Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 84, NWS Quad Cities, IA

December 14, 2015Hancock County, McDonough County, Illinois

NWS Quad Cities, IA issued this river flood warning at Dec 14, 2015, 9:59 AM CST for Hancock County, McDonough County, Illinois. It took effect at Dec 14, 2015, 2:00 PM CST. It was in force for 71 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 14, 2015, 9:59 AM CST (15:59 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 14, 2015, 2:00 PM CST
Expired
Dec 17, 2015, 1:12 PM CST
In force
71 hr
Issued by
NWS Quad Cities, IA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Hancock County, IL, McDonough County, IL

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point La Moine River at Colmar (CLMI2). The gauge peaked at 20.11 ft at Dec 16, 2015, 12:00 AM CST.

actionminormoderate10152012/1412/1512/1612/1712/18
Action stage
19 ft
Minor stage
20 ft
Moderate stage
22 ft
Major stage
24 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05584500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

852 
WGUS43 KDVN 141559
FLWDVN


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
959 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

.heavy rainfall over the weekend has caused rapid rises
on area rivers.

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

ILC195-150359-
/O.NEW.KDVN.FL.W.0081.151215T2136Z-151220T0600Z/
/CMOI2.1.ER.151215T2136Z.151216T1200Z.151218T1800Z.NO/
959 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning in effect until Friday...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a
* Flood Warning for
  The Rock River at Como.
* Until Friday.
* At  9:30 AM Monday the stage was 7.3 feet...And rising.
* Flood stage is  10 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Tuesday...and continue rising to 
  10.6 feet Wednesday morning. Fall below flood stage Friday.

&&

LAT...LON 4169 9002 4163 8999 4175 8963 4183 8963
      4181 8975                       

$$

ILC073-161-195-150359-
/O.NEW.KDVN.FL.W.0082.151215T1200Z-151222T1800Z/
/JOSI2.1.ER.151215T1200Z.151216T1800Z.151221T0600Z.NO/
959 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning in effect until Monday morning...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a
* Flood Warning for
  The Rock River near Joslin.
* Until Monday morning.
* At  9:30 AM Monday the stage was 9.9 feet...And rising.
* Flood stage is  12 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Tuesday morning...and continue 
  rising to 13.8 feet Wednesday. Fall below flood stage Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At  13.7 feet...Water affects Barstow Road between Barstow
  and Osborn.

&&

LAT...LON 4152 9032 4148 9027 4163 8999 4169 9002


$$

ILC073-161-150359-
/O.NEW.KDVN.FL.W.0083.151215T1600Z-151220T0600Z/
/MLII2.1.ER.151215T1600Z.151216T1200Z.151218T1800Z.NO/
959 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning in effect until Friday...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a
* Flood Warning for
  The Rock River at Moline.
* Until Friday.
* At  9:30 AM Monday the stage was 10.4 feet...And rising.
* Flood stage is  12 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Tuesday morning...and continue 
  rising to 12.8 feet Wednesday morning. Fall below flood stage 
  Friday.
* Impact...At  12.5 feet...Water affects some residences in the lower
  Friendship Farm area.

&&

LAT...LON 4148 9061 4145 9064 4144 9043 4148 9027
      4152 9032                       

$$

ILC067-109-150359-
/O.NEW.KDVN.FL.W.0084.151214T2000Z-151217T1912Z/
/CLMI2.1.ER.151214T2000Z.151215T1200Z.151216T0712Z.NO/
959 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning in effect until Wednesday morning...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a
* Flood Warning for
  The La Moine River at Colmar.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 19.4 feet...And rising.
* Flood stage is  20 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this afternoon...and continue
  rising to 21.0 feet Tuesday morning. Fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At  20.0 feet...Water affects the lowest portions of 
  Lambert Road and affects Lamar Road approximately 100 feet north 
  of the intersection with County Road 26.

&&

LAT...LON 4043 9093 4041 9102 4013 9072 4013 9066
      4024 9074                       

$$

haase
3 follow-up statements
513 
WGUS43 KDVN 141619 CCA
FLWDVN


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
959 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

.Heavy rainfall over the weekend has caused rapid rises
on area rivers.

