Small Craft Advisory 37, NWS Cleveland, OH

323 
WHUS71 KCLE 040239
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1039 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

LEZ142>149-041045-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151004T2100Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1039 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...EAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20
  KNOTS OVERNIGHT AND 5 TO 15 KNOTS LATE SUNDAY.

* WAVES/SEAS...WAVES OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 2 TO 4
  FEET SUNDAY AND 1 TO 3 FEET SUNDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

369 
WHUS71 KCLE 040743
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
343 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015


LEZ142>149-041400-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-151004T1400Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
343 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...WINDS WILL BE FROM THE EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15
  KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO 1 TO 3 FEET
  BY LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
312 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA THROUGH THIS
EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA WILL THEN BUILD
SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
RAIN CONTINUES TO SHOW UP IN MOST OF THE OBS ALTHOUGH THE RADAR
SHOWS THAT IT SHOULD BE TAPERING OFF FROM THE SOUTH. MOST OF THE
PRECIP IS LIGHT WITH 6 HOUR TOTALS UNDER A TENTH OF AN INCH. WILL
NEED TO CONTINUE WITH HIGH POPS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS BUT BY 03Z
ALL BUT NW OHIO SHOULD BE DRY. THE MODELS CONTINUE CONTINUE TO
SHOW DRIER AIR ADVECTING IN FROM THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT SO NOT
EXPECTING MUCH IF ANY DRIZZLE BEHIND THE MAIN PRECIP AREA. CLOUDS
SHOULD REMAIN OVERCAST AS WINDS SLOWLY DIMINISH. CURRENT TEMPS ARE
BELOW GUIDANCE LOWS FOR TONIGHT MANY AREAS. DO NOT THINK THERE
WILL BE MUCH OF DIURNAL DROP. WILL GO WITH LOWS JUST A COUPLE
DEGREES LOWER THAN CURRENT READINGS. MAY IN FACT SEE TEMPS RISE
LATER TONIGHT SO LOWS COULD OCCUR EARLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO
MOVE NORTHEAST TOMORROW. BY MID WEEK IT WILL BE WELL OUT OVER THE
OCEAN. AT THE SAME TIME HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA WILL
BEGIN TO BUILD SOUTHWEST OVER THE LOCAL AREA. RIDGING IS EXPECTED
OVER THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY TOMORROW AT 850 MB SO COULD SEE A
DECREASE IN CLOUDINESS DURING THE DAY. TEMPS WILL WARM BACK TO
NEAR NORMAL. MONDAY WILL BE A REPEAT OF SUNDAY WITH PERHAPS A
LITTLE MORE SUNSHINE. QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON TUESDAY WITH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD BY 00Z WEDNESDAY. TEMPS WILL MAKE A
RUN FOR 70 DEGREES MUCH OF THE AREA. GUIDANCE NUMBERS LOOK
REASONABLE AND WILL BE FOLLOWED.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
OVER THE WESTERN LAKES  DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.  THE HIGH WILL MOVE EAST
ACROSS THE LAKES AND MOVE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST THURSDAY.  THIS
WILL ALLOW LOW PRESSURES SYSTEM TO MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL LAKES
DRAGGING ANOTHER COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.  THE ECMWF
CONTINUES TO BE THE FASTER OF THE TWO MODELS...BUT BEST TIME FOR
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.   ANOTHER HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE FORECAST AREA ON SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
RAIN JUST MOVING INTO NW OHIO WITH MVFR AND IFR CIGS/VIS. RAIN
WILL GRADUALLY END FROM THE EAST TOWARDS MIDNIGHT LOCAL. EXPECT
WIDESPREAD IFR CIGS AWAY FROM THE LAKE OVERNIGHT. GUSTY NE FLOW
WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE EAST AND DIMINISH TO AROUND 10 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT.

OUTLOOK...CONDITIONS SHOULD SLOWLY IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY. PERIODS OF MVFR DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE ON TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW GALE FORCE.  WILL NEED TO GO WITH A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL TURN TO THE EAST AND CONTINUE
TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT.  WILL STILL BE CHOPPY ON THE WEST END WITH
EAST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND WAVES OF 2 TO 4 FEET.  CONDITIONS
IMPROVE ON SUNDAY AS WINDS GRADUALLY TURN TO THE SOUTHEAST. WINDS
DIMINISH ON MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS OVER THE LAKE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE LAKE THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KUBINA
NEAR TERM...KUBINA
SHORT TERM...KUBINA
LONG TERM...DJB
AVIATION...DJB
MARINE...DJB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
411 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

LEZ061-OHZ006-010>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-
040815-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-WOOD-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-
LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-
PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-
MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
411 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ142>149-162>169-040815-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
411 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ003-007>009-040815-
LUCAS-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-
411 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND
NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.