Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Cleveland, OH

July 7, 2015Erie County, Pennsylvania

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this special weather statement at Jul 7, 2015, 4:56 PM EDT for Erie County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 64 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2015, 4:56 PM EDT (20:56 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2015, 6:00 PM EDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH

County Erie County, PA

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 148 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2015-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2015-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 50 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
946 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 7, 3:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 3:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 7, 4:49 AM EDT, 12 hours 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
449 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-080900-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
449 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED A MARGINAL RISK THAT
SOME STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. THE MAIN THREAT WOULD BE FOR
DAMAGING WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORMS WILL DEVELOP
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF
THE STORMS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA. HEAVY RAIN COULD PRODUCE LOCAL FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MOST DAYS THROUGH NEXT
MONDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-080900-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
449 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED A MARGINAL RISK THAT
SOME STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. THE MAIN THREAT WOULD BE FOR
DAMAGING WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORMS WILL DEVELOP
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 7, 12:10 PM EDT, 4 hours 46 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 7, 2:58 PM EDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
258 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

OHZ011>013-072000-
CUYAHOGA-GEAUGA-LAKE-
258 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN CUYAHOGA...LAKE AND
GEAUGA COUNTIES...

AT 258 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR CHESTERLAND...OR 8
MILES SOUTH OF WILLOWICK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLEVELAND...PAINESVILLE...WILLOWICK...CHARDON...FAIRPORT HARBOR...
EUCLID...MENTOR...CLEVELAND HEIGHTS...SOLON...WILLOUGHBY...
EASTLAKE...WARRENSVILLE HEIGHTS...SOUTH RUSSELL...MADISON...PERRY...
BURTON...HIGHLAND HILLS...TIMBERLAKE...LAKELINE AND CHESTERLAND.

LAT...LON 4150 8101 4140 8148 4156 8161 4167 8145
      4176 8128 4176 8124 4181 8113 4185 8101
TIME...MOT...LOC 1858Z 243DEG 41KT 4152 8145

LAPLANTE
Special weather statement, Jul 7, 4:56 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
456 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

PAZ001>003-072200-
NORTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD-SOUTHERN ERIE-
456 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ERIE AND NORTHERN
CRAWFORD COUNTIES...

AT 454 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR HARBORCREEK TO 7 MILES EAST OF GIRARD TO NEAR
EDINBORO TO 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF MEADVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH A QUICK HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH
POSSIBLE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ERIE...EDINBORO...NORTH EAST...UNION CITY...GIRARD...CAMBRIDGE
SPRINGS...WATERFORD...WATTSBURG...NORTHWEST HARBORCREEK...
HARBORCREEK...WESLEYVILLE...LAKE CITY...SAEGERTOWN...MILL VILLAGE...
MCKEAN...SPARTANSBURG...VENANGO...ELGIN...FAIRVIEW AND WOODCOCK.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4201 7976 4199 7961 4183 7961 4164 8036
      4186 8025 4203 8034 4207 8025 4212 8004
      4227 7977
TIME...MOT...LOC 2054Z 233DEG 32KT 4212 8003 4202 8018 4192 8018 4176
8025

MULLEN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 12:10 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLECrawford, Erie, Hancock, Huron, Marion, Morrow and 4 more50 min
Jul 7, 1:45 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningCLE2 hr
Jul 7, 2:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLECuyahoga, Geauga, Lake62 min
Jul 7, 5:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLEHolmes, Mahoning, Portage, Stark, Trumbull, Wayne61 min
Jul 7, 6:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCLECrawford43 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Pennsylvania, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.