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

ILC195-150359-
/O.COR.KDVN.FL.W.0081.151215T2136Z-151220T0600Z/
/CMOI2.1.ER.151215T2136Z.151216T1200Z.151218T1800Z.NO/
959 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning in effect until Friday...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a
* Flood Warning for
  The Rock River at Como.
* Until Friday.
* At  9:30 AM Monday the stage was 7.3 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  10 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Tuesday...and continue rising to 
  10.6 feet Wednesday morning. Fall below flood stage Friday.

&&

LAT...LON 4169 9002 4163 8999 4175 8963 4183 8963
      4181 8975                       

$$

ILC073-161-195-150359-
/O.COR.KDVN.FL.W.0082.151215T1200Z-151222T1800Z/
/JOSI2.1.ER.151215T1200Z.151216T1800Z.151221T0600Z.NO/
959 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning in effect until Monday morning...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a
* Flood Warning for
  The Rock River near Joslin.
* Until Monday morning.
* At  9:30 AM Monday the stage was 9.9 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  12 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Tuesday morning...and continue 
  rising to 13.8 feet Wednesday. Fall below flood stage Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At  13.7 feet...Water affects Barstow Road between Barstow
  and Osborn.

&&

LAT...LON 4152 9032 4148 9027 4163 8999 4169 9002


$$

ILC073-161-150359-
/O.COR.KDVN.FL.W.0083.151215T1600Z-151220T0600Z/
/MLII2.1.ER.151215T1600Z.151216T1200Z.151218T1800Z.NO/
959 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning in effect until Friday...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a
* Flood Warning for
  The Rock River at Moline.
* Until Friday.
* At  9:30 AM Monday the stage was 10.4 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  12 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Tuesday morning...and continue 
  rising to 12.8 feet Wednesday morning. Fall below flood stage 
  Friday.
* Impact...At  12.5 feet...Water affects some residences in the lower
  Friendship Farm area.

&&

LAT...LON 4148 9061 4145 9064 4144 9043 4148 9027
      4152 9032                       

$$

ILC067-109-150359-
/O.COR.KDVN.FL.W.0084.151214T2000Z-151217T1912Z/
/CLMI2.1.ER.151214T2000Z.151215T1200Z.151216T0712Z.NO/
959 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning in effect until Wednesday morning...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a
* Flood Warning for
  The La Moine River at Colmar.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 19.4 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  20 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this afternoon...and continue
  rising to 21.0 feet Tuesday morning. Fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At  20.0 feet...Water affects the lowest portions of 
  Lambert Road and affects Lamar Road approximately 100 feet north 
  of the intersection with County Road 26.

&&

LAT...LON 4043 9093 4041 9102 4013 9072 4013 9066
      4024 9074                       

$$

haase
321 
WGUS83 KDVN 142108
FLSDVN


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

.Updated information for the Wapsipinicon...Iowa...Cedar...English...North
Skunk...Des Moines...Rock and La Moine rivers. 

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

IAC045-163-151308-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DEWI4.2.ER.151214T1933Z.151220T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wapsipinicon River near De Witt 4S.
* Until further notice.
* At  2:30 PM Monday the stage was 11.1 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  11 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise to 12.1 feet Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At  12.5 feet...Water affects old U.S. Highway 61 near the
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4200 9090 4185 9090 4171 9080 4169 9035
      4177 9033 4184 9071             

$$

IAC031-115-139-151307-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0077.151215T0651Z-000000T0000Z/
/CNEI4.2.ER.151215T0651Z.151220T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cedar River near Conesville.
* Until further notice.
* At  2:00 PM Monday the stage was 11.3 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  13 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Tuesday morning...and continue 
  rising to 14.4 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At  15.0 feet...Water affects Saulsbury Road.

&&

LAT...LON 4164 9121 4135 9139 4129 9132 4157 9106
      4170 9110                       

$$

IAC095-151307-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MROI4.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151221T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River at Marengo.
* Until further notice.
* At  2:00 PM Monday the stage was 17.0 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  14 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Forecast...Rise to 17.2 feet Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At  18.0 feet...Water breaches the mill race dikes near 
  Middle Amana affecting the Amana Refrigeration parking lot and 
  southeast exterior of the plant.

&&

LAT...LON 4182 9230 4176 9197 4175 9183 4182 9183
      4187 9230                       

$$

IAC115-151307-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0078.151215T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/CJTI4.2.ER.151215T1500Z.151221T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River at Columbus Jct.
* Until further notice.
* At  2:00 PM Monday the stage was 16.9 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  19 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Tuesday morning...and continue 
  rising to 21.1 feet Thursday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4127 9138 4122 9130 4125 9127 4136 9138
      4133 9142                       

$$

IAC115-151307-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0079.151215T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/WAPI4.2.ER.151215T1200Z.151221T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River at Wapello.
* Until further notice.
* At  2:00 PM Monday the stage was 17.6 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  20 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Tuesday morning...and continue 
  rising to 22.9 feet Thursday morning.
* Impact...At  22.0 feet...Water affects residences near the U.S. 
  Highway 61 bridge.

&&

LAT...LON 4111 9117 4119 9111 4125 9127
      4122 9130                                 

$$

IAC115-151307-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0080.151215T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/OKVI4.2.ER.151215T1800Z.151221T0600Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Iowa River at Oakville.
* Until further notice.
* At  2:00 PM Monday the stage was 7.4 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  10 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Tuesday...and continue rising to 
  11.9 feet Thursday.

&&

LAT...LON 4111 9117 4108 9110 4109 9103
      4115 9102 4117 9106 4119 9111             

$$

IAC103-183-151307-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-151219T0218Z/
/KALI4.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151215T1800Z.151217T1418Z.NO/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The English River at Kalona.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At  2:00 PM Monday the stage was 16.8 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  14 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 17.7 feet Tuesday. Fall below flood stage 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At  17.0 feet...Water begins going over several county 
  roads, including 13th St, Kiwi Ave, Orange Ave and Poplar Ave.

&&

LAT...LON 4151 9194 4148 9194 4144 9173 4146 9152
      4152 9153                       

$$

IAC107-151307-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-151220T0655Z/
/SIGI4.2.ER.000000T0000Z.151217T0000Z.151218T1855Z.NO/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until Friday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Skunk River near Sigourney.
* Until Friday.
* At  2:30 PM Monday the stage was 19.9 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  16 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Rise to 20.4 feet Tuesday. Fall below flood stage 
  Friday.
* Impact...At  18.0 feet...Water affects most agricultural land near 
  Sigourney.

&&

LAT...LON 4124 9206 4126 9201 4131 9213 4134 9240
      4129 9240                       

$$

IAC177-151307-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-151217T0748Z/
/KEQI4.1.ER.151214T1250Z.151214T1630Z.151215T1948Z.NO/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Tuesday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Des Moines River at Keosauqua.
* Until Tuesday.
* At  2:15 PM Monday the stage was 22.8 feet...and steady.
* Flood stage is  22 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...Remain steady near 23.0 feet this evening then begin
  falling. Fall below flood stage Tuesday.
* Impact...At  22.0 feet...Water affects low-lying agricultural 
  areas.

&&

LAT...LON 4091 9218 4081 9218 4061 9185 4061 9172
      4070 9172                       

$$

IAC111-MOC045-151307-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-151218T1030Z/
/SFLM7.2.ER.151214T1412Z.151215T0600Z.151216T2230Z.NO/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Wednesday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Des Moines River at St Francisville.
* Until Wednesday.
* At  2:15 PM Monday the stage was 21.3 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  18 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise to 22.7 feet Tuesday morning. Fall below flood 
  stage Wednesday.
* Impact...At  22.0 feet...Water rises over the higher river banks.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 9172 4061 9185 4035 9147 4040 9139
      4069 9172                       

$$

ILC195-151307-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FL.W.0081.151215T1923Z-151220T0600Z/
/CMOI2.1.ER.151215T1923Z.151216T1200Z.151218T1800Z.NO/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning now in effect until Friday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River at Como.
* Until Friday.
* At  2:30 PM Monday the stage was 8.0 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  10 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Tuesday...and continue rising to 
  10.6 feet Wednesday morning. Fall below flood stage Friday.

