Flash Flood Warning 102, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1250 PM CDT FRI SEP 11 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR THE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...CONVECTION FIRING UP ACROSS THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST
CURRENTLY AFFECTING VCT IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND FARTHER SOUTH AND
WEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON TO THEN AFFECT CRP-ALI-LRD WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AS A SURFACE
BOUNDARY TO NORTH SLOWLY SINKS...MORE CONVERGENCE WILL EXIST TO
KEEP CONVECTION THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON WELL INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. CHANCES BECOME MORE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED HEADED
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT SHOULD OVERALL BE DRYING FROM NORTH
TO SOUTH. GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR...BUT IN AND AROUND
HEAVY STORMS...MVFR CIGS WITH EVEN IFR VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED
TO OCCUR. WITH CONVECTION ENDING LATE TONIGHT...FOG IS POSSIBLE
BUT ESPECIALLY FROM ALI-VCT. VFR SHOULD RESUME AFTER 14Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    88  74  88  71  88  /  70  60  40  20  10
VICTORIA          86  71  87  65  87  /  70  40  20  10  10
LAREDO            93  73  90  71  92  /  60  70  30  20  10
ALICE             89  72  88  69  90  /  70  60  40  20  10
ROCKPORT          86  74  87  72  88  /  70  60  40  20  10
COTULLA           90  72  90  67  91  /  60  40  20  10   0
KINGSVILLE        90  73  88  71  89  /  70  70  40  20  10
NAVY CORPUS       87  76  87  74  87  /  70  70  40  20  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

CB/85...AVIATION

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
450 AM CDT FRI SEP 11 2015

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-121000-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
450 AM CDT FRI SEP 11 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS AND THE COASTAL WATERS TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO
SURFACE LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY BUT
RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY AS A COASTAL TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TE/TMT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
140 PM CDT FRI SEP 11 2015

TXZ244-245-111930-
SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-
140 PM CDT FRI SEP 11 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN ARANSAS COUNTY...

AT 139 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR KEY ALLEGRO...OR NEAR
ROCKPORT...MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCKPORT...ARANSAS PASS...INGLESIDE--ARANSAS PASS...KEY ALLEGRO AND
PALM HARBOR.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 2790 9701 2794 9706 2789 9702 2796 9709
      2791 9705 2794 9711 2791 9706 2791 9714
      2790 9713 2784 9704 2784 9705 2790 9714
      2785 9723 2809 9705 2804 9703 2807 9685
TIME...MOT...LOC 1839Z 008DEG 23KT 2801 9697

TJ