Alert archive / Ohio / Flood Watches in 2015

Flood Watch 1, NWS Cleveland, OH

March 12, 2015Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania; 17 counties in Ohio

NWS Cleveland, OH issued this flood watch at Mar 12, 2015, 9:21 AM EDT for Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania; 17 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 12, 2015, 9:21 AM EDT (13:21 UTC)
Expired
Mar 16, 2015, 2:47 PM EDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Cleveland, OH
Flood severity
None

Counties Ashtabula County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Erie County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Huron County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Medina County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Portage County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Wood County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 3 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2015-03-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2015-03-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -233 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2070 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-233 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-219 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

690 
WGUS61 KCLE 121321
FFACLE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
921 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2015

...AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS AT RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING...

.THE RECENT AND ONGOING WARM-UP HAS MELTED A LARGE PORTION OF THE
REGIONS SNOWPACK...WHICH HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO RISE. THE
INCREASED RIVER LEVELS ARE PRODUCING A HIGH RISK FOR ICE JAMS AS
LARGE SHEETS OF ICE REMAIN ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. THE MOST
VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES ARE THOSE ALONG RIVERS THAT DRAIN INTO THE
STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE. THE THREAT LEVEL WILL INCREASE OVER THE
WEEKEND WHEN SOME RAIN MOVES INTO THE AREA LEADING TO MORE ICE
BREAK UP AND HIGHER RIVER LEVELS. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE
AND CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY. THE THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE UNTIL EITHER THE ICE IS ABLE TO BREAK UP OR MOVE INTO
THE LAKE. 

OHZ003-006>014-018>023-033-089-PAZ001>003-122130-
/O.NEW.KCLE.FA.A.0001.150312T1321Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...
WARREN...YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
921 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A

* ICE JAM FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST
  PENNSYLVANIA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
  OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND... ASHTABULA LAKESHORE...CUYAHOGA...ERIE
  OH...GEAUGA...HURON...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS...MAHONING...
  MEDINA...OTTAWA...PORTAGE...SANDUSKY...SENECA...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL
  AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN
  ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE.

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* RECENT THAW IS CAUSING ICE BREAKUP ALONG AREA RIVERS. THE LARGER
  ICE SHEETS WILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE ICE JAMS...WHICH RESULT IN
  FLOODING...MOST OFTEN IN UPSTREAM LOCATIONS DUE TO BACKWATER.
  THE STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE WILL BE A BARRIER EXTENDING THE ICE
  JAM THREAT AND DURATION. 

* RAINFALL MOVING INTO THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL
  ELIMINATE THE SNOWPACK COMPLETELY FROM ALL BUT THE SNOWBELT
  COUNTIES. THIS COMBINED RUNOFF WILL INCREASE THE FLOOD THREAT
  ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND...BUT ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE
  COMMUNITIES IMPACTED BY ICE JAMS. RIVER LEVELS COULD RISE VERY
  ABRUPTLY WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL ICE
  JAMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT...AND CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE
RAPIDLY AS A JAM FORMS AND BREAKS. FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH ICE JAMS
IS OFTEN WORST IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE
ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY.
&&

$$
13 follow-up statements
622 
WGUS61 KCLE 121957
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
357 PM EDT THU MAR 12 2015

...AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS AT RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING...

.THE RECENT AND ONGOING WARM-UP HAS MELTED A LARGE PORTION OF THE
REGIONS SNOWPACK...WHICH HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO RISE. THE
INCREASED RIVER LEVELS ARE PRODUCING A HIGH RISK FOR ICE JAMS AS
LARGE SHEETS OF ICE REMAIN ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. THE MOST
VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES ARE THOSE ALONG RIVERS THAT DRAIN INTO THE
STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE. THE THREAT LEVEL WILL INCREASE OVER THE
WEEKEND WHEN SOME RAIN MOVES INTO THE AREA LEADING TO MORE ICE
BREAK UP AND HIGHER RIVER LEVELS. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE
AND CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY. THE THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE UNTIL EITHER THE ICE IS ABLE TO BREAK UP OR MOVE INTO
THE LAKE.

OHZ003-006>014-018>023-033-089-PAZ001>003-130400-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...
WARREN...YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
357 PM EDT THU MAR 12 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA 
  LAKESHORE...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...HURON...LAKE... 
  LORAIN...LUCAS...MAHONING...MEDINA...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  SANDUSKY...SENECA...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST 
  PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* RECENT THAW IS CAUSING ICE BREAKUPS ALONG AREA RIVERS. THE
  LARGER ICE SHEETS WILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE ICE JAMS...WHICH
  RESULT IN FLOODING...MOST OFTEN IN UPSTREAM LOCATIONS DUE TO
  BACKWATER. THE STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE WILL BE A BARRIER TO ANY
  ICE TRYING TO ADVANCE DOWNSTREAM FOR THE RIVERS AND CREEKS THAT
  FLOW NORTH.

