Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS State College, PA

885 
WGUS51 KCTP 190050
FFWCTP
PAC075-107-190400-
/O.EXT.KCTP.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150519T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
850 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE PA HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL LEBANON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN SCHUYLKILL COUNTY IN CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
    
* AT 840 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ANOTHER AREA OF 
  THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN HEADED TOWARD NORTHERN 
  LEBANON AND SOUTHWESTERN SCHUYLKILL COUNTY. RADAR ESTIMATES AND 
  SPOTTERS REPORTED RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING 
  TOTALING 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WARNED AREA. THIS 
  NEXT ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS EVENING WILL LIKELY BRING 
  ANOTHER 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN...CAUSING FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL 
  STREAMS AND ROADWAYS INTERSECTIONS...ALONG WITH BASEMENT FLOODING. 
  
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... 
  LEBANON...PALMYRA...ANNVILLE...MYERSTOWN...PLEASANT HILL...SAND 
  HILL...NEWMANSTOWN...LEBANON SOUTH...PINE GROVE...CLEONA... 
  TREMONT...AVON...RICHLAND...FREDERICKSBURG...FRIEDENSBURG... 
  DONALDSON...LICKDALE...FORT INDIANTOWN GAP...HARPER TAVERN AND 
  JONESTOWN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD 
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. IF FLOODING BEGINS TO AFFECT YOUR 
IMMEDIATE AREA...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND TO PROTECT 
YOUR LIFE.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4034 7618 4031 7661 4052 7659 4055 7654
      4058 7655 4064 7644 4061 7624 4052 7624
      4052 7634 4050 7643 4049 7644

$$

LAMBERT

495 
WGUS71 KCTP 190341
FFSCTP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1141 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

PAC075-107-190350-
/O.CAN.KCTP.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150519T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEBANON PA-SCHUYLKILL PA-
1141 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CENTRAL LEBANON AND SOUTHWESTERN
SCHUYLKILL COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE
A THREAT.

LAT...LON 4034 7618 4031 7661 4052 7659 4055 7654
      4058 7655 4064 7644 4061 7624 4052 7624
      4052 7634 4050 7643 4049 7644

$$

STEINBUGL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
322 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY...PRECEDED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE FRONT WILL
USHER IN A COOL...DRY AIRMASS FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
MUGGINESS WILL RETURN OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 1 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
VERY HIGH PWAT AIR SITTING OVER THE AREA. CAPE HAS BEEN SOMEWHAT
LIMITED UNTIL THE LAST 30 TO 60 MINUTES. THE CAP IS BROKEN AND TC
HAS BEEN PASSED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE GROWN OVER ALMOST
ALL OF THE CWA WITH LITTLE TO NO PATTERN OR ORGANIZATION. THERE
HAS BEEN ONE BACK-BUILDING STORM IN SRN LANC CO. BUT THE HIGH
MOISTURE WILL TIELD SOME VERY HIGH RAIN RATES. WILL NEED TO KEEP
AN EYE ON AREAS WHICH RECEIVE MULTIPLE STORMS/BACKBUILD. THESE
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. LATEST NAM RUN PUSHES
MOST OF THE RAIN OFF TO THE EAST OF THE SUSQ RIVER SHORTLY AFTER
1 AM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /1 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
THE FIRST NUDGE OF DRY AIR COMES IN UNDER A SHORT WAVE CURRENTLY
OVER KCVG. THIS SHOULD EFFECTIVELY END MOST OF THE SHOWERS. BUT
THE REAL COLD/DRY AIR DOES NOT ARRIVE IN THE WEST UNTIL CLOSE TO
SUNRISE TUES. THUS...A SLIGHT CHC OF A SHOWER WILL BE MENTIONED
FOR MUCH OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT - ESP IN THE EAST. DEWPOINTS DROP
THROUGH THE DAY IN THE NW HALF OF THE AREA...BUT THE SE COULD STAY
MUGGY AND THE SKY SHOULD BREAK UP LATER TONIGHT. SO SUNSHINE WILL
HEAT UP THE ERN VALLEYS. A STORM OR TWO WILL PROBABLY POP UP IN
THE HEATING OF THE DAY THERE...BUT ARRIVAL OF THE DRY AIR WILL
MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO ALLOW ANYTHING TO GROW ENOUGH IN THE WEST TO
PRECIPITATE. FOG AND LOW CLOUDS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED OVER MOST/ALL
OF THE AREA. PERHAPS ONLY THE PLACES WHICH CAN KEEP WIND OVER
5-6KTS THROUGH THE NIGHT - MAINLY HIGHER ELEVS IN THE WEST - CAN
STAY AWAY FROM BAD VISBYS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AREA OF SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL BE DEPARTING LATE TUE/EARLY TUE
EVE...ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT CLEARING THE REGION.

IN IT/S WAKE...RESPECTABLE ANTICYCLONE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
WITH A PUSH OF NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR FILTERING IN FOR
MIDWEEK. A WEAK WAVE EJECTS EASTWARD FROM THE S PLAINS TOWARD THE
CAROLINA/S ON THU...WHILE TROUGH CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER EASTERN
CANADA. CENTRAL PA REMAINS BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES...WHICH WILL
KEEP US DRY. EVEN WITH NW FLOW...DAYTIME TEMPS WILL REBOUND A BIT
WARMER EACH DAY. BUT DIURNAL TEMP RANGES WILL BE FAIRLY LARGE
THANKS TO THE DRIER AIRMASS...WHICH WILL BRING CHILLY MORNINGS.
THE COLDEST CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE THURSDAY MORNING WHERE THERE
REMAINS A RISK FOR PATCHY FROST...MAINLY OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL
ZONES WHERE GUIDANCE IS SHOWING POSS FOR MID 30S AOA BFD /JUST IN
TIME FOR THE START OF THE GROWING SEASON/.

THE WEAK LOW OVER CAROLINAS/MID ATLANTIC REGION SLIDES OFFSHORE
FRI...WITH SPRAWLING HIGH PRESSURE AREA BUILDING IN FOR SAT/SUN.
ONCE RIDGE AXIS SLIDES BY SAT NIGHT...HUMIDITY WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE ON SUNDAY WITH RISING TEMPS /AND ISOLATED CONVECTION
POSS/. EVEN WARMER AND MUGGIER ON MEMORIAL DAY...WITH SCATTERED TO
EVEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS/TSTMS IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
LOW CIGS/FOG WILL CONTINUE TO MIX UP/AWAY...WITH MOST EVERY
STATION VFR BEFORE 18Z. SCT SHRA/TSRA ARE ALREADY DEVELOPING LATE
THIS MORNING AND WILL SPREAD TO COVER MUCH OF THE REGION - MAINLY
EAST OF BFD AND JST - THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH COULD CREATE VIS
REDUCTION DUE TO HEAVY RAIN AND PERHAPS GUSTY WINDS IN A FEW
SPOTS. ANY PRECIPITATION COULD WILL PROBABLY LEAD TO AREAS OF IFR
FOG LATER TONIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE
TONIGHT/IN THE FIRST HALF OF TUESDAY WILL CLEAR THINGS OUT...BUT
MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY ADDITIONAL SHOWERS.

OUTLOOK...

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MAKE PRACTICALLY
IMPOSSIBLE TO KEEP THUNDER OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR MOST ALL SITE
THIS EVENING. SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH AROUND 06Z AND
SHOULD PUSH MOST OF THE SHOWERS OFF TO THE EAST TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...THE RAIN AND LITTLE DRYING BEFORE SUNSET WILL ALLOW FOR
FOG/STRATUS TO FORM OVER A GOOD PORTION OF THE AREA AS WELL. ONLY
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS - JST - WITH DECENT WIND THROUGH THE NIGHT
MAY BE ABLE TO ESCAPE IFR VIZ. BUT THEY COULD END UP WITH THE LOW
CLOUDS. DRYING AIR SLIDES FROM NW-SE THRU THE AREA STARTING
AROUND 10-12Z IN THE MORNING. BUT THE SE MAY STILL HAVE SCT
SHRA/TSRA TUES AFTN.

WED-SAT...NO SIG WX EXPECTED.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DANGELO
NEAR TERM...DANGELO
SHORT TERM...DANGELO
LONG TERM...RXR
AVIATION...DANGELO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
954 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-191400-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-
JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-
ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
954 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER MOST OF CENTRAL PA TODAY AND EARLY
TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL MAKE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS OR GUSTY
WINDS. THE RAINFALL MAY BECOME HEAVY ENOUGH TO MAKE MINOR FLOODING
PROBLEMS...MAINLY WHERE MORE THAN ONE THUNDERSTORM OCCURS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
444 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

PAZ058-059-182115-
SCHUYLKILL PA-LEBANON PA-
444 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SCHUYLKILL...AND LEBANON
COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

AT 444 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
LICKDALE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

50 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  TOWER CITY AROUND 455 PM EDT.
  PINE GROVE...TREMONT AND DONALDSON AROUND 515 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE JONESTOWN...MUIR...
RAVINE...ORWIN AND HEGINS.

