Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2015
Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS
NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Jun 25, 2015, 5:39 PM CDT for Stanton County, Kansas. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 25, 2015, 5:39 PM CDT (22:39 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 25, 2015, 6:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 36 min
- Issued by
- NWS Dodge City, KS
County Stanton County, KS
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 161 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 167 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 43 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -545 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2001 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 6 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 11 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 105 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
<meta charset="utf-8">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
<title>Service Notice</title>
<link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
<main class="wrap">
<section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
<div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
<h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
<p id="message1">
The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
</p>
<p id="message2">
Please try again in a few minutes.
</p>
<p class="small" id="detail">
If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
</p>
</section>
</main>
<script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 25, 3:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 3:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 342 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015 ...UPDATED SHORT TERM SECTION... .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 341 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015 TIMING, LOCATION, AND STRENGTH OF A MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM (MCS) TONIGHT ARE THE MAIN CHALLENGES. ON THE SYNOPTIC SCALE, A NORTHWEST FLOW MID TROPOSPHERIC PATTERN CONTINUED ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS, WITH A SOMEWHAT COHERENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH INDICATED BY AFTERNOON WATER VAPOR LOOP OVER NORTHEASTERN WYOMING. WITHIN THE FAVORABLE ASCENT REGION AHEAD OF THIS WAVE, THERE WAS A SMALL MCS MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE WESTERN NEBRASKA SANDHILLS WHERE VERY LARGE HAIL WAS BEING REPORTED EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. BOTH OF THE NCEP WRF MODELS (THE ARW CORE AND THE NMMB CORE) HAVE A FAIRLY GOOD 9-HR FORECAST VALID 21Z OF THE AFOREMENTIONED MCS, SO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL REFLECT THIS MODEL SOLUTION. INITIALLY, WE WILL SEE SOME SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION DEVELOP ALONG THE SURFACE FRONT ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST KANSAS AFTER 21Z. THIS CONVECTION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE GIVEN THE LACK OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR. ANOTHER FAIRLY LARGE MCS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT SOMEWHERE ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHEAST COLORADO...PERHAPS A SOUTHWESTWARD EXTENSION OF THE CURRENT MCS. THE TWO NCEP WRF MODELS SHOW A STRONG TO SEVERE MCS MOVING SOUTHEAST IN THE 00-06Z TIME FRAME, REACHING THE WEST CENTRAL KANSAS COUNTIES SOMETIME AFTER 03Z. THE BEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 96 CORRIDOR GIVEN THE EXPECTED DEMISE OF THE MCS AFTER 06Z OR SO. THAT BEING SAID, THERE WILL BE ENOUGH LIFT FROM A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET LATE TONIGHT TO SUSTAIN AN MCS. THE LIMITING FACTOR SUSTAINING A MCS AFTER 06Z WILL BE CONVECTION MOVING INTO A MORE STABLE MIDDLE TROPOSPHERE ALONG WITH WEAKER DEEP SHEAR. WE WILL HAVE HIGHEST POPS IN THE 03-06Z TIME FRAME ACROSS MAINLY WEST CENTRAL KANSAS, EAST OF HIGHWAY 283 (LIKELY POPS), BUT WE WILL DECREASE POPS IN THE 06-12Z TIME FRAME WITH THE BEST PROBABILITY THAT THE MCS WILL ENTER A DECAYING MODE AS IT ENTERS SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST KANSAS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. .LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY) ISSUED AT 147 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015 PLEASANT HIGH TEMPERATURES STILL EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH VALUES IN THE MID 80S. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. ON SUNDAY WE WILL GET WEAK LOW LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 90S. THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS ALONG A PASSING WEAK FRONT, BUT MOISTURE IS FAIRLY LIMITED. SUMMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE NEXT BUSINESS WEEK WITH 90S CONTINUING. THERE MAYBE A CHANCE OF STORMS MID TO LATE WEEK AS WEAK WAVES MOVE IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THE SUPERBLEND POPS LOOK FINE FOR NOW, WHICH HAS SLIGHT TO CHANCE VALUES WEDNESDAY ONWARD. LOWS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MILD AND IN THE 60S AND 70S. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 1218 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015 A DIFFICULT FORECAST FOR TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE OFFICIAL TAF WILL REFLECT THE MOST CONFIDENCE, WHICH IS THAT A FAIRLY SIZABLE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS ALL THREE TERMINALS (DDC, GCK, HYS) LATE TONIGHT. THE TIMING IS FAIRLY UNCERTAIN AS WELL, BUT WE WILL BE CARRYING THREE HOURS OF VICINITY THUNDER WITH FAIRLY STRONG WINDS. AFTER THE STORMS LATE TONIGHT, WE WILL SEE PREVAILING WIND BECOME NORTHEASTERLY THEN NORTHERLY BY DAYBREAK WITH ABOUT A THREE HOUR PERIOD OR SO OF 700 TO 1200 FOOT OVERCAST IN LOW STRATUS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR BY MID TO LATE MORNING FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DDC 68 85 61 87 / 60 30 0 0 GCK 67 85 61 87 / 50 10 0 10 EHA 66 85 61 88 / 40 10 10 10 LBL 68 87 62 87 / 40 20 10 10 HYS 66 83 60 85 / 70 20 0 10 P28 72 87 62 87 / 50 40 0 0 && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...UMSCHEID LONG TERM...SUGDEN AVIATION...UMSCHEID
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 4:49 PM CDT, 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 449 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015 KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-261000- TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN- PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA- PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER- 449 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. DISCUSSION...STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. A BETTER CHANCE FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARD THIS EVENING WILL BE WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. AFTER MIDNIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL, WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH, AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED... ELEVATED HAIL RISK. ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK. LIMITED FLOODING RISK. ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK. LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK. LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DISCUSSION...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. HAZARDS WEATHER RISK... FRIDAY... LIMITED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK. SATURDAY... NO HAZARDS. SUNDAY... LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK. MONDAY... LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK. TUESDAY... LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK. WEDNESDAY... LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK. LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED EARLY TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. && FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 4:47 PM CDT, 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 447 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015 KSZ074-075-084-085-252230- GRANT KS-MORTON KS-STEVENS KS-STANTON KS- 447 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN GRANT...NORTHWESTERN STEVENS...SOUTHEASTERN STANTON AND NORTHEASTERN MORTON COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT... AT 447 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF RICHFIELD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN GRANT...NORTHWESTERN STEVENS...SOUTHEASTERN STANTON AND NORTHEASTERN MORTON COUNTIES. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. LAT...LON 3731 10171 3746 10160 3732 10124 3719 10138 TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 300DEG 19KT 3735 10158 SUGDEN
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 5:39 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 539 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015 KSZ074-084-252315- MORTON KS-STANTON KS- 539 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN STANTON AND NORTHEASTERN MORTON COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CDT... AT 539 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTH OF RICHFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN STANTON AND NORTHEASTERN MORTON COUNTIES. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. LAT...LON 3748 10186 3749 10153 3730 10158 3729 10185 TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 268DEG 12KT 3740 10177 SUGDEN
The office that day
Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 4:47 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Stevens | 43 min |
| Jun 25, 5:57 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Hodgeman | 63 min |
| Jun 25, 6:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DDC | Hodgeman | 13 min |
| Jun 25, 6:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Ford, Hodgeman | 24 min |
| Jun 25, 6:21 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Morton | 39 min |
| Jun 25, 6:24 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Ford | 51 min |
| Jun 25, 6:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Gray | 13 min |
| Jun 25, 6:45 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Pawnee | 45 min |
| Jun 25, 6:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Ford, Gray | 26 min |
| Jun 25, 6:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Pawnee, Rush, Stafford | 37 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.