Severe Thunderstorm Warning 82, NWS Cheyenne, WY

497 
WWUS55 KCYS 162316
SVSCYS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
516 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

WYC015-162325-
/O.CAN.KCYS.SV.W.0082.000000T0000Z-150616T2330Z/
GOSHEN WY-
516 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GOSHEN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT FOR
CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4171 10405 4191 10404 4191 10351 4156 10362
TIME...MOT...LOC 2315Z 281DEG 27KT 4181 10390 

$$

NEC007-157-162330-
/O.CON.KCYS.SV.W.0082.000000T0000Z-150616T2330Z/
BANNER NE-SCOTTS BLUFF NE-
516 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM MDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL BANNER AND SOUTHERN SCOTTS BLUFF COUNTIES...

AT 515 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HUBBARD
HILL...OR 12 MILES WEST OF SCOTTSBLUFF...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. QUARTER SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED IN LYMAN 
EARLIER WITH THIS STORM. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SCOTTSBLUFF...GERING...TERRYTOWN...SCOTTS BLUFF NATIONAL MONUMENT...
WILDCAT HILLS CAMPGROUND...STEGALL...HUBBARD HILL...WILDCAT HILLS
STATE RECREATION AREA AND SCOTTSBLUFF AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4171 10405 4191 10404 4191 10351 4156 10362
TIME...MOT...LOC 2315Z 281DEG 27KT 4181 10390 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

HAMMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
333 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1245 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

WIDESPREAD LOW STRATUS HAS GIVEN WAY TO PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN
RESPONDING QUICKLY WITH TEMPERATURES ALREADY RISING INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 70S ALONG/EAST OF THE LARAMIE RANGE. THE LOWER-LEVEL AIR MASS
IS QUITE MOIST WITH DEW POINTS IN THE 55-65 F RANGE FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA EAST OF THE LARAMIE RANGE. SPC MESOANALYSIS SHOWS MUCAPE VALUES
ALREADY IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG...ALONG WITH 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR BENEATH FAIRLY STRONG H5 FLOW. MINIMAL CAPPING IN PLACE TODAY
SO EXPECT STORMS TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 19-21Z...MAINLY ALONG LINGERING
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND LLVL CONVERGENCE ALONG A COLD FRONT PUSHING
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. THAT SAID...BEST COVERAGE OF
CONVECTION SHOULD BE ALONG A DGW-TOR-SNY LINE. A BIT QUESTIONABLE
HERE IN CHEYENNE WITH LINGERING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AT THE SFC. THE
ENVIRONMENT IS RIPE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...SOME OF
WHICH MAY BE VERY LARGE WITH NAM BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SHOWING CAPES NEAR
3000 J/KG OVER THE PANHANDLE IN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. MAY
SEE A FEW TORNADOES TODAY WITH GOOD LLVL VEERING GIVING WAY TO 0-1
KM SHEAR AROUND 15-25 KTS. EHI VALUES ARE HOVERING AROUND 1 IN THE
LOWEST KILOMETER...BUT WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR THIS TO BE LOCALLY
ENHANCED NEAR ANY PRE-EXISTING BOUNDARIES.

CONVECTION WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT. EXCELLENT BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE AND WEAK LLVL UPSLOPE MAY CONTRIBUTE TO SOME PATCHY
FOG ONCE PCPN COMES TO AN END. NAM SOUNDINGS ARE MORE BULLISH THAN
THE GFS WITH LLVL SATURATION...SO AM NOT ENTIRELY CONFIDENT THAT WE
WILL SEE WIDESPREAD LOW VSBYS. HEADING INTO TOMORROW AFTERNOON...A
SIMILAR MESOSCALE ENVIRONMENT WILL EXIST WITH GOOD INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR PROFILES FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. ANOTHER SLGT RISK FROM SPC
FOR AREAS ALONG/EAST OF THE LARAMIE RANGE. TOMORROW LOOKS TO BE A
LITTLE LESS WIDESPREAD THAN TODAY WITH THE MAIN FORCING MECHANISM
BEING LLVL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE LARAMIE RANGE.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

ANOTHER ACTIVE DAY ON THURSDAY AS LLVL CONVERGENCE ALONG A SFC
PRESSURE TROF FORMING AHEAD OF APPROACHING SHORTWAVE ENERGY. THIS
COMBINED WITH 1000-1500 J/KG OF PROGD SBCAPES WILL PROVIDE ANTHER
ROUND OF STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR AREAS EAST
OF THE LARAMIE RANGE. LEE-SIDE SFC PRESSURE TROUGH SLIDES EAST
INTO THE WRN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE FOR FRIDAY. WARM MID-LEVEL TEMPS
WILL INHIBIT CONVECTION AS WELL AS TRANSLATE TO AFTERNOON HIGH
TEMPERATURES THAT WILL APPROACH 90 DEGREES MOST PLACES. ANOTHER WK
COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTH DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY WHICH
SHOULD AGAIN PRODUCE ISOLATED/SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING CONVECTION. HEIGHTS RISE FURTHER SUN-TUE WHICH WILL
SEVERELY HAMPER CONVECTION CHANCES. SO EXPECT A TREND TOWARDS
HOTTER AND DRIER CONDITIONS SUN-TUE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1230 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