LAT...LON 4052 7626 4052 7634 4049 7644 4045 7637
      4039 7648 4050 7663 4055 7654 4059 7659
      4072 7647 4053 7623
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 226DEG 8KT 4051 7650

KF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
509 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

PAZ051>053-058-182145-
COLUMBIA PA-SCHUYLKILL PA-NORTHUMBERLAND PA-MONTOUR PA-
509 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 509 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR HUNTINGTON MILLS TO NEAR BRICKERVILLE...AND
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

30 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THESE STORMS WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MONTOUR...SOUTHEASTERN COLUMBIA...SCHUYLKILL AND SOUTHEASTERN
NORTHUMBERLAND COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
EDGEWOOD...BROCKTON...LIME RIDGE...SCHUYKILL COUNTY AIRPORT AND
ORANGEVILLE.

FOR THOSE DRIVING ON INTERSTATE 80...THIS INCLUDES AREAS BETWEEN THE
BUCKHORN AND NESCOPEK EXITS...SPECIFICALLY FROM MILE MARKERS 232 TO
247.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 FROM MILE MARKERS 112 TO 139.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MINOR FLOODING MAY DEVELOP. DO NOT DRIVE INTO WATER COVERING THE
ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7594 4067 7682 4117 7635 4117 7630
      4113 7628 4114 7623 4095 7621 4090 7603
      4091 7600 4074 7576
TIME...MOT...LOC 2109Z 270DEG 48KT 4115 7632 4025 7634

MARTIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
526 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

PAZ064>066-182200-
YORK PA-LANCASTER PA-ADAMS PA-
526 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 525 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR MECHANICSBURG TO NEAR SYKESVILLE...AND
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

30 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MOUNT JOY...MAYTOWN AND MARIETTA AROUND 535 PM EDT.
  LANCASTER...LITITZ AND EAST PETERSBURG AROUND 540 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE YORK HAVEN...
GLENVILLE...YORK COLLEGE OF PENNSYLVANIA...EAST PROSPECT AND SEVEN
VALLEYS.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 83 FROM MILE MARKERS 0 TO 30.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MINOR FLOODING MAY DEVELOP. DO NOT DRIVE INTO WATER COVERING THE
ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4012 7676 4016 7629 3972 7656 3972 7733
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 270DEG 124KT 4018 7701 3928 7702

MARTIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
547 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

PAZ057-059-066-182245-
DAUPHIN PA-LANCASTER PA-LEBANON PA-
547 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 546 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM DEHART DAM TO NEAR ROYALTON...AND MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.

30 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  ELIZABETHTOWN...RHEEMS AND ROYALTON AROUND 550 PM EDT.
  HERSHEY...MOUNT JOY AND PALMYRA AROUND 555 PM EDT.
  LEBANON...ANNVILLE AND CAMPBELLTOWN AROUND 600 PM EDT.
  CORNWALL...LEBANON SOUTH AND AVON AROUND 605 PM EDT.
  LITITZ...MANHEIM AND BRICKERVILLE AROUND 610 PM EDT.
  EPHRATA...AKRON AND ROTHSVILLE AROUND 615 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE PENRYN...
ELIZABETHTOWN COLLEGE...MOUNT GRETNA...THREE MILE ISLAND AND ONO.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
 THE PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE FROM MILE MARKERS 248 TO 281.
 INTERSTATE 78 FROM MILE MARKERS 0 TO 8.
 INTERSTATE 81 FROM MILE MARKERS 74 TO 95.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MINOR FLOODING MAY DEVELOP. DO NOT DRIVE INTO WATER COVERING THE
ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4013 7619 4011 7671 4013 7674 4017 7675
      4019 7678 4020 7678 4047 7676 4051 7645
      4037 7625 4036 7620 4031 7615
TIME...MOT...LOC 2146Z 309DEG 62KT 4046 7673 4013 7672

MARTIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
556 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

PAZ065-066-182300-
YORK PA-LANCASTER PA-
556 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 555 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR RHEEMS TO NEAR BROOKLYN PARK...AND MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.

30 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  COLUMBIA AROUND 600 PM EDT.
  LANCASTER...LITITZ AND MANHEIM AROUND 605 PM EDT.
  ROTHSVILLE AROUND 610 PM EDT.
  EPHRATA...AKRON AND LEOLA AROUND 615 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE CONESTOGA...
ELIZABETHTOWN COLLEGE...YORK HAVEN...GLENVILLE AND FRANKLIN AND
MARSHALL COLLEGE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 83 FROM MILE MARKERS 0 TO 27.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3982 7700 4015 7668 4016 7614 3972 7645
      3972 7700
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 270DEG 62KT 4014 7659 3924 7660

MARTIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
615 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0554 PM     HAIL             GRANTVILLE              40.38N  76.65W
05/18/2015  M0.88 INCH       DAUPHIN            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1500050

MACH