Severe Thunderstorm Warning 90, NWS Cleveland, OH

275 
WWUS51 KCLE 040053
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
853 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

OHC035-085-040103-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0090.000000T0000Z-150804T0130Z/
CUYAHOGA OH-LAKE OH-
853 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CUYAHOGA AND LAKE
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4135 8101 4134 8111 4138 8140 4142 8139
      4142 8137 4144 8137 4145 8139 4156 8139
      4158 8129 4164 8129 4164 8111 4172 8110
      4171 8100
TIME...MOT...LOC 0053Z 285DEG 31KT 4146 8134 

$$

OHC055-040130-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0090.000000T0000Z-150804T0130Z/
GEAUGA OH-
853 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM EDT
FOR GEAUGA COUNTY...

AT 853 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTH
RUSSELL...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHARDON...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHARDON...SOLON...SOUTH RUSSELL...MIDDLEFIELD...BURTON...
CHESTERLAND...KIRTLAND...PARKMAN...CHAGRIN FALLS...HUNTSBURG...
CLARIDON...MONTVILLE...BENTLEYVILLE...BAINBRIDGE...HUNTING VALLEY...
THOMPSON AND AQUILLA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4135 8101 4134 8111 4138 8140 4142 8139
      4142 8137 4144 8137 4145 8139 4156 8139
      4158 8129 4164 8129 4164 8111 4172 8110
      4171 8100
TIME...MOT...LOC 0053Z 285DEG 31KT 4146 8134 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KUBINA

505 
WWUS51 KCLE 040114
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
914 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

OHC055-040124-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0090.000000T0000Z-150804T0130Z/
GEAUGA OH-
914 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR GEAUGA COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4135 8101 4134 8111 4138 8140 4142 8139
      4142 8137 4144 8137 4145 8139 4156 8139
      4158 8129 4164 8129 4164 8111 4172 8110
      4171 8100
TIME...MOT...LOC 0112Z 278DEG 34KT 4143 8107 

$$

KUBINA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
703 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD FRONT FROM EASTERN LOWER MI INTO NRN INDIANA MOVING EAST AND
IS FORECAST TO BE FROM NEAR ERIE PA TO NRN KY BY 00Z THIS EVENING.
A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL DROP ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AS UPPER
LOW PRESSURE LINGERS OVER THE GREAT LAKES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRIEFLY BUILD BACK INTO THE OHIO VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
STORMS OVER LAKE ERIE CONTINUE TO HOLD TOGETHER AND HAVE ADDED A
PRECIP MENTION TO NW PA FOR THIS EVENING. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO
DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.  NO OTHER CHANGES.

PREVIOUS...FRONT NEAR A LINE FROM THE THUMB OF MI SSW TO NEAR
FORT WAYNE THIS AFTERNOON AND CAN BE SEE IN DEWPOINTS WHICH DROP
INTO THE 50S BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. SATELLITE SHOWS A GOOD
CONVECTIVE CU FIELD AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS NRN OHIO AND NWRN PA
WITH MIXED LAYER CAPES ACROSS THE WESTERN 2/3DS OF THE AREA NOW
ARE BETWEEN 1000 AND 1500 J/KG. RADAR SHOWS SHOWERS DEVELOPING
OFFSHORE ERIE PA AS WELL AS IN STARK COUNTY AND POINTS SE. DEEPER
INSTABILITY ALONG WITH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE HAS HELPED CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT NEAR KMIE. EXPECTING FURTHER DEVELOPMENT TO ITS SOUTH
AND EAST WITH A GENERAL EAST-SOUTHEAST MOTION. WILL CONTINUE WITH
CHANCE POPS THROUGH THE BALANCE OF THE AFTERNOON ROUGHLY EAST OF A
KMNN- KCLE LINE. POPS WILL BE LOWERED EACH HOUR THROUGH ABOUT 04Z
FOLLOWING DIURNAL TRENDS. AFTER MIDNIGHT HOWEVER MODELS INCREASE
MOISTURE ACROSS FAR NERN OHIO AND NWRN PA ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER
LOW ROTATING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. WILL NEED TO BRING A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS TO NWRN PA AND ASHTABULA COUNTY TO COVER THREAT.
OVERNIGHT LOWS FROM 55 TO NEAR 60 LOOK FINE GIVEN THE COOL DOWN IN
TEMPS ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WILL NEED TO CONTEND WITH HIGH RH AS
WELL AS PERTURBATIONS WRAPPING AROUND THE CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER
THE GREAT LAKES. ENOUGH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY AIR TO KEEP
SKIES PC WEST AND SOUTH OF ROUGHLY A KLPR TO KYNG LINE BUT ACROSS
NERN OHIO AND NWRN PA BELIEVE ENOUGH MOISTURE GETS IN TO GO WITH
MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH AT LEAST THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WILL
ALSO KEEP CHANCE POPS THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE NIGHT FAR
NORTHEAST. WEDNESDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH
THE DAY AS THE UPPER LOW PULLS EAST. BY EVENING HOWEVER MOISTURE
WILL BE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. MODELS SHOW LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. QUITE A BIT OF DIFFERENCE IN THE
THE MODELS FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH THE GFS THE FURTHEST NORTH
WITH THE HIGH RH VS THE NAM/ECMWF. WILL FOLLOW MORE OF A NAM/ECMWF
BLEND BRINGING THE MOISTURE/POPS INTO THE AREA FROM THE WSW AFTER
MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BY THURSDAY MORNING...WILL HAVE LOW
PRESSURE IN SRN IL WITH CHANCE POPS INTO THE WESTERN COUNTIES.
THURSDAY DIFFERENCES CONTINUE WITH THE ECMWF FAVORING PRECIP
MOSTLY SOUTH OF THE AREA WHILE THE NAM IS FURTHER NORTH ACROSS
MUCH OF NRN OHIO AS WELL AS THE SOUTH. WILL GO WITH CHANCE POPS.
INSTABILITY LIMITED SO WILL HAVE ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDER.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A TROUGH ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE
OHIO VALLEY ON THURSDAY WILL START TO PULL AWAY TO THE EAST ON
FRIDAY. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS...MAINLY
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS AS SOME MOISTURE REMAINS. THE AIRMASS
CONTINUES TO DRY OUT ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE GFS IS A LITTLE COOLER ON
SATURDAY WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME CLOUDS OFF OF LAKE ERIE
DURING THE MORNING...BUT EXPECT IT WILL CLEAR THROUGH THE DAY. IF
CLOUD COVER ENDS UP BEING MORE THAN EXPECTED THEN TEMPERATURES MAY
NEED TO BE LOWERED OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF
TROUGHS WILL DROP SE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY TONIGHT. MUCH OF THE
LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL GET PUSHED OFF TO THE SE WITH THIS TROUGH.
ANOTHER TROUGH WILL DROP SE TO BE NEAR LAKE ERIE BY THE END OF THE
DAY TUE. ADDITIONAL LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL COLLECT AHEAD OF THE
TROUGH TUE AFTERNOON. EXPECT MUCH OF THE CU AND CONVECTION TO
DISSIPATE NEXT HOUR OR TWO BUT THERE MAY BE ENOUGH UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT FOR AN ISOLATED SHRA AND SCT TO BKN CIGS TO HANG AROUND ERI
TONIGHT.

DAYTIME HEATING WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL CU TO DEVELOP LATE MORNING
INTO MIDDAY ON TUE WITH THE THREAT FOR WIDELY SCT SHRA CONTINUING IN
NW PA.

OUTLOOK...NON VFR WEATHER POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS ARE STARTING TO DECREASE ON LAKE ERIE BUT WAVES WILL REMAIN
HIGH ON THE EAST END OF THE LAKE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. HAVE EXTENDED
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT UNTIL 8 PM FROM
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO RIPLEY. CONDITIONS MAY STILL BE A LITTLE
CHOPPY WITH 2 TO 4 FOOT WAVES OFF OF LAKE COUNTY BUT CONDITIONS
SHOULD START TO IMPROVE.

WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE WEST NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY THEN SHIFT TO
NORTHEAST BY WEDNESDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK THROUGH
THE OHIO VALLEY ON THURSDAY...MAINTAINING A NORTHEAST WIND. THERE IS
SOME DISAGREEMENT WITH MODELS ON HOW STRONG THIS FEATURE MAY BE AND
WINDS MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR OHZ089.
PA...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR PAZ001.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR LEZ148-
     149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TK
NEAR TERM...TK/KUBINA
SHORT TERM...TK
LONG TERM...KEC
AVIATION...ADAMS
MARINE...KEC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
349 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>019-027-028-036-089-PAZ001-
002-040800-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-MARION-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
349 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ020>023-029>033-037-038-047-PAZ003-040800-
MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-CRAWFORD PA-
349 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT SHOULD
PRODUCE ENOUGH CONVERGENCE TO GENERATE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN WILL
BE NEAR AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM MEADVILLE TO MOUNT VERNON. STRONG
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT BUT LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.