MAIN CONCERN FOR THIS TAF CYCLE WILL BE ANTICIPATED AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE TERMINALS ACROSS SOUTHEAST WYOMING AND THE WESTERN NEBRASKA
PANHANDLE. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE YET TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA...BUT
EXPECT THEM TO DO SO BY AROUND 20Z. HAVE MAINTAINED INHERITED
THUNDERSTORM TEMPO GROUPS AT MOST SITES WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KRWL
AS CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ENOUGH IN THE COVERAGE TO WARRANT IT. SOME
OF THIS ACTIVITY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DISSIPATE BY AROUND SUNSET...WITH
IFR/MVFR CIGS/VSBYS IN FOG/STRATUS AGAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR
ALL SE WYOMING/W NEBRASKA TERMINALS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KRWL.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 1245 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

MINIMAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS DUE TO RECENT WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND
GREENUP. HOWEVER...HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS AS A MUCH WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER PATTERN RETURNS TO THE
AREA. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT
WEST OF THE LARAMIE RANGE ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...NONE.
NE...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...CLH
LONG TERM...CAH
AVIATION...CAH
FIRE WEATHER...CLH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1202 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

NEZ002-003-019>021-054-055-095-096-WYZ101-102-107-108-118-119-
171815-
DAWES-BOX BUTTE-SCOTTS BLUFF-BANNER-MORRILL-KIMBALL-CHEYENNE-
NORTH SIOUX-SOUTH SIOUX-CONVERSE COUNTY LOWER ELEVATIONS-
NIOBRARA COUNTY-EAST PLATTE COUNTY-GOSHEN COUNTY-
CENTRAL LARAMIE COUNTY-EAST LARAMIE COUNTY-
1202 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN
NEBRASKA...EAST CENTRAL WYOMING AND SOUTHEAST WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST WYOMING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND MOVE EAST INTO
THE WESTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE THIS EVENING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY
THREATS. A FEW TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE
WESTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST THROUGH
SATURDAY. A FEW MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ALONG AND EAST OF THE LARAMIE
RANGE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

WYZ103>106-109>117-171815-
NORTH LARAMIE RANGE-FERRIS/SEMINOE/SHIRLEY MOUNTAINS-
SHIRLEY BASIN-CENTRAL LARAMIE RANGE AND SOUTHWEST PLATTE COUNTY-
CENTRAL CARBON COUNTY-NORTH SNOWY RANGE FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY-SIERRA MADRE RANGE-
UPPER NORTH PLATTE RIVER BASIN-SNOWY RANGE-LARAMIE VALLEY-
SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE-SOUTH LARAMIE RANGE FOOTHILLS-
1202 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WYOMING...SOUTH CENTRAL WYOMING AND SOUTHEAST WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL WYOMING THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO
SEVERE...WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.

HAMMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
342 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0322 PM     HAIL             17 W DOUGLAS            42.76N 105.73W
06/16/2015  E1.75 INCH       CONVERSE           WY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HAIL OCCURRED NEAR NATURAL BRIDGE.

&&

RCOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
358 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0346 PM     HAIL             13 SE GUERNSEY          42.13N 104.56W
06/16/2015  E1.00 INCH       GOSHEN             WY   STORM CHASER

&&

RCOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
419 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0419 PM     HAIL             GLENDO                  42.50N 105.03W
06/16/2015  E1.75 INCH       PLATTE             WY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
420 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             10 N CHEYENNE           41.29N 104.79W
06/16/2015  E0.75 INCH       LARAMIE            WY   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

MJAMSKI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
425 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0419 PM     HAIL             3 N VETERAN             42.00N 104.35W
06/16/2015  E1.25 INCH       GOSHEN             WY   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

MJAMSKI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
425 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

WYZ118-119-162315-
CENTRAL LARAMIE COUNTY WY-EAST LARAMIE COUNTY WY-
425 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LARAMIE COUNTY UNTIL
515 PM MDT...

AT 424 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
NORTH CHEYENNE...OR 9 MILES NORTH OF CHEYENNE...MOVING EAST AT 35
MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHEYENNE...BURNS...RANCHETTES...HILLSDALE AND NORTH CHEYENNE.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 25 IN WYOMING NEAR MILE MARKER 15.
 INTERSTATE 80 IN WYOMING BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 370 AND 389.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING.

LAT...LON 4120 10484 4136 10477 4129 10424 4104 10434
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 287DEG 32KT 4128 10475

COX