Flash Flood Warning 48, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

273 
WGUS74 KCRP 150230
FFSCRP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
930 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2015

TXC311-150400-
/O.CON.KCRP.FF.W.0048.000000T0000Z-150515T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MCMULLEN TX-
930 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MCMULLEN COUNTY...

AT 925 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. RADAR ESTIMATES OF 3 TO 5 INCHES 
OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
TILDEN.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...LEONCITA 
CREEK...NUECES RIVER...MUSTANG BRANCH...SAN MIGUEL CREEK...FRIO 
RIVER...BILL WALKER CREEK...AND SALT BRANCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

&&

LAT...LON 2857 9847 2838 9846 2837 9872 2856 9871

$$

CB

980 
WGUS74 KCRP 150354
FFSCRP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1054 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2015

TXC311-150402-
/O.EXP.KCRP.FF.W.0048.000000T0000Z-150515T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MCMULLEN TX-
1054 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MCMULLEN COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 1100 PM CDT...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE
A THREAT.

LAT...LON 2857 9847 2838 9846 2837 9872 2856 9871

$$

CB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
706 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...MOISTURE CONVERGENCE PUSHING FARTHER WEST SHOULD KEEP
QUIET CONDITIONS FOR VCT-ALI-CRP THROUGH THE EVENING...WITH
ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE FOR LRD. ANY CONVECTION SHOULD WANE
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING. LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
WILL BEGIN TO FILL IN LEADING TO MVFR/IFR CIGS LATE
TONIGHT...WITH MVFR/IFR VSBYS. FOCUS FOR CONVECTION TRANSITIONS
TO AROUND AND AFTER 06Z. MODELS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP A WEATHER
SYSTEM MOVING EAST ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE AFFECTING LRD OVERNIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST-NORTHEAST. IN THE
MEAN TIME...ISOLATED MORNING CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE MOVING
NORTHWARD FOR CRP-ALI-VCT. CHANCES FOR RAIN TAPER OFF THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH CIGS AND VSBYS LIFTING AND IMPROVING THROUGH THE
MID MORNING. LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BECOMING BREEZY ONCE MORE
LATE FRIDAY MORNING/AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 309 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...ISOLD WEAK SHRA/TSRA'S HAVE
DVLPD ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF S TX THIS AFTERNOON. AM EXPECTING
CONVECTION TO TAPER OFF BY THIS EVENING...THEN A SHORT WAVE IS PROGD
TO APPROACH S TX OVERNIGHT WITH CONVECTION PRIMARILY AFFECTING THE
NW CWA. THIS SPREADS E ON FRI BUT HIGHEST POPS STILL LOOK TO BE
ACROSS W 2/3RDS OF CWA. THIS IS DUE TO LOWER PWATS/INSTABILITY
ACROSS THE E 1/3RD OF THE CWA. DEWPOINTS HAVE GRADUALLY INCREASED
THUS AM EXPECTING MN TEMPS TONIGHT TO BE A TAD WARMER...ESPECIALLY
EASTERN AREAS. WENT SLIGHTLY BELOW GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS ON
FRI...ESPECIALLY W AREAS DUE TO THE EXPECTED CLOUD COVER/RAIN CHCS.
WINDS ARE PROGD TO INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT BUT
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. A GENERALLY WEAK TO MOD ONSHORE
FLOW IS EXPECTED FRI.

LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL PUSH EAST OF THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT...RESULTING ONLY IN A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF CONVECTION FRIDAY NIGHT. MAIN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
WILL THEN MOVE OUT OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION SATURDAY AND THEN INTO
THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL PLACE SOUTH TEXAS
IN A CONTINUED SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. AT THE SAME TIME...MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT ACROSS THE AREA WITH PW VALUES BETWEEN 1.5
AND 1.7 INCHES. AS A RESULT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH TEXAS AND WILL KEEP 30 TO
50 POPS IN THE FORECAST. ACTIVE PATTERN WILL PERSIST WITH DAILY
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR...WITH LOWER 90S OUT WEST AND MIDDLE 80S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    74  84  76  85  77  /  10  50  20  20  10
VICTORIA          73  83  73  85  75  /  10  40  20  30  10
LAREDO            72  86  74  89  76  /  30  60  20  20  20
ALICE             73  86  74  89  76  /  20  50  20  30  10
ROCKPORT          75  83  76  83  78  /  10  40  10  20  10
COTULLA           71  84  72  87  74  /  40  60  20  30  20
KINGSVILLE        74  86  75  87  76  /  10  50  20  20  10
NAVY CORPUS       75  83  77  83  78  /  10  40  20  20  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

CB/85...AVIATION

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
508 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2015

TXZ229>234-239>247-151015-
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
508 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND
TONIGHT. AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE. BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE SHOWERS AND STORMS.

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL EXIST TODAY AND TONIGHT ALONG
GULF FACING BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

GREATER CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR FRIDAY.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND A CHANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY. ADDITIONAL
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-151015-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
508 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL
WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND
TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT
WEEK.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
800 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2015

TXZ229-150130-
LA SALLE-
800 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN LA SALLE COUNTY...

AT 759 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR LOS ANGELES...OR 19
MILES EAST OF COTULLA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LOS ANGELES.

LAT...LON 2858 9880 2851 9880 2840 9891 2844 9903
      2864 9898
TIME...MOT...LOC 0059Z 205DEG 12KT 2846 9892

CB