Alert archive / Ohio / Small Craft Advisories in 2015

Small Craft Advisory 64, NWS Cleveland, OH

December 31, 2015

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this small craft advisory at Dec 31, 2015, 3:50 AM EST. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 31, 2015, 3:50 AM EST (08:50 UTC)
Expired
Jan 4, 2016, 9:00 PM EST
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

080 
WHUS71 KCLE 310850
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
350 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

...MERGING SYSTEMS WILL INCREASE WINDS...

.HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST AND LOW PRESSURE FROM THE
NORTH WILL COMBINE TO INCREASE WINDS OVER THE LAKE THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

LEZ145>149-311700-
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.151231T0850Z-160102T0000Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
350 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO
  25 KNOTS TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND CONTINUE ON FRIDAY.

* WAVES/SEAS...WAVES WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET TODAY...4 TO 6 FEET
  TONIGHT AND TO 5 TO 7 FEET FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET 
OR MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOMBARDY
18 follow-up statements
074 
WHUS71 KCLE 311427
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
927 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

...MERGING SYSTEMS WILL INCREASE WINDS...

.HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST AND LOW PRESSURE FROM
THE NORTH WILL COMBINE TO INCREASE WINDS OVER THE LAKE THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

LEZ145>149-312230-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160102T0000Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
927 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 
  25 KNOTS TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND CONTINUE ON FRIDAY. 

* WAVES/SEAS...WAVES WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET TODAY...4 TO 6 
  FEET TONIGHT AND TO 5 TO 7 FEET FRIDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
985 
WHUS71 KCLE 312028
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
328 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015


LEZ145>149-010430-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160102T1100Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
328 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS
  TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. WINDS WILL DROP TO 15 KNOTS
  FRIDAY NIGHT. 


* WAVES/SEAS...WAVES 4 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7
  FEET FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
749 
WHUS71 KCLE 010204
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
904 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015


LEZ145>149-011015-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160102T1100Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
904 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE
  TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

* WAVES/SEAS...WAVES 3 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 7 
  FEET FRIDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$
746 
WHUS71 KCLE 010843
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
343 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016

LEZ145>149-011645-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160103T0000Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
343 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BECOME WEST TODAY
  AND THEN SHIFT BACK TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND DECREASE TO 10 TO
  20 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...WAVES 4 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 8 FEET
  TODAY AND THEN SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 5 FEET TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
  SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT OR RETURN TO PORT IMMEDIATELY.

&&

$$

LOMBARDY
333 
WHUS71 KCLE 011452
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
952 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016

LEZ143-144-012300-
/O.EXB.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160103T0200Z/
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
952 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BECOME WEST THIS
  AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT BACK TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT.

* WAVES...WAVES 3 TO 6 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND 2 TO 5 FEET
  TONIGHT AND CONTINUE SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ145>149-012300-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160103T0200Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
952 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BECOME WEST THIS
  AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT BACK TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND CONTINUE ON
  SATURDAY.

* WAVES...WAVES 5 TO 8 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND 3 TO 6 FEET
  TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$
168 
WHUS71 KCLE 012103
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
403 PM EST FRI JAN 1 2016

LEZ142-020515-
/O.EXB.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-
403 PM EST FRI JAN 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS AVERAGING 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

* WAVES...GENERALLY 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ143>146-020515-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
403 PM EST FRI JAN 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE 15 TO 25
  KNOTS.

* WAVES...WAVES 5 TO 7 FEET THIS EVENING THEN GENERALLY 3 TO 5
  FEET. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ147>149-020515-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
403 PM EST FRI JAN 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS AVERAGING 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

* WAVES...WAVES GENERALLY 5 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$
436 
WHUS71 KCLE 020200
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
900 PM EST FRI JAN 1 2016


LEZ142>146-021000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
900 PM EST FRI JAN 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS AVERAGING 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE 
  THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 

* WAVES...GENERALLY 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ147>149-021000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
900 PM EST FRI JAN 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS AVERAGING 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE 
  THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 

* WAVES...WAVES GENERALLY 5 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$
738 
WHUS71 KCLE 020857
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
357 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2016


LEZ142>146-021700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
357 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS AVERAGING 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE 
  THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 

* WAVES...GENERALLY 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ147>149-021700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
357 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS AVERAGING 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE 
  THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 

* WAVES...WAVES GENERALLY 5 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$
332 
WHUS71 KCLE 021525
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1025 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2016


LEZ142>146-022330-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
1025 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS AVERAGING 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE 
  THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

* WAVES...GENERALLY 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ147>149-022330-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1025 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS AVERAGING 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE 
  THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

* WAVES...WAVES GENERALLY 5 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

GARNET
650 
WHUS71 KCLE 022041
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
341 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016


LEZ142>146-030445-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
341 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING WEST ON SUNDAY.

