Alert archive / Ohio / Flood Watches in 2015

Flood Watch 3, NWS Cleveland, OH

June 26, 201528 counties in Ohio; Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this flood watch at Jun 26, 2015, 5:01 AM EDT for 28 counties in Ohio; Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Jun 26, 2015, 8:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 32 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 26, 2015, 5:01 AM EDT (09:01 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 26, 2015, 8:00 PM EDT
Expired
Jun 28, 2015, 4:00 AM EDT
In force
32 hr
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH
Flood severity
None
All 30 counties

Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Erie County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 00:00Z on 2015-06-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 00:00Z on 2015-06-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
724 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
76 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

988 
WGUS61 KCLE 260901
FFACLE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
501 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...FLOOD THREAT SATURDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK UP THE OHIO VALLEY ON
FRIDAY NIGHT AND DEEPEN OVER NORTHERN OHIO ON SATURDAY. STEADY
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY...WITH BOUTS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. THE LOW WILL BE
SLOW MOVING...AND AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS THE
AREA WITHIN A RELATIVELY SHORT TIME FRAME.

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-261715-
/O.NEW.KCLE.FA.A.0003.150627T0000Z-150628T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
501 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA... 
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA 
  INLAND...ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CRAWFORD...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...
   GEAUGA...HANCOCK...HOLMES...HURON...KNOX...LAKE...LORAIN... 
  LUCAS...MAHONING...MARION...MEDINA...MORROW...OTTAWA... 
  PORTAGE...RICHLAND...SANDUSKY...SENECA...STARK...SUMMIT... 
  TRUMBULL...WAYNE...WOOD AND WYANDOT. IN NORTHWEST 
  PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT

* A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE AREA THEN
  LINGER THROUGH SUNDAY...BRINGING STEADY RAINS. IN GENERAL A
  WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WILL FALL BY LATE SATURDAY
  NIGHT.

* FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS...CAN OCCUR VERY
  QUICKLY...PRIMARILY AT UNDERPASSES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
  QUICK RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE LIKELY FROM THE
  HEAVY RAINFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$
8 follow-up statements
577 
WGUS61 KCLE 261355
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
955 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...FLOOD THREAT SATURDAY WITH LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK UP THE OHIO VALLEY ON
FRIDAY NIGHT AND DEEPEN OVER NORTHERN OHIO ON SATURDAY. STEADY
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...
WITH BOUTS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. THE LOW WILL BE SLOW
MOVING...AND AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS THE
AREA WITHIN A RELATIVELY SHORT TIME FRAME.

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-262200-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.150627T0000Z-150628T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
955 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA INLAND... 
  ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CRAWFORD...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...
   HANCOCK...HOLMES...HURON...KNOX...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS... 
  MAHONING...MARION...MEDINA...MORROW...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  RICHLAND...SANDUSKY...SENECA...STARK...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL... 
  WAYNE...WOOD AND WYANDOT. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD 
  PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

* A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE AREA THEN 
  LINGER THROUGH SUNDAY...BRINGING STEADY RAINS. IN GENERAL A 
  WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WILL FALL BY LATE SATURDAY 
  NIGHT. 

* FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS...CAN OCCUR VERY 
  QUICKLY...PRIMARILY AT UNDERPASSES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. 
  QUICK RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE LIKELY FROM THE 
  HEAVY RAINFALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$

LOMBARDY
459 
WGUS61 KCLE 261903
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
303 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...FLOOD THREAT SATURDAY FROM AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG STORM...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND TRACK UP
THE OHIO VALLEY AND DEEPEN OVER NORTHERN OHIO ON SATURDAY. RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION TONIGHT AND BECOME HEAVY TOWARD
MORNING ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF US ROUTE 30. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS
EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL BE
SLOW MOVING...AND AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS THE
AREA WITHIN A RELATIVELY SHORT TIME FRAME.

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-270315-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.150627T0000Z-150628T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
303 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA INLAND... 
  ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CRAWFORD...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...
   HANCOCK...HOLMES...HURON...KNOX...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS... 
  MAHONING...MARION...MEDINA...MORROW...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  RICHLAND...SANDUSKY...SENECA...STARK...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL... 
  WAYNE...WOOD AND WYANDOT. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD 
  PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT

* A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE AREA THEN
  LINGER THROUGH SUNDAY...BRINGING STEADY RAINS. IN GENERAL A
  WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WILL FALL BY LATE SATURDAY
  NIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THUNDERSTORMS. WITH
  SATURATED SOIL...EXPECT AN ESPECIALLY IMMEDIATE AND RAPID RISE
  OF CREEKS AND EVEN RIVERS ON SATURDAY.


* FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS...CAN OCCUR VERY 
  QUICKLY...PRIMARILY AT UNDERPASSES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. 
  QUICK RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE LIKELY FROM THE 
  HEAVY RAINFALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$

LAPLANTE
220 
WGUS61 KCLE 270127
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
927 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...FLOOD THREAT SATURDAY FROM AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG STORM...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND TRACK UP
THE OHIO VALLEY AND DEEPEN OVER NORTHERN OHIO ON SATURDAY. RAIN
IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION TONIGHT AND BECOME HEAVY
TOWARD MORNING. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER MOST OF
THE REGION ON SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL BE SLOW MOVING...AND AN
EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS THE AREA WITHIN A
RELATIVELY SHORT TIME FRAME.

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-270930-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-150628T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
927 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA INLAND... 
  ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CRAWFORD...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...
   HANCOCK...HOLMES...HURON...KNOX...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS... 
  MAHONING...MARION...MEDINA...MORROW...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  RICHLAND...SANDUSKY...SENECA...STARK...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL... 
  WAYNE...WOOD AND WYANDOT. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD 
  PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT

* A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE AREA THEN
  LINGER THROUGH SUNDAY...BRINGING STEADY RAINS. IN GENERAL A
  WIDESPREAD 1.5 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WILL FALL BY LATE SATURDAY
  NIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THUNDERSTORMS. WITH
  SATURATED SOIL...EXPECT A RAPID RISE OF CREEKS AND EVEN RIVERS
  ON SATURDAY.

* FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS...CAN OCCUR VERY 
  QUICKLY...PRIMARILY AT UNDERPASSES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. 
  QUICK RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE LIKELY FROM THE 
  HEAVY RAINFALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$
424 
WGUS61 KCLE 270832
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
432 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES INTO TONIGHT...

LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT SLOWLY MOVES INTO NORTHERN
OHIO TODAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN HAS SPREAD INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING AND
WILL REMAIN STEADY ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWEST OHIO. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO BY
EARLY AFTERNOON WITH HIGH RAINFALL RATES POSSIBLE. MUCH OF THE
AREA WILL RECEIVE BETWEEN ONE AND A HALF AND TWO AND A HALF INCHES
OF RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL BE EXCESSIVE
AND LEAD TO FLOODING IN SOME AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
THOSE THAT HAVE RECEIVED HIGH AMOUNTS OF RAIN OVER THE LAST WEEK. 

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-271645-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-150628T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
432 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA INLAND... 
  ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CRAWFORD...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...
   HANCOCK...HOLMES...HURON...KNOX...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS... 
  MAHONING...MARION...MEDINA...MORROW...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  RICHLAND...SANDUSKY...SENECA...STARK...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL... 
  WAYNE...WOOD AND WYANDOT. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD 
  PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE
  AREA TODAY THEN SLOWLY EXIT TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY. STEADY
  RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN NORTHWEST OHIO WITH PERIODS OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHEAST OHIO. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 1.5
  TO 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN WILL FALL BY LATE TONIGHT. GIVEN THE
  RECENT WET CONDITIONS...FLOODING WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN SOME
  AREAS. 

* FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS...CAN OCCUR VERY
  QUICKLY...PRIMARILY AT UNDERPASSES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
  RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL OCCUR AND MAY BE RUNNING
  AT HIGH CAPACITY FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$
540 
WGUS61 KCLE 271545
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1145 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES INTO TONIGHT...

LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER NORTHERN OHIO TODAY. WIDESPREAD
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL GIVE WAY TO SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
EASTERN OHIO. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL POTENTIALLY BE ACCOMPANIED
BY HIGH RAINFALL RATES. STEADY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AGAIN TO
NORTHWEST OHIO. THE AREA WILL RECEIVE BETWEEN ONE AND A HALF AND
TWO AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL BE EXCESSIVE
AND LEAD TO FLOODING IN SOME AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
THOSE THAT HAVE RECEIVED HIGH AMOUNTS OF RAIN OVER THE LAST WEEK.

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-280000-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-150628T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-
TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...
ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...YOUNGSTOWN...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...
MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...
MEADVILLE
1145 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHLAND...ASHTABULA INLAND... 
  ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CRAWFORD...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...
   HANCOCK...HOLMES...HURON...KNOX...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS... 
  MAHONING...MARION...MEDINA...MORROW...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  RICHLAND...SANDUSKY...SENECA...STARK...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL... 
  WAYNE...WOOD AND WYANDOT. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD 
  PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA
  TODAY THEN SLOWLY EXIT TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY. STEADY RAINFALL IS
  EXPECTED IN NORTHWEST OHIO WITH PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHEAST OHIO. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 1.5 TO
  2.5 INCHES OF RAIN WILL FALL BY LATE TONIGHT. LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. GIVEN THE RECENT WET
  CONDITIONS...FLOODING WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN SOME AREAS.

* FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS...CAN OCCUR VERY 
  QUICKLY...PRIMARILY AT UNDERPASSES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. 
  RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL OCCUR AND MAY BE RUNNING 
  AT HIGH CAPACITY FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$
671 
WGUS61 KCLE 271946
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
346 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES INTO TONIGHT...

STEADY MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS
EVENING ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO. ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE ABLE TO
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. AN ADDITIONAL INCH TO AN INCH AND A HALF
OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OHIO RAIN WILL BE
RETURNING TO THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING. RUNOFF CONTINUES FROM
EARLIER RAINFALL.

THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL BE EXCESSIVE AND LEAD TO FLOODING IN
SOME AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT.

OHZ020-021-027>032-036>038-047-272100-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-150628T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MEDINA-SUMMIT-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-
MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...AKRON...UPPER SANDUSKY...
CAREY...BUCYRUS...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND...WOOSTER...CANTON...
MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON
346 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST
OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LIGHTER SCATTERED
SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING. OCCASIONAL RAIN WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.

$$

OHZ003-006>014-017>019-022-023-033-089-PAZ001>003-280500-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-150628T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-MAHONING-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...RAVENNA...WARREN...
YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
346 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA 
  LAKESHORE...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...HANCOCK...HURON... 
  LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS...MAHONING...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  SANDUSKY...SENECA...TRUMBULL AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST 
  PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA
  TONIGHT...SLOWLY EXITING TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY. STEADY RAINFALL
  IS EXPECTED IN NORTHWEST OHIO WITH PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
  PENNSYLVANIA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 2.0 TO 3.0 INCHES OF RAIN
  WILL HAVE FALLEN FROM LAST NIGHT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. LOCALLY
  HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. GIVEN THE RECENT WET CONDITIONS...
  FLOODING WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN SOME AREAS.

* FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS...CAN OCCUR VERY 
  QUICKLY...PRIMARILY AT UNDERPASSES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. 
  RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL OCCUR AND MAY BE RUNNING 
  AT HIGH CAPACITY FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES

&&

$$
344 
WGUS61 KCLE 280141
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
941 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES TONIGHT...


OHZ003-006>014-017>019-022-023-033-089-PAZ001>003-280800-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-150628T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-MAHONING-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...RAVENNA...WARREN...
YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
941 PM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA 
  LAKESHORE...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...HANCOCK...HURON... 
  LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS...MAHONING...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  SANDUSKY...SENECA...TRUMBULL AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST 
  PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY

* A STALLED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR CLEVELAND WILL SLOWLY DRIFT
  OFF TO THE EAST THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING ALLOWING THE THREAT FOR
  NEW FLOODING TO LESSEN TOWARD DAYBREAK. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF
  2.0 TO LOCALLY 4 INCHES HAS FALLEN CAUSING FLOODING OF LOW-LYING
  AREAS...CREEKS AND RIVERS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THROUGH 3 AM
  COULD REACH UP TO AN INCH IN SOME LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN
  INTERSTATE 75 AND THE PORT CLINTON AND FREMONT OHIO AREAS.

* FLOODING...AS RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO MAKE
  ITS WAY INTO THE WATERWAYS...ADDITIONAL RISES ON AREA
  CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING AS MANY ROADWAYS MAY BE FLOODED
OT STARTING TO FLOOD.

&&

$$
952 
WGUS61 KCLE 280759
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
359 AM EDT SUN JUN 28 2015


OHZ003-006>014-017>019-022-023-033-089-PAZ001>003-280900-
/O.EXP.KCLE.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-150628T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-MAHONING-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK...RAVENNA...WARREN...
YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
359 AM EDT SUN JUN 28 2015

...FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA
WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL
GRADUALLY COME TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN TWO TENTHS OF AN
INCH...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.
RISES ON RIVERS AND CREEKS MAY STILL OCCUR AS RUNOFF FROM
YESTERDAYS RAIN MOVES INTO AREA WATERWAYS. STAY AWAY FROM SWIFT
MOVING WATER AND AVOID DRIVING THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Jun 26, 4:37 AM EDT, 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 26, 4:37 AM EDT, 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
437 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN INTO A CLOSED LOW BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN MISSOURI. THE LOW WILL TRACK UP THE OHIO
VALLEY TOWARDS LAKE ERIE ON SATURDAY AND STRENGTHEN INTO A LARGE
FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE LOW WILL LINGER ACROSS OHIO THROUGH SUNDAY. A
SURFACE RIDGE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD IN MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER
WEAKER LOW DIVES OUT THE UPPER MIDWEST ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO ON
TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES TO THE
VIRGINIA PIEDMONT WILL CONTINUE TO BRING PERIODS OF UNSETTLED
WEATHER ACROSS THE MIDSECTION OF THE COUNTRY TODAY. THE TREND HAS
BEEN FOR NOCTURNAL DISTURBANCES TO FLARE ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND
PROPOGATE EASTWARD. THE NEAREST CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED
ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA. EXPECT THIS AREA TO GLANCE THE AREA WITH
MOSTLY MID AND HIGH CLOUDS FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY. SWRN
PART OF THE FA COULD EVEN SEE A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS THIS MORNING.
NEXT DISTURBANCE DOWN THE LINE ARRIVES JUST AFTER 18Z IN THE FDY
AND TOL AREAS. THIS PRECIP WILL BE THE PRECURSOR TO THE LARGE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA FRI NIGHT.
INCREASED POPS OUT WEST TO ACCOUNT FOR THE EARLIER TIMING OF THE
RAIN/THUNDER...THEN STEADILY ADVANCE POPS EAST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. OF COURSE EASTERN CITIES HAVE THE BETTER CHANCE OF
SEEING FEWER CLOUDS/PRECIP INITIALLY DURING THE DAY. HIGHS WERE
ADJUSTED DOWN A FEW DEGREES IN THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA
BASED ON THE EARLIER ONSET OF CLOUDS AND RAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
MERGE ACROSS THE HEARTLAND AND DEEPEN AS A 700MB TROF DROPS SE
FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST. UL JET LOCATION WILL BE IDEAL FOR RAPID
DEEPENING OF THE SFC LOW WHICH ALL MODELS SHOW HAPPENING. THE
LATEST EC SHOWS THE LOW BOTTOMING OUT AT 995 MB ACROSS NORTHERN
OHIO BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE OTHER AVAILABLE GUIDANCE ISN'T
TOO FAR OFF THAT MARK. THIS WOULD BE AN UNSEASONABLY DEEP LOW FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. GUIDANCE CONSISTENTLY SHOWS 2 TO 4 INCHES QPF
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE RELATIVELY LOW CAPES...THIS
SYSTEM SHOULD BRING MOSTLY NON-CONVECTIVE STEADY RAIN WITH PERIODS
OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. THIS WILL CUT BACK ON THE FLASH FLOOD
THREAT SOME. HOWEVER...FLOODING IS STILL A CONCERN WITH STEADY
PROLONGED RAINS AND SATURATED SOILS. A LULL IN THE RAIN WILL
LIKELY OCCUR DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON WITH A DRY SLOT...BUT RAIN
SHOULD PICK UP AGAIN WITH AMPLE WRAPAROUND MOISTURE AND OCCLUSION
OF THE LOW. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8PM SAT TO 4AM SUN.
THE LOW EVENTUALLY PULLS OUT EARLY SUN MORNING AND CONDITIONS
IMPROVE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING AS A RIDGE EXTENSION WEDGES
IN FROM THE SOUTH.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD AS A
LONG WAVE TROUGH GETS ESTABLISHED OVER THE EASTERN CONUS. HAVE
AGAIN BEEN UNABLE TO FIND A DRY PERIOD. DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE
MODELS REMAIN THIS MORNING SO CONFIDENCE IN TIMING THE WAVES OF
PRECIP IS LOW TODAY. IT APPEARS BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIP WILL OCCUR
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA SOMETIME WEDNESDAY AND THEN STALL OUT.
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS
MAINLY IN THE MIDDLE 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
CIGS HAVE IMPROVED AND MOST AREAS ARE NOW VFR. BIG QUESTION IS HOW
LONG THAT WILL LAST...GIVEN THE DEEP MOISTURE JUST TO THE SOUTH
EXPECT THE SOUTHERN TAF SITES TO DIP TO MVFR WITH VSBYS AND CIGS
OVERNIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR DURING THE MORNING
HOURS. PRECIP WILL SPREAD BACK ACROSS THE AREA LATE IN THE TAF
PERIOD BEGINNING NEAR KFDY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. CIGS SHOULD AGAIN
DROP TO MVFR SOON AFTER THE PRECIP STARTS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW
WILL BECOME E TO NE DURING THE DAY.

OUTLOOK...WIDESPREAD NON VFR EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
IN WIDESPREAD RAIN.

&&

.MARINE...
IT WILL NOT BE A GOOD WEEKEND FOR BOATING ON LAKE ERIE.
EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW WILL DEVELOP TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE HEADS
NORTHEAST OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  SPEEDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
TONIGHT AND GALES APPEAR LIKELY FOR SATURDAY.  PER COORDINATION WITH
YYZ AND DTX WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A GALE WATCH.  SUSPECT DAY CREW
WILL GO WITH A WARNING IN A FEW HOURS.  WILL ALSO HAVE TO WORRY
ABOUT LAKESHORE FLOODING ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE WATER LEVELS ON THE
LAKE.  THE SURFACE LOW WILL PASS JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE WINDS BECOME NORTHERLY.  SPEEDS SHOULD
DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  WESTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ON SUNDAY.  A
RIDGE WILL CROSS THE LAKE ON MONDAY BRIEFLY CHANGING THE FLOW TO
SOUTHERLY.  ANOTHER LOW WILL CROSS THE LAKE MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY WITH WINDS AGAIN BECOMING WESTERLY.  WILL LIKELY NEED SMALL
CRAFT HEADLINES BEHIND THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR
     OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089.
PA...FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR
     PAZ001>003.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
     FOR LEZ142>149-162>169.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MAYERS
NEAR TERM...MAYERS
SHORT TERM...MAYERS
LONG TERM...KUBINA
AVIATION...KUBINA
MARINE...KUBINA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 9:26 PM EDT, 7 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
926 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2015

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-270130-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
926 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA AND WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FLOODING PROBLEMS. ADDITIONAL
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
AND WILL ONLY MAKE THE FLOODING PROBLEMS WORSE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-270130-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
926 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 26, 3:47 AM EDTGale WatchCLE12 hr
Jun 26, 4:13 PM EDTGale WarningCLE35 hr
Jun 26, 4:20 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementCLEAshtabula, Cuyahoga, Erie, Lake, Lorain, Lucas and 1 more53 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in Ohio, 2015Flood Watches in Pennsylvania, 2015Every flood watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.