Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 356, NWS Kansas City, MO

December 13, 2015Atchison County, Leavenworth County, Kansas

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Dec 13, 2015, 7:31 PM CST for Atchison County, Leavenworth County, Kansas. It took effect at Dec 14, 2015, 4:14 AM CST. It was in force for 37 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 13, 2015, 7:31 PM CST (01:31 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 14, 2015, 4:14 AM CST
Expired
Dec 15, 2015, 5:20 PM CST
In force
37 hr
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

Counties Atchison County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Stranger Creek at Easton (ESTK1).

Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
17 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
23 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06891850, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

171 
WGUS43 KEAX 140131
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED          
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
731 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015
  

...The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a 
flood warning for the following rivers in Kansas...

  Stranger Creek at Easton affecting Atchison and Leavenworth 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

KSC005-103-150131-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0356.151214T1014Z-151215T2320Z/
/ESTK1.2.ER.151214T1014Z.151214T1800Z.151214T2320Z.NO/
731 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Stranger Creek at Easton.
* from late tonight to Tuesday afternoon.
* At  6:30 PM Sunday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Monday morning and continue to
  rise to near 18.6 feet by early Monday afternoon. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* At 18.0 feet...1st street in easton and 231st street north and 
  south of easton begin to flood.
* At 17.0 feet...Water enters low-lying fields south of easton.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Stranger Creek
  Easton          17    9.0   Sun 06 PM   18.6 early Monday afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3947 9519 3948 9511 3920 9500 3918 9511

  

$$
2 follow-up statements
122 
WGUS83 KEAX 141210
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015
   

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Kansas...

  102 River at Maryville affecting Andrew and Nodaway Counties.

  102 River at Rosendale affecting Andrew and Buchanan Counties.

  Blackwater River at Valley City affecting Johnson and Pettis 
  Counties.

  Fishing River near Mosby affecting Clay and Ray Counties.

  Lamine River near Otterville affecting Cooper County.

  Missouri River at St Joseph affecting Doniphan...Andrew and Buchanan
  Counties.

  Nodaway River near Burlington Junction affecting Andrew...Holt and 
  Nodaway Counties.

  Petite Saline Creek near Boonville affecting Cooper County.

  Stranger Creek at Easton affecting Atchison and Leavenworth 
  Counties.

  Wakenda Creek at Carrollton affecting Carroll County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Kansas...

  Big Creek at Blairstown affecting Cass...Henry and Johnson 
  Counties.
  Blackwater River near Blue Lick affecting Cooper and Saline 
  Counties.
  Chariton River at Novinger affecting Adair...Macon...Putnam and 
  Schuyler Counties.
  Chariton River near Prairie Hill affecting Chariton and Macon 
  Counties.
  Crooked River near Richmond affecting Ray County.
  Grand River near Pattonsburg affecting Daviess and Gentry Counties.
  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston 
  Counties.
  Grand River near Sumner affecting Carroll...Chariton...Linn and 
  Livingston Counties.
  Missouri River at Atchison affecting Atchison...Buchanan and Platte
  Counties.
  Moniteau Creek near Fayette affecting Howard County.
  Platte River near Agency affecting Buchanan County.
  South Grand River at Urich affecting Bates...Cass and Henry 
  Counties.
  Tarkio River at Fairfax affecting Atchison and Holt Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC003-147-151210-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0349.000000T0000Z-151216T0918Z/
/MYVM7.2.ER.151213T2054Z.151214T0930Z.151215T0918Z.UU/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The 102 River at Maryville.
* until late Tuesday night.
* At  5:30 AM Monday the stage was 24.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...The east bank of the river floods. Water also 
  approaches the village of Arkoe.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

102 River
  Maryville       18   24.3   Mon 05 AM   23.0 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4057 9477 4013 9478 4013 9488 4057 9488

