Special Weather Statement, NWS Charleston, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1209 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND PUSH THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY DRY HIGH PRESSURE. A STRONGER COLD FRONT
WILL DROP THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...THEN COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD OVER THE REGION INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
QUICK UPDATE TO INCLUDE RECENTLY ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 3...WHICH IS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM.

LATE THIS MORNING...THE FOCUS FOR TODAY/S FORECAST OBVIOUSLY
REVOLVES AROUND THE APPROACHING CONVECTIVE LINE...ITS TIMING...AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER. BASED ON CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY
AND REGIONAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...THE CONVECTIVE LINE IS WELL
OUTPACING THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT BY ABOUT 100-125 MILES AS IT NOW
RACES THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTH GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
THE RECENT RUNS OF THE HRRR SEEM TO HAVE THE BEST INITIALIZATION
OF THE BAND OF PRECIPITATION AND CONVECTION...SO ITS TIMING FOR
THE AFTERNOON HAS BEEN USED THE MOST FOR THE TIMING. BASED ON
THIS...THE CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE FAR WESTERN
ZONES...INCLUDING TATTNALL/CANDLER/JENKINS COUNTIES ABOUT 18Z.
THIS WOULD THEN PUT THE CONVECTION INTO THE AN AREA ALONG A LINE
INCLUDING THE SAVANNAH METRO NORTH TO AROUND ALLENDALE AROUND 20Z.
FINALLY...AND ALTHOUGH IT IS LESS CERTAIN...THE CHARLESTON AREA
CAN EXPECT TO SEE THE LINE (IN WHATEVER STATE IT IS IN) AROUND
22Z.

REGARDING THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...THIS IS A SITUATION WE ARE ALL
TOO FAMILIAR WITH. WE HAVE A NICE AND IMPRESSIVE AMBIENT WIND
FIELD DEFINED BY 0-3 KM SHEAR APPROACHING 40 KNOTS AND 0-6 KM
SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 50-60 KNOTS. AS ALWAYS SEEMS TO BE THE CASE
THOUGH...THE PRIMARY QUESTION FOCUSES ON THE PRESENCE OF BUOYANCY.
DESPITE THE WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER...WE STILL EXPECT TO SEE HIGH
TEMPERATURES REACH INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S IN MOST AREAS THIS
AFTERNOON. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DOES NOT PROVIDE MUCH
EVIDENCE FOR ANY SCATTERING OF CLOUD COVER AND LITTLE TO NO DIRECT
INSOLATION IS EXPECTED. RAP/HRRR SOUNDINGS DO SHOW A NOTABLE CAP
AT ABOUT 900 MB...BUT WHEN MODIFIED FOR A SURFACE TEMPERATURE IN
THE MID/UPPER 70S...IT APPEARS THAT THE CAP CAN BE OVERCOME. IF
THIS OCCURS...BOTH THE RAP/HRRR GIVE CAPE VALUES IN EXCESS OF 750
J/KG...WITH A LARGE AREA APPROACHING 1000 J/KG. SO...THE MODELS
WOULD SUGGEST THAT THE ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT A LINEAR
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM WITH AT LEAST A LOW END RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...BUT AS WITH ANY
HIGH SHEAR/LOW CAPE ENVIRONMENT THERE WILL BE THE THREAT OF AN
ISOLATED WEAK TORNADO WITHIN BOWING SEGMENTS. THE MAIN AREA OF
CONCERN WILL BE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WHERE THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR DESTABILIZATION WILL RESIDE.

OTHER THAN THE SEVERE WEATHER...WINDS WILL BE GUSTY OUTSIDE OF THE
CONVECTION THANKS TO THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND INCREASING
LOW LEVEL WINDS. RECENT WEB CAM IMAGES SHOW THAT SEA FOG HAS
BECOME INCREASINGLY CONFINED TO THE SHELF WATERS AND HAS DRIFTED
OFF THE DIRECT BEACH AREAS.

LAKE WINDS...WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR THE POTENTIAL FOR 25 KNOT
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO JUSTIFY MAINTAINING
THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY ALONG LAKE SHORES FOR LAKE MOULTRIE VALID
10 AM UNTIL 5 PM TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
TONIGHT...THE COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE BY MIDNIGHT...FOLLOWED
BY WEAK BUT DRY HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH TUESDAY. BY DAYBREAK
MONDAY...COLD ADVECTION WILL PUSH TEMPERATURES INTO THE 40S AT
MOST LOCATIONS. CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO SCATTER OUT FROM THE WEST
LATER TONIGHT.

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECOMES ZONAL MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES ON
MONDAY THOUGH MODEST WNW FLOW AROUND 850 MB WILL SUPPORT DOWNSLOPE
WARMING AND HIGHS NEAR 60.

THE SURFACE HIGH WILL SHIFT OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST MONDAY NIGHT
WITH A BRIEF RETURN FLOW AND INCREASING WSW LOW-LEVEL WINDS. WARM
AIR ADVECTION ON TUESDAY AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO
REBOUND INTO THE MIDDLE 60S.

BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW VEERS AROUND TO THE NW LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...THOUGH 20-25 KT OF WNW 850 MB FLOW WILL MAINTAIN SOME
ADIABATIC WARMING. WEDNESDAY HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE MID/UPPER 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A DIGGING LONGWAVE TROUGH SHIFTS THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT DROPPING THROUGH THE AREA
WEDNESDAY EVENING. IMPRESSIVE COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL ENSUE AS A
VERY DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIRMASS DROPS SOUTHEAST. THE ECMWF HAS
GENERALLY BEEN THE COLDER OF THE MODELS WITH THIS SYSTEM...THOUGH IT
HAS MODERATED SOMEWHAT IN RECENT RUNS. NEVERTHELESS...A COLD 36 HRS
IS IN STORE. THURSDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY DROP INTO THE LOWER TO
MIDDLE 20S...COINCIDENT WITH 15-20 KT WINDS. OUR LATEST APPARENT
TEMPERATURE GRIDS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND CHILL ADVISORY
CRITERIA FOR A FEW HOURS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IT IS WORTH NOTING
THAT OUR CRITERIA FOR ISSUING WIND CHILL ADVISORIES INCREASED ON
DECEMBER 1ST 2014. THE NEW CRITERIA IS 15 DEGREES IN COASTAL
LOCATIONS OR 10 DEGREES INLAND. WE WILL ADD MENTION TO THE HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

STRONG COLD ADVECTION CONTINUING ON THURSDAY WILL YIELD BLUSTERY
CONDITIONS. BASED ON THE LATEST THICKNESS PROGS WE LOWERED HIGHS TO
THE UPPER 30S NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTH. THURSDAY NIGHT WILL AGAIN BE
COLD AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO THE WEST. THERE WERE EARLIER
INDICATIONS THAT THE BOUNDARY LAYER COULD DECOUPLE AND ALLOW FOR LOW
TEMPS IN THE TEENS. MORE RECENT MODEL RUNS SHOW A WEAK SHORTWAVE
MOVING THROUGH OVERNIGHT WITH STRENGTHENING 850 MB WINDS PREVENTING
SURFACE WINDS FROM GOING CALM. WE MAINTAINED LOW TEMPS IN THE LOW TO
MID 20S.

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN TRANSITIONS TO A BROAD TROUGH ACROSS THE
CENTRAL UNITED STATES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE SURFACE HIGH
EVENTUALLY MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST STATES. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE LATE IN THE WEEKEND WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE
RAIN SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL REMAIN BELOW
NORMAL BUT HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MVFR THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE A BIT OF A BREAK OUT PRIOR TO BANDS OF
CONVECTIVE RAINS REACH THE TERMINALS AFTER MID AFTERNOON. SURFACE
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AHEAD OF THE RAINS WITH GUSTS TOPPING 25 KT AT
KCHS AND 20 KT AT KSAV. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST
THIS EVENING WITH CONDITIONS FAVORING VFR TONIGHT IN THE WAKE OF
THE FRONT.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
LATE THIS MORNING...BASED ON RECENT WEB CAMS AND CHARLESTON HARBOR
PILOT BOAT REPORTS HAVE OPTED TO EXTEND THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY
THROUGH 6PM.

THE COOL STABLE NEAR SHORE WATERS TYPIFIED BY THE 5-7 KT OF WIND
OVERNIGHT AT GRAYS REEF WHILE TEMPS REACHING THE MID 60S ALONG
THE GEORGIA COAST SUPPORTIVE OF 15 KT WINDS WITH THE STRONGEST FLOW
RELEGATED TO WARMER WATERS OFFSHORE. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN
OUR NEAR SHORE WATERS WILL BE MARGINAL TODAY ONCE YOU GET AWAY
FROM THE LAND/SEA INTERFACE BUT WE MAINTAINED 4-6 FT SEAS TO
KEEP PERSISTENCE. THE HIGHEST SEAS IN NEAR SHORE LEGS SHOULD OCCUR
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PART OF AMZ350. THE CHARLESTON HARBOR WILL
BE GUSTY AT TIMES TODAY...ESPECIALLY THE UPPER REACHES WHERE THE
WARMER SURFACE TEMPS OCCUR. THE FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE LATER
TONIGHT WITH SOME JETTING OF THE W AND NW FLOW OFF THE GEORGIA
COAST. WE BUMPED UP WINDS A BIT FROM GRAYS REEF SEAWARD TO TREND.

WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CONDITIONS QUICKLY DETERIORATE WEDNESDAY EVENING
BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT. STRONG LOW-LEVEL WINDS AND COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL YIELD WINDS TURNING AROUND TO THE NORTH AND
INCREASING TO 25-30 KT. FREQUENT 35 KT GUSTS ARE INCREASINGLY
LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS THE WARMER
WATERS BEYOND ABOUT 15 NM FROM SHORE. A PERIOD OF GALE
WATCHES/WARNINGS IS LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATERS DURING THIS
TIME.

CONDITIONS QUICKLY IMPROVE LATER THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND EVENTUALLY SHIFTS NORTHEAST.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES JAN 4...

CHS 77/2005 AND PREVIOUS...
CXM 75/1955...
SAV 80/2004...

RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES JAN 4...

CHS 58/1950 AND PREVIOUS...
CXM 61/2007...
SAV 60/2004 AND PREVIOUS...

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
SC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR SCZ045.
MARINE...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR AMZ330-350-
     352-354.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR AMZ352.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY FOR AMZ350.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST MONDAY FOR AMZ374.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AMZ330.

&&

NEAR TERM...BSH
SHORT TERM...JRL
LONG TERM...JRL
AVIATION...
MARINE...JRL
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1146 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-042>044-047>052-051700-
JENKINS-SCREVEN-CANDLER-BULLOCH-EFFINGHAM-TATTNALL-EVANS-
INLAND BRYAN-COASTAL BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-COASTAL CHATHAM-LONG-
INLAND LIBERTY-COASTAL LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
ALLENDALE-HAMPTON-INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-INLAND JASPER-BEAUFORT-
COASTAL COLLETON-CHARLESTON-COASTAL JASPER-TIDAL BERKELEY-
1146 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...TORNADO WATCH 3 IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

WIND CHILLS...TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S
COMBINED WITH BRISK 15 TO 25 MPH WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL RESULT
IN WIND CHILL VALUES BETWEEN 10 AND 15 DEGREES. A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY MAY EVENTUALLY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SCZ045-051700-
INLAND BERKELEY-
1146 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
LAKE MOULTRIE...
...TORNADO WATCH 3 IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.
   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

WIND CHILLS...TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S
COMBINED WITH BRISK 15 TO 25 MPH WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL RESULT
IN WIND CHILL VALUES BETWEEN 10 AND 15 DEGREES. A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY MAY EVENTUALLY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

LAKE WINDS...STRONG WINDS WILL AFFECT LAKE MOULTRIE BEHIND A COLD
FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY
IS LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ350-352-354-051700-
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM...INCLUDING
GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1146 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GALES...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR GALE FORCE GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. A
GALE WATCH OR WARNING COULD EVENTUALLY BE REQUIRED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ330-051700-
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
1146 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 3 IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   DENSE FOG ADVISORY.
   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GALES...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR GALE FORCE GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. A
GALE WATCH OR WARNING COULD EVENTUALLY BE REQUIRED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ374-051700-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1146 AM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GALES...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR FREQUENT GALE FORCE GUSTS EXCEEDING 35 KNOTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY. A GALE WATCH OR WARNING COULD EVENTUALLY BE
REQUIRED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1235 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

GAZ114-115-137-041845-
TATTNALL-EVANS-LONG-
1235 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST...

A LARGE LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH A HISTORY OF
PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE...WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH
TATTNALL...EVANS AND LONG COUNTIES THROUGH 2 PM. CONDITIONS REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR THESE STORMS TO REMAIN STRONG OR EVEN POSSIBLY
SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO. PEOPLE FROM
COBBTOWN AND CLAXTON SOUTHEAST TO LUDOWICI SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS THIS AFTERNOON. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD THREATENING WEATHER APPROACH.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA UNTIL 6 PM EST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR THE INTERNET FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
139 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

GAZ114-137-041915-
LONG-TATTNALL-
139 PM EST SUN JAN 4 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF TATTNALL AND LONG
COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM EST...

AT 135 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM FIVE POINTS TO 18
MILES SOUTHWEST OF FIVE POINTS TO 23 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JONES
CREEK...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...
TISON...HUGHLAND...LYNN...MIDWAY...DONALD...

PREPARE NOW FOR THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS...
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...
FUNNEL CLOUDS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE
TORNADOES SUDDENLY...SOMETIMES WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING. BE ALERT
FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY
IF SEVERE WEATHER IS OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 3207 8209 3208 8198 3205 8189 3205 8176
      3201 8183 3196 8174 3187 8176 3177 8164
      3173 8156 3163 8153 3158 8157 3154 8168
      3161 8174 3167 8185 3179 8196 3178 8198
      3186 8212 3190 8214 3190 8217
TIME...MOT...LOC 1838Z 255DEG 38KT 3192 8205 3171 8217
          3155 8206