Small Craft Advisory 8, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1058 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATE FOR 06Z AVIATION BRIEFING.

&&

.AVIATION...HIGH UNCERTAINTY REGARDING LATE NIGHT CIGS/VSBYS. FOR
NOW HAVE VFR PREVAILING BUT WOULD NOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT A PERIOD
OF IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS AROUND SUNRISE AND INTO SUN MRNG. AVIATION
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN PERSISTENTLY INDICATING THAT IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS
WILL OCCUR AT ALL TERMINALS TONIGHT...BUT GUIDANCE HAS NOT
HANDLED EARLIER EVENING CONDITIONS VERY WELL. IN ADDITION...LLVL
WIND FLOW IS NOT PROG TO BECOME OVERLY CONDUCIVE FOR A SIGNIFICANT
STRATUS/FOG EVENT. THUS...FOR NOW...WILL HAVE AREA TAFS AT VFR TO
START THE TAF PERIOD AND HINT AT SCT IFR/LIFR CIGS DVLPNG AROUND
SUNRISE. IF CONDITIONS DO END UP DETERIORATING...VFR SHOULD RETURN
BY MID/LATE MRNG AND CONTINUE THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.
STRONG SRLY LLJ EARLY IN THE TAF PERIOD MAY LEAD TO NON CONVECTIVE
LLWS BEFORE LLJ DECREASES IN INTENSITY LATE IN THE NIGHT. SW/WRLY
WINDS 5 TO 10 KT FROM MID MRNG TO MID AFTN BEFORE PRE FRONTAL
TROUGH SLIDES THROUGH LATE IN THE DAY...FOLLOWED DAY A STRONG
FROPA LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    62  75  46  53  44  /  40  20  20  10  20
VICTORIA          59  74  41  52  40  /  50  40  20  10  10
LAREDO            59  76  48  54  42  /  30  10  10  10  30
ALICE             60  77  46  54  42  /  40  20  20  10  20
ROCKPORT          62  68  45  52  46  /  40  30  20  10  10
COTULLA           57  73  45  55  41  /  30  20  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        61  78  47  54  43  /  40  20  20  10  20
NAVY CORPUS       62  70  47  53  47  /  40  20  20  10  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...GALE WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

RH/79...AVIATION

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
627 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-020030-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
627 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH TEXAS AND
THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST PORTIONS
OF SOUTH TEXAS AND THE COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY....WITH GUSTS EXCEEDING GALE FORCE POSSIBLY LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT. A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE GULF WATERS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TB