Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2015
Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS
NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Oct 27, 2015, 8:29 PM CDT for Stanton County, Kansas. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 27, 2015, 8:29 PM CDT (01:29 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 27, 2015, 9:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 46 min
- Issued by
- NWS Dodge City, KS
County Stanton County, KS
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1816 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 2 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -2 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
<meta charset="utf-8">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
<title>Service Notice</title>
<link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
<main class="wrap">
<section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
<div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
<h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
<p id="message1">
The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
</p>
<p id="message2">
Please try again in a few minutes.
</p>
<p class="small" id="detail">
If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
</p>
</section>
</main>
<script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Oct 27, 2:34 PM CDT, 5 hours 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 27, 2:34 PM CDT, 5 hours 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Dodge City KS 234 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015 ...Updated for Long Term... .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH Wednesday) ISSUED AT 204 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015 For tonight, another upper level shortwave trough will dig across western Kansas by midnight bringing increasing clouds and rain chances. Could have around 1/4 inch of rainfall near and west of Garden City overnight, and lesser amounts elsewhere. The rain should begin in the far west by around 7 to 9 pm, then progress east, then end at Medicine Lodge by around 7 am. An isolated rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out with some weak elevated CAPE. Winds will become gusty at 15 to 30 mph with an associated cold front. Overnight lows will be held up a bit by the cloud cover with lows in the mid to upper 40s. For Wednesday, expect clearing skies behind the upper wave and highs in the low to mid 60s. Northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph will gradually decrease as the surface pressure gradient relaxes. .LONG TERM...(Wednesday NIGHT THROUGH Tuesday) ISSUED AT 231 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015 For Wednesday night, models indicate increasing mid to high level cloudiness in the right entrance region of an upper jet. Cold high pressure at the surface will push into western Kansas by morning with light and variable winds becoming light north. Models showing some cold temps around freezing by early Thursday morning, but may not be as cold as the NAM model with increasing clouds. Superblend model output also gave lows just above freezing. So at this time, do not have enough confidence to go with a Freeze Watch. Will add some frost to the grids however. Will have overnight lows from around 33 at Hays to the mid 30s around Dodge City and upper 30s south and west of Dodge City in the thicker cloud cover. For Thursday, skies will be mostly clear with surface high pressure moving east into the Missouri Valley. Winds will become light southeasterly. Highs will be in the mid to upper 50s. For Thursday night into Saturday, upper level storm systems will be moving into the Central Plains. Rain chances will increase from around 20 to 40 percent on Thursday night, to likely by Friday into Saturday morning. Rainfall totals could range from 1/2 inch to 1 inch before the rain ends. Highs will be only in the 50s on Friday, then in the low to mid 60s on Saturday. Overnight lows will be in the 40s. For the period of Sunday into next Tuesday, expect a dry period with Highs around 70 and lows in the 40s. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z Wednesday AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 1126 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015 Expect VFR conditions to continue through Wednesday morning. A second shortwave trough will bring a cold front, wind shift, and some scattered light showers or isolated thunderstorm after 03-05Z. Light and variable winds will shift to the northwest at 15-24kt into the morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DDC 44 63 35 56 / 30 10 0 0 GCK 42 62 36 56 / 40 0 0 0 EHA 43 63 41 60 / 20 0 0 0 LBL 44 63 41 58 / 30 10 0 0 HYS 44 63 32 55 / 30 10 0 0 P28 47 66 38 61 / 30 20 0 0 && .DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NONE. && SHORT TERM...Kruse LONG TERM...Kruse AVIATION...Kruse
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 27, 3:22 PM CDT, 5 hours 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 322 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015 KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-282030- TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN- PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA- PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER- 322 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015 /222 PM MDT TUE OCT 27 2015/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. DISCUSSION...SHOWERS ALONG WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED... LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY BRING TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE LOWER 30S ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL KANSAS LEADING TO FROST OR PERHAPS EVEN A LIGHT FREEZE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HAZARDS WEATHER RISK... WEDNESDAY... SIGNIFICANT FROST RISK. LIMITED FIRE WEATHER RISK. THURSDAY... SIGNIFICANT FROST RISK. FRIDAY... NO HAZARDS. SATURDAY... NO HAZARDS. SUNDAY... NO HAZARDS. MONDAY... NO HAZARDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. && FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 27, 8:29 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 829 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015 KSZ061-074-280215- HAMILTON KS-STANTON KS- 829 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN HAMILTON...STANTON AND SOUTHWESTERN KEARNY COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT/815 PM MDT/... AT 829 PM CDT/729 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF TWO BUTTES...OR 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE SAUNDERS ELEVATOR...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... JOHNSON CITY...MANTER AND BIG BOW. LAT...LON 3785 10204 3784 10154 3740 10155 3758 10204 TIME...MOT...LOC 0129Z 283DEG 23KT 3775 10219 HOVORKA
The office that day
Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 9:06 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Grant, Haskell, Kearny, Stevens | 39 min |
| Oct 27, 9:15 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Finney | 45 min |
| Oct 27, 9:44 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Finney, Grant, Gray, Haskell, Meade, Seward and 1 more | 46 min |
| Oct 28, 3:56 AM CDT | Freeze Watch | DDC | Edwards, Finney, Ford, Gray, Hamilton, Hodgeman and 5 more | 9 hr |
| Oct 28, 3:56 AM CDT | Freeze Warning | DDC | Ellis, Lane, Scott, Trego | 29 hr |
| Oct 28, 1:19 PM CDT | Frost Advisory | DDC | Edwards, Finney, Ford, Gray, Hamilton, Hodgeman and 5 more | 20 hr |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.