* WAVES...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ147>149-030445-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
341 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS BECOMING WEST ON SUNDAY.

* WAVES...WAVES GENERALLY 5 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

GARNET
115 
WHUS71 KCLE 030300
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1000 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016


LEZ142>146-031100-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
1000 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* WAVES...GENERALLY 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ147>149-031100-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1000 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* WAVES...WAVES GENERALLY 5 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$
057 
WHUS71 KCLE 030855
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
355 AM EST SUN JAN 3 2016


LEZ142>146-031700-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T2300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
355 AM EST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT TODAY BECOMING NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND
  THEN NORTH ON MONDAY. 

* WAVES...GENERALLY 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ147>149-031700-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T2300Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
355 AM EST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT TODAY BECOMING NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND
  THEN NORTH ON MONDAY. 

* WAVES...WAVES GENERALLY 5 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$
428 
WHUS71 KCLE 031438
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
938 AM EST SUN JAN 3 2016


LEZ142>146-032245-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T2300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
938 AM EST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THEN
  NORTH ON MONDAY.

* WAVES...GENERALLY 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ147>149-032245-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T2300Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
938 AM EST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND TONIGHT THEN NORTH
  ON MONDAY.

* WAVES...WAVES GENERALLY 5 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

GARNET
534 
WHUS71 KCLE 032035
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
335 PM EST SUN JAN 3 2016


LEZ142>146-040445-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T2300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
335 PM EST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT WILL BECOME NORTH ON
  MONDAY.

* WAVES...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ147>149-040445-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T2300Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
335 PM EST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT BECOMING NORTH ON
  MONDAY.

* WAVES...WAVES GENERALLY 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

GARNET
064 
WHUS71 KCLE 040250
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
950 PM EST SUN JAN 3 2016


LEZ142>146-041100-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T2300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
950 PM EST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* WAVES...GENERALLY WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$
20
LEZ147>149-041100-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T2300Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
950 PM EST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* WAVES...WAVES GENERALLY 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$
920 
WHUS71 KCLE 040854
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
354 AM EST MON JAN 4 2016


LEZ142>146-041700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T2300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
354 AM EST MON JAN 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH WIND 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY.

* WAVES...GENERALLY WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ147>149-041700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T2300Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
354 AM EST MON JAN 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KT.

* WAVES...WAVES GENERALLY 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$
372 
WHUS71 KCLE 041446
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
946 AM EST MON JAN 4 2016

LEZ142>146-042300-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T2300Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
946 AM EST MON JAN 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH WIND 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ147>149-042300-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160104T2300Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
946 AM EST MON JAN 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KT.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$
744 
WHUS71 KCLE 042046
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
346 PM EST MON JAN 4 2016


LEZ142>146-050200-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160105T0200Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
346 PM EST MON JAN 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH WIND 10 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

LEZ147>149-050200-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-160105T0200Z/
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
346 PM EST MON JAN 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 31, 12:27 AM EST, 3 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 12:27 AM EST, 3 hours 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1227 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF WEAK TROUGHS WILL FAVOR SOME LAKE EFFECT
PRECIPITATION INTO THE WEEKEND. COOLER AND MORE SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE STARTING ON THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
STILL SOME DRIZZLE IN THE EAST BUT NOTHING ELSE. HRR CONTINUES TO
SHOW NEXT SMALL WAVE AFTER MIDNIGHT EASTERN ERIE LAKESHORE. JUST
LEFT CHANCE POPS FOR RAIN SHOWERS...BUT A SHORT DURATION MIX LATE
TONIGHT STILL POSSIBLE.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH ALOFT WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA
TONIGHT. WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE THIS EVENING WILL SUPPORT SOME
LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE MAINLY IN THE EASTERN COUNTIES. THE MAIN
WEATHER CONCERN WILL BE THE DEVELOPMENT OF LAKE ENHANCED PRECIP
BEHIND THE TROUGH. THE COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL KICK IN AND WE WILL
SEE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID LEVELS FALL OVERNIGHT. CURRENTLY THERE
IS A WARM INVERSION AROUND H850 WITH A LOCKED IN STRATUS DECK
BENEATH. THE CLOUD DECK WILL COOL OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER MAIN CONCERN
FOR PRECIP IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE GROWTH. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW
THE TOP OF THE CLOUD DECK WITH A TEMP OF -6 TO -8C AT THE COOLEST.
THIS IS NOT SUFFICIENT FOR THE DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH AND WITHOUT
ANY SEEDING ALOFT (DUE TO DRIER AIR MOVING IN) IT WILL TAKE SOME
TIME FOR THE LAKE EFFECT TO PRODUCE SNOW. BEST ATTEMPT AT WEATHER
TIMING HAS RAIN THROUGH MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE AREA IN THE SNOWBELT.
AFTER MIDNIGHT IT LOOKS LIKE THERE MAY BE A FEW HOURS WHERE THE
TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING AT THE SURFACE...AND WITH THE
CLOUD TEMPS AROUND -4C TO -8C EXPECT SUPERCOOLED WATER DROPLETS
WHICH COULD FREEZE ON CONTACT. THE GROUND IS EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE
FREEZING UNTIL EARLY THU MORNING SO ANY FREEZING RAIN WOULD BE ON
ELEVATED SURFACES. CAN'T RULE OUT SOME ICE PELLETS BRIEFLY LATE.
GIVEN THE SHALLOW NATURE OF THE CLOUDS AND THE HEIGHT OF THE
INVERSION...THE INTENSITY OF THE PRECIP WILL REMAIN LIGHT. THE
LAKE INDUCED CAPE COULD SUPPORT ENOUGH OF A RATE TO PRODUCE A
LIGHT ACCUMULATION IN THE ERIE HIGHER TERRAIN...WITH THE BEST
CHANCES TOWARDS DAYBREAK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR STEADY WITH A
SLOW COOL AFTER THE CAA AND WIND SHIFT LATE TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
PRECIPITATION COULD START AS RAIN/SNOW OR RAIN/SNOW/SLEET MIX
EARLY THURSDAY BUT THEN SHOULD TRANSITION TO SNOW. AGAIN AM
CONCERNED ABOUT THE LACK OF A SNOW GROWTH ZONE WITHOUT WHICH WE
WOULD SEE A SLOW TRANSITION OVER TO SNOW. THIS BEING THE CASE
DON'T EXPECT MUCH ACCUMULATIONS EXCEPT PERHAPS IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF ERIE/CRAWFORD PA.