* RAINFALL MOVING INTO THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL 
  ELIMINATE THE SNOWPACK COMPLETELY FROM ALL BUT THE SNOWBELT 
  COUNTIES. THIS COMBINED RUNOFF WILL INCREASE THE FLOOD THREAT 
  ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND...BUT ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE 
  COMMUNITIES IMPACTED BY ICE JAMS. RIVER LEVELS COULD RISE VERY 
  ABRUPTLY WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL ICE 
  JAMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT...AND CONDITIONS CAN
CHANGE RAPIDLY AS A JAM FORMS AND BREAKS. FLOODING ASSOCIATED
WITH ICE JAMS IS OFTEN WORST IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM
LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY. 
&&

$$
600 
WGUS61 KCLE 130145
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
945 PM EDT THU MAR 12 2015

...AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS AT RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING...

.THE RECENT AND ONGOING WARM-UP HAS MELTED A LARGE PORTION OF THE
REGIONS SNOWPACK...WHICH HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO RISE. THE
INCREASED RIVER LEVELS ARE PRODUCING A HIGH RISK FOR ICE JAMS AS
LARGE SHEETS OF ICE REMAIN ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. THE MOST
VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES ARE THOSE ALONG RIVERS THAT DRAIN INTO THE
STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE. THE THREAT LEVEL WILL INCREASE OVER THE
WEEKEND WHEN SOME RAIN MOVES INTO THE AREA LEADING TO MORE ICE
BREAK UP AND HIGHER RIVER LEVELS. ICE JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE
AND CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY. THE THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE UNTIL EITHER THE ICE IS ABLE TO BREAK UP OR MOVE INTO
THE LAKE.

OHZ003-006>014-018>023-033-089-PAZ001>003-130945-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...
WARREN...YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
945 PM EDT THU MAR 12 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA 
  LAKESHORE...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...HURON...LAKE... 
  LORAIN...LUCAS...MAHONING...MEDINA...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  SANDUSKY...SENECA...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST 
  PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* RECENT THAW IS CAUSING ICE BREAKUPS ALONG AREA RIVERS. THE 
  LARGER ICE SHEETS WILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE ICE JAMS...WHICH 
  RESULT IN FLOODING...MOST OFTEN IN UPSTREAM LOCATIONS DUE TO 
  BACKWATER. THE STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE WILL BE A BARRIER TO ANY 
  ICE TRYING TO ADVANCE DOWNSTREAM FOR THE RIVERS AND CREEKS 
  THAT FLOW NORTH. 

* RAINFALL MOVING INTO THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL 
  ELIMINATE THE SNOWPACK COMPLETELY FROM ALL BUT THE SNOWBELT 
  COUNTIES. THIS COMBINED RUNOFF WILL INCREASE THE FLOOD THREAT 
  ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND...BUT ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE 
  COMMUNITIES IMPACTED BY ICE JAMS. RIVER LEVELS COULD RISE VERY 
  ABRUPTLY WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL ICE 
  JAMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT...AND CONDITIONS CAN
CHANGE RAPIDLY AS A JAM FORMS AND BREAKS. FLOODING ASSOCIATED
WITH ICE JAMS IS OFTEN WORST IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM
LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY. 
&&

$$
503 
WGUS61 KCLE 130852
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
452 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015

...AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS AT RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING...

.THE RECENT AND ONGOING WARM-UP HAS MELTED A LARGE PORTION OF THE
REGIONS SNOWPACK...WHICH HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO RISE. THE
INCREASED RIVER LEVELS ARE PRODUCING A HIGH RISK FOR ICE JAMS AS
LARGE SHEETS OF ICE REMAIN ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. THE MOST
VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES ARE THOSE ALONG RIVERS THAT DRAIN INTO THE
STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE. THE THREAT LEVEL WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT
INTO THIS WEEKEND WHEN SOME RAIN MOVES INTO THE AREA LEADING TO
MORE ICE BREAK UP AND HIGHER RIVER LEVELS. ICE JAMS ARE VERY
UNPREDICTABLE AND CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY. THE THREAT FOR
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE UNTIL EITHER THE ICE IS ABLE TO BREAK UP OR
MOVE INTO THE LAKE.

OHZ003-006>014-018>023-033-089-PAZ001>003-131700-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...
WARREN...YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
452 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA 
  LAKESHORE...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...HURON...LAKE... 
  LORAIN...LUCAS...MAHONING...MEDINA...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  SANDUSKY...SENECA...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST 
  PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* RECENT THAW IS CAUSING ICE BREAKUPS ALONG AREA RIVERS. THE 
  LARGER ICE SHEETS WILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE ICE JAMS...WHICH 
  RESULT IN FLOODING...MOST OFTEN IN UPSTREAM LOCATIONS DUE TO 
  BACKWATER. THE STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE WILL BE A BARRIER TO ANY 
  ICE TRYING TO ADVANCE DOWNSTREAM FOR THE RIVERS AND CREEKS 
  THAT FLOW NORTH. 

* RAINFALL WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  TONIGHT...WITH AMOUNTS RANGING FROM TWO TENTHS TO HALF AN INCH OF
  PRECIPITATION. THIS RAINFALL AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL
  ELIMINATE THE SNOWPACK COMPLETELY FROM ALL BUT THE SNOWBELT
  COUNTIES. THIS COMBINED RUNOFF WILL INCREASE THE FLOOD THREAT
  ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND...BUT ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE
  COMMUNITIES IMPACTED BY ICE JAMS. RIVER LEVELS COULD RISE VERY
  ABRUPTLY WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL ICE
  JAMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT...AND CONDITIONS CAN
CHANGE RAPIDLY AS A JAM FORMS AND BREAKS. FLOODING ASSOCIATED
WITH ICE JAMS IS OFTEN WORST IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM
LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY. 

&&

$$
494 
WGUS61 KCLE 131631
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1231 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015

...AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS AT RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING...

.THE RECENT AND ONGOING WARM-UP HAS MELTED A LARGE PORTION OF THE
REGIONS SNOWPACK...WHICH HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO RISE. THE
INCREASED RIVER LEVELS ARE PRODUCING A HIGH RISK FOR ICE JAMS AS
LARGE SHEETS OF ICE REMAIN ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. THE MOST
VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES ARE THOSE ALONG RIVERS THAT DRAIN INTO THE
STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE. THE THREAT LEVEL WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT
INTO THIS WEEKEND WITH RAIN CAUSING ADDITIONAL RIVER RISES. ICE
JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE AND CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY. THE
THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE UNTIL EITHER THE ICE IS ABLE TO
BREAK UP OR MOVE INTO THE LAKE.

OHZ003-006>014-018>023-033-089-PAZ001>003-140045-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...
WARREN...YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
1231 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA 
  LAKESHORE...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...HURON...LAKE... 
  LORAIN...LUCAS...MAHONING...MEDINA...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  SANDUSKY...SENECA...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST 
  PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* RECENT THAW IS CAUSING ICE BREAKUPS ALONG AREA RIVERS. THE
  LARGER ICE SHEETS WILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE ICE JAMS...WHICH
  RESULT IN FLOODING...MOST OFTEN IN UPSTREAM LOCATIONS DUE TO
  BACKWATER. THE STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE WILL BE A BARRIER TO ANY
  ICE TRYING TO ADVANCE DOWNSTREAM FOR THE RIVERS AND CREEKS THAT
  FLOW NORTH.

* RAINFALL WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  TONIGHT...WITH AMOUNTS RANGING FROM TWO TENTHS TO HALF AN INCH
  OF PRECIPITATION WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. THIS RAINFALL AND WARMER
  TEMPERATURES WILL ELIMINATE THE SNOWPACK COMPLETELY FROM ALL BUT
  THE SNOWBELT COUNTIES. THIS COMBINED RUNOFF WILL INCREASE THE
  FLOOD THREAT ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND...BUT ESPECIALLY FOR
  THOSE COMMUNITIES ALREADY IMPACTED BY ICE JAMS. RIVER LEVELS
  COULD RISE VERY ABRUPTLY WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF
  ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT...AND CONDITIONS CAN
CHANGE RAPIDLY AS A JAM FORMS AND BREAKS. FLOODING ASSOCIATED
WITH ICE JAMS IS OFTEN WORST IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM
LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY.

&&

$$
758 
WGUS61 KCLE 131956
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
356 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015

...AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS AT RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING...

.THE RECENT AND ONGOING WARM-UP HAS MELTED A LARGE PORTION OF THE
REGIONS SNOWPACK...WHICH HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO RISE. THE
INCREASED RIVER LEVELS ARE PRODUCING A HIGH RISK FOR ICE JAMS AS
LARGE SHEETS OF ICE REMAIN ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. THE MOST
VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES ARE THOSE ALONG RIVERS THAT DRAIN INTO THE
STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE. THE THREAT LEVEL WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT
INTO THIS WEEKEND WITH RAIN CAUSING ADDITIONAL RIVER RISES. ICE
JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE AND CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY.
THE THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE UNTIL EITHER THE ICE IS
ABLE TO BREAK UP OR MOVE INTO THE LAKE.

OHZ003-006>014-018>023-033-089-PAZ001>003-140400-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...
WARREN...YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
356 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA 
  LAKESHORE...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...HURON...LAKE... 
  LORAIN...LUCAS...MAHONING...MEDINA...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  SANDUSKY...SENECA...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST 
  PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* RECENT THAW IS CAUSING ICE BREAKUPS ALONG AREA RIVERS. THE 
  LARGER ICE SHEETS WILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE ICE JAMS...WHICH 
  RESULT IN FLOODING...MOST OFTEN IN UPSTREAM LOCATIONS DUE TO 
  BACKWATER. THE STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE WILL BE A BARRIER TO ANY 
  ICE TRYING TO ADVANCE DOWNSTREAM FOR THE RIVERS AND CREEKS 
  THAT FLOW NORTH. 

* RAINFALL WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF SATURDAY
  AND THEN BEGIN TO DECREASE FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS IN THE WATCH AREA WILL RANGE FROM TWO TENTHS TO HALF AN
  INCH. THIS RAINFALL AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ELIMINATE THE
  SNOWPACK COMPLETELY FROM ALL BUT THE SNOWBELT COUNTIES. THIS
  COMBINED RUNOFF WILL INCREASE THE FLOOD THREAT ACROSS THE AREA
  THIS WEEKEND...BUT ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE COMMUNITIES ALREADY
  IMPACTED BY ICE JAMS. RIVER LEVELS COULD RISE VERY ABRUPTLY
  WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT...AND CONDITIONS CAN
CHANGE RAPIDLY AS A JAM FORMS AND BREAKS. FLOODING ASSOCIATED
WITH ICE JAMS IS OFTEN WORST IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM
LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY.

&&

$$
995 
WGUS61 KCLE 140123
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
923 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015

...AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS AT RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING...

.THE RECENT AND ONGOING WARM-UP HAS MELTED A LARGE PORTION OF THE
REGIONS SNOWPACK...WHICH HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO RISE. THE
INCREASED RIVER LEVELS ARE PRODUCING A HIGH RISK FOR ICE JAMS AS
LARGE SHEETS OF ICE REMAIN ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. THE MOST
VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES ARE THOSE ALONG RIVERS THAT DRAIN INTO THE
STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE. THE THREAT LEVEL WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT
INTO THIS WEEKEND WITH RAIN CAUSING ADDITIONAL RIVER RISES. ICE
JAMS ARE VERY UNPREDICTABLE AND CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY.
THE THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE UNTIL EITHER THE ICE IS
ABLE TO BREAK UP OR MOVE INTO THE LAKE.

OHZ003-006>014-018>023-033-089-PAZ001>003-140930-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...
WARREN...YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
923 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA 
  LAKESHORE...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...HURON...LAKE... 
  LORAIN...LUCAS...MAHONING...MEDINA...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  SANDUSKY...SENECA...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST 
  PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* RECENT THAW IS CAUSING ICE BREAKUPS ALONG AREA RIVERS. THE
  LARGER ICE SHEETS WILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE ICE JAMS...WHICH
  RESULT IN FLOODING...MOST OFTEN IN UPSTREAM LOCATIONS DUE TO
  BACKWATER. THE STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE WILL BE A BARRIER TO ANY
  ICE TRYING TO ADVANCE DOWNSTREAM FOR THE RIVERS AND CREEKS THAT
  FLOW INTO THE LAKE.

* RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE FOR MOST OF THE AREA UNTIL THE END OF THE
  NIGHT THEN END FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY MORNING. RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS IN THE WATCH AREA WILL RANGE FROM TWO TENTHS TO HALF AN
  INCH. THIS RAINFALL AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ELIMINATE THE
  SNOWPACK COMPLETELY FROM ALL BUT THE SNOWBELT COUNTIES. THIS
  COMBINED RUNOFF WILL INCREASE THE FLOOD THREAT ACROSS THE AREA
  THIS WEEKEND...BUT ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE COMMUNITIES ALREADY
  IMPACTED BY ICE JAMS. RIVER LEVELS COULD RISE VERY ABRUPTLY
  WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT...AND CONDITIONS CAN
CHANGE RAPIDLY AS A JAM FORMS AND BREAKS. FLOODING ASSOCIATED
WITH ICE JAMS IS OFTEN WORST IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM
LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY.

&&

$$
193 
WGUS61 KCLE 140846
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
446 AM EDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS REMAIN AT RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING...

.RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED DUE TO RAIN AND SNOW MELT.
ICE REMAINS ON SOME AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. THE ICE CAN JAM IF IT
BEGINS TO MOVE DOWNSTREAM. THIS CAN CAUSE WATER TO BACK UP BEHIND
THE ICE. FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE AS ICE JAMS BREAK AND WATER
SURGES DOWNSTREAM. THE MOST VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES TO EXPERIENCE
ICE JAMS ARE THOSE ALONG RIVERS THAT DRAIN INTO THE STILL FROZEN
LAKE ERIE.

OHZ003-006>014-018>023-033-089-PAZ001>003-141700-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...CLEVELAND...MENTOR...CHARDON...
JEFFERSON...TIFFIN...NORWALK...MEDINA...AKRON...RAVENNA...
WARREN...YOUNGSTOWN...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
446 AM EDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA 
  LAKESHORE...CUYAHOGA...ERIE OH...GEAUGA...HURON...LAKE... 
  LORAIN...LUCAS...MAHONING...MEDINA...OTTAWA...PORTAGE... 
  SANDUSKY...SENECA...SUMMIT...TRUMBULL AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST 
  PENNSYLVANIA...CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* ICE CONTINUES TO BREAKUP ON AREA RIVERS. WHEN THE ICE MOVES
  DOWNSTREAM IT CAN JAM...WHICH RESULT IN FLOODING...MOST OFTEN IN
  UPSTREAM LOCATIONS DUE TO BACKWATER. THE STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE
  WILL BE A BARRIER TO ANY ICE TRYING TO ADVANCE DOWNSTREAM FOR
  THE RIVERS AND CREEKS THAT FLOW INTO THE LAKE.

* RAIN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST THIS MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
  IN THE WATCH AREA WILL RANGE FROM TWO TENTHS TO HALF AN INCH.
  THE RAINFALL AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ELIMINATE THE
  SNOW PACK COMPLETELY FROM ALL BUT THE SNOWBELT COUNTIES. THIS
  COMBINED RUNOFF WILL INCREASE THE FLOOD THREAT ACROSS THE AREA
  THIS WEEKEND...BUT ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE COMMUNITIES ALREADY
  IMPACTED BY ICE JAMS. RIVER LEVELS COULD RISE VERY ABRUPTLY
  WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT...AND CONDITIONS CAN
CHANGE RAPIDLY AS A JAM FORMS AND BREAKS. THE WORST FLOODING
ASSOCIATED WITH ICE JAMS IS OFTEN IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM
LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY.

&&

$$
398 
WGUS61 KCLE 141622
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1222 PM EDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS REMAIN AT RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING...

.RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED DUE TO RAIN AND SNOW MELT.
ICE REMAINS ON SOME AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS. THE ICE CAN JAM IF IT
BEGINS TO MOVE DOWNSTREAM. THIS CAN CAUSE WATER TO BACK UP BEHIND
THE ICE. FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE AS ICE JAMS BREAK AND WATER
SURGES DOWNSTREAM. THE MOST VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES TO EXPERIENCE
ICE JAMS ARE THOSE ALONG RIVERS THAT DRAIN INTO THE STILL FROZEN
LAKE ERIE.

OHZ011-013-020>023-033-141730-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CUYAHOGA-GEAUGA-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-MAHONING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEVELAND...CHARDON...MEDINA...AKRON...
RAVENNA...WARREN...YOUNGSTOWN
1222 PM EDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING FROM ICE JAMS ON AREA RIVERS
AND TRIBUTARIES HAS ENDED AND THEREFORE...THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A
PORTION OF NORTHEAST OHIO HAS BEEN CANCELLED. MINOR RIVER FLOODING
IS STILL OCCURRING FROM EXCESS RUNOFF. PLEASE SEE CURRENT FLOOD
WARNINGS AT RIVER FORECAST POINTS FOR MORE INFORMATION. NO
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL OCCUR IN THE SHORT TERM.

$$

OHZ003-006>010-012-014-018-019-089-PAZ001>003-150100-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-
SENECA-HURON-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...TIFFIN...
NORWALK...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
1222 PM EDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA 
  LAKESHORE...ERIE OH...HURON...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS...OTTAWA...
   SANDUSKY...SENECA AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA... 
  CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* ICE CONTINUES TO BREAKUP ON AREA RIVERS. WHEN THE ICE MOVES 
  DOWNSTREAM IT CAN JAM...WHICH RESULTS IN FLOODING...MOST OFTEN 
  IN UPSTREAM LOCATIONS DUE TO BACKWATER. THE STILL FROZEN LAKE 
  ERIE WILL BE A BARRIER TO ANY ICE TRYING TO ADVANCE DOWNSTREAM 
  FOR THE RIVERS AND CREEKS THAT FLOW INTO THE LAKE. 

* NO ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL OCCUR IN THE SHORT TERM. RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS IN THE WATCH AREA HAVE RANGED FROM TWO TENTHS TO A HALF
  AN INCH OVER THE LAST 12 TO 18 HOURS. THE RUNOFF FROM THE
  RAINFALL AND THE MELTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE THE
  POTENTIAL TO BREAK UP AND MOVE THE ICE...CREATING THE
  POSSIBILITY FOR THE ICE TO JAM. RIVER LEVELS COULD RISE VERY
  ABRUPTLY WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL ICE
  JAMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT...AND CONDITIONS CAN
CHANGE RAPIDLY AS A JAM FORMS AND BREAKS. THE WORST FLOODING
ASSOCIATED WITH ICE JAMS IS OFTEN IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM
LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY.

&&

$$

OUDEMAN
970 
WGUS61 KCLE 142231
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
631 PM EDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS REMAIN AT RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING...


OHZ003-006>010-012-014-018-019-089-PAZ001>003-150645-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-
SENECA-HURON-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...TIFFIN...
NORWALK...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
631 PM EDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA 
  LAKESHORE...ERIE OH...HURON...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS...OTTAWA...
   SANDUSKY...SENECA AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA... 
  CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* ICE CONTINUES TO BREAKUP ON AREA RIVERS. WHEN THE ICE MOVES 
  DOWNSTREAM IT CAN JAM...WHICH RESULTS IN FLOODING...MOST OFTEN 
  IN UPSTREAM LOCATIONS DUE TO BACKWATER. THE STILL FROZEN LAKE 
  ERIE WILL BE A BARRIER TO ANY ICE TRYING TO ADVANCE DOWNSTREAM 
  FOR THE RIVERS AND CREEKS THAT FLOW INTO THE LAKE. 

* NO ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL OCCUR IN THE SHORT TERM. RAINFALL 
  AMOUNTS IN THE WATCH AREA HAVE RANGED FROM TWO TENTHS TO A 
  HALF AN INCH OVER THE LAST 12 TO 18 HOURS. THE RUNOFF FROM THE 
  RAINFALL AND THE MELTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE THE 
  POTENTIAL TO BREAK UP AND MOVE THE ICE...CREATING THE 
  POSSIBILITY FOR THE ICE TO JAM. RIVER LEVELS COULD RISE VERY 
  ABRUPTLY WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL ICE 
  JAMS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT...AND CONDITIONS CAN
CHANGE RAPIDLY AS A JAM FORMS AND BREAKS. THE WORST FLOODING
ASSOCIATED WITH ICE JAMS IS OFTEN IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM
LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY.

&&

$$
350 
WGUS61 KCLE 150201
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1001 PM EDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS REMAIN AT RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING...

OHZ003-006>010-012-014-018-019-089-PAZ001>003-151015-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-
SENECA-HURON-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...TIFFIN...
NORWALK...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
1001 PM EDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA 
  LAKESHORE...ERIE OH...HURON...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS...OTTAWA...
   SANDUSKY...SENECA AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA... 
  CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* ICE CONTINUES TO BREAKUP AND RE JAM ON AREA RIVERS WHICH CAN
  RESULT IN FLOODING...MOST OFTEN IN UPSTREAM LOCATIONS DUE TO
  BACKWATER. THE STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE WILL BE A BARRIER TO ANY
  ICE TRYING TO ADVANCE DOWNSTREAM FOR THE RIVERS AND CREEKS THAT
  FLOW INTO THE LAKE.

* NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. RUNOFF FROM
  RECENT RAINFALL AND THE MELTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE THE
  POTENTIAL TO BREAK UP AND MOVE THE ICE...CREATING THE
  POSSIBILITY FOR THE ICE TO JAM. RIVER LEVELS COULD RISE VERY
  ABRUPTLY WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ADDITIONAL ICE
  JAMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT...AND CONDITIONS CAN
CHANGE RAPIDLY AS A JAM FORMS AND BREAKS. THE WORST FLOODING
ASSOCIATED WITH ICE JAMS IS OFTEN IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM
LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY.

&&

$$
572 
WGUS61 KCLE 151125
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
725 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS REMAIN AT RISK FOR ICE JAM FLOODING...

OHZ003-006>010-012-014-018-019-089-PAZ001>003-151930-
/O.CON.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-
SENECA-HURON-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...TIFFIN...
NORWALK...ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
725 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OHIO...ASHTABULA INLAND...ASHTABULA 
  LAKESHORE...ERIE OH...HURON...LAKE...LORAIN...LUCAS...OTTAWA...
   SANDUSKY...SENECA AND WOOD. IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA... 
  CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE. 

* UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON

* ICE CONTINUES TO BREAKUP AND JAM ON AREA RIVERS WHICH CAN RESULT
  IN FLOODING...MOST OFTEN IN UPSTREAM LOCATIONS BEHIND THE ICE
  JAM. THE STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE WILL BE A BARRIER TO ICE FLOWING
  DOWNSTREAM SO THE RISK OF ICE JAMS CONTINUES TODAY.

* NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN IS EXPECTED INTO THE WEEK BUT RUNOFF FROM
  RECENT RAIN AND MELTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO ELEVATE WATER
  LEVELS...CREATING THE POSSIBILITY FOR ICE JAMS. RIVER LEVELS CAN
  RISE VERY QUICKLY BEHIND AN ICE JAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT...AND CONDITIONS CAN
CHANGE RAPIDLY AS A JAM FORMS AND BREAKS. THE WORST FLOODING
ASSOCIATED WITH ICE JAMS IS OFTEN IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM
LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY.

&&

$$
000 
WGUS61 KCLE 151720
FFACLE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
120 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015


OHZ003-006>010-012-014-018-019-089-151830-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150315T2000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-LAKE-ASHTABULA INLAND-
SENECA-HURON-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOLEDO...BOWLING GREEN...PORT CLINTON...
FREMONT...SANDUSKY...LORAIN...MENTOR...JEFFERSON...TIFFIN...
NORWALK...ASHTABULA
120 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST
OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

ICE JAMS ON MOST RIVERS IN NORTHERN OHIO HAVE BROKEN UP OR WERE
CAUSING ONLY MINOR OR LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS. WHILE THOSE
COULD SHIFT OR MOVE DOWNSTREAM...THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD ICE
JAM FLOODING HAS ENDED.


$$

PAZ001>003-160130-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150316T1900Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
120 PM EDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...CRAWFORD PA...NORTHERN ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE.

* THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON

* ICE CONTINUES TO BREAKUP AND JAM ON AREA RIVERS WHICH CAN
  RESULT IN FLOODING...MOST OFTEN IN UPSTREAM LOCATIONS BEHIND
  THE ICE JAM. THE STILL FROZEN LAKE ERIE WILL BE A BARRIER TO
  ICE FLOWING DOWNSTREAM SO THE RISK OF ICE JAMS CONTINUES
  TODAY.

* NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN IS EXPECTED INTO THE WEEK BUT RUNOFF FROM
  RECENT RAIN AND MELTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO ELEVATE WATER
  LEVELS...CREATING THE POSSIBILITY FOR ICE JAMS. RIVER LEVELS
  CAN RISE VERY QUICKLY BEHIND AN ICE JAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT...AND CONDITIONS CAN
CHANGE RAPIDLY AS A JAM FORMS AND BREAKS. THE WORST FLOODING
ASSOCIATED WITH ICE JAMS IS OFTEN IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM
LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY.

&&

$$
911 
WGUS61 KCLE 161847
FFACLE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
247 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2015


PAZ001>003-162000-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150316T1900Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE
247 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

WHILE LOCALIZED HIGH WATER AND MINOR FLOODING REMAINS POSSIBLE
ALONG FRENCH CREEK...AS WELL OTHER STREAMS AND CREEKS WITH ICE
JAMS...THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD ICE JAM FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED.

ICE JAM FLOODING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT HOWEVER...AND CONDITIONS
CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY AS JAMS FORM AND BREAK. FLOODING ASSOCIATED
WITH ICE JAMS IS OFTEN WORST IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM OF THE JAM
LOCATION. IF YOU LIVE ALONG OR NEAR RIVERS PRONE TO ICE JAMS...BE
PREPARED TO ACT QUICKLY.

$$

TK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Mar 12, 7:44 AM EDT, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 7:44 AM EDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
744 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES TODAY THEN OFF
THE EAST COAST FRIDAY. MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NORTH FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES EAST
ACROSS THE REGION. THIS SYSTEM WILL PULL A COLD FRONT SOUTH ACROSS
THE AREA ON SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 5-10 MPH HAVE DEVELOPED AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS TO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES...QUICKLY SCOURING OUT THE FOG
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. REPORTS INDICATED ENOUGH FOG WAS STILL IN
PLACE ACROSS MARION COUNTY TO LEAVE THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN
PLACE BUT CANCELLED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. RAPID
IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED THROUGH 9 AM IN MARION COUNTY. OTHERWISE
NO CHANGES WITH THE MORNING UPDATE.

ONCE THE FOG ERODES...SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY EXCEPT FOR
SOME MID-LEVEL CLOUD MOVING AROUND THE RIDGE ALOFT TOWARDS NW PA.
THE AIR MASS WILL BE ABOUT 2 DEGREES COOLER AT 925MB THAN YESTERDAY
SO HIGHS WILL BE A COUPLE DEGREES COOLER IN THE NORTHEAST
COUNTIES.

FLOODING THREAT...PRIMARILY IN THE FORM OF ICE JAMS ON AREA
RIVERS...CONTINUES TODAY. WE ALSO HAVE A FEW RIVERS THAT ARE
FLOODING DUE TO INCREASED FLOW FROM THE MELTING SNOW PACK. IT IS
EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO FORECAST WHEN ICE JAMS WILL START TO CAUSE
PROBLEMS ON VARIOUS RIVERS AND REPORTS OF ICE JAMS OR ANY FLOODING
PROBLEMS WILL BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
BROAD UPPER LOW SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER TEXAS IS ALREADY
FOCUSING MOISTURE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS MOISTURE WILL
SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH RAIN BECOMING WIDESPREAD
ON FRIDAY NIGHT AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE TRACKS OUT OF THE PLAINS AND
MERGES WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVING SOUTHEAST OUT OF CANADA. THE QPF
FORECAST FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING RANGES FROM
AROUND AN INCH IN OUR FAR SOUTHERN COUNTIES TO A QUARTER INCH OR
LESS TOWARDS TOLEDO. THE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH SHOULD BE
EFFECTIVE AT KEEPING THE HEAVIER QPF FOCUSED TO THE SOUTH. THIS
RAINFALL COULD AGGRAVATE FLOODING CONCERNS ACROSS THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY SHOULD REACH OR SURPASS THE 50 DEGREE MARK
NEARLY EVERYWHERE. KEPT HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES LOWER IN THE SOUTH
WHERE THE PRECIP WILL MOVE IN EARLIER. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL BE CONFINED TO THE
SNOWBELT BY SATURDAY NIGHT BUT SHOULD SEE A MIX OR TRANSITION BACK
OVER TO SNOW. HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 30S IN THE NE
TO MID 40S IN THE SOUTHWEST.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SOME TIMING ISSUES IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST BUT ALL
OF THE MODELS BEGIN TO REESTABLISH THE TROUGH IN THE EAST. THE ECMWF
REMAINS THE FASTEST WITH THE NEXT COLD FRONT...BRINGING IT ACROSS
THE AREA EARLY MONDAY NIGHT. THE OTHER SOLUTIONS ARE A BIT SLOWER
AND THE FORECAST WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH THE FRONT
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. OF COURSE THE TIMING OF THE FRONT WILL BE
CRITICAL TO TEMPERATURES SINCE IT WILL REMAIN MILD AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. THE FORECAST TEMPS WILL BE A COMPROMISE TO ALLOW FOR THE
UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING. THE SURFACE HIGH SHOULD BUILD IN MID
WEEK. THE LATEST RUN OF THE ECMWF HAS BACKED OFF ON THE COLDEST AIR.
ALTHOUGH WE WILL LIKELY SEE TEMPERATURES DROP OFF MID WEEK...IT WILL
HOPEFULLY NOT BE ABNORMALLY COLD...PERHAPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 40S AND LOWS IN THE 20S.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
DRIER AIR FILTERING IN AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES BY TO THE NORTH
TODAY. VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE
SOUTH AND WEST. LIGHT WINDS WILL VEER FROM NORTH TO EAST
SOUTHEAST.

.OUTLOOK...NON VFR WILL DEVELOP LATER FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY IN -RA/BR. NON VFR MAY LINGER ACROSS
EXTREME NE OH/NW PA SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NO SIGNIFICANT WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON LAKE ERIE INTO NEXT WEEK.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES TODAY AND WINDS
WILL VEER MORE FROM THE EAST AS THE DAY GOES ON. THE NEXT COLD FRONT
IS DUE ON SATURDAY AND WINDS WILL PICK UP FROM THE NORTHWEST ON
SATURDAY NIGHT...PROBABLY 10 TO 20 KNOTS. A STRONGER FRONT IS
EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. WINDS ON MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY COULD REACH
15 TO 25 KNOTS....FIRST FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST ON
TUESDAY AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

THE ICE ON THE LAKE WILL CONTINUE TO THIN. MOVEMENT OF THE ICE IS
MORE LIKELY AS MORE OPEN WATER DEVELOPS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF THE WATER RELEASED FROM THE MELTING SNOW
ALONG WITH THE RAINFALL FROM YESTERDAY AND THE SUN AND MILD
TEMPERATURES TODAY...ICE HAS BEGUN TO SHIFT ON AREA RIVERS WITH
SOME ICE JAMS BEING REPORTED. THIS INCLUDES THE VERMILION
RIVER...THE HURON RIVER NEAR MILAN...THE SANDUSKY RIVER NEAR FREMONT
AND THE GRAND RIVER NEAR PAINESVILLE. SEE LATEST FLOOD ADVISORIES.
UNTIL THE RAIN ARRIVES FRIDAY/SATURDAY THE ICE JAM THREAT IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED. THEREFORE NO FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED. WITH EXPECTED RAINFALL FOR THE END OF THE WEEK...A FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED AS THE EVENT NEARS AND DETAILS ON RAINFALL
AMOUNTS BECOME CLEARER. WITH THE CURRENTLY FORECASTED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF A WIDESPREAD QUARTER TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN
INCH...ADDITIONAL ICE JAMS AND RESULTANT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.
AREAS MOST VULNERABLE WILL BE ALONG RIVERS THAT FLOW INTO LAKE
ERIE...WHICH ALSO REMAINS MOSTLY ICE COVERED.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR OHZ036.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KEC
NEAR TERM...KEC
SHORT TERM...KEC
LONG TERM...KOSARIK
AVIATION...KOSARIK
MARINE...KOSARIK
HYDROLOGY...
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 12, 7:12 AM EDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
712 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2015

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-037-038-047-089-PAZ001>003-131115-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MORROW-HOLMES-
KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
712 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED ICE JAM FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ALONG
TRIBUTARIES THAT FEED INTO LAKE ERIE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND THERE WILL BE A HEIGHTENED RISK
FOR ICE JAMS BECAUSE OF WARMING TEMPERATURES...CONTINUED SNOW MELT
AND SOME RAIN LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
RANGE FROM AROUND A THIRD OF AN INCH IN NORTHWEST OHIO TO NEAR AN
INCH TOWARDS CENTRAL OHIO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ036-131115-
MARION-
712 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2015

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.

RIVERS AND CREEKS WILL BE RUNNING HIGH FROM RECENT SNOW MELT AND
SOME RIVER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND THERE WILL BE A HEIGHTENED RISK
FOR FLOODING BECAUSE OF WARMING TEMPERATURES...CONTINUED SNOW
MELT AND SOME RAIN LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
A HALF INCH TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-131115-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
712 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 11, 8:48 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCLEHolmes, Wayne9 days
Mar 11, 9:49 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLELake24 hr
Mar 11, 10:11 PM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryCLECrawford, Hancock, Knox, Marion, Morrow, Seneca and 2 more11 hr
Mar 12, 1:15 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLEErie, Lorain48 hr
Mar 12, 6:17 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCLELake24 hr
Mar 12, 6:32 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningCLETrumbull4 days

Nearby

Flood Watches in Ohio, 2015Flood Watches in Pennsylvania, 2015Every flood watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.