River Flood Warning 16, NWS Cleveland, OH

375 
WGUS81 KCLE 151659
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1259 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Sandusky River At Tiffin

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Portage River At Woodville
  Scioto River Near Larue
  Mahoning River At Leavittsburg
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station
  Black River At Elyria
  Scioto River Near Prospect
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC143-173-160059-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150316T1500Z/
/WDVO1.1.ER.150315T0410Z.150315T1400Z.150316T0900Z.NO/
1259 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Portage River At Woodville.
* At 12:30 PM Sunday the stage was 9.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall below flood stage by early Monday
  morning.
* At 9.0 feet...The river inundates lower portions of Trail Marker 
  Park.

&&

LAT...LON 4136 8354 4148 8334 4143 8334 4135 8349


$$

OHC147-151729-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-150315T1800Z/
/TFFO1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1259 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Sandusky River At Tiffin.
* At 11:45 AM Sunday the stage was 8.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Forecast...the river crested below flood stage at 8.8 feet.  
* At 9.0 feet...Lowland flooding occurs north and south of the 
  floodwall in Tiffin. Coe Street, Water Street, East Davis Street, 
  and riverside property along Front Street are threatened.

&&

LAT...LON 4125 8320 4126 8312 4099 8315 4099 8327


$$

OHC093-160059-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150316T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1259 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Black River At Elyria.
* At 12:00 PM Sunday the stage was 13.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will rise to near 13.9 feet by this evening 
  then begin falling.
* At 14.0 feet...Flooding occurs throughout Cascade Park in Elyria.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding begins in low lying areas near the river in
  Elyria. Ford Road may be closed for high water.

&&

LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
      4128 8220 4140 8212             

$$

OHC101-160059-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-150316T0936Z/
/LARO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150315T1800Z.150316T0336Z.NO/
1259 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Larue.
* At 12:00 PM Sunday the stage was 11.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will rise to near 11.7 feet this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* At 12.0 feet...Flooding occurs in lowland areas in and around the 
  Village of La Rue. Route 37 and parts of Vine Street inundated.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding occurs in agricultural areas near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 4061 8342 4055 8318 4052 8324 4055 8342


$$

OHC101-160059-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150316T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1259 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Prospect.
* At 12:00 PM Sunday the stage was 9.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will rise to near 10.1 feet by Monday evening 
  then begin falling.
* At 10.0 feet...Highway 203 is inaccessible north of Prospect. 
  Flooding occurs near Elm Street in northern parts of Prospect.
* At 9.0 feet...Water inundates low portions of Highway 203 north of 
  Prospect.

&&

LAT...LON 4052 8324 4055 8318 4044 8317 4044 8324


$$

OHC075-169-160059-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150315T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1259 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* At 12:00 PM Sunday the stage was 16.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will rise to near 16.7 feet this afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* At 17.0 feet...Private property on Water Street in the Village of 
  Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads impassable 
  including State Route 16 and 60 north, and County Road 621.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas west of Water Street in the Village 
  of Killbuck are flooded. Flooded roads include County Road 621, 
  State Route 60 north, as well as local low lying roads. Holmes 
  county fairgrounds inundated.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC155-160059-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-150316T1541Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.150314T1740Z.150315T1800Z.150316T0941Z.NO/
1259 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Mahoning River At Leavittsburg.
* At 12:15 PM Sunday the stage was 12.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will rise to near 12.5 feet this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage early Monday morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood waters may begin to affect operations in 
  industrial low lying areas in town.

&&

LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
      4116 8100                       

$$

OHC155-160058-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150317T0730Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.150312T2309Z.150315T1145Z.150317T0130Z.UU/
1259 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* At 12:00 PM Sunday the stage was 12.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall below flood stage by Monday 
  night.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road and McConnell East Roads will 
  be flooded and impassable.
* At 9.5 feet...Barclay Messerly Road south of the Warren Airport in 
  Braceville floods. Other portions of Eagle Creek Road will be 
  threatened.


&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$

925 
WGUS81 KCLE 160142
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
942 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Black River At Elyria
  Scioto River Near Prospect
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck
  Mahoning River At Leavittsburg
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC093-160942-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-150316T1735Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150315T1630Z.150316T1135Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Black River At Elyria.
* At 9:00 PM Sunday the stage was 12.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage by Monday 
  morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Flooding begins in low lying areas near the river in
  Elyria. Ford Road may be closed for high water.
* At 9.5 feet...Flooding begins south of Elyria in Carlisle Township.

&&

LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
      4128 8220 4140 8212             

$$

OHC101-160942-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150316T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Prospect.
* At 9:00 PM Sunday the stage was 9.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 10.1 feet by Monday 
  afternoon then begin falling.
* At 10.0 feet...Highway 203 is inaccessible north of Prospect. 
  Flooding occurs near Elm Street in northern parts of Prospect.
* At 9.0 feet...Water inundates low portions of Highway 203 north of 
  Prospect.

&&

LAT...LON 4052 8324 4055 8318 4044 8317 4044 8324


$$

OHC075-169-160942-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150315T2200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* At 9:00 PM Sunday the stage was 16.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall to a stage of 16.0 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas west of Water Street in the Village 
  of Killbuck are flooded. Flooded roads include County Road 621, 
  State Route 60 north, as well as local low lying roads. Holmes 
  county fairgrounds inundated.
* At 15.0 feet...Several low lying roads in Holmes County including 
  County Road 1, Township Road 91, and County Road 621 are flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC155-160942-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-150316T1541Z/
/LEAO1.1.ER.150314T1740Z.150315T2130Z.150316T0941Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Mahoning River At Leavittsburg.
* At 9:15 PM Sunday the stage was 11.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage by early Monday
  morning.
* At 11.0 feet...Flood waters may begin to affect operations in 
  industrial low lying areas in town.
* At 10.0 feet...Lowland flooding will occur near the town of 
  Leavittsburg.

&&

LAT...LON 4123 8100 4124 8092 4129 8084 4121 8086
      4116 8100                       

$$

OHC155-160942-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150317T0730Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.150312T2309Z.150315T1145Z.150317T0130Z.UU/
942 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* At 9:00 PM Sunday the stage was 11.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage by Monday 
  night.
* At 11.0 feet...Barclay Messerly Road and McConnell East Roads will 
  be flooded and impassable.
* At 9.5 feet...Barclay Messerly Road south of the Warren Airport in 
  Braceville floods. Other portions of Eagle Creek Road will be 
  threatened.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$

606 
WGUS81 KCLE 160930
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
530 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Black River At Elyria
  Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Scioto River Near Prospect
  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC093-161628-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-150316T1628Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150315T1630Z.150316T1028Z.NO/
530 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Black River At Elyria.
* At  5:00 AM Monday the stage was 10.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage shortly after 
  sunrise.
* At 9.5 feet...Flooding begins south of Elyria in Carlisle Township.

&&

LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
      4128 8220 4140 8212             

$$

OHC101-161729-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150316T1155Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
530 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Scioto River Near Prospect.
* At  5:00 AM Monday the stage was 10.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will rise to near 10.2 feet by this morning 
  then begin falling.
* At 10.0 feet...Highway 203 is inaccessible north of Prospect. 
  Flooding occurs near Elm Street in northern parts of Prospect.

&&

LAT...LON 4052 8324 4055 8318 4044 8317 4044 8324


$$

OHC075-169-161729-
/O.CON.KCLE.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KILO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150315T2200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
530 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck.
* At  5:00 AM Monday the stage was 16.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall to a stage of 16.0 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Low lying areas west of Water Street in the Village 
  of Killbuck are flooded. Flooded roads include County Road 621, 
  State Route 60 north, as well as local low lying roads. Holmes 
  county fairgrounds inundated.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202             

$$

OHC155-161729-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150316T2216Z/
/PHAO1.1.ER.150312T2309Z.150315T1145Z.150316T1616Z.UU/
530 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2015

The flood warning continues for
  The Eagle Creek At Phalanx Station.
* At  5:00 AM Monday the stage was 10.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* At 9.5 feet...Barclay Messerly Road south of the Warren Airport in 
  Braceville floods. Other portions of Eagle Creek Road will be 
  threatened.

&&

LAT...LON 4133 8100 4129 8093 4128 8087 4124 8092
      4124 8095 4125 8100             

$$

217 
WGUS81 KCLE 161204
FLSCLE
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
804 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Black River At Elyria

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The water may be 
deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

OHC093-161234-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-150316T1628Z/
/ELRO1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150315T1630Z.150316T1048Z.NO/
804 AM EDT MON MAR 16 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Black River At Elyria.
* At  7:00 AM Monday the stage was 9.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet. 
* Fell below flood stage at  6:48 AM Monday.
* Forecast...the river will fall to 5.8 feet by Tuesday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4146 8219 4148 8212 4139 8207 4127 8215
      4128 8220 4140 8212             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
737 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AND SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT ON MONDAY WILL BRING WARMER WEATHER BUT A COLD FRONT
ON MONDAY NIGHT WILL BRING COLDER WEATHER BACK FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
ADJUSTED THE HOURLY SKY FORECAST AND HOURLY TEMPERATURES TO
BETTER REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS. REMOVED THE MENTION OF PRECIP THIS
MORNING FOR ALL BUT NORTHWEST PA.

ORIGINAL "TODAY" DISCUSSION...
A TRAILING SHORT WAVE WILL CROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. THERE HAS
NOT BEEN MUCH IF ANY PRECIPITATION BUT A SPRINKLE OR A FEW SNOW
FLAKES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS NW PA. STRATOCUMULUS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH ALOFT WILL EXPAND EARLY THIS
MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY SHIFT ENE LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS
AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST OHIO SHOULD SEE FULL SUNSHINE BY THIS
AFTERNOON AND NORTHEAST OHIO WILL SEE CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST.
IT WILL LIKELY STAY CLOUDY ACROSS NW PA. THE GFS WARMS THE LOWER
LAYERS A BIT FASTER THAN SOME OF THE OTHER MODELS BUT WHERE IT
GETS SUNNY TEMPS WILL RISE FAIRLY QUICKLY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S
NW OHIO WITH 40S NE OH AND UPPER 30S/LOWER 40S NW PA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF WEAK SHORT WAVES COMBINED WITH WARM ADVECTION WILL BRING
PATCHES OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. IT MAY SEEM A BIT CLOUDY AT TIMES BUT I SUSPECT THAT THERE
WILL ALSO BE TIMES WHEN IT IS SUNNY ON MONDAY. A FEW OF THE MODELS
CONTINUE TO POST A HUNDREDTH OR TWO QPF. CANNOT RULE OUT A RAIN DROP
SOMEWHERE BUT WOULD RATHER EMPHASIZE THE NICE SPRING DAY WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60-65 RANGE FOR MUCH OF THE AREA EXCEPT NEAR
ERIE PA WHERE THE FLOW WILL COME OFF LAKE ERIE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPS WILL ALSO BE SUPPRESSED A FEW DEGREES THE REMAINDER OF NW PA
WHERE WE ARE STILL MELTING SNOW.

THE MODELS ARE STILL FIGHTING OVER THE TIMING OF THE NEXT COLD
FRONT. THE GFS REMAINS THE FASTEST OF THE MODELS BUT I THINK WE ARE
SEEING A PREFRONTAL TROUGH DEVELOP ON THE GFS IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

THE FRONT SHOULD DROP ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. THE GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN CONSISTENTLY GENERATING SOME QPF...PROBABLY A COMBINATION OF
FRONTOGENESIS AND THE ENTRANCE REGION OF THE JET DROPPING SOUTH
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. IT SHOULD REMAIN WARM ENOUGH FOR RAIN FOR
MUCH OF THE NIGHT BUT SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX IN TOWARD DAYBREAK TUE.

TEMPS WILL NOT RECOVER MUCH ON TUESDAY WITH STRONG COLD ADVECTION.
NOT SURE IF MUCH/ANY RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER IN THE
MORNING. A FEW FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SNOW BELT BY TUESDAY
NIGHT AS THE COLDER AIR SETTLES IN. TEMPS MAY STRUGGLE TO GET ABOVE
FREEZING IN EXTREME NE OH/NW PA ON WEDNESDAY DESPITE SUNSHINE. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MODELS ARE STRUGGLING IN THE EXTENDED AS WE TRANSITION FROM A
NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME TO AN ACTIVE SPLIT FLOW PATTERN. DIFFERENCES
ARISE AS EARLY AS THURSDAY WITH THE ECMWF SHOWING A CHANCE OF LIGHT
PRECIPITATION WITH A SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH ALOFT WHILE THE OTHER
GFS/GEM DO NOT BRING PRECIPITATION IN UNTIL THURSDAY NIGHT OR
FRIDAY. GOING FORECAST ALREADY HAD A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
FORECAST ON FRIDAY AND WILL LEAVE TIMING AS IS.

BY FRIDAY THE GFS IS VERY AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
SOUTH OUT OF CANADA WITH AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT AND 850MB TEMPERATURES
OF -15 TO -20C AT 850MB. THE OPERATIONAL GFS HAS BEEN INCONSISTENT
OVER THE LAST SEVERAL CYCLES AND IS AN OUTLIER...WITH EVEN THE GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN MUCH MORE IN LINE WITH THE ECMWF AND GEM. WILL LEAN
THE FORECAST TOWARDS THE WARMER CONSENSUS AS WE HEAD INTO THE
WEEKEND BUT KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON MODEL TRENDS.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
OVERCAST MVFR CLOUD DECK REMAINS FROM NORTH CENTRAL OHIO TO INTO NW
PENNSYLVANIA. LOW CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE FROM THE WEST
TODAY...CLEARING OUT OF CLE TOWARDS 18Z AND YNG/ERI AROUND 22Z.
WINDS WILL BACK FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHWEST BY THIS EVENING AND
BECOME LIGHT. HIGH CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA TONIGHT AND
SLOWLY LOWER TO 12-15K FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.

.OUTLOOK...NON VFR POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH
THE NEXT COLD FRONT.

&&

.MARINE...
NO GALE FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTHWEST WINDS PEAK IN THE
15 TO 20 KNOT RANGE ON THE EAST END OF THE LAKE THIS MORNING THEN
GRADUALLY BACK TO SOUTHWEST AND BECOME LIGHT BY THIS EVENING. A WEAK
TROUGH WILL PASS NORTH OF THE LAKE ON MONDAY FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE LAKE MONDAY NIGHT. SEVERAL OF
THE MODELS SHOW A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE RIDING ALONG THE FRONT SO
WILL ONLY INCREASE NORTHERLY WINDS TO AROUND 15 KNOTS. STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ON WEDNESDAY...BUILDING TO THE EAST COAST BY
THURSDAY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR OHZ003-006>010-
     012-014-018-019-089.
PA...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR PAZ001>003.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KOSARIK
NEAR TERM...KOSARIK
SHORT TERM...KOSARIK
LONG TERM...KEC
AVIATION...KEC
MARINE...KEC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
719 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

OHZ003-006>010-012-014-018-019-089-161130-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-
SENECA-HURON-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
719 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GENERALLY DRY WEATHER THIS WEEK SHOULD RESULT IN FALLING WATER
LEVELS WHICH SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH THE THREAT FOR ICE JAM
FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ011-013-017-020>023-027>033-036>038-047-161130-
CUYAHOGA-GEAUGA-HANCOCK-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-
KNOX-
719 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED WHILE RUNOFF CONTINUES
FROM THE RECENT RAIN AND SNOW MELT EARLY THIS WEEK. SEE CURRENT FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR DETAILS ON EXPECTED FLOODING AT RIVER FORECAST
POINTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-161130-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
719 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ001>003-161130-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
719 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A THREAT OF LOCALIZED ICE JAM FLOODING MAY PERSIST EAR;Y THIS
WEEK AS WARM WEATHER CONTINUES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.