River Flood Warning 2, NWS Charleston, SC

099 
WGUS82 KCHS 240122
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
822 PM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

GAC267-279-250122-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0002.150124T2024Z-000000T0000Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150124T2024Z.150125T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
822 PM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHOOPEE RIVER NEAR REIDSVILLE.
* AT 8 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.8 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE BACK YARDS OF SOME HOMES IN THE JOY
  BLUFF COMMUNITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

815 
WGUS82 KCHS 241535
FLSCHS


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1035 AM EST SAT JAN 24 2015

GAC267-279-251535-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0002.150125T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150125T2100Z.150128T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM EST SAT JAN 24 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHOOPEE RIVER NEAR REIDSVILLE.
* AT 10 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 12.4 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE BACK YARDS OF SOME HOMES IN THE JOY
  BLUFF COMMUNITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

879 
WGUS82 KCHS 250054
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
754 PM EST SAT JAN 24 2015

GAC267-279-260054-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0002.150126T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150126T0900Z.150128T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
754 PM EST SAT JAN 24 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHOOPEE RIVER NEAR REIDSVILLE.
* AT 7 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.8 FEET BY EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE BACK YARDS OF SOME HOMES IN THE JOY
  BLUFF COMMUNITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

737 
WGUS82 KCHS 250837
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
337 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2015

GAC267-279-260837-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0002.150126T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150126T0900Z.150128T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
337 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHOOPEE RIVER NEAR REIDSVILLE.
* AT 3 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.8 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE BACK YARDS OF SOME HOMES IN THE JOY
  BLUFF COMMUNITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

617 
WGUS82 KCHS 251554
FLSCHS


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1054 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2015

GAC267-279-261554-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0002.150126T1500Z-150128T0200Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150126T1500Z.150127T0000Z.150127T1400Z.NO/
1054 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHOOPEE RIVER NEAR REIDSVILLE.
* AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.2 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE BACK YARDS OF SOME HOMES IN THE JOY
  BLUFF COMMUNITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

932 
WGUS82 KCHS 260117
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
817 PM EST SUN JAN 25 2015

GAC267-279-270117-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0002.150127T0900Z-150128T1800Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150127T0900Z.150127T1800Z.150128T0600Z.NO/
817 PM EST SUN JAN 25 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHOOPEE RIVER NEAR REIDSVILLE.
* AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY 
  TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.2 FEET BY EARLY 
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE BACK YARDS OF SOME HOMES IN THE JOY
  BLUFF COMMUNITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

931 
WGUS82 KCHS 261439
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
939 AM EST MON JAN 26 2015

GAC267-279-271439-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0002.150129T0600Z-150130T1500Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150129T0600Z.150129T1200Z.150130T0300Z.NO/
939 AM EST MON JAN 26 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHOOPEE RIVER NEAR REIDSVILLE.
* AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.2 FEET BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE BACK YARDS OF SOME HOMES IN THE JOY
  BLUFF COMMUNITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

671 
WGUS82 KCHS 270108
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
808 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

GAC267-279-280108-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0002.150129T1200Z-150130T0600Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150129T1200Z.150129T1200Z.150129T1800Z.NO/
808 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHOOPEE RIVER NEAR REIDSVILLE.
* AT 7 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE BACK YARDS OF SOME HOMES IN THE JOY
  BLUFF COMMUNITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

641 
WGUS82 KCHS 271426
FLSCHS


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
926 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

GAC267-279-281426-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0002.150129T1200Z-150130T0600Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150129T1200Z.150129T1200Z.150129T1800Z.NO/
926 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHOOPEE RIVER NEAR REIDSVILLE.
* AT 9 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE BACK YARDS OF SOME HOMES IN THE JOY BLUFF 
  COMMUNITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

651 
WGUS82 KCHS 280115
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
815 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

GAC267-279-290115-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0002.150129T0600Z-150131T0000Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150129T0600Z.150130T0000Z.150130T1200Z.NO/
815 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHOOPEE RIVER NEAR REIDSVILLE.
* AT 7 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.2 FEET BY THURSDAY
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE BACK YARDS OF SOME HOMES IN THE JOY
  BLUFF COMMUNITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

090 
WGUS82 KCHS 281510
FLSCHS


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1010 AM EST WED JAN 28 2015

GAC267-279-291510-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0002.150129T0000Z-150131T0000Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150129T0000Z.150129T1200Z.150130T1200Z.NO/
1010 AM EST WED JAN 28 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHOOPEE RIVER NEAR REIDSVILLE.
* AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...REACH FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 11.1 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE BACK YARDS OF SOME HOMES IN THE JOY
  BLUFF COMMUNITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

377 
WGUS82 KCHS 290035
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
735 PM EST WED JAN 28 2015

GAC267-279-300035-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150131T0600Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150129T0600Z.150129T1200Z.150130T1800Z.NO/
735 PM EST WED JAN 28 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OHOOPEE RIVER NEAR REIDSVILLE.
* AT 7 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY 
  THURSDAY AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 11.1 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS THE BACK YARDS OF SOME HOMES IN THE JOY
  BLUFF COMMUNITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

484 
WGUS82 KCHS 291509
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1009 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

GAC267-279-301509-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150131T0600Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150129T1800Z.150130T0000Z.150130T1800Z.NO/
1009 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to 
  rise to near 11.1 feet by this evening. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by early Friday afternoon.
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

234 
WGUS82 KCHS 300035
FLSCHS


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
735 PM EST THU JAN 29 2015

GAC267-279-301800-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150130T1800Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.150130T0600Z.150130T0600Z.150130T0600Z.NO/
735 PM EST THU JAN 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 7 PM Thursday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river is expected to remain in flood stage through early 
  Friday morning.
* At 11.0 feet, Water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

830 
WGUS82 KCHS 300823
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
323 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

GAC267-279-301800-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150130T1800Z/
/REDG1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
323 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 3 AM Friday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall today and the river flood warning
  will likely be cancelled later today.
* At 11.0 feet, Water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

ST

929 
WGUS82 KCHS 301324
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
824 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

GAC267-279-301354-
/O.CAN.KCHS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150130T1800Z/
/REDG1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Ohoopee River near Reidsville.
* At 8 AM Friday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river crested below flood stage at 11.0 feet. The 
  river will continue to fall to 10.6 feet by Saturday morning.
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
537 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. THE DEEPENING LOW WILL PULL
AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
FROM THE WEST SUNDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS WELL NORTH
OF THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...WHICH WILL PUSH A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BRING COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO LATE
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS MORNING WILL
TRACK NORTHEAST TODAY AND WILL BE APPROACHING THE LOWER SAVANNAH
RIVER BY LATE AFTERNOON. OVERRUNNING RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE
REGION THIS MORNING...ARRIVING IN THE CHARLESTON TRI-COUNTY REGION
BY LATE MORNING. CATEGORICAL POPS REMAIN IN FORECASTS FOR ALL
AREAS.

STRONG/SUSTAINED MOISTURE TRANSPORT...PWATS SURGING TO OVER 1.5
INCHES AND PERIODS OF FRONTOGENESIS WILL SUPPORT PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN...ESPECIALLY MIDDAY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

LATEST GUIDANCE AGREES THAT THE SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK JUST INLAND
FROM THE COAST. THIS WILL ALLOW A WARM FRONT TO PUSH INTO THE
FORECAST AREA FROM THE S/SE. THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW AND THE
INLAND PROGRESS OF THE FRONT REMAIN SOMEWHAT IN DOUBT...BUT
IN GENERAL AFTER A COOL MORNING/MIDDAY PUSHED TEMPERATURES UP
SIGNIFICANTLY IN MANY AREAS THIS AFTERNOON...INTO THE LOWER TO MID
60S IN MANY AREAS AND EVEN INTO THE 50S WELL INLAND CLOSE TO THE
LOW TRACK. PER MODEL PROGS OF CONTINUED HIGH 850-500 MB WITHIN
THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW OVER THE
REGION...BUT THE CORRIDOR OF HEAVIEST/MOST SUSTAINED RAIN COULD
SHIFT INLAND WITH THE WARM FRONT AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES.

THE WARM SECTOR AND INCREASING ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL PROVIDE
A HIGH SHEAR/LOW CAPE ENVIRONMENT WHICH COULD SUPPORT A MARGINAL
THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND EVEN AN ISOLATED TORNADO THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

ALSO OF NOTE...SOUTHERLY WINDS COULD BECOME QUITE STRONG WITHIN
THE WARM SECTOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. CAPPED WIND
GUSTS AT 35 MPH...BUT A STRONGER LOW COULD TRANSLATE TO GUSTS
EXCEEDING 40 MPH WHICH WOULD PROMPT WIND ADVISORIES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
WINDY AND MILD CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. PER DEEP LAYERED
MOISTURE DEPICTED BY GUIDANCE...LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL GUIDANCE IS
STILL JUSTIFIED. HOWEVER...THE EVENING COULD FEATURE ON AND OFF
RAIN. OVERNIGHT...THE UPPER TROUGH WILL PRESS EAST...THE DEEPENING
SURFACE LOW WILL ADVANCE NORTHEAST OF THE REGION...AND THESE
FEATURES WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT TOWARD THE COAST. DEEP LAYERED
FORCING FOE ASCENT WILL LIKELY SUPPORT A BAND OF INTENSE RAIN...
PERHAPS ACCOMPANIED BY THUNDERSTORMS AND EVEN A MARGINAL THREAT FOR
SEVERE WEATHER. BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY...TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL
BACK INTO THE 40S/50S AT MOST LOCATIONS.

SATURDAY...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY FORCE THE BULK OF DEEPER MOISTURE
OFFSHORE AROUND DAYBREAK...BUT A STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE LAGGING
BEHIND THE SYSTEM SHOULD HELP PRODUCE SOME RAIN WITH ANY MOISTURE
THAT REMAINS OVER THE AREA. HAVE THEREFORE HELD ONTO CATEGORICAL AND
LIKELY POPS FOR A FEW HOURS SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE INDICATING A
RAPIDLY DRYING TREND INTO EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS WESTERLY FLOW
DOMINATES THE PATTERN AND HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITH TEMPS ONLY PEAKING THE
MID/UPPER 50S. HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE COAST WHERE TEMPS
WILL BE WARMEST. IN GENERAL...EXPECT WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN
15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 25-30 MPH ALONG THE COAST. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT...MAINTAINING MUCH DRYER WEATHER CONDITIONS. ALTHOUGH SKIES
WILL CLEARING OUT...LIGHT WINDS SHOULD OFFSET SOME RADIATIONAL
COOLING...THUS MAINTAINING OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S
OVER MOST AREAS.

SUNDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE SOUTHEAST TO START OFF THE
WEEK WITH QUIET/DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS. TEMPS WILL BE SLOW TO
RESPOND THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS SFC WINDS SLOWLY BACK TO SOUTHWEST BY
SUNDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...TEMPS SHOULD MODIFY A FEW DEGREES WITH
OVERALL HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 50S...WARMEST IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY
SHIFT OVER THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...INCREASING
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT.
SUNDAY NIGHT LOWS SHOULD THEREFORE BE SLIGHTLY MORE MILD THAN THE
PREVIOUS NIGHT...IN THE LOW/MID 40S. BY DAYBREAK MONDAY...THE MAIN
LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL BE POSITIONED EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS...WITH A
SHORTWAVE ROUNDING ITS BASE. THE SETUP SHOULD FORCE A DRY COLD FRONT
TOWARDS NORTHERN AREAS MONDAY. TEMPS WILL ONCE AGAIN STRUGGLE TO
WARM SIGNIFICANTLY...WITH OVERALL HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID/UPPER 50S.

LAKE WINDS...THERE IS A CHANCE THAT WINDS WILL REACH LAKE WIND
ADVISORY LEVELS ON SATURDAY AS A SFC LOW SHIFTS NORTHEAST AND AWAY
FROM THE AREA. BEST CHANCES SHOULD OCCUR SATURDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON WHILE A TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT RESULTS IN A 40 KT
WESTERLY LOW LVL WIND OVER THE LAKE. AS A RESULT...WINDS ACROSS LAKE
MOULTRIE WILL INCREASE AND HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP.
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY COULD BE REQUIRED...SATURDAY MORNING INTO
SATURDAY EVENING.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A DRY COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...SETTING UP COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH AT
LEAST MIDWEEK WHILE SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND
A LARGE MID LVL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE HOLDS OVER THE EASTERN CONUS.
IN GENERAL...HIGH TEMPS WILL RANGE IN THE LOW/MID 50S TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY AS THE AREA REMAINS ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF TROUGH
CENTERED TO OUR NORTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE IN THE LOW/MID 30S.
TEMPS SHOULD THEN SLOWLY MODIFY OVER THE SOUTHEAST LATE WEEK AS THE
MID/UPPER LVL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BEGINS TO SLIDE OFF THE
ATLANTIC COAST...BUT TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
TREMENDOUSLY COMPLEX 06Z TAF PERIOD WITH A HIGH DEGREE OF
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING FORECAST DETAILS. AS RAIN OVERSPREADS THE
TERMINALS FRIDAY MORNING...DETERIORATION TO IFR OR EVEN LIFR
CEILINGS APPEARS LIKELY...WITH AT LEAST OCCASIONAL IFR VISIBILITY
EXPECTED IN HEAVIER RAIN. AS A WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE
TERMINALS AND INLAND THIS AFTERNOON...SOME IMPROVEMENT COULD OCCUR
AND BRIEF VFR CONDITIONS CANNOT BE DISCOUNTED. HOWEVER...MAINTAINED
NO BETTER THAN MVFR CEILINGS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.
MEANWHILE...WINDS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING WILL VEER FROM
S/SE TO S/SW AND WILL INCREASE...GUSTING TO AT LEAST 25-30 KNOTS
AND ACCOMPANIED BY LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR. FINALLY...THUNDER COULD
OCCUR AT ANY TIME FROM 18-21Z THROUGH THE END OF THE 06Z TAF
PERIOD...BUT UNCERTAINTY REGARDING PRECISE TIMING PRECLUDES ANY
MENTION OF EVEN CBS/VCTS WITHIN 06Z TAFS.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD QUICKLY RETURN TO
BOTH TERMINALS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THEN PERSIST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...WE SHOULD SEE A PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHIFTS FURTHER
NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM THE AREA.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY...ELEVATED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS THE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NORTH OF THE WATERS...AN
OFFSHORE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM
THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. LATER GUIDANCE AGREES THAT THE
SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK JUST INLAND LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
INITIALLY PULLING A WARM FRONT THROUGH THE WATERS AND ONSHORE...THE
DRIVING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
SATURDAY. AS A RESULT...WINDS WILL VEER THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST THEN
TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST. STRENGTHENING WINDS THROUGH THE LOWER
TROPOSPHERE WILL SUPPORT GALES ACROSS THE OUTER GA WATERS AND
HIGH-END SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ACROSS NEARSHORE WATERS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. IF THE LOW PRESSURE IS STRONGER
THAN EXPECTED AS IT CROSSES THE REGION...GALES COULD SPREAD INTO
NEARSHORE WATERS BY TONIGHT...BUT THE PROBABILITY REMAINS TOO LOW
TO JUSTIFY ANY WATCHES OR WARNINGS INSIDE 20 NM.

ALSO OF NOTE...DEWPOINTS AROUND 60F WILL SPREAD OVER THE COOL
SHELF WATERS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS SHOULD
LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY EXTENDED PERIODS OF DENSE FOG...BUT A
MENTION OF PATCHY FOG IS IN ORDER ACROSS NEARSHORE WATERS OUTSIDE
CHARLESTON HARBOR.

SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN WHILE
LIFTING NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM THE AREA...PRODUCING A STRONG
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER COASTAL WATERS WITH LOW LVL WIND FIELDS NEAR
40-45 KTS. A LARGE PORTION OF THESE WINDS SHOULD MIX TO THE
SFC...PRODUCING DANGEROUS WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF
SATURDAY MORNING. A GALE WARNING WILL THEREFORE BE ONGOING FOR OUTER
GEORGIA WATERS INTO EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON WHERE WARMER WATERS MIX
STRONGER WINDS TO THE SFC. ELSEWHERE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL
BE ONGOING FOR ALL WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE
WINDS/SEAS BEGIN TO IMPROVE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO LIFT TO OUR NORTHEAST. AS THE GRADIENT BEGINS TO
RELAX...CONDITIONS SHOULD FALL BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS FOR
THE CHS HARBOR AND BELOW GALE FORCE CRITERIA OVER OUTER GEORGIA
WATERS. HOWEVER...EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES TO CONTINUE FOR ALL
WATERS OUTSIDE THE CHS HARBOR INTO SATURDAY EVENING...WITH
CONDITIONS POSSIBLY REMAINING IN SMALL CRAFT FOR OUTER GEORGIA
WATERS INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TO START OFF THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE
WATERS...BUT WILL LIKELY REACH ADVISORY LEVELS SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS OVER COASTAL WATERS IN
RESPONSE TO A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING JUST NORTH OF THE AREA AND
A DRY COLD FRONT SHIFTING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL THEN DOMINATE THE WATERS THROUGH LATE WEEK WITH LITTLE TO NO
CONCERNS OVER ALL WATERS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
FLOODING...A GENERAL 1.5 TO 3 INCH RAIN EVENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE LOWCOUNTRY AND COASTAL EMPIRE TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING
AS LOW PRESSURE AND AN ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONT AFFECT THE AREA.
WHILE WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED...HEAVY RAINS
COULD FALL AROUND TIMES OF HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES... WHICH COULD
POSE AN ENHANCED RISK FOR FRESH WATER FLOODING FOR COASTAL
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON AND PORTIONS OF
SAVANNAH.

RIVER FLOODING...RIVER LEVELS ALONG THE SANTEE AT JAMESTOWN ARE
FORECAST TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING. MEANWHILE...EXPECT
UNCONTROLLED RIVERS ACROSS THE AREA TO STEADILY RISE OVER THE NEXT
24-48 HOURS WITH THE OHOOPEE RIVER AT REIDSVILLE LIKELY TO GO INTO
FLOOD ON SATURDAY. THE OGEECHEE RIVER AT MIDVILLE AND EDEN AS WELL
AS THE CANOOCHEE RIVER AT CLAXTON COULD ALSO MAKE A RUN FOR FLOOD
STAGE. VARIOUS RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ARE LIKELY TO BE ISSUED OVER
THE COMING DAYS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
LATEST EXTRA-TROPICAL TIDE GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT TIDES WILL REACH
7.1-7.4 FT MLLW FOR CHARLESTON HARBOR LATER THIS MORNING...THUS
MAINTAINED THE ONGOING COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY VALID 8 AM-NOON.
ALSO...LOW TIDE LEVELS WERE RUNNING OVER A FOOT ABOVE PREDICTED
LEVELS AT FORT PULASKI GA...AND GIVEN INCREASING NE WINDS AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR A HIGHER DEVIATION WITH THE LATE MORNING HIGH TIDE
OPTED TO RAISE A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR GA COASTAL COUNTIES
ALSO VALID 8 AM-NOON. AFTER ANOTHER ELEVATED HIGH TIDE CYCLE LATE
THIS EVENING...OFFSHORE WINDS SHOULD END THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY
SHALLOW SALT WATER FLOODING BY SATURDAY MORNING AND BEYOND.

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR GAZ117-119-139-
     141.
SC...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR SCZ048>051.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
     SATURDAY FOR AMZ352-354.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR AMZ350.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY FOR AMZ374.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 PM EST
     SATURDAY FOR AMZ330.

&&

NEAR TERM...SPR
SHORT TERM...DPB/SPR
LONG TERM...DPB
AVIATION...DPB/SPR
MARINE...DPB/SPR
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
539 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

GAZ117-119-139-141-SCZ048>051-241045-
COASTAL BRYAN-COASTAL CHATHAM-COASTAL LIBERTY-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-CHARLESTON-COASTAL JASPER-
539 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

FLOODING...RAINFALL MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TODAY AND TONIGHT. IF
HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS AROUND THE TIME OF THE LATE MORNING OR LATE
EVENING HIGH TIDE...FRESHWATER FLOODING COULD BE A CONCERN IN LOW-
LYING COASTAL AREAS...INCLUDING SAVANNAH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND EVEN A
BRIEF TORNADO ARE POSSIBLE.

CHECK WITH NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR OTHER BROADCAST
MEDIA OUTLETS FOR UPDATED INFORMATION TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER INCLUDING...BUT NOT
LIMITED TO LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND FLOODING TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AT 1-888-383-2024.

AMZ330-350-352-354-241045-
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM...INCLUDING
GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
539 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

GALES...IF INLAND LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS SUFFICIENTLY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...SOUTHERLY WINDS COULD PRODUCE GALE FORCE
GUSTS ON NEARSHORE COASTAL WATERS. GALE WARNINGS COULD BE NEEDED.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG
WIND GUSTS ON COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

CHECK WITH NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR OTHER BROADCAST MEDIA
OUTLETS FOR UPDATED INFORMATION TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER INCLUDING...BUT NOT
LIMITED TO LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND FLOODING TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AT 1-888-383-2024.

SCZ045-241045-
INLAND BERKELEY-
539 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND EVEN A
BRIEF TORNADO ARE POSSIBLE.

CHECK WITH NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR OTHER BROADCAST MEDIA
OUTLETS FOR UPDATED INFORMATION TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

LAKE WINDS...WEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND BECOME GUSTY ACROSS
LAKE MOULTRIE ON SATURDAY. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY COULD EVENTUALLY
BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER INCLUDING...BUT NOT
LIMITED TO LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND FLOODING TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AT 1-888-383-2024.

GAZ087-088-099>101-114>116-118-137-138-140-SCZ040-042>044-047-052-
241045-
JENKINS-SCREVEN-CANDLER-BULLOCH-EFFINGHAM-TATTNALL-EVANS-
INLAND BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-LONG-INLAND LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-
ALLENDALE-HAMPTON-INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-INLAND JASPER-
TIDAL BERKELEY-
539 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AND EVEN A BRIEF TORNADO ARE POSSIBLE.

CHECK WITH NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR OTHER BROADCAST MEDIA
OUTLETS FOR UPDATED INFORMATION TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER INCLUDING...BUT NOT
LIMITED TO LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND FLOODING TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AT 1-888-383-2024.

AMZ374-241045-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
539 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER INCLUDING...BUT NOT
LIMITED TO LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND FLOODING TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AT 1-888-383-2024.