  

$$

MOC003-021-151209-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0350.000000T0000Z-151216T1800Z/
/RSDM7.2.ER.151214T0320Z.151214T1800Z.151215T1800Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The 102 River at Rosendale.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 10:42 PM Sunday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.3 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early Tuesday 
  afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...State Route 48 is flooded on the east and west sides
  of town which prevents travel in or out of town.
* At 19.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east and west sides of 
  Rosendale is under water.
* At 18.0 feet...State Route 48 on the east side of Rosendale is 
  overtopped by flood waters.
* At 13.0 feet...Lowland agricultural flooding begins.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

102 River
  Rosendale       18   18.7   Sun 11 PM   20.3 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4013 9488 4013 9478 3977 9471 3977 9480 4004 9486

  

$$

MOC037-083-101-151209-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0345.000000T0000Z-151216T1030Z/
/BLRM7.2.ER.151213T1905Z.151214T1100Z.151215T1030Z.UU/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek at Blairstown.
* until late Tuesday night.
* At  5:00 AM Monday the stage was 24.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is cresting and will fall below flood stage by 
  Tuesday morning.
* At 23.0 feet...Flooding occurs at the west approach to the N 
  Highway bridge located 0.2 miles west of Blairstown. Flooding also 
  occurs across B Highway near Big Creek which is several miles 
  northwest of Blairstown.
* At 20.0 feet...The west bank of the creek begins to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Big Creek
  Blairstown      20   24.4   Mon 05 AM   23.9 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3873 9422 3875 9416 3857 9394 3840 9384 3840 9391

  

$$

MOC101-159-151209-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0347.000000T0000Z-151216T0708Z/
/VLYM7.2.ER.151214T0313Z.151214T1100Z.151215T0708Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River at Valley City.
* until late Tuesday night.
* At  5:00 AM Monday the stage was 27.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will crest this morning then fall to below 
  flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...County Highway E near Valley City and Highway 23 
  near the Perry State Wildlife Area are under water.
* At 22.0 feet...Woodlands and farm fields along the river begin to 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Valley City     22   27.7   Mon 05 AM   26.7 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3882 9361 3882 9368 3891 9361 3899 9348

  

$$

MOC053-195-151209-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0348.000000T0000Z-151218T0930Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.151213T2153Z.151216T0000Z.151217T0930Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River near Blue Lick.
* until late Thursday night.
* At  5:45 AM Monday the stage was 28.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.5 feet by 
  Tuesday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday 
  morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Cropland and pastures along the river flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Blackwater River
  Blue Lick       24   28.1   Mon 06 AM   28.5 Tuesday evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3894 9342 3899 9348 3903 9297 3894 9295 3893 9323

  

$$

MOC001-121-171-197-151209-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0361.000000T0000Z-151215T1834Z/
/NVZM7.1.ER.151214T1120Z.151214T1800Z.151214T1834Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chariton River at Novinger.
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  5:45 AM Monday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage this afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...Farm fields along the river begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Chariton River
  Novinger        20   20.1   Mon 06 AM   20.5 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4042 9273 4042 9262 3997 9261 3997 9273

  

$$

MOC041-121-151209-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0346.000000T0000Z-151216T1407Z/
/PRIM7.1.ER.151214T0708Z.151214T1800Z.151215T1407Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chariton River near Prairie Hill.
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  5:45 AM Monday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.6 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Fields along the river begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Chariton River
  Prairie Hill    15   18.4   Mon 06 AM   18.6 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3997 9273 3997 9261 3960 9268 3927 9290 3933 9299

  

$$

MOC177-151209-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0351.000000T0000Z-151216T0340Z/
/RICM7.2.ER.151214T0401Z.151214T1800Z.151215T0340Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Crooked River near Richmond.
* until Tuesday evening.
* At  5:30 AM Monday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.9 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* At 21.0 feet...Water begins to overtop a gravel road about 1 mile 
  south of the F and B Highway intersection.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying rural roads along with cropland and 
  woodlands flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Crooked River
  Richmond        20   21.8   Mon 05 AM   21.9 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3935 9407 3938 9402 3932 9389 3928 9392

