Severe Thunderstorm Warning 225, NWS Kansas City, MO

788 
WWUS53 KEAX 290013
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
713 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

MOC005-290030-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0225.000000T0000Z-150729T0030Z/
ATCHISON MO-
713 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN ATCHISON COUNTY...

AT 713 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ROCK PORT...OR
10 MILES WEST OF TARKIO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TARKIO...ROCK PORT...ROCKPORT...WATSON AND PHELPS CITY. 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 29 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 111 AND 122.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4058 9546 4044 9536 4039 9564 4042 9566
      4043 9564 4046 9564 4046 9568 4047 9570
      4049 9568 4051 9569 4052 9566 4055 9566
      4058 9563
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 243DEG 20KT 4049 9556 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CDB

886 
WWUS53 KEAX 290030
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
730 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

MOC005-290039-
/O.EXP.KEAX.SV.W.0225.000000T0000Z-150729T0030Z/
ATCHISON MO-
730 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN ATCHISON COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 4058 9546 4044 9536 4039 9564 4042 9566
      4043 9564 4046 9564 4046 9568 4047 9570
      4049 9568 4051 9569 4052 9566 4055 9566
      4058 9563
TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 244DEG 18KT 4049 9556 

$$

CDB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
632 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 349 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

A frontal boundary extending from central Minnesota southwest into
central Kansas is poised to move into forecast area tonight. In
advance of this boundary another hot day was noted across the area
with air temperatures well into the 90s and heat index values in
excess of 105 at most locations.

An strong upper level low over the northern Plains should translate east
northeast into southern Canada tonight and tomorrow pushing a cold
front through the forecast area. On-going convection in Iowa
together with new development along the boundary should sag into
northern Missouri later this evening. Given high precipitable water
values (at or above 2 inches) and the antecedent soil conditions over
north central and northeast Missouri feel flash flood watch is
warranted. Models do seem fairly progressive with the boundary once
it begins to move south so greatest threat for heavy rain should be
confined to the late evening/overnight hours. Some severe storms are
also possible over northern Missouri as boundary provides focusing
mechanism for decent instability already in place. Further south and
west the threat for organized convection looks lower as better upper
dynamics pull into the Great Lakes region.

Frontal boundary should push through the area by tomorrow morning
providing for drier conditions and cooler temperatures. Afternoon
temperatures should be about 10 degrees cooler tomorrow than today
as surface high pressure settles into the region.

For the remainder of the week, the combination of building upper
level northwest flow and surface high pressure should provide for
seasonal temperatures and generally dry conditions.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 349 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

For the extended periods...Saturday through Tuesday... the region
will lie under deep layer northwest flow as the ridge continues its
hold over the western CONUS. As a result temperatures through the
period will be close to normal. At this time precip chances exist
nearly each day but POPs appear low as only low amplitude waves are
expected to move by in the northwest flow.

END

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 623 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

Line of thunderstorm activity expected to form north of the terminals
later this evening, and should stay north of the KC terminals,
however KSTJ will have a much better chance to see flight
restrictions due to convection in the vicinity of or right at the
terminal. Thunderstorm activity is anticipated to weaken as it moves
southward, so whether or not KMKC, KMCI, or KIXD will see convection
is unclear. Handled those sites with a TEMPO for possible convection
moving in later tonight. After 10z storm activity should cease, with
mid level clouds remaining for the next few hours. Frontal boundary
will move through tonight and along with the wind shift could bring
some high-based showers that could cause some sprinkly activity near
the terminals Wed afternoon.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING until 9 PM CDT this evening for KSZ057-
     060-103>105.

     HEAT ADVISORY until 9 PM CDT this evening for KSZ025-102.

MO...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING until 9 PM CDT this evening for MOZ028-
     029-037>040-043>046-053-054.

     HEAT ADVISORY until 9 PM CDT this evening for MOZ005>008-013>017-
     020>025-030>033.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Wednesday morning for MOZ003>008-
     015>017.

&&

SHORT TERM...Mitchell
LONG TERM...Pietrycha
AVIATION...Leighton

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
520 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-291030-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
520 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 HAZARDOUS HEAT THIS AFTERNOON WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 TO 110.

 A FEW STORMS TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...HAIL AND LOCALLY
 HEAVY RAINFALL.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

 NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO