Alert archive / Georgia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Charleston, SC

July 4, 2015Bulloch County, Candler County, Georgia

NWS Charleston, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 4, 2015, 3:58 PM EDT for Bulloch County, Candler County, Georgia. It was in force for 48 min. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 4, 2015, 3:58 PM EDT (19:58 UTC)
Expired: Jul 4, 2015, 4:46 PM EDT
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Charleston, SC
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Bulloch County, GA, Candler County, GA

The radar

The Charleston,SC radar (KCLX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 4, 3:58 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	5 Wnw Metter, GA	MULTIPLE TREES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF CANOE PLACE AND HADDEN ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
Jul 4, 4:15 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	2 W Hopeulikit, GA	BULLOCH COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTS A TREE DOWN ON WILLOW HILL ROAD NEAR HW-80. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
Jul 4, 4:22 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	1 Ene Middleground, GA	BULLOCH COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTS A TREE DOWN ON METTS ROAD NEAR THE DIXON CONNECTOR. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
Jul 4, 4:25 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	2 W Statesboro, GA	BULLOCH COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTS A TREE DOWN ON PULASKI ROAD NEAR HIGH POINT ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 5 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 0 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 426 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -98 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1160 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 26 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

098 
WUUS52 KCHS 041958
SVRCHS
GAC031-043-042100-
/O.NEW.KCHS.SV.W.0099.150704T1958Z-150704T2100Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
358 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF...
  BULLOCH COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
  CANDLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...

* UNTIL 500 PM EDT

* AT 358 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR METTER...
  MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  STATESBORO...METTER...WESTSIDE AND MIDDLEGROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

REPORT DAMAGE DIRECTLY TO THE CHARLESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-888-383-2024 WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO.

&&

LAT...LON 3244 8219 3247 8218 3252 8215 3254 8203
      3255 8203 3260 8180 3235 8171 3232 8219
      3241 8221
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 258DEG 17KT 3244 8212 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FWA

5 follow-up statements

802 
WWUS52 KCHS 042008
SVSCHS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
408 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

GAC031-043-042100-
/O.CON.KCHS.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-150704T2100Z/
BULLOCH GA-CANDLER GA-
408 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT
FOR BULLOCH AND CANDLER COUNTIES...

AT 407 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR METTER...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.  

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
STATESBORO...METTER...WESTSIDE AND MIDDLEGROUND. 

AT 407 PM...MULTIPLE TREES ARE REPORTED DONW IN METTER WITH MUCH OF 
THE CITY WITHOUT POWER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

REPORT DAMAGE DIRECTLY TO THE CHARLESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-888-383-2024 WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO.

&&

LAT...LON 3244 8219 3247 8218 3252 8215 3254 8203
      3255 8203 3260 8180 3235 8171 3233 8209
      3241 8221
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 258DEG 17KT 3245 8207 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FWA

318 
WWUS52 KCHS 042017
SVSCHS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
417 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

GAC031-043-042100-
/O.CON.KCHS.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-150704T2100Z/
BULLOCH GA-CANDLER GA-
417 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT
FOR BULLOCH AND CANDLER COUNTIES...

AT 417 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR METTER...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
STATESBORO...METTER...WESTSIDE AND MIDDLEGROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

REPORT DAMAGE DIRECTLY TO THE CHARLESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-888-383-2024 WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO.

&&

LAT...LON 3252 8215 3254 8203 3255 8203 3260 8180
      3235 8171 3233 8209 3242 8209
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 258DEG 17KT 3246 8201 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FWA

613 
WWUS52 KCHS 042030
SVSCHS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
430 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

GAC031-043-042100-
/O.CON.KCHS.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-150704T2100Z/
BULLOCH GA-CANDLER GA-
430 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT
FOR BULLOCH AND CANDLER COUNTIES...

AT 430 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER WESTSIDE...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
STATESBORO...WESTSIDE AND MIDDLEGROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

REPORT DAMAGE DIRECTLY TO THE CHARLESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-888-383-2024 WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO.

&&

LAT...LON 3254 8203 3260 8180 3235 8171 3234 8200
      3245 8202
TIME...MOT...LOC 2030Z 258DEG 17KT 3247 8194 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FWA

118 
WWUS52 KCHS 042039
SVSCHS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
439 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

GAC043-042049-
/O.CAN.KCHS.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-150704T2100Z/
CANDLER GA-
439 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CANDLER COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3260 8180 3235 8171 3235 8192 3244 8191
      3250 8198 3251 8197 3252 8199
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 258DEG 17KT 3248 8189 

$$

GAC031-042100-
/O.CON.KCHS.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-150704T2100Z/
BULLOCH GA-
439 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT
FOR BULLOCH COUNTY...

AT 439 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER WESTSIDE...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
STATESBORO...WESTSIDE AND MIDDLEGROUND. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

REPORT DAMAGE DIRECTLY TO THE CHARLESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-888-383-2024 WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO.

&&

LAT...LON 3260 8180 3235 8171 3235 8192 3244 8191
      3250 8198 3251 8197 3252 8199
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 258DEG 17KT 3248 8189 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

FWA

849 
WWUS52 KCHS 042046
SVSCHS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
446 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

GAC031-042055-
/O.CAN.KCHS.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-150704T2100Z/
BULLOCH GA-
446 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BULLOCH COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

HOWEVER...THERE ARE OTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR 
PORTIONS OF BULLOCH COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
CHARLESTON.

LAT...LON 3260 8180 3235 8171 3235 8192 3244 8191
      3250 8198 3251 8197 3252 8199
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 258DEG 17KT 3249 8185 

$$

FWA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 4, 3:47 PM EDT, 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 3:47 PM EDT, 11 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
347 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
LINGERS INLAND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT...A PERSISTENT MID LVL
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN
CONUS WITH SHORTWAVE ENERGY THAT CONTINUES TO ROUND ITS SOUTHERN
BASE OVER PARTS OF THE DEEP SOUTH AND MID ATLANTIC STATES. AT THE
SFC...THE AREA WILL REMAIN BETWEEN A PIEDMONT TROUGH INLAND AND
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED WELL OFFSHORE IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THE
PATTERN WILL FAVOR DEEP MOISTURE WITHIN A WEST/SOUTHWEST
FLOW...CHARACTERIZED BY PWATS THAT APPROACH 2.0 INCHES.

THE LATEST RADAR MOSAIC INDICATES NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WHERE THE ATMOSPHERE HAS
BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE SOUTH OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY CREATED BY
PREVIOUS CONVECTION TO THE NORTH EARLIER TODAY. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
AND GRADUALLY TRACK EAST/NORTHEAST WITHIN A WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW. A
FEW OF THESE PULSE TYPE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE
AS THEY CROSS OVER OR NEAR THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. LATEST MESOSCALE
ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE AHEAD OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH SBCAPES APPROACHING 3000 TO 3500 J/KG ACROSS
OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THIS AMOUNT OF ENERGY ALONG WITH
DCAPE VALUES NEAR 1000-1200 J/KG AND INVERTED-V SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

FURTHER NORTH...THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE MORE QUESTIONABLE
GIVEN THE POSITION OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT IS NOW SLOWLY SHIFTING
SOUTHEAST INTO AREAS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. THE TRI-COUNTY
AREA IN PARTICULAR REMAINS SOMEWHAT LESS UNSTABLE GIVEN PREVIOUS
CLOUD COVER OVER THE AREA. HOWEVER...WE CAN NOT COMPLETELY RULE
OUT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TWO SOUTH OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND
AHEAD OF A SEABREEZE CURRENTLY NEAR THE COAST...ESPECIALLY GIVEN
HIGHER SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A 30-40 KT LOW LVL JET.

OVERNIGHT...THE THREAT OVER SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD DIMINISH ACROSS
ALL AREAS WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. HOWEVER...A SLIGHT
CHANCE TO CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE
FORECAST GIVEN ONGOING UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. GREATEST CHANCES OF
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD OCCUR NEAR COASTAL AREAS. LOW TEMPS
SHOULD BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
OVERVIEW: THE PATTERN WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY LONG WAVE TROUGHING
ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE U.S. WITH THE SOUTHEAST STATES
POSITIONED ALONG THE WESTERN FRINGES OF ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED WELL OFFSHORE. DIURNAL CONVECTION IS LIKELY THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH COVERAGE BEING DETERMINED BY THE POSITION OF THE UPPER
RIDGE CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE AND UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE THAT
IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.

SATURDAY...SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE LEAST ACTIVE DAY THROUGH THE MID
RANGE WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING HOLDING FIRM. PWATS WILL REMAIN
ELEVATED AND JUXTAPOSED WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE HIGHER PROBABILITIES FOR MEASURABLE RAINFALL LOOKS TO
OCCUR ACROSS COASTAL GEORGIA WHERE CONVECTION COULD MOVE NORTHEAST
OUT OF NORTHERN FLORIDA AND FAR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WHERE LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE WILL BE ENHANCED BY A POSSIBLE MERGING OF THE ATLANTIC
AND GULF SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS. MESOSCALE BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS
ARE DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN THIS FAR OUT...SO POPS OF 20-30 PERCENT
WILL BE MAINTAINED /HIGHEST ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST/...BUT LOCALLY
HIGHER POPS MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED. THERE ARE SIGNALS THAT
CONVECTION COULD LINGER THROUGH THE NIGHT AS UPPER LEVEL RIDING
BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN...BUT DIMINISHING INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP THIS
ACTIVITY FAIRLY ISOLATED EXCEPT OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WHERE
NOCTURNAL JETTING COULD SUPPORT MORE SCATTERED ACTIVITY. HIGHS WILL
RANGE FROM THE LOWER-MID 90S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOWER-MID
70S.

SUNDAY...MODELS ARE SIMILAR IN THE DEPICTION OF AN UPPER LOW CUTTING
OFF OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AS POTENT SHORTWAVE ENERGY CUTS OFF FROM
THE MAIN BELT OF THE WESTERLIES. SIMILARLY...THE PREVAILING UPPER
RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BREAKDOWN AND SHIFT EAST OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COAST. DEEP MOISTURE CHARACTERIZED BY PWATS NEAR 2 INCHES FUNNELED
BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND
DPVA INDUCED BY WAVES OF PASSING VORTICITY WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED
SHOWERS/TSTMS FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. POPS AROUND 50 PERCENT LOOK
REASONABLE THIS FAR OUT...ALTHOUGH HIGHER POPS MAY EVENTUALLY BE
NEEDED. CONVECTION COULD VERY WELL LINGER WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. HIGHS WILL WARM INTO THE LOWER 90S AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOWER-MID 70S.

MONDAY...THE UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND EJECT OUT OF THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY MONDAY AFTERNOON AS STRONGER SHORTWAVE ENERGY DIGS
INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. HOWEVER...LINGERING TROUGHING ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COUPLED WITH RICH MOISTURE WILL KEEP A RISK FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT AROUND
90 WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER-MID 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH MID WEEK
INDICATING MORE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING. ANOTHER TROUGH COULD RETURN
LATE IN THE WEEK. SHOULD SEE LOW RAIN CHANCES THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY...MAINLY EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL
GENERALLY BE NEAR NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S AND
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT BOTH TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
HOURS. FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE...STARTING AT THE
SAV TERMINAL AROUND 20Z AND AT THE CHS TERMINAL AROUND 21-22Z.
TEMPO MVFR GROUPS HAVE BEEN MAINTAINED AT BOTH TERMINALS...MAINLY
ASSOCIATED WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 20Z/21Z TO
00Z/01Z. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS THAT
IMPACT THE TERMINALS. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO RETURN EARLY
TONIGHT AT BOTH TERMINALS...THEN PERSIST INTO AT LEAST LATE SUNDAY
MORNING HOURS.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...BRIEF FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN MAINLY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE BEST CHANCES LIKELY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES BETWEEN
ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED WELL OFFSHORE AND A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL
WITH SPEEDS AROUND 15 KTS EARLY TONIGHT...BEFORE GENERALLY
BECOMING 10-15 KTS THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE A BIT AS
WINDS DIMINISH OVER THE PERIOD...BUT OVERALL SHOULD RANGE BETWEEN
2-4 FT...HIGHEST IN THE OUTER GEORGIA WATERS.

SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A PERSISTENT PATTERN FEATURING ATLANTIC
HIGH PRESSURE AND AN INLAND TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXPECTED. A
TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THESE FEATURES WILL MAINTAIN
ELEVATED WINDS/SEAS THROUGH THE PERIOD BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD LARGELY
REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. SEAS WILL BE 2-4 FEET ON AVERAGE...BUT
COULD REACH 5 FT AT TIMES MOSTLY BEYOND 20 NM.

RIP CURRENTS...THE COMBINATION OF LINGERING LUNAR INFLUENCES...AN
EASTERLY SWELL OF 2 FT EVERY 9 SECONDS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL SUPPORT
A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS FOR THE BEACHES OF CHARLESTON
COUNTY. ATTM IT APPEARS SLIGHTLY LOWER WINDS FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH
ALONG GEORGIA COAST WILL LIMIT THE RIP CURRENT RISK TO A HIGH-END
LOW CATEGORY.

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...DPB
SHORT TERM...ST
LONG TERM...RJB
AVIATION...DPB/ST
MARINE...DPB/ST

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 4, 3:58 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
358 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

AMZ330-350-352-354-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-
042>045-047-052-052000-
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM...INCLUDING
GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-JENKINS-SCREVEN-CANDLER-BULLOCH-EFFINGHAM-TATTNALL-EVANS-
INLAND BRYAN-COASTAL BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-COASTAL CHATHAM-LONG-
INLAND LIBERTY-COASTAL LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
ALLENDALE-HAMPTON-INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-INLAND BERKELEY-
INLAND JASPER-TIDAL BERKELEY-
358 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT PARTS OF THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
TO BECOME SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE
RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE GREATEST FROM 4 PM UNTIL 8 PM.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE ISOLATED DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES AND
MINOR DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES.

THIS IS A DEVELOPING SITUATION. PEOPLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA SHOULD REMAIN WEATHER AWARE TODAY
AND BE READY TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD WATCHES AND WARNINGS BE ISSUED
FOR YOUR AREA. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...TV OR YOUR LOCAL
NEWS SOURCE FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER INCLUDING...BUT NOT
LIMITED TO LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND FLOODING TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AT 1-888-383-2024.

SCZ048>051-052000-
BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-CHARLESTON-COASTAL JASPER-
358 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT PARTS OF THE AREA THIS EVENING. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME SEVERE...CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE GREATEST FROM 4 PM UNTIL 8 PM. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE
ISOLATED DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES AND MINOR DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER INCLUDING...BUT NOT
LIMITED TO LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND FLOODING TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AT 1-888-383-2024.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 4, 10:13 AM EDT, 5 hours 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1013 AM EDT SAT JUL 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 AM     TSTM WND DMG     GOOSE CREEK             32.99N  80.04W
07/04/2015                   BERKELEY           SC   PUBLIC

            ONE TREE REPORTED DOWN AT THE OAKS GOLF AND COUNTRY
            CLUB. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1500617

BSH

Special weather statement, Jul 4, 3:42 PM EDT, 16 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
342 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

GAZ099-042030-
CANDLER GA-
342 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CANDLER COUNTY UNTIL
430 PM EDT...

AT 342 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
STILLMORE...OR 11 MILES WEST OF METTER...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
METTER AND ALINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REPORT DAMAGE DIRECTLY TO THE CHARLESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-888-383-2024 WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO.

&&

LAT...LON 3242 8220 3247 8218 3254 8212 3255 8205
      3252 8199 3229 8196 3230 8215 3232 8223
      3233 8224 3234 8224 3235 8225
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 262DEG 22KT 3241 8226

FWA

Special weather statement, Jul 4, 3:54 PM EDT, 4 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
354 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

GAZ100-114-115-042045-
EVANS GA-BULLOCH GA-TATTNALL GA-
354 PM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF BULLOCH...EVANS AND
TATTNALL COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM EDT...

AT 354 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF HAGAN TO
NEAR MENDES...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLAXTON...GLENNVILLE...HAGAN...DAISY...BELLVILLE...MANASSAS...MENDES
AND DENMARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3227 8201 3227 8197 3228 8196 3235 8169
      3216 8174 3215 8178 3210 8175 3204 8177
      3201 8183 3198 8186 3194 8209
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 258DEG 17KT 3225 8195 3196 8202

FWA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Charleston, SC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 4, 3:42 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CHS	Candler	48 min
Jul 4, 3:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CHS	Evans, Tattnall	51 min
Jul 4, 4:08 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CHS	McIntosh	22 min
Jul 4, 4:15 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CHS	McIntosh	36 min
Jul 4, 4:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CHS	Bulloch, Effingham, Screven	67 min
Jul 4, 4:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CHS	Bryan, Bulloch, Effingham, Evans, Liberty, Long and 1 more	60 min
Jul 4, 5:01 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CHS	Effingham	29 min
Jul 4, 5:09 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CHS	Chatham	36 min
Jul 4, 5:45 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	CHS	Bryan, Chatham	2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Georgia, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.