&&

LAT...LON 4169 9002 4163 8999 4175 8963 4183 8963
      4181 8975                       

$$

ILC073-161-195-151307-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0082.151215T1200Z-151222T1800Z/
/JOSI2.1.ER.151215T1200Z.151216T1800Z.151221T0600Z.NO/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River near Joslin.
* Until Monday morning.
* At  2:30 PM Monday the stage was 10.2 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  12 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Tuesday morning...and continue 
  rising to 13.8 feet Wednesday. Fall below flood stage Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At  13.7 feet...Water affects Barstow Road between Barstow
  and Osborn.

&&

LAT...LON 4152 9032 4148 9027 4163 8999 4169 9002


$$

ILC073-161-151307-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0083.151215T1600Z-151220T0600Z/
/MLII2.1.ER.151215T1600Z.151216T1200Z.151218T1800Z.NO/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until Friday...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River at Moline.
* Until Friday.
* At  2:30 PM Monday the stage was 10.4 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  12 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage Tuesday morning...and continue 
  rising to 12.8 feet Wednesday morning. Fall below flood stage 
  Friday.
* Impact...At  12.5 feet...Water affects some residences in the lower
  Friendship Farm area.

&&

LAT...LON 4148 9061 4145 9064 4144 9043 4148 9027
      4152 9032                       

$$

ILC067-109-151307-
/O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-151217T1912Z/
/CLMI2.1.ER.151214T2213Z.151215T1200Z.151216T0712Z.NO/
308 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...Flood Warning remains in effect until Wednesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The La Moine River at Colmar.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At  2:45 PM Monday the stage was 19.9 feet...and rising.
* Flood stage is  20 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage this afternoon...and continue
  rising to 21.0 feet Tuesday morning. Fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At  20.0 feet...Water affects the lowest portions of 
  Lambert Road and affects Lamar Road approximately 100 feet north 
  of the intersection with County Road 26.

&&

LAT...LON 4043 9093 4041 9102 4013 9072 4013 9066
      4024 9074                       

$$
029 
WGUS43 KDVN 150250
FLWDVN


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
850 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

.Updated information for flooding along the La Moine River.

River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for
the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an 
alternate route. Turn around, don't drown.

&&

ILC067-109-150320-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-151217T1912Z/
/CLMI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

* At 7:45 PM Monday the stage was 19.8 feet...and steady.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* No flooding is occurring...and no flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Cresting below flood stage tonight and forecast to 
  to fall to 18.6 feet Wednesday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4043 9093 4041 9102 4013 9072 4013 9066
      4024 9074                       

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Quad Cities, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 14, 6:24 AM CST, 3 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 14, 6:24 AM CST, 3 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
624 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 612 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

RADAR TRENDS SHOW PRECIP SHUTTING DOWN ACROSS MISSOURI. WATER
VAPOR HAS A DRY SLOT MOVING NORTHEAST SO THE REMAINING SHOWERS
WILL BE EVENTUALLY SHUTTING DOWN. FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO
TREND TOWARD THIS SCENARIO.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 305 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

06Z SFC DATA HAS THE STRONG SFC LOW NEAR KOOA WITH THE COLD FRONT
RUNNING FROM THE LOW TO NEAR KEVV. DEW POINTS AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT WERE IN THE 50S AND WERE IN THE 30S AND 40S ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 305 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

EARLY MORNING DATA INDICATES RECORD HIGHS WERE AGAIN ACHIEVED AT
DUBUQUE AND CEDAR RAPIDS. REFER TO THE CLIMATE SECTION FOR SPECIFIC
INFORMATION.

BASED ON RADAR TRENDS...THE WIDESPREAD RAIN BECOMES MORE SHOWERY
ONCE THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THUS THE WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL
SLOWLY BREAK UP FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH SUNRISE ACROSS THE SOUTH
HALF OF THE AREA...AND THE NORTH HALF DURING THE MORNING HOURS.

DURING THE AFTERNOON...THE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY
END ACROSS THE AREA RESULTING IN MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS BY SUNSET.

THE CURRENT OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE ACHIEVED AT 8 AM THIS MORNING.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL ONLY BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE THE
OVERNIGHT LOWS.

TONIGHT...DRY AND MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN ACROSS THE
AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSE TO THE NORMAL HIGHS FOR MID
DECEMBER.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

DRY TO MOSTLY DRY WITH COOLING TREND TO NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES
BY LATE IN THE WEEK.

LONG TERM FORECAST CONFIDENCE ASSESSMENT...GOOD OR ABOVE AVERAGE
WITH LITTLE SENSIBLE WEATHER ISSUES. MAIN ISSUE IS NORMAL DIURNAL
TEMPERATURES RANGES WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS POSSIBLY AT
LEAST 3 DEGREES TOO MILD FOR LOWS.

OVERVIEW...INITIALIZATION AND VERIFICATION FAIR WITH MOST SOLUTIONS
TOO MOIST AND ALSO TOO WIDESPREAD AND HIGH ON QPF AMOUNTS. CONSISTENCE
AGAIN SUGGEST AT LEAST A 65/35 WEIGHTING OF HI-RES ECMWF TO GFS.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY AND STILL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WITH CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES WITH PASSING WAVE
TO THE NORTH. HIGHS IN THE 40S WITH LOWS IN THE 30S FALLING INTO THE
UPPER 20S ON THURSDAY AM WITH CLEARING SKIES.

THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SEASONABLY COLD AS NORTHWEST FLOW BRINGS
IN COLDER AIR. UNDER FAIR TO MOSTLY SKIES HIGHS 25 TO 35 WITH LOWS
15 TO 25. LOWS MAY NEED TO BE COLDER WHEN SURFACE HIGH PASSES OVERHEAD.

SUNDAY,,,LOW CONFIDENCE AS POPS APPEAR TOO HIGH NEXT FRONT APPROACHES.
SOUTH WINDS SUGGEST ONCE AGAIN ANY PRECIPITATION WOULD BE IN THE FORM
OF RAIN.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 612 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

CONDITIONS RANGE FROM MVFR TO VFR AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO
WESTERN WISCONSIN. CONDITIONS SHOULD SLOWLY DETERIORATE BACK TO
MVFR AS WRAP AROUND CLOUDS MOVE INTO EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHERN
ILLINOIS. THE SHOWERS ALONG/EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI WILL SLOWLY
DISSIPATE THROUGH 18Z/14.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ISSUED AT 305 PM CST MON DEC 14 2015

RECORD HIGHS FOR DECEMBER 14...

MOLINE.........61 IN 1975
CEDAR RAPIDS...58 IN 2006
DUBUQUE........55 IN 1975
BURLINGTON.....62 IN 2008 AND EARLIER

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...08
SYNOPSIS...08
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM...NICHOLS
AVIATION...08
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 14, 4:11 AM CST, 5 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
411 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-151015-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
411 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AREA RIVERS ARE EXPERIENCING FLOODING. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST
FLOOD STATEMENTS AND FLOOD WARNINGS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 14, 8:59 AM CST, 1 hour before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
859 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S PRINCETON           41.37N 89.47W
12/14/2015  E2.15 INCH       BUREAU             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DEC 13 24 HOUR TOTAL.

&&
Local storm report, Dec 14, 9:00 AM CST, 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
900 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 W CEDAR RAPIDS        41.98N 91.71W
12/14/2015  M2.46 INCH       LINN               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL.

&&
Local storm report, Dec 14, 9:06 AM CST, 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
906 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WNW MORRISON          41.81N 89.98W
12/14/2015  M2.55 INCH       WHITESIDE          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&
Local storm report, Dec 14, 9:15 AM CST, 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
915 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0914 AM     HEAVY RAIN       W CANTRIL               40.64N 92.07W
12/14/2015  M2.00 INCH       VAN BUREN          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNW NORTH LIBERTY     41.76N 91.62W
12/14/2015  M2.00 INCH       JOHNSON            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL FOR EVENT.

&&
Local storm report, Dec 14, 9:19 AM CST, 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
919 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0914 AM     HEAVY RAIN       W CANTRIL               40.64N 92.07W
12/14/2015  M2.00 INCH       VAN BUREN          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0905 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WNW MORRISON          41.81N 89.98W
12/14/2015  M2.55 INCH       WHITESIDE          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNW NORTH LIBERTY     41.76N 91.62W
12/14/2015  M2.00 INCH       JOHNSON            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL FOR EVENT.

0853 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 ENE FREEPORT          42.32N 89.57W
12/14/2015  M2.05 INCH       STEPHENSON         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0845 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 W CEDAR RAPIDS        41.98N 91.71W
12/14/2015  M2.46 INCH       LINN               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL.

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SSE SHANNON             42.15N 89.74W
12/14/2015  M2.11 INCH       CARROLL            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 S LADORA              41.71N 92.18W
12/14/2015  M3.45 INCH       IOWA               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR. SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH 800 AM MONDAY.

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SSE SCHAPVILLE        42.37N 90.18W
12/14/2015  M2.09 INCH       JO DAVIESS         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0750 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NW ERIE                 41.66N 90.08W
12/14/2015  M1.80 INCH       WHITESIDE          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0750 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 ESE KEOSAUQUA         40.72N 91.92W
12/14/2015  M2.00 INCH       VAN BUREN          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0750 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ELDRIDGE                41.64N 90.57W
12/14/2015  M1.63 INCH       SCOTT              IA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            EVENT TOTAL.

0730 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 E CANTRIL             40.64N 91.98W
12/14/2015  M2.00 INCH       VAN BUREN          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0725 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WSW SHERRARD          41.31N 90.53W
12/14/2015  M1.32 INCH       MERCER             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0725 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 ENE CHARLIE HEATH MEM 40.60N 91.84W
12/14/2015  M2.00 INCH       CLARK              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0715 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 SSE ELMOVILLE         42.19N 90.02W
12/14/2015  M1.95 INCH       CARROLL            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0715 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 W MOUNT PLEASANT      40.97N 91.63W
12/14/2015  E1.37 INCH       HENRY              IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BETWEEN 1.25 AND 1.49 INCHES.

0715 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NW BUSHNELL             40.56N 90.51W
12/14/2015  M1.70 INCH       MCDONOUGH          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0715 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 W BETTENDORF          41.56N 90.49W
12/14/2015  M1.55 INCH       SCOTT              IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0709 AM     HEAVY RAIN       GALENA                  42.42N 90.43W
12/14/2015  M2.00 INCH       JO DAVIESS         IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0709 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ESE MUSCATINE         41.41N 91.06W
12/14/2015  M2.25 INCH       MUSCATINE          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BRIGHTON                41.17N 91.82W
12/14/2015  M2.04 INCH       WASHINGTON         IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            48 HR TOTAL.

0645 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 W MAQUOKETA           42.07N 90.74W
12/14/2015  M1.86 INCH       JACKSON            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HR TOTAL.

