Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
243 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED ZONES AND PUBLIC PACKAGE TO EXTEND SVR BOX
TIL 5 AM. PRODUCTS ARE OUT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 130 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...THIS WILL SHORT AND OUT THE DOOR SO OFFICE CAN WORK
ON ON-GOING CONVECTION. SMALLER SCALE MODELS...ESPECIALLY NSSL 4
KM SHOWS THIS SYSTEM MAKING IT TO THE COAST AROUND 12Z...SO HAVE
KICKED POPS UP FOR THE EASTERN AREAS THIS MORNING. MAY NOT SEE A
LOT OF ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON AS USUAL WHEN CONVECTION THIS
ORGANIZED BLOWS THROUGH WE ARE STABLE FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.
THUS...AM GOING TO GO VERY LITTLE ON RAIN THE AFTERNOON (20 TO 30
AT MOST) AS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL TAKE TIME TO RELOAD. AFTER THAT...
THINKING REMAINS THE SAME. FRONT WILL BRING ANOTHER SHOT OF RAIN
MAINLY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THEN WE SHOULD SEE A DRYING
TREND BUT WILL STILL MENTION AT LEAST SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. THINK NO RAIN IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY SINCE A CUT
OFF LOW WILL BE NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BUT FOR NOW WILL GO
WITH THE SUPERBLEND BUT ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS. LATER SHIFTS CAN
ADJUST. COOLER ON SUNDAY THEN A BIT OF A WARMING TREND EARLY IN
THE WEEK. NO MODIFICATIONS TO SUPERBLEND DAYS 4-8 CONCERNING
TEMPERATURES...PLENTY OF TIME TO ADJUST THOSE VALUES A DEGREE OR
TWO DOWN THE ROAD.

MARINE...WITH PASSING OF CONVECTIVE LINE...WINDS FOR A TIME WILL
BE NORTHWEST...THEN SHIFT BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH IN THE AFTERNOON AS SHOULD SEE STABLE
AIRMASS. WINDS SHOULD STAY BELOW SCA FOR THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    86  75  88  71  84  /  50  10  30  50  50
VICTORIA          86  72  86  69  83  /  60  10  50  50  50
LAREDO            92  75  91  71  88  /  10  20  30  40  40
ALICE             88  74  90  71  86  /  30  10  30  50  50
ROCKPORT          86  77  87  72  84  /  60  10  30  50  50
COTULLA           89  73  89  70  86  /  10  20  40  50  40
KINGSVILLE        87  74  89  71  86  /  40  10  30  50  50
NAVY CORPUS       84  77  86  74  83  /  60  10  30  40  50

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

GW/86...SYNOPTIC
TE/81...MESO/AVIATION
TB/78...DECISION SUPPORT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1026 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-300330-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
1026 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FOR
WEBB...LA SALLE AND MCMULLEN COUNTIES. THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS
THE NORTHWESTERN RIO GRANDE PLAINS TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS MAY BE
STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY
THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH THE BETTER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ON FRIDAY AND
SUNDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME VERY ISOLATED BY WEDNESDAY. AT
THIS TIME...A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
FRIDAY...WITH AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM OR TWO MAINLY OVER NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
ON SATURDAY. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...THE PREDICTABILITY OF
ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS IS TOO LOW AT THIS TIME...ALTHOUGH A
FEW STRONG STORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TE

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