  

$$

MOC047-177-150835-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0354.000000T0000Z-151215T0835Z/
/MBYM7.1.ER.151213T2139Z.151214T0319Z.151214T0835Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fishing River near Mosby.
* until late tonight.
* At 10:47 PM Sunday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage 
  this morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Fields near Mosby flood and a low-water crossing on 
  west road is impassable.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Fishing River
  Mosby           18   21.9   Sun 11 PM   13.5 this morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3932 9433 3933 9431 3925 9415 3923 9417

  

$$

MOC061-075-151209-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0355.000000T0000Z-151216T1811Z/
/PATM7.1.ER.151214T0936Z.151215T0600Z.151215T1811Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Pattonsburg.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  5:30 AM Monday the stage was 26.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.7 feet by 
  early Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* At 25.0 feet...Low-lying farmland begins to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Pattonsburg     25   26.5   Mon 05 AM   28.7 early Tuesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4004 9400 3996 9410 4014 9445 4020 9433

  

$$

MOC115-117-151209-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0340.000000T0000Z-151218T1342Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.151214T0601Z.151215T0000Z.151217T1342Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Chillicothe.
* until Friday morning.
* At  5:45 AM Monday the stage was 29.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 32.2 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 24.0 feet...Low-lying cropland floods.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Chillicothe     24   29.7   Mon 06 AM   32.2 this evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367

  

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-151209-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0339.000000T0000Z-151220T0056Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.151214T0804Z.151215T1800Z.151219T0056Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Grand River near Sumner.
* until Saturday evening.
* At  5:45 AM Monday the stage was 31.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 34.7 feet by 
  early Tuesday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday evening.
* At 28.0 feet...Rural roads are under water.
* At 26.0 feet...Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage begins to 
  flood.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Grand River
  Sumner          26   31.7   Mon 06 AM   34.7 early Tuesday 
afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321 3951 9330

  

$$

MOC053-151209-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0342.000000T0000Z-151215T1704Z/
/OTTM7.1.ER.151214T0728Z.151214T1115Z.151214T1704Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lamine River near Otterville.
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  5:15 AM Monday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river is crestig and will fall to below flood stage by 
  early this afternoon.
* At 15.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields along the river 
  flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Lamine River
  Otterville      15   16.9   Mon 05 AM   14.7 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3869 9303 3887 9305 3894 9304 3894 9298 3869 9294

  

$$

KSC043-MOC003-021-151209-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0357.151214T1200Z-151219T2332Z/
/SJSM7.2.ER.151214T1125Z.151215T1200Z.151218T2332Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at St Joseph.
* from this morning to Saturday afternoon.
* At  5:30 AM Monday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.3 feet by 
  Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...A residential area in northwest St. Joseph begins to
  flood.
* At 21.0 feet...Riverfront Park in St. Joseph begins to flood.
* At 19.0 feet...Backwater from the Missouri River floods property 
  along the Nodaway river at Nodaway, Missouri.
* At 17.0 feet...Lowland flooding upstream and downstream from St. 
  Joseph occurs.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  St Joseph       17   17.1   Mon 05 AM   24.3 Tuesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3991 9501 3990 9489 3975 9483 3964 9488 3970 9505

  

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-151209-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0358.151215T0517Z-151219T1200Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.151215T0517Z.151217T0000Z.151218T1200Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missouri River at Atchison.
* from this evening to Saturday morning.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 25.0 
  feet Wednesday evening.
* At 25.0 feet...A castings plant in Atchison is affected by flood 
  waters.
* At 22.0 feet...Low-lying areas on the Missouri side of the river 
  begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Missouri River
  Atchison        22                      25.0 Wednesday evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3970 9505 3964 9488 3942 9493 3942 9508 3958 9516

  

$$

MOC089-151209-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0360.000000T0000Z-151215T1940Z/
/FYTM7.1.ER.151214T0509Z.151214T1300Z.151214T1940Z.UU/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Moniteau Creek near Fayette.
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  5:30 AM Monday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.9 feet by this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage this afternoon.
* At 16.0 feet...Low-lying fields along Moniteau Creek flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Moniteau Creek
  Fayette         16   18.0   Mon 05 AM   18.9 this morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3914 9259 3914 9252 3902 9256 3903 9262

