Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 73, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 7, 2015, 3:35 PM CDT for Harrison County, Nodaway County, Worth County, Missouri. It was in force for 25 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 7, 2015, 3:35 PM CDT (20:35 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 7, 2015, 4:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 25 min
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.0 in
- Wind
- 50.0 mph
Counties Harrison County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Worth County, MO
The radar
The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 4:01 PM CDT | HAIL 1 | 2 N Grant City, MO | ESTIMATED 50 MPH WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN. SMALL LIMBS DOWN AND LEAVES COMING OFF TREES. |
| Jun 7, 4:10 PM CDT | HAIL 0.88 | Grant City, MO |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 3:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3434 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -32 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -7 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
391 WUUS53 KEAX 072035 SVREAX MOC081-147-227-072100- /O.NEW.KEAX.SV.W.0073.150607T2035Z-150607T2100Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 335 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN HARRISON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI... NORTHEASTERN NODAWAY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSOURI... NORTHERN WORTH COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSOURI... * UNTIL 400 PM CDT * AT 333 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BEDFORD...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... GRANT CITY AND ALLENDALE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS! && LAT...LON 4057 9416 4044 9416 4049 9472 4057 9473 TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 270DEG 30KT 4056 9461 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...<50MPH $$ CUTTER
1 follow-up statement
499 WWUS53 KEAX 072047 SVSEAX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015 MOC081-147-227-072100- /O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-150607T2100Z/ HARRISON MO-NODAWAY MO-WORTH MO- 347 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN WORTH...NORTHEASTERN NODAWAY AND NORTHWESTERN HARRISON COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT... AT 343 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF GRANT CITY...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... GRANT CITY AND ALLENDALE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS! && LAT...LON 4057 9416 4044 9416 4049 9472 4057 9473 TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 270DEG 30KT 4056 9448 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...<50MPH $$ CUTTER
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 7, 3:05 PM CDT, 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 7, 3:05 PM CDT, 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
305 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2015
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 305 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015
The main threat in the short term will revolve around thunderstorms
expected to develop this afternoon out ahead of a cold front across
northern Missouri and northeastern Kansas. With MLCAPE values of
2000-2500J/Kg...steep lapse rates...dewpoints around 70F...and
modest 0-6KM shear storms will have the potential to become severe.
The main threats will be large hail and damaging winds. However,
what may be the biggest threat will be the potential for flash and
river flooding. PWAT values this afternoon through tonight are
running in the 1.75"-2.00" range. Couple that with a slow moving
cold front dropping through the area, unidirectional shear
paralleling the front and very wet antecedent conditions and,
training storms producing heavy rain may be possible. This would
lead to flash flooding especially across eastern Kansas and western
Missouri where flash flood guidance is low as well as along swollen
area rivers where additional/continued river flooding would be
likely.
These storms are expected to slowly sink south tonight finally
exiting the area by tomorrow morning. However, after tomorrow
morning we finally get get a much welcome return to drying
conditions. The upper level trough will move through the region by
tomorrow morning leaving the area in benign northwest flow aloft.
Highs will be in the mid 80s. Tuesday, height rises and warm
southwesterly flow will allow highs to climb into the upper 80s to
lower 90s. Wednesday, the area moves under a low amplitude upper
level ridge of high pressure. However, that should still drive high
temperatures back into the upper 80s to lower 90s. Late
Wednesday/Wednesday night a weak back door cold front will be forced
into the area as an upper level trough moves from the Canadian
Plains into the northern Great lakes. This will bring the chance for
showers and thunderstorms late Wednesday into Wednesday night across
the northern CWA. This cold front will stall across the area on
Thursday and lift back northward. The area should remain capped
however a few thunderstorms can not be ruled out.
The active pattern looks to return to the region on Thursday night
as an upper level trough moves from the Great Basin into the eastern
Rockies and forces a cold front into the Plains. On Friday, that
upper trough moves into the central Plains and then into the Upper
Midwest leaving the cold front stalled across the CWA. Several
shortwaves moving in southwesterly flow aloft will be possible
Friday into Sunday providing the chance for several rounds of
thunderstorms with the quasi-stationary front as the focus.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday Afternoon)
Issued at 1245 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015
A slow moving cold front is dropping through northwest MO this
afternoon and will move through the terminals this evening. Out
ahead of this cold front thunderstorms are expected to develop btn
20Z-22Z and move into the terminals btn 22Z-00Z. Thunderstorms will
produce mod-hvy rain which will reduced vsbys to 4-5SM otrw cigs
should remain VFR around 4kft. The main line of storms will shift
south of the terminals btn 02Z-04Z with lgt rain with ocnl embedded
thunderstorms possible thru 06Z-08Z before pushing pcpn south of the
terminals. Winds will be out of the SW this afternoon around 10-15kts
with gusts to 20kts. FROPA will occur btn 02Z-04Z veering winds to
the NW btn 5-10kts.
&&
.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Monday morning FOR KSZ025-057-102>105.
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Monday morning FOR MOZ012>014-020>022-
028>030-037-038-043-044.
&&
DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...73Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 7, 5:07 AM CDT, 10 hours 28 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 507 AM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-081015- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS- ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER- HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON- CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON- RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS- COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 507 AM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS. DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINFALLS AND SATURATED SOILS...ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IN THESE SENSITIVE AREAS WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 7, 3:28 PM CDT, 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 328 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015 MOZ002-003-072100- NODAWAY MO-WORTH MO- 328 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN WORTH AND NORTHEASTERN NODAWAY COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT... AT 326 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR HOPKINS...OR 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF MARYVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE... GRANT CITY...SHERIDAN AND ALLENDALE. TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED ROADWAY. LAT...LON 4057 9423 4047 9423 4046 9483 4058 9485 TIME...MOT...LOC 2028Z 266DEG 33KT 4056 9471 CUTTER
The office that day
Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 3:36 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | EAX | Andrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Cass, Clay, Clinton and 7 more | 23 hr |
| Jun 7, 3:28 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Worth | 32 min |
| Jun 7, 3:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Harrison, Worth | 32 min |
| Jun 7, 5:03 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Schuyler | 12 min |
| Jun 7, 5:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Schuyler | 14 min |
| Jun 7, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Putnam, Sullivan | 36 min |
| Jun 7, 5:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Putnam, Schuyler, Sullivan | 26 min |
| Jun 7, 6:00 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Grundy | 30 min |
| Jun 7, 6:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Schuyler, Sullivan | 40 min |
| Jun 7, 6:40 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EAX | Adair, Daviess, Grundy, Harrison, Mercer, Putnam and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 7, 6:45 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EAX | Linn | 30 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.