDWELL-RAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...
STANBERRY...BETHANY...MOUND CITY...OREGON...GALLATIN...
JAMESPORT...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO...RICHMOND
353 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL HAS
CANCELLED THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY. WINTRY PRECIPITATION HAS
TAPERED OFF IN THE ADVISORY AREA...ENDING THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATION.

$$

KSZ060-272230-
/O.EXB.KEAX.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-151128T1200Z/
LINN KS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MOUND CITY
353 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL HAS
ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM
CST SATURDAY. 

* TIMING...INTERMITTENT LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED EARLY THIS
  MORNING. THE FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP IN INTENSITY BY
  MID TO LATE MORNING...AND THEN TAPER OFF LATE THIS EVENING. SOME
  SLEET COULD MIX IN OFF AND ON THROUGH THE DAY.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION
  IS EXPECTED BY LATE THIS EVENING.

* MAIN IMPACT...ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ON ELEVATED SURFACES
  LIKE BRIDGES...POWER LINES...AND TREES. WEAK TREE BRANCHES COULD
  BREAK UNDER THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE ACCRETION...AND ANY UNTREATED
  SIDEWALKS AND ROAD SURFACES WILL BECOME QUITE SLICK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

KSZ025-057-102>105-MOZ012-013-020-021-028-029-037-272230-
/O.EXT.KEAX.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-151128T1200Z/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ANDREW-DE KALB-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-PLATTE-CLAY-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...TROY...LEAVENWORTH...
KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...SAVANNAH...CAMERON...
ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...
LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE
353 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2015

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...

* TIMING...INTERMITTENT LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED EARLY THIS
  MORNING. THE FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP IN INTENSITY BY
  MID TO LATE MORNING...AND THEN TAPER OFF LATE THIS EVENING. SOME
  SLEET COULD MIX IN OFF AND ON THROUGH THE DAY.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH IN
  WESTERN MISSOURI...TO GREATER THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH IN EAST
  CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

* MAIN IMPACT...ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ON ELEVATED SURFACES
  LIKE BRIDGES...POWER LINES...AND TREES. WEAK TREE BRANCHES COULD
  BREAK UNDER THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE ACCRETION...AND ANY UNTREATED
  SIDEWALKS AND ROAD SURFACES WILL BECOME QUITE SLICK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
346 AM CST THU NOV 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 346 AM CST THU NOV 26 2015

Forecast remains on track for significant rainfall today, then
wintry precipitation beginning this evening and continuing through
at least Friday. Main concerns are ice accumulation across NW MO and
far NE KS, and possible flooding across central MO.

Very light showers have drifted across the region this morning as
the atmosphere gradually saturates, and will become more widespread
during the morning hours as surface low pressure deepens and bulges
out of the southern High Plains. Convergence along a strengthening
cold front and isentropic lift out ahead of the boundary will both
be on the increase today, helping rainfall expand and intensify this
afternoon and evening near and ahead of the cold front as it sweeps
through the region. The front has already inched into our far NWern
counties this morning, and should begin making some southeastward
progress by mid- to late-morning, passing through the length of the
forecast area by midnight.

Significant precipitation is still expected along the elevated cold
front today and tonight, and will be well supported by upper-level
forcing from a deep trough that will elongate and eventually eject
out across the northern Plains/Midwest. The strong warm nose sitting
above the elevated boundary will melt any hydrometeors well above
the surface; thus the only real factor in precipitation type remains
very low-level temperatures. Cold air will surge down behind the
front this evening through Friday, progressively lowering surface
temperatures without any diurnal rise Friday afternoon, and edging
the freezing line into the forecast area as early as 6 PM.

The biggest caveat to what should be a cut and dry "T<32 = ice" are
slight model differences in the strength of the surface cold air;
but more so the influence of the currently very warm ground and how
well ice will accumulate on wet surfaces, especially where
temperatures will hover right around or just below that 32 degree
mark. The best bet for ice accumulation will be in far northwest MO
where temperatures are already in the lower 40s behind the front and
will spend more time in chillier conditions, possibly allowing ice
to accumulate more efficiently. Elsewhere, the majority of ice may
only accumulate on elevated surfaces like bridges, trees, and power
lines; and even then, may take a few hours below freezing to start
accumulating. As a result, will issue just a one county WSW for ice
in Atchison county MO, and a freezing rain advisory in areas that
are most likely to see some ice accumulate before the system moves
out.

The boundary will stall near our southern border late Friday into
Saturday, generating additional chances of light precipitation for
the weekend. The stout warm nose remains in place where precip is
possible, so liquid precipitation is still anticipated if any occurs
during this period. Model spread is a little higher on temperatures,
the possibility of precipitation, and the position of the front, so
while below freezing conditions are currently coincident with at
least a low-end chances of precipitation, am currently not thinking
that ice accumulation will be a major issue for the weekend.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 346 AM CST THU NOV 26 2015

Another round of precipitation will spread across the region Sunday
night into Monday when the primary trough axis finally swings
through. GFS and ECMWF are coming into better agreement that a
resulting surface low will track across central or eastern Missouri
early Monday. For now it appears this track will keep most of the
sub-freezing temperatures confined to far northwest Missouri and
points north, so that most of the forecast area would see mostly rain
with this system. Meanwhile thermal profiles across far northwest MO
appear supportive of a mix of wintry precipitation with some minor
snow/ice accumulation possible. Will need to watch how models trend
with this system since a westward/warmer track would keep things
almost all rain everywhere, while an eastward/cooler track would
bring wintry precipitation further into the forecast area Sunday
night into Monday morning.

Behind Monday's system, a large area of low-level ridging building
into the central U.S. will keep things dry for much of the rest of
the week while temperatures stay close to average for the beginning
of December.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1113 PM CST WED NOV 25 2015

MVFR conditions prevailing at the terminals tonight are likely as
nice as it's going to get for the next 24 hours. Scattered showers
will spread across the terminals early Thursday morning with more
widespread rain expected later Thursday morning, persisting through
the rest of the day and much of the overnight hours. This will push
ceilings down progressively with much of the region under IFR
conditions by Thursday afternoon. Ceilings may drop even more as the
cold air behind the cold front moves Thursday evening. As for the
wind, the cold front will move through the terminals between 17Z and
20Z. Winds ahead of the front will be strong and gusty from the
south, with a quick change to strong and gusty from the northwest
behind the front.

Lastly, have included a bit of freezing rain in the TAF for KSTJ.
Cold air rushing in behind the front could result in freezing rain
developing --if it is still raining-- somewhere around midnight for
terminals in the far northwest corner of Missouri.

&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...Freezing Rain Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Friday
     for KSZ025-102.

     Flood Watch from this evening through Friday evening for KSZ057-
     060.

MO...Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Friday
     for MOZ001.

     Freezing Rain Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 6 PM CST Friday
     for MOZ002>005-011-012.

     Flood Watch from this evening through Friday evening for
     MOZ038>040-043>046-053-054.

&&

SHORT TERM...Laflin
LONG TERM...Hawblitzel
AVIATION...Cutter

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
446 AM CST WED NOV 25 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-261100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
446 AM CST WED NOV 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

 RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA THURSDAY WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS
 UP TO 2 INCHES.

 MINOR ICING IS POSSIBLE OVER FAR NORTHEAST KS AND NORTHWEST MO
 THURSDAY NIGHT.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO