Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2015

Gale Warning 13, NWS Detroit, MI

March 29, 2015

NWS Detroit, MI issued this gale warning at Mar 29, 2015, 4:25 AM EDT. It took effect at Mar 29, 2015, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 28 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 29, 2015, 4:25 AM EDT (08:25 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 29, 2015, 12:00 PM EDT
Expired
Mar 30, 2015, 3:43 PM EDT
In force
28 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

428 
WHUS73 KDTX 290825
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
425 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...SOUTHWEST GALES TODAY THEN NORTHWEST GALES TONIGHT AND
MONDAY...

.A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SAGINAW BAY AND CENTRAL LAKE HURON 
TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
NORTH THIRD OF LAKE HURON. SOUTHWEST GALES WILL DEVELOP AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES TODAY. THIS
WILL BE FOLLOWED BY NORTHWEST GALES OVER THE NORTH HALF OF LAKE
HURON BEHIND THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. IMPROVED CONDITIONS WILL TAKE HOLD BENEATH HIGH
PRESSURE MONDAY NIGHT.

LHZ463-290930-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.A.0012.150329T2000Z-150330T0300Z/
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
425 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
GALE WATCH. 

$$

LHZ363-421-422-441-462-292030-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0012.150329T2000Z-150330T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0013.150329T1600Z-150330T0400Z/
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
425 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS
  UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. THE
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM
  SUNDAY.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ362-292030-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0012.150329T2000Z-150330T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0013.150329T1600Z-150330T2200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
425 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS
  UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KNOTS. THE
  LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET WITH A
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM MONDAY WITH
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM MONDAY.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361-292030-
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0013.150329T1600Z-150330T2200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
425 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM MONDAY WITH 
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

BT
5 follow-up statements
652 
WHUS73 KDTX 291145
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
745 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...SOUTHWEST GALES TODAY THEN NORTHWEST GALES TONIGHT AND
MONDAY...

.A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SAGINAW BAY AND CENTRAL LAKE HURON 
TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
NORTH THIRD OF LAKE HURON. SOUTHWEST GALES WILL DEVELOP AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES TODAY. THIS
WILL BE FOLLOWED BY NORTHWEST GALES OVER THE NORTH HALF OF LAKE
HURON BEHIND THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. IMPROVED CONDITIONS WILL TAKE HOLD BENEATH HIGH
PRESSURE MONDAY NIGHT.


LHZ363-421-422-441-462-292345-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0013.150329T1600Z-150330T0400Z/
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
745 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM
  TODAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361-362-292345-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0013.150329T1600Z-150330T2200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
745 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT
MONDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM MONDAY WITH
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM MONDAY.

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-292345-
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0078.150329T1600Z-150330T0400Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
745 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM
  TODAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

BT
697 
WHUS73 KDTX 291959
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
359 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER LAKE HURON...

.A GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF LAKE HURON WITH UPSTREAM 
OBSERVATIONS OVER LAKE MICHIGAN SUPPORTING MOSTLY GUSTS TO GALE 
FORCE AS OF 300 PM. THE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT INTO TONIGHT FOR 
ALL OF THE LAKE AS SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE AHEAD OF A 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS ONTARIO. THE WARNING WILL THEN 
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN THIRD OF LAKE HURON OVERNIGHT AND 
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON AS WINDS FLIP TO THE NORTHWEST. COLDER AIR 
SPILLING INTO THE AREA WILL ALLOW STRONGER WIND GUSTS TO MIX DOWN TO 
THE SURFACE...CONTINUING THE THREAT FOR GALES OVER THE NORTHERN 
PORTION OF THE LAKE AND ALLOWING GUSTS TO REACH ABOUT 30 KNOTS FOR 
THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF LAKE HURON.

FURTHER TO THE SOUTH...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR 
LAKE ST CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE...WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS 
EXPECTED THIS EVENING. 

BRIEF RIDGING WILL THEN ALLOW FOR LIGHTER WINDS ACROSS ALL OF THE 
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES MONDAY EVENING BEFORE THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM 
DOES NOT LOOK TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS.

LHZ442-443-300400-
/O.UPG.KDTX.SC.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-150330T0400Z/
/O.EXA.KDTX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150330T0400Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
359 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM SUNDAY WITH 
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM SUNDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ463-464-300400-
/O.EXA.KDTX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150330T0400Z/
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
359 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM SUNDAY WITH 
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM SUNDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ363-421-422-441-462-300400-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150330T0400Z/
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
359 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM SUNDAY WITH 
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM SUNDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ361-362-300830-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150330T2200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
359 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM SUNDAY WITH 
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-300400-
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0079.150329T1959Z-150330T0400Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
359 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP TO
  30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 FEET
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET.

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM SUNDAY WITH 
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM SUNDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HLO
914 
WHUS73 KDTX 300159
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
959 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALES TO PERSIST OVER NORTHERN LAKE HURON...

.A GALE WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN THIRD OF
LAKE HURON OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON AS WINDS VEER T0
THE NORTHWEST. COLDER AIR SPILLING INTO THE AREA WILL ALLOW STRONGER
WIND GUSTS TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE...CONTINUING THE THREAT FOR
GALES OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE LAKE AND ALLOWING GUSTS TO
APPROACH 40 KNOTS.

LHZ363-421-422-441>443-462>464-300300-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150330T0400Z/
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
959 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
GALE WARNING. 

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-300300-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-150330T0400Z/
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
959 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ361-362-301400-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150330T2200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
959 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 12 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 17 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM MONDAY WITH 
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DG
902 
WHUS73 KDTX 300806
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
406 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

...GALES PERSISTING OVER NORTHERN LAKE HURON...

.A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN LAKE HURON TODAY AS 
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL ALLOW COLDER AIR TO SPREAD ACROSS THE 
NORTHERN LAKES. UNSTABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT 
WINDSPEEDS IN THE 35 TO 40 KNOT RANGE. A DYNAMIC...FAST MOVING LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN TRACK ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN AND THE 
SOUTHERN PENINSULA TONIGHT. SURFACE WIND TRAJECTORIES ARE EXPECTED 
TO DEVELOP AND STRENGTHEN OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TOWARDS DAYBREAK ON 
TUESDAY. WINDSPEEDS ARE FORECASTED TO REACH 30S KNOTS ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN BASIN OF LAKE HURON BY MIDDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR 
THE NEARSHORE WATERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

LHZ361-362-302000-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150330T2200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
406 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 16 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM MONDAY WITH 
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ421-441-302000-
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0080.150330T0806Z-150330T2000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
406 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  29 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM MONDAY WITH 
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

CB
224 
WHUS73 KDTX 301943
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
343 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

...WINDS DIMINISHING OVER LAKE HURON...

.GALE WARNINGS FOR NORTH HALF OF LAKE HURON WILL BE CANCELED AS GOOD 
PUSH OF LOW LEVEL COLD AIR IS OVER...AND OBSERVATIONS SUPPORTS WIND 
SPEEDS 30 KNOTS OR LESS. LOW PRESSURE EXPECTED TO TRACK NEAR THE 
SOUTHERN MICHIGAN BORDER LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING. 
ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE COMING OUT OF THE NORTH IN THE LOWS WAKE 
TOMORROW...WIND SPEEDS ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO TOP OUT AROUND 25 
KNOTS...AS THERE IS LITTLE ADDITIONAL PUSH OF COLD AIR BEHIND THE 
LOW. EVEN SO...LONG FETCH WILL ALLOW WAVES TO BUILD OVER THE 
SOUTHERN BASIN...4 FEET OR GREATER. 

HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL PROVIDE 
LIGHT WINDS AND LOW WAVES. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH LATE 
THURSDAY. WARM PUSH OF AIR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO 
STABLE PROFILES...WITH WIND SPEEDS LIKELY REMAINING MOSTLY BELOW 25 
KNOTS.

LHZ361-362-302045-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150330T2200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
343 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS CANCELLED THE
GALE WARNING. 

$$

LHZ421-441-302045-
/O.EXP.KDTX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-150330T2000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
343 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 25 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 4 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM MONDAY WITH 
  THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM MONDAY. 

$$

SF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Mar 29, 4:14 AM EDT, 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 29, 4:14 AM EDT, 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
414 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PRECIPITATION ACTIVITY PUSHING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS
MORNING IS BEING FORCED BY STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE
VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE OVER WESTERN NODAK/SODAK. THE MAGNITUDE OF
MOISTURE TRANSPORT ON THE NOSE OF A +70 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET WHILE NOT
SURPRISING...IS NOTEWORTHY FOR TIME OF YEAR WITH PWATS OF UP TO .8
OF AN INCH. NWP DATA MAINTAINS THE STRENGTH OF THIS LLJ AXIS DURING
THE DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY AND FORECASTS THE ARRIVAL OVER LOWER
MICHIGAN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE TIME WINDOW FOR PRECIPATION
ACROSS SEMICH IS BETWEEN 20-03Z.

12-21Z...IMPRESSIVE DEPTH OF INFLECTION POINT IN FLOW/TROUGH IN
ADDITION TO THE RELATIVELY CLOSE PROXIMITY YET OF THE SE US
ANTICYCLONE WILL ALLOW FOR A STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT BY
THIS AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE RIDGE AXIS WILL TAKE UNTIL 15Z OR SO TO
PUSH COMPLETELY THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. SUSPECT IT WILL
TAKE A GROWING BOUNDARY LAYER AND THIS ADDITIONAL SOUTHWESTERLY
GEOSTROPHIC FLOW COMPONENT AT THE MIDLEVELS TO GET GUSTY
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW TO REALLY INCREASE AT THE SURFACE. SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO GUST 30 TO 35 MPH. TEMPERATURES
TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO RISE INTO THE LOWER 40S...HIGHEST IN THE
SAGINAW VALLEY/NORTH OF THE GLACIAL TERRAIN.

21-05Z...THE NARRATIVE OF HIGHER CONFIDENCE FOR PRECIPATION AMOUNTS
REMAINS SOLID (.1 TO .15 OF INCH). ALSO OF HIGHER CONFIDENCE AND
NOTED EARLIER IS THIS EVENT WILL BE GOVERNED BY A VERY FAST SYSTEM
MOTION. THE FAST MOTION WILL NOT ONLY CAUSE A SHORT DURATION OF
PRECIPATION OVERHEAD...BUT IS ALSO SHOWN TO BE A DETRIMENT TO
CHARACTER/STRENGTH OF THE WARM AIR ADVECTION BY THINNING THE THETA E
RIDGE FOR WHICH THE SYSTEM CAN ACT UPON.

THE MAIN FORECAST QUESTION REMAINS CENTERED ON PRECIPITATION TYPE.
THE 29.00Z MODEL SUITE DID NOT OFFER A WHOLE LOT OF CLARITY ON THIS
SUBJECT...PROBABLY BEST SUMMED UP BY THE HUGE DIFFERENCE THAT
REMAINS IN FORECASTED AFTERNOON SURFACE DEWPOINTS PER MET/MAV. THERE
IS A STRONG MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WETBULB COOLING AT PRECIPATION
ONSET. IN FACT...RAW MODEL OUTPUT SHOWS SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARMING
MARGINALLY DURING THE MID TO LATE EVENING AFTER PRECIPATION RATES
DECREASE. CONSENSUS ON MODEL SOUNDINGS IS THAT OF A COLD
PROFILE...WITH LITTLE TO NO WARM SURGE ALOFT. SO...THIS SUGGESTS
PTYPE WILL BE LARGELY DICTATED BY THE DEPTH AND MAGNITUDE OF SURFACE
WARMING TODAY. WITH TEMPS EXPECTED TO REACH THE 40S...SUSPICION AND
GUT FEELING IS THE AREA WILL SEE MUCH MORE LIQUID. HOWEVER...GIVEN
THE THERMAL PROFILE AND THE COLD SFC DEWPONTS CANNOT RULE OUT SNOW
MIXING IN. NOT MUCH OF A CONCERN WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION
EXPECTED. THIN NATURE OF THETA E RIDGE THEN SUPPORTS MOISTURE
STRIPPING OUT IN THE MIDLEVELS ALREADY BY 00Z. THUS...CAN VERY WELL
ENVISION A SCENARIO WHERE ICE NUCLEATION BECOMES A PROBLEM AND SEE A
MARKED TRANSITION TO DRIZZLE DURING THE EVENING.

05-12Z...SECONDARY COLD FRONT STRUCTURE SHOWN TO PUSH THROUGH THE
STATE BETWEEN 05-06Z. THE PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD THEN
DECREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR DRIZZLE DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE
NIGHT DUE TO DRY AIR ADVECTION. SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAINING ON
THE WARM SIDE OF THE FREEZING MARK WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL
FOR RESIDUAL MOISTURE TO FREEZE.

&&

.LONG TERM...

WEAK COLD ADVECTION TRAILING TODAY'S SYSTEM WILL BECOME NEUTRAL
DURING MONDAY MORNING. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE A DEEP BOUNDARY
LAYER GROWING TO NEAR 800 MB BY MID AFTERNOON RESULTING IN NORTHWEST
WIND GUSTING TO AROUND 25 MPH BEFORE THE SURFACE RIDGE ARRIVES LATE
IN THE DAY. THIS...ALONG WITH INCREASING AMOUNTS OF SUNSHINE...WILL
HELP AFTERNOON TEMPS END UP WARMER THAN TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 40S OUTSIDE OF THE NORTHERN THUMB.

THE MAIN REASON FOR THE ABBREVIATED COLD ADVECTION MONDAY IS THE
QUICK APPROACH OF THE NEXT RIPPLE OF LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE PLAINS
AND INTO THE MIDWEST BY MONDAY EVENING. THIS SYSTEM IS DEPICTED IN
THE MODEL DATA AS A SHARD OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY FROM THE LOW OVER
THE GULF OF ALASKA ROUNDING THE LONG WAVE RIDGE TODAY AND MOVING
THROUGH THE CANADIAN PRAIRIE MONDAY. THE SYSTEM THEN QUICKLY LATCHES
ON TO LOW LEVEL BAROCLINICITY OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS THAT IS LEFT
OVER FROM TODAY'S SYSTEM. REMNANTS OF THE SURFACE FRONT WILL BE TO
OUR SOUTH BUT THE MID LEVELS OF THE FRONTAL ZONE WILL REMAIN WELL
ORGANIZED OVERHEAD AND TO OUR WEST THROUGH MONDAY. CONSIDERING THE
FAST NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...THE WAVE WILL FAVOR A TRACK ALONG THE
700 MB THETA-E GRADIENT. MODEL SOLUTIONS WITH A LOWER AMPLITUDE MID
LEVEL WAVE AND STRONGER FRONTOGENESIS LOOK BEST WHICH LEAVES THE NAM
AS AN OVERDEVELOPED OUTLIER. THE WILDCARD HERE IS THAT THE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE BROUGHT IN BY TODAY'S SYSTEM IS NEVER REALLY SCOURED OUT
MONDAY AND REMAINS READILY AVAILABLE AT ABOUT 3 G/KG FOR THE SYSTEM
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THIS EASILY SUPPORTS MODEL QPF IN THE
RANGE OF 0.25 TO 0.5 INCH BUT STILL PUTS THE NAM UNDER SUSPICION FOR
BEING OVERDEVELOPED WITH ITS SURFACE LOW FOLLOWING ITS 850-500 MB
LAYER OMEGA BULLSEYE. LEANING THE FORECAST TOWARD A MORE LIKELY
TRACK FARTHER SOUTH THEN PRESENTS PRIMARILY A RAIN EVENT FOR THE
DETROIT AREA...A RAIN/SNOW MIX FOR THE M-59 TO I-69 CORRIDOR...AND
THEN MOSTLY SNOW FOR THE SAGINAW VALLEY AND NORTHERN THUMB. SINGLE
DIGIT SNOW RATIO WILL BE A LIMITING FACTOR EVEN THAT FAR NORTH...SO
ACCUMULATION WILL BE SET AT A SLOPPY 1-2 INCHES AS A STARTING
POINT.

THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK WILL CONSIST OF A TRANSITION IN THE LONG
WAVE PATTERN FROM THE PERSISTENT RIDGE OUT WEST/TROUGH EAST TO MORE
OF ZONAL CONFIGURATION. THIS WILL BE SET OFF BY THE CURRENT GULF OF
ALASKA LOW MOVING INLAND AND REACHING THE NORTHERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY. THE LARGE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE PATTERN WILL GENERATE
DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI AND A WARMING TREND FOR
LOWER MICHIGAN. GUIDANCE TEMPS LOOK GOOD CALLING FOR HIGHS IN THE
60S THURSDAY BEFORE THE COLD FRONT ARRIVES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. THIS FRONT WILL BRING TEMPERATURES BACK BELOW NORMAL HEADING
INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SAGINAW BAY AND CENTRAL LAKE HURON
TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE NORTH THIRD
OF LAKE HURON. SOUTHWEST GALES WILL DEVELOP AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES TODAY. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED
BY NORTHWEST GALES BEHIND THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE PRESENCE OF A MODEST AMOUNT OF COLD
AIR IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW...SOME OPEN WATER ON LAKE HURON...AND
FUNNELING IN SAGINAW BAY WILL SUPPORT GALE CONDITIONS. THE SECOND
ROUND OF GALES WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST AND WILL BEGIN DURING THE
PREDAWN HOURS MONDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH MIDDAY. TRANQUIL CONDITIONS
WILL TAKE HOLD BENEATH HIGH PRESSURE ON MONDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS DUE IN THE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
BUT WIND SPEED WILL BE LOWER WITH THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.AVIATION...ISSUED 1201 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INTO MID SUNDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE AN
APPROACHING TROUGH BRINGS MVFR CIGS AND -SHRA OR -SHRASN BY 20Z TO
22Z OR SO. THIS ACTIVITY LOOKS TO LAST ABOUT 4-6 HOURS AS THIS
FEATURE PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL ALSO LEAD TO STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW BY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO
NEAR 30 KNOTS. GENERALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL THEN PERSIST INTO
EARLY EVENING AS WINDS VEER TO SW WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE TROUGH.
MVFR TO LOWER VFR CIGS WILL PERSIST INTO THE NIGHT WITHIN WESTERLY
FLOW BEHIND EXITING SYSTEM.

FOR DTW...VFR UNTIL 21Z-22Z OR SO SUNDAY WHEN MVFR CIGS WITH -SHRA
WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY. SOUTHERLY WINDS FROM 190 TO 200
DEGREES WILL ALSO GUST TO 25 KNOTS OR BETTER AT TIMES AFTER 18Z
SUNDAY.

//DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* MEDIUM IN CEILINGS AOB 5000 FEET AFTER 21Z-22Z SUNDAY.

* MEDIUM IN WIND GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS FROM 190-200 DEGREES BY 18Z-20Z
  SUNDAY.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LAKE HURON...GALE WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR LHZ363-421-
     422-441-462.

     GALE WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY FOR LHZ361-362.

LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE.
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...CB
LONG TERM....BT
MARINE.......BT
AVIATION.....CB

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 28, 3:45 PM EDT, 12 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-291945-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
345 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-291945-
LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
345 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT. SEE THE LATEST FORECAST FOR MORE
DETAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

JVC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 29, 7:45 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryDTX8 hr
Mar 29, 3:59 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryDTX6 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Michigan, 2015Every gale warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.