Wind Chill Advisory 1, NWS Kansas City, MO

679 
WWUS43 KEAX 040513
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1113 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TONIGHT...

.SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS STORM
SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE AREA. WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCH AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM KANSAS CITY TO KIRKSVILLE.
LOWER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF THIS AREA. STRONG NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS WILL ALSO LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WHICH WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY AND LEAD TO MINOR DRIFTING.

MOZ001-002-011-041315-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150104T1200Z/
/O.CON.KEAX.WC.Y.0001.150104T0900Z-150104T1500Z/
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-HOLT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TARKIO...MARYVILLE...MOUND CITY...
OREGON
1113 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SUNDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST SUNDAY. 

* LOCATION...PARTS OF NORTHERN MISSOURI.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST
  WINDS RESULTING IN PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW THROUGH SUNRISE SUNDAY
  SUNDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES
  ARE LIKELY WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 3 INCHES.

* IMPACTS...THE SNOWFALL WILL CREATE SOME SLICK ROADS... 
  ESPECIALLY ON LESS TRAVELED ROADWAYS. BLOWING SNOW MAY REDUCE 
  VISIBILITIES TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL 
  HAZARDOUS. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH 
  TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING WILL SEND TEMPERATURES INTO THE 
  SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS...RESULTING IN WIND CHILL 
  READINGS FROM 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

KSZ025-057-103>105-MOZ013>017-020>025-028>033-037>039-043-044-
040900-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150104T0900Z/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-DE KALB-
DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-
LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-CASS-JOHNSON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...LEAVENWORTH...
OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...
TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...
PLATTSBURG...HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...
LA PLATA...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...
KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...
CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...
WARRENSBURG
1113 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST SUNDAY. 

* LOCATION...PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL 
  AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST
  WINDS RESULTING IN PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW THROUGH SUNRISE SUNDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE
  LIKELY WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 35.

* IMPACTS...THE EXPECTED SNOWFALL WILL CREATE SOME TRAVEL 
  PROBLEMS... ESPECIALLY ON LESS TRAVELED ROADWAYS. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...THOSE AREAS WHERE THE PAVEMENT REMAINS WET MAY 
  BE PRONE TO THE FORMATION OF BLACK ICE DUE TO A FLASH FREEZE 
  WITH THE RAPID ONSET OF FRIGID TEMPERATURES. SHOULD THIS OCCUR 
  VERY DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WOULD RESULT. IN ADDITION... 
  GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING WILL SEND 
  TEMPERATURES INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS...RESULTING 
  IN WIND CHILL READINGS FROM 10 TO 15 BELOW ZERO. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

KSZ102-MOZ003>008-012-041200-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150104T1200Z/
DONIPHAN-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-ANDREW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TROY...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...
STANBERRY...BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...
DOWNING...SAVANNAH
1113 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY. 

* LOCATION...PARTS OF NORTHERN MISSOURI.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST
  WINDS RESULTING IN PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW THROUGH SUNRISE SUNDAY
  SUNDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO 
  INCHES ARE LIKELY. 

* IMPACTS...THE SNOWFALL WILL CREATE SOME TRAVEL PROBLEMS... 
  ESPECIALLY ON LESS TRAVELED ROADWAYS. BLOWING SNOW MAY REDUCE 
  VISIBILITIES TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL 
  HAZARDOUS. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY 
  MORNING WILL SEND TEMPERATURES INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER 
  TEENS...RESULTING IN WIND CHILL READINGS FROM 5 TO 15 BELOW 
  ZERO. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

486 
WWUS43 KEAX 040903
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
303 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

...DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS AND BLOWING SNOW THIS MORNING...

.SNOW IS TAPERING OFF ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING...
ALLOWING FOR THE EXPIRATION OF THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN ALL
BUT FAR NORTHERN MISSOURI WHERE BLOWING SNOW IS POSSIBLE THROUGH 6
AM. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS ARE ALSO OCCURRING OR EXPECTED IN FAR
NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI THROUGH 10 AM.

KSZ025-057-103>105-MOZ013>017-020>025-028>033-037>039-043-044-
041015-
/O.EXP.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150104T0900Z/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-DE KALB-
DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-
LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-CASS-JOHNSON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...LEAVENWORTH...
OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...
TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...
PLATTSBURG...HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...
LA PLATA...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...
KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...
CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...
WARRENSBURG
303 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

SNOW HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA...ALLOWING FOR THE EXPIRATION OF THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AT 3 AM EARLY THIS MORNING. A FEW FLURRIES
ARE STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH MID MORNING...BUT NO ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.



$$

MOZ001-002-011-041600-
/O.EXT.KEAX.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150104T1600Z/
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150104T1200Z/
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-HOLT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TARKIO...MARYVILLE...MOUND CITY...
OREGON
303 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY
THIS MORNING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS
MORNING...

THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS
MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING. 

* LOCATION...PARTS OF NORTHERN MISSOURI.

* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW AND PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH 6 AM. WIND CHILLS OF 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO ARE
  EXPECTED THROUGH 10 AM.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN AN
  INCH ARE EXPECTED.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL CREATE SOME TRAVEL PROBLEMS...ESPECIALLY ON
  LESS TRAVELED ROADWAYS. BLOWING SNOW MAY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A
  HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL HAZARDOUS.

* OTHER IMPACTS...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH THIS
  MORNING WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...
  RESULTING IN WIND CHILL READINGS FROM 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO THIS
  MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

KSZ102-MOZ003>008-012-041200-
/O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150104T1200Z/
DONIPHAN-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-ANDREW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TROY...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...
STANBERRY...BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...
DOWNING...SAVANNAH
303 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY
THIS MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING.

* LOCATION...PARTS OF NORTHERN MISSOURI.

* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW AND PERIODS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH 6 AM.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN AN
  INCH ARE EXPECTED.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL CREATE SOME TRAVEL PROBLEMS...ESPECIALLY ON
  LESS TRAVELED ROADWAYS. BLOWING SNOW MAY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A
  HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL HAZARDOUS.

* OTHER IMPACTS...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL COMBINE
  WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS...RESULTING
  IN WIND CHILL READINGS FROM 5 TO 15 BELOW ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

527 
WWUS43 KEAX 041200
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
600 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

...DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS CONTINUE THIS MORNING...

.SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING...ALLOWING FOR THE EXPIRATION OF THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
IN FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI. DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS
ARE STILL OCCURRING IN NORTHWEST MISSOURI...AND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH 10 AM.

MOZ001-002-011-041600-
/O.EXP.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150104T1200Z/
/O.CON.KEAX.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150104T1600Z/
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-HOLT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TARKIO...MARYVILLE...MOUND CITY...
OREGON
600 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS
MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA...ALLOWING FOR THE
EXPIRATION OF THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AT 6 AM CST THIS MORNING.
A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST.

* LOCATION...FAR NORTHWEST MISSOURI.

* TIMING...ADVISORY WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 10 AM.

* TEMPERATURES...AIR TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
  THIS MORNING...PRODUCING WIND CHILLS OF 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW
  ZERO.

* IMPACTS...VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS MAY
  RESULT IN FROSTBITE ON EXPOSED SKIN. IN ADDITION...THE VERY COLD
  AND WINDY CONDITIONS MAY SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF BLACK ICE THIS
  MORNING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

KSZ102-MOZ003>008-012-041300-
/O.EXP.KEAX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150104T1200Z/
DONIPHAN-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-ANDREW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TROY...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...
STANBERRY...BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...
DOWNING...SAVANNAH
600 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA...ALLOWING FOR THE
EXPIRATION OF THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AT 6 AM CST THIS MORNING.


$$

833 
WWUS43 KEAX 041602
WSWEAX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1002 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015


MOZ001-002-011-041715-
/O.EXP.KEAX.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150104T1600Z/
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-HOLT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TARKIO...MARYVILLE...MOUND CITY...
OREGON
1002 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WHILE TEMPERATURES ARE QUITE COLD THEY WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH
THE DAY AS THE BRISK AND GUSTY NORTHWEST SLOWLY DIMINISH. THIS WILL
ALLOW WIND CHILLS TO IMPROVE AS WELL. 

$$

MJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1238 PM CST Sat Jan 3 2015

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1230 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

Have lowered afternoon PoPs and raised temperatures for this
afternoon. Shortwave trough has moved quickly through MO and
stripped away deeper moisture and heavier rainfall, leaving behind
shallow saturated boundary layer and areas of drizzle generally south
of a Kansas City to Kirksville. Significant dry slot noted in water
vapor imagery moving through eastern KS/western MO has resulted in
some breaks in the overcast and warmer temperatures. So, have raised
highs accordingly.

Still looking like deformation precipitation shield will lift rapidly
northeast this afternoon and evening. Raising temperatures this
afternoon may lead to an extra hour or two of rain or rain/snow mix
before total transition. If transition takes longer it likely would
affect snow amounts negatively. HRRR and 12z NAM/GFS continue on a
path of a more southern track of the deformation precipitation band
and may need to shift heavier snow band (used in a relative sense as
snow amounts still look like 1-2" with isolated 3").

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday)
Issued at 358 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

Main focus in the short term will be wintry precipitation chances
today and tonight as a low pressure system pushes northeast across
the region. In the near term, mainly liquid precipitation out ahead
of the surface low will lift NE across the southeastern two-thirds
of the CWA. Surface temperatures in areas where precipitation is
expected this morning are mainly at 32 degrees or higher, and
dewpoint temperatures are also hovering right at the freezing mark,
preventing any wet-bulb effects from lowering surface temperatures.
Have still included a chance of freezing drizzle in case some very
light precipitation on the northern edge falls over sub-freezing
temperatures, but do not expect more than a light glaze of ice.

