Severe Thunderstorm Warning 253, NWS Dodge City, KS

405 
WWUS53 KDDC 082303
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
603 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

KSC055-082330-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0253.000000T0000Z-150808T2330Z/
FINNEY KS-
603 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN FINNEY COUNTY...

AT 603 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTH OF
HOLCOMB...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOLCOMB AND FRIEND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3796 10099 3801 10110 3826 10091 3812 10056
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 232DEG 20KT 3806 10099 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

JJOHNSON

897 
WWUS53 KDDC 082318
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
618 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

KSC055-082330-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0253.000000T0000Z-150808T2330Z/
FINNEY KS-
618 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN FINNEY COUNTY...

AT 617 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTH OF
HOLCOMB...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FRIEND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 10096 3806 10105 3826 10091 3817 10069
TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 221DEG 16KT 3810 10098 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

JJOHNSON

710 
WWUS53 KDDC 082325
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
625 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

KSC055-082335-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0253.000000T0000Z-150808T2330Z/
FINNEY KS-
625 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN FINNEY COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3805 10096 3806 10105 3826 10091 3817 10069
TIME...MOT...LOC 2324Z 223DEG 23KT 3810 10098 

$$

JJOHNSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
255 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

...Updated for Long Term...

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH Sunday)
ISSUED AT 226 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

As an upper level shortwave trough tops the ridge across the central
Plains tonight, a cold front will slowly drop southward across
western Kansas. The cold front will be near Great Bend to Dodge City
and Hugoton by morning then near Medicine Lodge by Sunday late
afternoon. Much of the higher moisture will be in back of the front
into tonight with around 3000 J/kg CAPE forecast and mid level winds
around 20 to 30kt. Could be enough shear and instability to get some
brief supercells going especially as you go north with the better
mid and upper winds. SPC outlook has the area from around Dighton to
Garden City and Johnson City and west in a slight risk of severe and
that looks reasonable for some large hail up to golf ball and strong
winds. May need to shift it also into the Hays area with the better
upper winds. Current thoughts are some thunderstorms will form along
the frontal boundary after 4 or 5 pm from near Johnson to north of
Garden and towards Hays, then begin to spread more south and east as
the night progresses. Could reach Dodge City around midnight then
after midnight the areas of thunderstorms should weaken. One
negative for storms late this afternoon is the 700mb temps are
around 16C and fairly warm. South winds will decrease this evening
ahead of the front, then become light and variable near the frontal
boundary or outflow boundary later tonight. Overnight lows will be
around 70, except the warmest in the Medicine Lodge area of around
75.

For Sunday, more northern Plains shortwaves will continue to knock
down the warm ridge across the southern Plains with the cold front
advancing to near Medicine Lodge by evening. High temps could be
around 100 at Medicine Lodge again ahead of the front with cooler
upper 80s to lower 90s in back of the front. Will also hang on to
some 20 to 30 percent chances for thunderstorms along and north of
the cold front. Storms could be marginally severe.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday NIGHT THROUGH Saturday)
ISSUED AT 249 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

Upper level warm ridging rapidly builds back into the Rockies and
just west of Kansas as a large upper trough digs into the Great
Lakes and eastern U.S. Western Kansas stays under a fairly weak
northwesterly flow aloft. Cooler high pressure will dominate
southwest Kansas into much of next week with a slow warming trend.
Highs will be in the upper 80s to around 90 on Monday, mid to
upper 80s Tuesday and Wednesday, around 90 on Thursday and Friday,
and lower to mid 90s by next Saturday. Overnight lows will be in
the mid to upper 60s through the period.

Thunderstorm chances lower as the cold front heads more south of
Kansas on Sunday night and Monday with mainly scattered
thunderstorms west of Dodge City into Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z Sunday AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1218 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

As disturbances ride the upper ridge across the central Plains
later today and tonight, a cold front will slowly move south
across western Kansas. The best chances for thunderstorms, some
possibly strong to severe, will be with this boundary around 00z
at KHYS and after 03-06z at KGCK and KDDC. South to southwest
winds of 15-26kt will become variable near outflow boundaries and
frontal boundaries later this evening and overnight with continued
chances for scattered convection.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  71  93  69  90 /  30  30  40  20
GCK  69  91  68  89 /  50  30  30  10
EHA  69  92  67  87 /  40  30  40  20
LBL  72  95  70  89 /  40  30  50  20
HYS  71  89  68  87 /  40  30  30  10
P28  75  98  73  91 /  10  30  40  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Kruse
LONG TERM...Kruse
AVIATION...Kruse

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
421 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-091100-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
421 AM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015 /321 AM MDT SAT AUG 8 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AND HAIL
UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE ARE VARYING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOME
OF THE STORMS SUNDAY COULD BE MARGINALLY SEVERE WITH HAIL UP TO
QUARTER SIZE. STORMS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL PROBABLY NOT BE
SEVERE.

THESE
STORMS WILL PROBABLY NOT BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT, PRIMARILY
ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM LARNED TO MEADE.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

JF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
509 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

KSZ044-063-077-082300-
FINNEY KS-GRAY KS-LANE KS-
509 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL FINNEY...
NORTHWESTERN GRAY AND SOUTHWESTERN LANE COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

AT 509 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES NORTH OF PIERCEVILLE...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GARDEN CITY.

LAT...LON 3788 10063 3794 10084 3833 10065 3825 10038
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 199DEG 28KT 3800 10070

JJOHNSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
533 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

KSZ063-082300-
FINNEY KS-
533 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN FINNEY COUNTY UNTIL
600 PM CDT...

AT 533 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
HOLCOMB...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GARDEN CITY AND HOLCOMB.

LAT...LON 3788 10090 3798 10109 3823 10097 3812 10060
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 219DEG 24KT 3799 10095

JJOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
548 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0544 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 N HOLCOMB             38.00N 100.99W
08/08/2015  E60 MPH          FINNEY             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MJS