LAKE EFFECT PARAMETERS IMPROVE FRIDAY AS ANOTHER WEAK WAVE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID LEVEL JET MOVES JUST NORTH OF THE REGION.
THIS FEATURE COULD PRODUCE SOME FLURRIES ACROSS THE AREA OUTSIDE
OF THE SNOW BELT...BUT NOT ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ANYTHING MORE THAN
THAT AT THIS TIME. FOR THE SNOWBELT THE COLD CLOUD DEPTH
INCREASES NOTABLY. THE WESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP THE BEST CHANCES
FROM ASHTABULA LAKESHORE INTO ERIE/N CRAWFORD AS IS TYPICAL IN
THIS FLOW. THE LAPSE RATES ARE MARGINAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SO NOT
EXPECTING HIGH SNOWFALL RATES. THEREFORE MOST OF THE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL BE DUE TO THE DRAWN OUT NATURE OF THE EVENT WITH NO
PARTICULAR PERIOD OF HIGHER AMOUNTS. WITH THE PATTERN FAVORABLE
FOR LAKE EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY WOULD EXPECT THE SNOWBELT AREA TO
SEE 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ASHTABULA/ERIE/CRAWFORD MORE LIKELY TO
SEE SOME LOCALIZED 2 TO 5 INCHES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NO REAL CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST. A CHANCE OF SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO THE FIRST PART OF SUNDAY IN THE
SNOWBELT...BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO FLURRIES AS THE SURFACE FLOW
BECOMES MORE NORTHERLY. CONDITIONS DRY OUT RATHER QUICKLY ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH...IN ADDITION TO BUDDING SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE...SO NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING MORE THAN A FEW FLURRIES
LATE INTO MONDAY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE SOUTHERN LAKESHORE. RIGHT NOW
CONFIDENCE IS NOT GREAT...SO WILL KEEP THINGS DRY IN THE FORECAST.
BOTH THE EC AND GFS SHOW A PIECE OF ENERGY DROPPING SOUTH MONDAY
MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO...WHICH COULD BE ENOUGH TO INITIATE A
LIGHT ROUND OF LAKE INDUCED SNOW SHOWERS BEFORE NOON...BUT NOT
QUITE SOLD ON THIS SCENARIO GIVEN THE VERY DRY AIR IN PLACE FROM
THE NORTH. THAT SAID...WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THE FORECAST
DRY...BUT WITH A FEW EXTRA CLOUDS. TUESDAY THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST
AND THE TROUGH ALOFT IS REPLACED WITH BROAD RIDGING. THIS WILL ALL
HELP TO NUDGE TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 40S FOR MANY SPOTS UNDER
A PARTLY CLOUDY SKY. CLOUDS WILL THICKEN TOWARDS THE TAIL END OF
THE EXTENDED FORECAST IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM. &&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A FAIRLY WEAK TROUGH ALOFT AND A STRONG INVERSION IS
ALLOWING FOR NON VFR CIGS TO CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO AND NW PA
ALONG WITH SOME DRIZZLE OVER NORTHEAST OHIO AROUND CLE. THE TREND IS
FAIRLY STRAIGHT FORWARD AS MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME IFR
AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THE DRIZZLE. AS THE NIGHT
CONTINUES ON...NIGHTTIME COOLING COULD ALLOW IFR CEILINGS TO DEVELOP
AGAIN IN THE 4AM TO 9AM RANGE OVER THE EASTERN 5 TAF SITES.

AS FOR ANY LAKE EFFECT...WITH A WEST/WSW WIND THERE COULD CERTAINLY
BE SOME LAKE EFFECT DRIZZLE DEVELOP OVER ERI OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
INITIAL THOUGHTS IS THAT THIS WOULD BE RAIN AS TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING BUT RIGHT AROUND DAYBREAK THERE COULD BE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE AT ERI AS THAT IS WHEN TEMPS
COULD HIT THE 32F MARK. DRIZZLE/RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE AT ERI ON
THURSDAY AS TEMPS RISE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S. DO NOT BELIEVE
THAT SNOW WILL OCCUR AS AIR IS JUST NOT COLD ENOUGH...BUT WILL
MONITOR SNOW/FZRA POTENTIAL AT ERI ON THURSDAY DURING FUTURE TAF
PACKAGES.

OUTLOOK...NON VFR LINGERS INTO THURSDAY WITH SOME PERIODS OF VFR
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. NON VFR RETURNS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. OCCASIONAL NON VFR AGAIN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...MAINLY IN
EXTREME NE OH/NW PA.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NON VFR CIGS CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO AND NW PA
WITH A FAIRLY WEAK TROUGH ALOFT AND A STRONG INVERSION HOLDING
MOISTURE IN THE NEAR SURFACE LAYER. SOME DRIZZLE/SNOW HAS
KICKED UP OFF OF LAKE ERIE OVER NORTHEAST OHIO AND IS MAINLY A
NUISANCE AS OF MIDNIGHT. THE CEILING TREND IS STILL FAIRLY STRAIGHT
FORWARD AS MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME IFR COMING IN AT
MFD/CAK/YNG AND PERHAPS CLE. CEILINGS COULD LIFT A BIT VERY LATE IN
THE TAF PERIOD TO RING IN THE NEW YEAR...BUT OVERALL THINKING THAT
MVFR WILL GENERALLY REMAIN WITH AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF VFR AT TOL AND
FDY.

PREVIOUS THINKING STILL REMAINS FOR ANY LAKE EFFECT... A WEST/WSW
WIND COULD CERTAINLY DEVELOP SOME LAKE EFFECT DRIZZLE DEVELOP OVER
ERI OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. INITIAL THOUGHTS IS THAT THIS WOULD BE RAIN
AS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING BUT RIGHT AROUND DAYBREAK
THERE COULD BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE AT ERI AS
THAT IS WHEN TEMPS COULD HIT THE 32F MARK. DRIZZLE/RAIN SHOULD
CONTINUE AT ERI ON THURSDAY AS TEMPS RISE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
HOWEVER...BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...COULD SEE THIS TRANSITION TO
SOME VERY LIGHT SNOW. CONFIDENCE IS LOW REGARDING WHAT THE FINAL
PRECIP TYPE WILL BE BUT ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE VERY LIGHT. WITH ANY
PRECIP THE CEILINGS SHOULD COME DOWN A BIT WITH IT... THUS ERI COULD
ALSO SEE SOME IFR AS WELL.

OUTLOOK...NON VFR LINGERS INTO THURSDAY WITH SOME ISOLATED PERIODS
OF VFR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. NON VFR RETURNS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. OCCASIONAL NON VFR AGAIN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...MAINLY IN
EXTREME NE OH/NW PA.

&&

.MARINE...
A SHALLOW COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LAKE TONIGHT WITH
WEST TO WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO AROUND
10 TO 15 KNOTS. FRIDAY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
EAST OF CLEVELAND AS WAVES BUILD DOWN THE LONG FETCH OF THE LAKE.
CONDITIONS IMPROVE ON SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JAMISON
NEAR TERM...DJB/JAMISON
SHORT TERM...JAMISON
LONG TERM...MAYERS
AVIATION...SEFCOVIC
MARINE...MAYERS
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 30, 4:03 PM EST, 11 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
403 PM EST WED DEC 30 2015

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-312115-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
403 PM EST WED DEC 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

AFTER MIDNIGHT THE RAIN SHOWERS WILL MIX SLEET AND POSSIBLY
FREEZING RAIN FOR A BRIEF PERIOD. NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Ohio, 2015Every small craft advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.