Morning precipitation will begin to clear off to the northeast as
the dry slot moves in between 10 AM and noon, leaving patchy drizzle
and stratus across the region. A second round of precipitation
associated with a rather pronounced PV anomaly is still expected to
lift from the TX panhandle into our far western CWA by late
afternoon to early evening, and will spread northeast through the
night. Precipitation type will likely begin as rain, but will mix
with and then transition to snow as colder air wraps in on the back
side of the surface low after 21z. 00z NAM/GFS continued a farther
south trend in highest precipitation totals, but 00z EC and 06z NAM
have pulled precipitation back a touch north, so have not jumped to
significantly change the location of highest precipitation totals
for this evening and tonight.

Precipitation totals of 0.15" to at most 0.2" are still anticipated
with the second area of wintry precip tonight, despite the strength
of the system and availability of moisture. The window for precip in
any one area will be fairly brief due to the speed of the system and
the arrival of dry air undercutting the deep moisture, resulting in
a quick 1-2" of total snow within a few hour period. A brief period
of blowing snow will also be a concern across far northeast KS and
northwest and northern MO after 03z as gusty northwest winds sweep
into the region, so have added the remainder of our northern counties
into the winter weather advisory for 1-2" snow and blowing snow.

Snowfall should taper quickly between 09z-12z Sunday morning as
frigid, dry air surges into the region from the northwest. Wind
chill values on Sunday morning are still expected to fall into the
-5 to -15 degree range, and may fall as low as -20 in far northwest
MO before 15z. May need a small wind chill advisory for areas that
will fall below -15 F Sunday morning, but will wait to issue until
at least the morning precipitation clears out of the region and
colder air starts to advance into the Plains.

Very cold and mainly quiet conditions are expected Sunday night
through Monday night. A brief brush of light snow is possible across
northeast MO late Monday afternoon through Monday night, but most
accumulating snow will likely stay north of the CWA.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 358 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

The extended forecast looks to be dry and rather cold, as Canadian
air intrudes into the area. Mid range and extended models develop a
N-S oriented elongated surface ridge, which will bring a steady diet
of cold air to the Central Plains and the Lower Missouri River
Valley. There is some discrepancy between the ECMWF and the GFS
regarding just how cold the air mass will be. The EC indicates 850
mb temps down in the -15C to -20C range, while the GFS only drops
into the -10C to -12C range. At any rate, it looks rather chilly
through the middle to late week, with highs in the teens and 20s,
and lows dropping to the single digits. These temperatures could
drop even more with ample snow fall north of the forecast area,
which would mitigate the modification of the cold air. The next good
chance for precip looks to be late next week, but models differ
quite a bit with that solution at this point, so will keep specifics
out for now.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 1230 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

Passing of upper shortwave has stripped away deeper moisture and
IFR/MVFR cigs from eastern KS and northwest MO. However, the MVFR
cigs remain extremely close to the terminals and should lie along and
south of an KIXD to Kirksville line this afternoon. Short range
models like the RUC and 12z NAM seem to have a decent handle on this.
Will allow MVFR cigs to move back into the Kansas City terminals late
this afternoon as next wave of precipitation spreads quickly
northeast from KS. Will likely see an hour or two of rain before
rapid transition to snow. As winds shift and increase from the northwest
this evening they will become quite gusty with blowing snow likely
persisting past midnight.

Should see VFR conditions return by mid Sunday morning as clouds scatter
out.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until Midnight CST tonight FOR KSZ025-
     057-103>105.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST
     Sunday FOR KSZ102.

MO...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until Midnight CST tonight FOR
     MOZ013>017-020>025-028>033-037>039-043-044.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST
     Sunday FOR MOZ001>008-011-012.

&&

UPDATE...MJ
SHORT TERM...Laflin
LONG TERM...Leighton
AVIATION...MJ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
546 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-041200-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
546 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
 AREA THIS MORNING. A FEW PATCHES OF FREEZING DRIZZLE OR LIGHT SLEET
 ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE NORTHERN KC METRO TO PRINCETON BEFORE 10
 AM...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE ON ELEVATED
 SURFACES.

 SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN KS AND FAR WESTERN MO THIS
 EVENING...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST THROUGH THE NIGHT. WIDESPREAD
 ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
 AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. BLOWING SNOW WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN
 MO AFTER 10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

 WIND CHILL VALUES SUNDAY AND MONDAY MORNINGS WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND
 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. THE COLDEST READINGS WILL BE ACROSS NORTHWEST
 MO AND FAR NORTHEAST KS.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF