Alert archive / Ohio / Special Weather Statements in 2015
Special Weather Statement, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this special weather statement at Jul 19, 2015, 4:05 PM EDT for 6 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 19, 2015, 4:05 PM EDT (20:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 19, 2015, 4:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 40 min
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
Counties Erie County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Huron County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Wyandot County, OH
The radar
The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1669 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -39 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 665 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 19 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 2.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 19, 2:38 PM EDT, 1 hour 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 2:38 PM EDT, 1 hour 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 238 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2015 .SYNOPSIS... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA BRIEFLY ON MONDAY BEFORE ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/... MCV ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA AND A COLD FRONT THAT IS LOCATED FROM SOUTHERN ONTARIO ACROSS NW OHIO AND INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS WILL BE THE MAIN FACTORS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING. THIS OCCURRING AS BETTER JET ENERGY MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN THEN INTO ONTARIO TONIGHT. PLENTY OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S WHICH PUSHES MIXED LAYER CAPES INTO THE 2000-3000 RANGE. SO THE INSTABILITY IS THERE WAITING FOR THE FRONT AND JET ENERGY TO ARRIVE. BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR TO BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE MCV. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG DAMAGING WINDS. WE THOUGHT BRIEFLY ABOUT A FLOOD WATCH ACROSS THE SOUTH BUT BELIEVE THE STORMS WILL MOVE FAIRLY QUICKLY ACROSS THAT AREA. HOWEVER WILL MENTION LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE HWO. THUNDERSTORMS LOOK TO BE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA BY 10 PM. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY TAKES CONTROL OF NORTHERN OHIO AND NW PA. IT WILL BE COOLER TONIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE LOWER 60S NW TO THE MIDDLE 60S SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE CWA. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT DIPS INTO THE AREA INT EH WAKE OF THE FRONT TONIGHT SHOULD BE NUDGED SOUTHWARD ON MONDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE DAY. NOT AS MUCH MOISTURE TO LIFT WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE SO HAVE NOT GONE ANY HIGHER THAN ISOLATED/SCATTERED CATEGORY POPS ACROSS THE REGION. A LARGER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA BY TUESDAY MORNING. THERE COULD BE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS EARLY TUESDAY BUT THE OVERALL TREND WILL BE FOR DRIER CONDITIONS INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS WILL STILL WARM INTO THE 80S ON MONDAY BUT SLIGHTLY LOWER HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL MAKE IT FEEL A BIT MORE COMFORTABLE. COOLER TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONGER COLD FRONT. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 70S. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR MOST OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. AN UPPER LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING A FEW DISTURBANCES INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. 12Z GFS SHOWS THE FIRST SHORT WAVE ON THURSDAY WITH ANOTHER STRONGER WAVE ON SATURDAY. THE FIRST SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE WEAK AND MOISTURE STARVED. CURRENT GUIDANCE DOES NOT HAVE VERY HIGH PROBABILITIES OF PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM AND WITH THE DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY...I WILL LEAVE IT OUT AT THIS TIME. THE SECOND SYSTEM TOWARDS NEXT WEEKEND WILL BE MORE VIGOROUS WITH DEEPER MOISTURE. I WILL BRING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE FORECAST SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. && .AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE FORECAST AREA AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. WITH A WARM MOIST AIR MASS IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. INITIAL DEVELOP OCCURRING IN INDIANA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO WESTERN OHIO 19-20Z AND THEN EXPAND INTO NE OH AND NW PA ~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
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 19, 3:35 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 335 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2015 OHZ008>014-018>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-201945- SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-SENECA- HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND- ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX- ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- 335 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2015 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 443 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WHICH MAY LEAD TO SOME MINOR FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. LEZ142-143-162-163-OHZ003-006-007-017-201945- MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-LUCAS-WOOD- OTTAWA-HANCOCK- 335 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE AND NORTHWEST OHIO. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. LEZ061-144>149-164>169-201945- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA- ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- 335 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2015 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 443 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 19, 2:33 PM EDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 233 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2015 OHZ006-017-027-191900- HANCOCK-WYANDOT-WOOD- 233 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2015 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN WOOD...NORTHWESTERN WYANDOT AND HANCOCK COUNTIES... AT 229 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS SOUTHEAST OF DEFIANCE... WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND HALF INCH HAIL. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FINDLAY...FOSTORIA...BLUFFTON...NORTH BALTIMORE...MCCOMB...ARLINGTON...ARCADIA... VAN BUREN...BRADNER...MOUNT BLANCHARD...PORTAGE AND HOYTVILLE. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. LAT...LON 4134 8388 4136 8342 4089 8342 4088 8388 TIME...MOT...LOC 1829Z 274DEG 8KT 4119 8441 THOMPSON
Special weather statement, Jul 19, 3:07 PM EDT, 58 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 307 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2015 OHZ027-028-191930- WYANDOT-CRAWFORD- 307 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2015 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL WYANDOT AND CENTRAL CRAWFORD COUNTIES THROUGH 4PM... AT 305 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR SYCAMORE. MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... BUCYRUS...NEVADA...OCEOLA AND SULPHER SPRINGS. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. LAT...LON 4082 8319 4090 8318 4089 8278 4082 8275 TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 269DEG 24KT 4086 8317 THOMPSON
Special weather statement, Jul 19, 4:05 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
405 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2015
OHZ008-009-017>019-027-028-192045-
HANCOCK-ERIE-HURON-WYANDOT-SENECA-CRAWFORD-SANDUSKY-
405 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2015
...A BROKEN LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
HURON...SANDUSKY... SENECA...ERIE...NORTHERN WYANDOT...NORTHERN
CRAWFORD AND HANCOCK COUNTIES...
AT 401 PM EDT...A BROKEN LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR BELLEVUE TO NORTH OF FINDALY MOVING EAST
SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS AREA EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AWAY FROM THIS LINE.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FINDLAY...SANDUSKY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...FREMONT...FOSTORIA...WESTERN
VERMILION...VERMILION...UPPER SANDUSKY...BLUFFTON...BELLEVUE...
CLYDE...WILLARD...GIBSONBURG...NEW LONDON...WOODVILLE...PLYMOUTH...
MCCOMB...FOREST AND ARLINGTON.
THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 4116 8388 4117 8342 4150 8341 4149 8334
4146 8334 4146 8319 4142 8294 4147 8282
4145 8269 4138 8250 4143 8235 4107 8234
4106 8244 4099 8244 4100 8272 4090 8289
4078 8348 4082 8351 4082 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 258DEG 27KT 4116 8300 4093 8406
MULLENThe office that day
Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 11:09 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Erie, Huron, Lorain | 51 min |
| Jul 19, 2:33 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Hancock | 27 min |
| Jul 19, 3:07 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Crawford | 23 min |
| Jul 19, 4:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Hancock, Seneca, Wyandot | 44 min |
| Jul 19, 4:29 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Knox | 46 min |
| Jul 19, 5:01 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Crawford, Huron, Richland | 29 min |
| Jul 19, 5:28 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Ashland, Morrow, Richland | 32 min |
| Jul 19, 6:05 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Ashland, Holmes, Knox, Morrow, Wayne | 40 min |
| Jul 19, 7:52 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CLE | Marion | 113 min |
| Jul 19, 5:05 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Crawford | 40 min |
| Jul 19, 5:42 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Crawford | 63 min |
| Jul 19, 5:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Crawford, Erie | 40 min |
| Jul 19, 5:57 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CLE | Crawford, Erie | 3 hr |
| Jul 19, 6:49 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CLE | Venango | 41 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Ohio, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.