0640 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NNE STOCKTON          42.39N 89.98W
12/14/2015  M2.00 INCH       JO DAVIESS         IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0640 AM     HEAVY RAIN       WASHINGTON              41.30N 91.69W
12/14/2015  M1.28 INCH       WASHINGTON         IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0630 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SSW CENTER JUNCTION   42.08N 91.11W
12/14/2015  M2.85 INCH       JONES              IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SSW LADORA            41.73N 92.20W
12/14/2015  M4.06 INCH       IOWA               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 AM     HEAVY RAIN       WILLIAMSBURG            41.67N 92.01W
12/14/2015  M1.82 INCH       IOWA               IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0630 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ENE ANAMOSA           42.12N 91.27W
12/14/2015  M2.90 INCH       JONES              IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2.90 INCH STORM TOTAL RAINFALL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 N DAVENPORT           41.64N 90.60W
12/14/2015  M1.64 INCH       SCOTT              IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            QUAD CITIES NWS OFFICE COOP STATION.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 W DUBUQUE REGIONAL AI 42.40N 90.74W
12/14/2015  M1.69 INCH       DUBUQUE            IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       CEDAR RAPIDS MUNICIPAL  41.88N 91.72W
12/14/2015  M1.87 INCH       LINN               IA   ASOS

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DUBUQUE REGIONAL AIRPOR 42.40N 90.72W
12/14/2015  M1.87 INCH       DUBUQUE            IA   ASOS

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BURLINGTON REGIONAL AIR 40.78N 91.13W
12/14/2015  M1.56 INCH       DES MOINES         IA   ASOS

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DAVENPORT MUNICIPAL AIR 41.62N 90.58W
12/14/2015  M1.48 INCH       SCOTT              IA   ASOS

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       IOWA CITY MUNICIPAL AIR 41.63N 91.55W
12/14/2015  M1.41 INCH       JOHNSON            IA   ASOS

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MOLINE QUAD-CITY AIRPOR 41.45N 90.50W
12/14/2015  M1.28 INCH       ROCK ISLAND        IL   ASOS

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MEMPHIS                 40.46N 92.17W
12/14/2015  M1.75 INCH       SCOTLAND           MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NORTH ENGLISH           41.52N 92.08W
12/14/2015  M2.03 INCH       IOWA               IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N MUSCATINE           41.45N 91.07W
12/14/2015  M1.59 INCH       MUSCATINE          IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NE COLUSA             40.59N 91.14W
12/14/2015  E1.62 INCH       HANCOCK            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BETWEEN 1.50 AND 1.74 INCHES.

0545 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 E INDEPENDENCE        42.47N 91.88W
12/14/2015  M3.20 INCH       BUCHANAN           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAINFALL TOTAL SO FAR.

0436 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 WNW DUBUQUE           42.52N 90.72W
12/14/2015  M1.25 INCH       DUBUQUE            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR.

0425 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSE CEDAR RAPIDS      41.95N 91.66W
12/14/2015  M2.40 INCH       LINN               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR.

0419 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SE OELWEIN            42.63N 91.86W
12/14/2015  M3.11 INCH       BUCHANAN           IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR.

0416 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST OLIN                    42.00N 91.14W
12/14/2015  M51.00 MPH       JONES              IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DELAYED REPORT.

0345 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SSE CEDAR RAPIDS      41.95N 91.66W
12/14/2015  E50.00 MPH       LINN               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED 45 TO 50 MPH

0344 AM     HEAVY RAIN       WNW PARNELL             41.58N 92.01W
12/14/2015  M2.40 INCH       IOWA               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR.

0332 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST CEDAR RAPIDS MUNICIPAL  41.88N 91.72W
12/14/2015  M58.00 MPH       LINN               IA   ASOS

            FROM ASOS

0312 AM     HEAVY RAIN       W BELLE PLAINE          41.90N 92.28W
12/14/2015  M3.00 INCH       BENTON             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR.

0100 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S PRINCETON           41.37N 89.47W
12/14/2015  E2.15 INCH       BUREAU             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DEC 13 24 HOUR TOTAL.

&&
Local storm report, Dec 14, 9:43 AM CST, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
943 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSW NORTH LIBERTY     41.73N 91.62W
12/14/2015  M1.91 INCH       JOHNSON            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EVENT TOTAL AS OF 845 AM IS 1.91 INCHES.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Quad Cities, IA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 14, 9:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningDVNWhiteside6 days
Dec 14, 9:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningDVNHenry, Rock Island, Whiteside8 days
Dec 14, 9:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningDVNHenry, Rock Island6 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.