  

$$

MOC003-087-147-151209-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0359.000000T0000Z-151215T1845Z/
/BRLM7.1.ER.151214T1739Z.151214T1800Z.151214T1845Z.UU/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Nodaway River near Burlington Junction.
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  5:45 AM Monday the stage was 21.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 23.1 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by this afternoon.
* At 23.0 feet...The river begins to flood farm fields.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Nodaway River
  Burlington Jun  23   21.3   Mon 06 AM   23.1 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4058 9507 4058 9500 4018 9503 4018 9512 4044 9512

  

$$

MOC021-151209-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0341.000000T0000Z-151218T1738Z/
/AGYM7.2.ER.151214T0955Z.151216T1200Z.151217T1738Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Platte River near Agency.
* until Friday morning.
* At  5:30 AM Monday the stage was 22.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.1 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Thursday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Flooding begins at the east border of Agency.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying areas east of Agency begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Platte River
  Agency          20   22.0   Mon 05 AM   27.1 Wednesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3977 9480 3977 9471 3951 9464 3941 9464 3941 9472

  

$$

MOC053-151209-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0343.000000T0000Z-151216T0343Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.151214T0616Z.151215T0000Z.151215T0343Z.UU/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Petite Saline Creek near Boonville.
* until Tuesday evening.
* At  5:30 AM Monday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.8 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying woodlands and fields near the creek flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Petite Saline Creek
  Boonville       16   17.1   Mon 05 AM   17.8 this evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3892 9280 3894 9264 3892 9250 3888 9252 3887 9279

  

$$

MOC013-037-083-151209-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0353.000000T0000Z-151216T1923Z/
/URHM7.2.ER.151213T2315Z.151214T1115Z.151215T1923Z.UU/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Grand River at Urich.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  5:15 AM Monday the stage was 27.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is cresting and will fall to below flood stage by 
  early Tuesday afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding occurs across locations within 0.5 to 1.5 
  miles of the river. Areas affected include low lying pastures along
  with cropland and secondary roads.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

South Grand River
  Urich           24   27.3   Mon 05 AM   26.5 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3849 9426 3847 9400 3837 9380 3832 9382 3843 9425

  

$$

KSC005-103-151209-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0356.000000T0000Z-151215T1837Z/
/ESTK1.1.ER.151214T1727Z.151214T1800Z.151214T1837Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Stranger Creek at Easton.
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  5:30 AM Monday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 17.2 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by this afternoon.
* At 17.0 feet...Water enters low-lying fields south of easton.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Stranger Creek
  Easton          17   14.8   Mon 05 AM   17.2 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3947 9519 3948 9511 3920 9500 3918 9511

  

$$

MOC005-087-151209-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0344.000000T0000Z-151216T1434Z/
/FFXM7.2.ER.151213T2358Z.151214T1800Z.151215T1434Z.NO/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tarkio River at Fairfax.
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  5:15 AM Monday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.9 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Levees in the vicinity of Fairfax are overtopped. 
  Flooding of farmland along with homesteads and roads occurs.
* At 19.0 feet...Flooding begins in the vicinity of Corning.
* At 18.0 feet...U.S. Highway 59 north of Fairfax begins to flood.
* At 17.0 feet...Low-lying farm fields begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Tarkio River
  Fairfax         17   23.6   Mon 05 AM   24.9 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4044 9543 4044 9534 4018 9538 4019 9546

  

$$

MOC033-151209-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0352.000000T0000Z-151216T0817Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.151214T0650Z.151215T0000Z.151215T0817Z.UU/
610 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wakenda Creek at Carrollton.
* until late Tuesday night.
* At  5:00 AM Monday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.1 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Tuesday 
  morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying undeveloped areas along the 
  creek begins.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Wakenda Creek
  Carrollton      16   16.4   Mon 05 AM   17.1 this evening
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3939 9356 3937 9328 3930 9328 3932 9359

  

$$
985 
WGUS83 KEAX 141504
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
904 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015
   

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Kansas...

