Flash Flood Warning 39, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

963 
WGUS74 KCRP 131338
FFSCRP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
838 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2015

TXC025-131545-
/O.CON.KCRP.FF.W.0039.000000T0000Z-150513T1545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BEE TX-
838 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR
BEE COUNTY...

AT 836 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF BEE COUNTY. ALTHOUGH THE 
TREND HAS BEEN FOR THE STORMS TO WEAKEN...HEAVY RAINFALL COULD STILL 
PRODUCE FLOODING ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF BEE COUNTY AND 
THE CITY OF BEEVILLE. DOPPLER ESTIMATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES HAVE BEEN 
OBSERVED OVER SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF BEE COUNTY SINCE 7 AM. 
 
FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BEEVILLE...SKIDMORE...TULETA...BLANCONIA...PETTUS...TULSITA...
NORMANNA...TYNAN AND PAPALOTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST 
FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 2866 9782 2860 9772 2854 9770 2852 9765
      2853 9760 2850 9755 2845 9755 2845 9752
      2843 9752 2844 9749 2841 9746 2841 9741
      2839 9738 2813 9757 2818 9781 2819 9781
      2838 9793

$$

GW

952 
WGUS74 KCRP 131457
FFSCRP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
957 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2015

TXC025-131507-
/O.CAN.KCRP.FF.W.0039.000000T0000Z-150513T1545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BEE TX-
957 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR BEE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO 
POSE A THREAT AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...MORE HEAVY RAINFALL AND 
FLOODING COULD OCCUR THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN 
ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. 

LAT...LON 2866 9782 2860 9772 2854 9770 2852 9765
      2853 9760 2850 9755 2845 9755 2845 9752
      2843 9752 2844 9749 2841 9746 2841 9741
      2839 9738 2813 9757 2818 9781 2819 9781
      2838 9793

$$

GW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
649 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.AVIATION...CONVECTION WILL BE THE MAIN AVIATION CONCERN IN THE
IMMEDIATE TERM AT CRP TERMINAL...AND HAVE INCLUDED TSRA REMARKS.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES AND HAVE VCTS/TEMPO TSRA AT ALL TERMINALS. IF
THUNDERSTORMS DIRECTLY IMPACT THE TERMINALS THEN REDUCED VSBYS AND
ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 440 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...THE FORECAST IS NOT EASY.
AS OF WRITING...A THIN AXIS CONTAINING DEEPEST MOISTURE WAS
LOCATED ALONG AND JUST OFFSHORE OF THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST.
MODEST...BUT GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
ADVECTION WAS OCCURRING INTO THE AREA OF DEEPER MOISTURE.
THIS...IN ADDITION TO AN APPROACHING H5 VORT MAX...HAS LED TO
SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTING OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS THE NEARSHORE WATERS. AFTER COLLABORATION
WITH THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS BRANCH ABOUT WHERE HEAVY
RAINFALL POTENTIAL MAY OCCUR...HAVE DECIDED TO EXPAND FLASH FLOOD
WATCH INTO THE NORTHERN COASTAL BEND TO ACCOUNT FOR POTENTIAL OF
DEEPER MOISTURE AXIS SHIFTING NORTHWARD...WHICH COULD LEAD TO
HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. ELSEWHERE
INLAND...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION IS GRADUALLY DEVELOPING
IN RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING ESE 925MB LLJ. RAP MID LEVEL
HEIGHT ANALYSIS OVERLAID WITH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN
APPROACHING MID LEVEL S/W TROUGH WHICH SHOULD AID IN CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE BY SUNRISE. THE OVERALL FORECAST
FOR TODAY CALLS FOR CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST TO PERSIST AND
BUILD NORTHWARD THROUGH MID MORNING WITH ADDITIONAL CONVECTION
DEVELOPING/EXPANDING IN AREAL COVERAGE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE AND
BEGIN TO SHIFT NE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE PRETTY
MUCH ANYWHERE TODAY AS PWATS REMAIN HIGH. A STRONG STORM WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION GIVEN EXPECTED MLCAPE VALUES AROUND
2000 J/KG AND SUFFICIENT BULK SHEAR VALUES /ESPECIALLY ACROSS NW
COUNTIES/. MAIN MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS SWINGS THROUGH THE AREA BY
LATE TODAY RESULTING IN DRIER CONDITIONS TONIGHT. CAVEAT IS THAT A
A MINOR S/W TROUGH MAY PUSH ACROSS TONIGHT WHICH MAY LEAD TO
ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE CHANCES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES.
GUIDANCE INDICATES SOME DRIER AIR AT H85 BUILDING INTO THE REGION
ON THURSDAY RESULTING IN LOWER PRECIP CHANCES.

WILL ALLOW RIP CURRENT RISK TO EXPIRE AT 6 AM. A MODERATE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS WILL EXIST TODAY AND MAY FLIRT WITH THE HIGH RISK
THRESHOLD AGAIN ON THURSDAY.

LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OUT OF MEXICO THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
THIS WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE
WEST THURSDAY NIGHT...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHERN SECTIONS ON FRIDAY.
RAIN CHANCES MAY TEMPORARILY LOWER ON SATURDAY THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH PASSES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. WILL KEEP SOME LOW END 20 POPS
THOUGH WITH LINGERING MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. ACTIVE WEATHER
PATTERN APPEARS TO RETURN BEGINNING SUNDAY THROUGH THE FIRST PART
OF NEXT WEEK. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH OCCASIONAL UPPER
DISTURBANCES WILL TRAVERSE THE REGION DURING THIS TIME. SUPERBLEND
POPS GENERALLY RANGE FROM 30 TO 50 PERCENT...AND WILL KEEP
OFFICIAL FORECAST SIMILAR TO SUPERBLEND NUMBERS. TEMPERATURES IN
THE 80S WILL BE COMMON THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH LOWER 90S OVER
THE WESTERN ZONES FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    83  74  86  75  84  /  60  30  30  20  30
VICTORIA          81  72  88  73  83  /  60  40  30  20  40
LAREDO            85  72  91  73  90  /  60  20  20  30  30
ALICE             85  72  89  73  86  /  50  20  30  20  30
ROCKPORT          83  76  85  76  80  /  60  30  20  20  30
COTULLA           82  70  89  71  87  /  70  20  20  40  30
KINGSVILLE        86  74  88  75  86  /  60  30  30  20  30
NAVY CORPUS       83  75  84  76  81  /  60  30  20  20  30

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: ARANSAS...BEE...CALHOUN...DUVAL...GOLIAD...
     JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...LA SALLE...LIVE OAK...MCMULLEN...
     NUECES...REFUGIO...SAN PATRICIO...VICTORIA...WEBB.

GM...NONE.

&&

TB/78...AVIATION

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
532 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2015

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-141045-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
532 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS UNTIL MID
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE
TODAY. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE FLOODING RAINS. A FEW STORMS MAY
ALSO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LARGE
HAIL...AND EVEN A TORNADO POSSIBLE.

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EXISTS TODAY ALONG GULF FACING
BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL EXIST ALONG GULF FACING
BEACHES.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY WITH MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHEAST FLOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME...BUT
ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED IF THE STRONG TO SEVERE STORM THREAT
FOR TODAY INCREASES FURTHER.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
535 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2015

TXZ242-243-131115-
NUECES-KLEBERG-
535 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL NUECES AND
NORTHEASTERN KLEBERG COUNTIES...

AT 534 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR WALDRON FIELD...OR 13
MILES SOUTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CORPUS CHRISTI...DOWNTOWN CORPUS CHRISTI...FLOUR BLUFF...CORPUS
CHRISTI DEL MAR WEST CAMPUS...LA PALMERA MALL...BAY AREA MEDICAL
CENTER...CORPUS CHRISTI COUNTRY CLUB...WALDRON FIELD...NAVAL AIR
STATION CABANISS FIELD...KINGS CROSSING GOLF COURSE...CORPUS CHRISTI
DEL MAR EAST CAMPUS...CHRISTUS SPOHN HOSPITAL SOUTH...TEXAS A&M
UNIVERSITY CORPUS CHRISTI...DRISCOLL CHILDRENS HOSPITAL...COLE
PARK...CHAPMAN RANCH AND CC NAS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO NOT DRIVE
YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 2747 9746 2780 9746 2781 9739 2771 9731
      2768 9733 2763 9735 2770 9731 2770 9725
      2756 9727 2758 9731 2751 9729 2755 9726
      2748 9727 2751 9731 2751 9735 2749 9730
TIME...MOT...LOC 1034Z 175DEG 20KT 2755 9737

HART

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
625 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2015

TXZ243-131200-
NUECES-
625 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MUSTANG ISLAND...

AT 624 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR MUSTANG ISLAND STATE
PARK...OR 8 MILES SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PORT ARANSAS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 2774 9716 2781 9722 2774 9714 2777 9714
      2782 9708 2781 9720 2783 9712 2786 9716
      2784 9712 2787 9714 2788 9715 2788 9714
      2783 9710 2784 9710 2783 9706 2768 9717
TIME...MOT...LOC 1124Z 130DEG 13KT 2771 9710

HART