Severe Thunderstorm Warning 12, NWS Dodge City, KS

086 
WWUS53 KDDC 120200
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
900 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

KSC067-075-093-187-120230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0012.000000T0000Z-150412T0230Z/
GRANT KS-HAMILTON KS-STANTON KS-KEARNY KS-
900 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM
CDT/830 PM MDT/ FOR NORTHWESTERN GRANT...SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON...
NORTHEASTERN STANTON AND SOUTHWESTERN KEARNY COUNTIES...

AT 900 PM CDT /800 PM MDT/...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9
MILES NORTH OF BIG BOW...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHWESTERN GRANT...SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON...NORTHEASTERN STANTON AND
SOUTHWESTERN KEARNY COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 10167 3770 10171 3787 10150 3776 10137
      3764 10146
TIME...MOT...LOC 0200Z 247DEG 30KT 3771 10154 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

FINCH

355 
WWUS53 KDDC 120208
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
908 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

KSC067-075-093-187-120217-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0012.000000T0000Z-150412T0230Z/
GRANT KS-HAMILTON KS-STANTON KS-KEARNY KS-
908 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN GRANT...
SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON...NORTHEASTERN STANTON AND SOUTHWESTERN KEARNY
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN IS
STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3764 10167 3770 10171 3787 10150 3776 10137
      3764 10146
TIME...MOT...LOC 0205Z 251DEG 18KT 3750 10096 

$$

FINCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
643 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

...UPDATED FOR AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 350 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING APPEARS TO BE CONFINED TO THE FAR SOUTHWEST CORNER OF KANSAS
SOUTH AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 50 AND HIGHWAY 83. THE SPC MESOANALYSIS
PAGE IS SHOWING SURFACE BASED CAPE VALUES RISING INTO THE
1000-1500 J/KG RANGE OVER FAR SOUTHEAST COLORADO WHERE STRONGER
AFTERNOON HEATING HAS BEEN OCCURRING. INSTABILITY DROPS OFF FAIRLY
RAPIDLY FARTHER EAST INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FIRE OUT ALONG THE DRYLINE AXIS THIS
AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS SHOULD BE ABLE TO MOVE INTO FAR SOUTHWEST
KANSAS INTO THIS EARLY EVENING BUT THINK THAT THE SEVERE THREAT
SHOULD DIMINISH WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. THE NAM AND GFS
SHOW THAT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD PERSIST ACROSS
SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL KANSAS INTO THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER TONIGHT. THIS WOULD MAKE SENSE AS
THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FROM THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE UPPER JET
COMBINED WITH THE MID LEVEL WARM ADVECTION PROPAGATE EAST
OVERNIGHT. LATER TONIGHT, LOW STRATUS IS PROGGED TO DEVELOP OVER
NEARLY ALL BUT THE FAR SOUTHWEST PART OF THE AREA.

ON SUNDAY A SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH WESTERN KANSAS TO CENTRAL
KANSAS BY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL SWEEP THE LOW CLOUDINESS OUT OF THE
AREA AS WINDS BECOME WEST TO NORTHWEST BEHIND THE TROUGH AND PUSH
DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AGAIN
MAINLY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON IN THE VICINITY
OF THE TROUGH.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 321 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS WITH
MID TO LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE WILL ALLOW A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS LATE
SUNDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE MAIN CONCERN. OTHERWISE EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS WITH INCREASING CLOUDINESS
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. IN ADDITION, A COLD FRONT
AT THE SURFACE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY
EVENING SHIFTING SOUTHERLY WINDS TO MORE OF A NORTHERLY DIRECTION
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.