  Stranger Creek at Easton affecting Atchison and Leavenworth 
  Counties.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

KSC005-103-141534-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0356.000000T0000Z-151215T1837Z/
/ESTK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
904 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Stranger Creek at Easton.
* At  8:30 AM Monday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 14.9 feet. The 
  river will continue to fall to 8.8 feet by Tuesday morning.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Stranger Creek
  Easton          17   14.6   Mon 08 AM   14.1 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3947 9519 3948 9511 3920 9500 3918 9511

  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 13, 5:45 PM CST, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 13, 5:45 PM CST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
545 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 254 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

It's another warm and wet mid-December day in Kansas and Missouri.
Bet you don't read those words often around this section of the
country! Rain that began last night, with the surge of moisture
ahead of a large trough shifting into the southern Plains, has
persisted through much of the day with lots of rain in the warm
sector ahead of the trough. Rainfall totals in some areas, far west
edge of Missouri west into Kansas, have already received over 2
inches of rain since it began last night. Models continue to
advertise this activity persisting well into the overnight hours
before we start to scatter the rain out as the dry slot sweeps in
under the lifting low. Do not see any reason to disagree with the
model consensus given the event thus far today.

Looking at the specifics a bit more, the upper level trough/cutoff
low driving todays activity has begun to lift through the southern
Plains as another trough drops into the West Coast behind it. This
looks to send the upper level low tracking right over Kansas City
late tonight on its way to Chicago Monday. Radar trends this morning
into the afternoon still show lots of rain streaming north, and the
expected low track does not look to bring the dry slot across our
section of the country until late tonight. As a result, big
adjustment to today's going forecast was to up the QPF totals in the
near term and keep higher end POPs lingering later into the
overnight hours. Current expectations are that as the dry slot moves
in this will disrupt the rain resulting in more scattered showers
and/or drizzle between midnight and sunrise Monday morning.
Confidence in how much activity is lingering past 12Z Monday is a
bit low, but there will be a little wrap around activity that should
keep rain going across far northern Missouri, especially the extreme
northwest corner, possibly through noon Monday. Additionally, while
surface temperatures wont drop below freezing, there is enough cold
air aloft to justify adding as brief mention of mix rain and snow
across that same extreme northwest corner of Missouri for a few
hours Monday morning, but there will be no accumulations. Otherwise
for Monday, expect cooler temperatures as cool air wraps in around
the exiting trough, keeping the afternoon highs limited to the 40s.

Tuesday on through the work week...is looking much drier. The
secondary trough diving into the West Coast today will eject out
into the Plains Tuesday into Wednesday, but the induced shortwave
ridging between the exiting system, and the mid-week system, will
allow temperatures to rebound a little from our cool Monday with
highs sneaking back into the 50s, and maybe around 60, across most
areas of eastern Kansas and Missouri for Tuesday, however the
passage of the next trough will also bring cooler air sliding back
to the south for the later half of the work week and into next
weekend. So, while temperatures will eventually drop later this week
and feel a bit more winter like, the passage of the trough Tuesday
night and Wednesday looks to be dry for our area as the
precipitation associated with it splits around eastern Kansas and
northwest Missouri.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday Evening)
Issued at 531 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

Challenging forecast. Upstream/current obs suggest periods of rain
with a mix of IFR to VFR ceilings over the next few hours. Vis has
improved and expect that general trend to continue as MCI/MKC/IXD
terminals remain on warm side of boundary. Steady rain should end
just before midnight outside of patchy drizzle or showers - and
enough models suggest that a window of VFR seems plausible.
Deformation area swings through just prior to sunrise and a return to
MVFR ceilings are expected, though no additional impacts from
precipitation are expected.

&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...Cutter
AVIATION...Blair
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 13, 5:24 AM CST, 14 hours 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
524 AM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-141130-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
524 AM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TODAY. EXPECT SOME AREA RIVERS
 AND STREAMS TO REACH FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

 NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 13, 8:18 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXDoniphan6 days
Dec 13, 8:18 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXAtchison5 days
Dec 14, 10:12 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXLeavenworth5 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.