River Flood Warning 295, NWS Kansas City, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1248 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 417 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2015

Decaying MCS ongoing across the far northern portions of Missouri
this morning, which is predominantly what remains of the severe
weather that occurred Saturday evening across southeast nebraska and
northwest Missouri. Expect this activity to gradually wind down as
we go into the Sunday morning time period. The main story for Sunday
will be the heat across areas along and south of the Missouri River,
along with perhaps another round of thunderstorms, this time for
areas along and south of HWY 36. With morning thunderstorms, as well
as cool outflow residing across northern Missouri, feel that areas
along and north of the river will evade the warmest temperatures on
Sunday. That being said, those areas could still see heat indices in
the 90s. Along and south of the MO River, including the KC Metro
area expect temperatures today to reach the lower to middle 90s, and
with dewpoints in the 70s expect these heat indices to approach or
surpass 100 degrees this afternoon. Accordingly a heat advisory has
been issued for the southern half of the CWA from noon until 9 pm.
There is a good chance that the heat advisory could end before the 9
pm expiration as a cold front and another round of thunderstorms
moves through the area later this afternoon and this evening. There
will be plenty of instability for these thunderstorms to work with,
and shear will likely be ample to aid in the development of isolated
organized updrafts. Hail, wind, and heavy rain, along with lightning
will be the primary threats with this activity as it moves
southward. With the southern portions of the CWA generally dry for
the last few weeks, the flooding threat isn't as high as areas
farther north. Should see a gradual end of the showers and
thunderstorms across the area through the day on Monday. For the
rest of the week the area becomes more under the influence of a
drier and cooler air mass, which should bring a somewhat inactive
period for the rest of the week, with temperatures in the 80s,
warming back up into the 90s for next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday Afternoon)
Issued at 1248 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2015

VFR conditions currently prevail at the terminals along the west
edge of Missouri even as showers waft across. Expect conditions to
remain VFR as clouds will be above 4000 feet. Will have to watch for
afternoon thunderstorms. but current expectations are that storms
will be south of the terminals so have simply gone with a VCTS for
now. Otherwise, expect surface winds to eventually come around to the
north and northeast overnight as a weak surface front drops through
the region overnight.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...HEAT ADVISORY until 9 PM CDT this evening for KSZ057-060.

MO...HEAT ADVISORY until 9 PM CDT this evening for MOZ039-040-043>046-
     053-054.

&&

DISCUSSION...Leighton
AVIATION...Cutter

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
446 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-101000-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
446 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN MO THIS MORNING BEFORE
 SHIFTING EASTWARD AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATING. LOCALIZED FLOODING AND
 WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

 SCATTERED STORMS MAY REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING
 ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...AND COULD
 PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND HAIL.

 HEAT INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE 102 TO 106 DEGREE RANGE
 THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

 NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1116 AM CDT SUN AUG 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1222 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BOLCKOW                 40.11N 94.82W
08/09/2015                   ANDREW             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN IN BOLCKOW NEAR ANN STREET WITH SOME OF THE
            TREE DAMAGE DOWN ON A CAR. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON REPORT
            AND RADAR.

&&

LG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1119 AM CDT SUN AUG 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1138 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MOUND CITY              40.14N 95.23W
08/08/2015                   HOLT               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL POWER LINES DOWN IN MOUND CITY. CORRECTED FOR
            LOCATION.

1140 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MOUND CITY              40.14N 95.23W
08/08/2015                   HOLT               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            6 INCHES WATER OVER ROAD AT US HWY 59, NEAR DAVIS CREEK

1153 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MOUND CITY              40.14N 95.23W
08/08/2015                   HOLT               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SHERIFF ESTIMATES 8 INCH WATER OVER ROUTE E AND US 59.

1202 AM     HAIL             OREGON                  39.98N 95.14W
08/09/2015  M1.00 INCH       HOLT               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SEVERAL 2 INCH LIMBS DOWN,
            FLOODING ON HWY 59.

1210 AM     TSTM WND GST     FILLMORE                40.03N 94.97W
08/09/2015  E60.00 MPH       ANDREW             MO   911 CALL CENTER

1210 AM     HAIL             FILLMORE                40.03N 94.97W
08/09/2015  E1.00 INCH       ANDREW             MO   911 CALL CENTER

1222 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BOLCKOW                 40.11N 94.82W
08/09/2015                   ANDREW             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN IN BOLCKOW NEAR ANN STREET WITH SOME OF THE
            TREE DAMAGE DOWN ON A CAR. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON REPORT
            AND RADAR.

1226 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SE BARNARD            40.14N 94.78W
08/09/2015                   NODAWAY            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER POLES SNAPPED AT US HWY 71 AND NODAWAY CO ROAD 400

1256 AM     TSTM WND GST     STANBERRY               40.22N 94.54W
08/09/2015  E60.00 MPH       GENTRY             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SMALL BRANCHES BREAKING

0120 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 N MARYVILLE           40.39N 94.87W
08/09/2015                   NODAWAY            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HWY 71 IMPASSIBLE DUE TO HIGH WATER OVER ROAD.

0120 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MARYVILLE               40.34N 94.87W
08/09/2015                   NODAWAY            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            4 INCHES OF RAIN OR MORE OVER MAIN ST.

0122 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E MARYVILLE           40.34N 94.83W
08/09/2015                   NODAWAY            MO   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM SOCIAL MEDIA...WATER RUNNING DOWN ROAD AND
            CREEK FILLING UP

0522 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PRINCETON               40.40N 93.59W
08/09/2015                   MERCER             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING ON HICKLAND STREET AND ADA STREET

&&

LG