MEANWHILE, AN UPPER LEVEL LOW ABOVE THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND
NORTHERN MEXICO SUNDAY NIGHT WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN TEXAS ON
MONDAY THEN CURL NORTHEASTWARD INTO OKLAHOMA MONDAY NIGHT. THE LOW
THEN WEAKENS INTO AN OPEN WAVE TUESDAY AS IT BECOMES ABSORBED INTO
THE NEXT SYSTEM ENTERING THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. MID TO LOWER
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE AMPLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH THUNDERSTORMS FIRING OFF ALONG THE
AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT. SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE COULD LINGER
ALONG THE KS/OK BORDER DURING THIS TIME FRAME WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. OTHERWISE SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO BE PARTLY CLOUDY ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY THEN BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS TUESDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM CURLS
NORTHWARD, BUT MOST OF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY. WINDS MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY WILL GENERALLY BE FROM AN EASTERLY DIRECTION AS
THE MAIN SURFACE CIRCULATION REMAINS SOUTH OF THE CWA.

NEXT WE FOCUS ON THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE INTENSIFYING ABOVE THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TUESDAY NIGHT AS IT BECOMES AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WEDNESDAY BEFORE SLIDING INTO THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES THURSDAY. THIS LOW THEN EJECTS EASTWARD ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY BEFORE EXITING THE
AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT. TOWARDS THE SURFACE, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL INTENSIFY ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES
SHIFTING WINDS TO MORE OF A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES FIRST INCREASE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
TUESDAY NIGHT THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY WITH RAIN SHOWERS BEING MORE LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THIS TIME
FRAME WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES, HIGHS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY LOOK TO RANGE
FROM THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 40S
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN LOWER 50S WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THE COOLEST DAY OF THE WEEK LOOKS TO
BE ON THURSDAY WITH LOWS THURSDAY MORNING RANGING FROM THE UPPER
30S ACROSS FAR WESTERN KANSAS TO MID 40S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS AND HIGHS DURING THE AFTERNOON THURSDAY LOOK TO ONLY REACH
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S ARE THEN
FORECASTED ON FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 636 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

A WEAK MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY BRING A FEW ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS TO WESTERN KANSAS OVERNIGHT. SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW
OF 12-22KT WILL BRING AREAS OF LOW STRATUS WITH SOME LIGHT FOG AND
IFR CIGS AFTER 06-09Z UNTIL 14-16Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  53  81  49  67 /  40  20  20  10
GCK  50  79  45  67 /  30  10  10  10
EHA  48  82  46  64 /  40  10  10  20
LBL  52  82  50  67 /  40  20  20  20
HYS  54  79  45  68 /  30  10  10  10
P28  55  80  53  70 /  40  40  50  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...GERARD
LONG TERM...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...KRUSE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
310 AM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-120815-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
310 AM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHWEST
KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR QUARTER
TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS SUNDAY. ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS MAY BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING UP TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF
50 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN TOWARD THE MIDDLE PART OF
NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER, IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...GENERALLY SOUTHWEST OF A SCOTT CITY TO COLDWATER LINE.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

32

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
817 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0801 PM     HAIL             12 NNE RICHFIELD        37.41N 101.67W
04/11/2015  E1.75 INCH       STANTON            KS   PUBLIC

&&

WHOVORKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
821 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             11 SSW BIG BOW          37.41N 101.65W
04/11/2015  E1.00 INCH       STANTON            KS   PUBLIC

            DIME SIZE HAIL COVERED THE GROUND.

&&

LEE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
829 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0824 PM     HAIL             3 SW ULYSSES            37.55N 101.40W
04/11/2015  M1.00 INCH       GRANT              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

WHOVORKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
833 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0831 PM     HAIL             8 SE BIG BOW            37.48N 101.45W
04/11/2015  M1.25 INCH       GRANT              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

WHOVORKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
835 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0831 PM     HAIL             8 S ULYSSES             37.46N 101.36W
04/11/2015  E1.00 INCH       GRANT              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

WHOVORKA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
836 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

KSZ061-074-120215-
HAMILTON KS-STANTON KS-
836 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON AND
NORTHEASTERN STANTON COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT/815 PM MDT/...

AT 835 PM CDT /735 PM MDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF JOHNSON CITY...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JOHNSON CITY AND BIG BOW.

LAT...LON 3754 10180 3766 10188 3781 10154 3755 10154
TIME...MOT...LOC 0135Z 248DEG 11KT 3761 10178

FINCH