Flash Flood Warning 21, NWS Charleston, SC

234 
WGUS72 KCHS 050340
FFSCHS

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1140 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

SCC015-019-035-050730-
/O.CON.KCHS.FF.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151005T0730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHARLESTON SC-BERKELEY SC-DORCHESTER SC-
1140 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM EDT FOR
CHARLESTON...BERKELEY AND DORCHESTER COUNTIES...

AT 1130 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN MOVING 
ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. HEAVY RAINFALL RATES OCCASIONALLY ONE HALF 
TO ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THIS 
ADDITIONAL EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE RISING WATER AND 
WORSENING...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING IN AREAS ALREADY FLOODED 
BY RECORD-BREAKING RAINFALL.
 
SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CHARLESTON...NORTH CHARLESTON...MOUNT PLEASANT...SUMMERVILLE...GOOSE
CREEK...HANAHAN...MONCKS CORNER AND MCCLELLANVILLE.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA BY 330 AM...AND LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL COULD PRODUCE WORSENING...LIFE-THREATENING 
FLASH FLOODING. AVOID MOTOR VEHICLE TRAVEL. 

&&

LAT...LON 3300 7936 3303 7953 3280 7973 3279 7991
      3268 7989 3261 8000 3249 8033 3274 8045
      3305 8039 3307 8062 3318 8079 3333 8051
      3327 8030 3345 8022 3351 7999 3313 7927

$$

505 
WGUS72 KCHS 050520
FFSCHS

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
120 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2015

SCC015-019-035-050730-
/O.CON.KCHS.FF.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151005T0730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHARLESTON SC-BERKELEY SC-DORCHESTER SC-
120 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM EDT FOR
CHARLESTON...BERKELEY AND DORCHESTER COUNTIES...

AT 110 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAINFALL RATES OF 
ONE HALF TO ONE INCH PER HOUR HAD SHIFTED INTO NORTHERN SECTIONS OF 
THE WARNED AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTHERN DORCHESTER COUNTY...AND THIS 
BAND OF HEAVY RAIN WILL PUSH INLAND SHORTLY. RAINFALL RATES HAD 
TEMPORARILY DIMINISHED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNED AREA...BUT 
A NEW ROUND OF OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT INTO THE 
WARNED AREA FROM THE EAST BY 330 AM. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... 
CHARLESTON...NORTH CHARLESTON...MOUNT PLEASANT...SUMMERVILLE...GOOSE 
CREEK...HANAHAN...MONCKS CORNER AND MCCLELLANVILLE.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA BY 330 AM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES. MANY ROADS REMAINED FLOODED AND CLOSED. 
NON-EMERGENCY TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

&&

LAT...LON 3300 7936 3303 7953 3280 7973 3279 7991
      3268 7989 3261 8000 3249 8033 3274 8045
      3305 8039 3307 8062 3318 8079 3333 8051
      3327 8030 3345 8022 3351 7999 3313 7927

$$

920 
WGUS52 KCHS 050727
FFWCHS
SCC015-019-035-051330-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FF.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151005T1330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
327 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF...
  CHARLESTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
  BERKELEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
  DORCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 930 AM EDT MONDAY

* AT 318 AM EDT...WATER HAD RECEDED AND ROAD CONDITIONS HAD IMPROVED 
  IN DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON AS HEAVY RAIN HAD SHIFTED OUT OF THAT AREA. 
  HOWEVER...FLASH FLOODING CONTINUED ELSEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNED 
  AREA. MEANWHILE...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT PERIODS OF HEAVY 
  RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF 
  CHARLESTON...BERKELEY AND DORCHESTER COUNTIES THIS MORNING.  
  
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... 
  CHARLESTON...NORTH CHARLESTON...MOUNT PLEASANT...SUMMERVILLE... 
  GOOSE CREEK...HANAHAN...MONCKS CORNER AND MCCLELLANVILLE.

THROUGH 930 AM...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES 
ARE EXPECTED IN THE IN THE WARNED AREA....ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH 
OF A LINE FROM SUMMERVILLE...TO GOOSE CREEK...TO AWENDAW...AND 
LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO SHIFT 
SOUTH AND BACK INTO CHARLESTON...NORTH CHARLESTON AND MOUNT 
PLEASANT. 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES IN MANY AREAS. MANY ROADS REMAINED CLOSED. 

&&

LAT...LON 3300 7936 3303 7953 3280 7973 3279 7991
      3268 7989 3261 8000 3249 8033 3274 8045
      3305 8039 3307 8062 3318 8079 3333 8051
      3327 8030 3345 8022 3351 7999 3313 7927

$$

209 
WGUS72 KCHS 051000
FFSCHS

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
600 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2015

SCC015-019-035-051330-
/O.CON.KCHS.FF.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151005T1330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHARLESTON SC-BERKELEY SC-DORCHESTER SC-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 AM EDT MONDAY
FOR CHARLESTON...BERKELEY AND DORCHESTER COUNTIES...
...HEAVY RAINS MOVING BACK INTO THE CHARLESTON TRI-COUNTY AREA...

AT 600 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LARGE BAND OF MODERATE TO 
HEAVY RAINS EXTENDING FROM JAMESTOWN AND SAINT STEPHEN TO MYRTLE 
BEACH AND EXTENDING OFFSHORE INTO THE ATLANTIC. THIS BAND WILL 
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWEST INTO BERKELEY COUNTY AND GRADUALLY EXPAND 
INTO CHARLESTON AND DORCHESTER COUNTIES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS 
IN EXCESS OF 4 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 930 AM.  

CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING IS STILL BEING OBSERVED IN MANY PLACES 
ACROSS THE TRI-COUNTY AREA. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ONLY WORSEN 
THE CURRENT FLOOD SITUATION. THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON...NORTH CHARLESTON...MOUNT PLEASANT...
SUMMERVILLE...GOOSE CREEK...HANAHAN...MONCKS CORNER AND 
MCCLELLANVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES. MANY ROADS REMAINED FLOODED AND CLOSED. 
NON-EMERGENCY TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED. STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. 
RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3300 7936 3303 7953 3280 7973 3279 7991
      3268 7989 3261 8000 3249 8033 3274 8045
      3305 8039 3307 8062 3318 8079 3333 8051
      3327 8030 3345 8022 3351 7999 3313 7927

$$

083 
WGUS52 KCHS 051307
FFWCHS
SCC015-019-035-051930-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FF.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151005T1930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
907 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF...
  CHARLESTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
  BERKELEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
  DORCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT MONDAY

* AT 904 AM EDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...LAW ENFORCEMENT AND THE 
  GENERAL PUBLIC CONTINUED TO REPORT WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING 
  ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ALTHOUGH ONE INCH OR LESS OF ADDITIONAL 
  RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TODAY...AREAS ALREADY EXPERIENCING FLOODING 
  WILL BE VERY SLOW TO RECEDE DUE TO SUPER SATURATED GROUND 
  CONDITIONS.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  CHARLESTON...NORTH CHARLESTON...MOUNT PLEASANT...SUMMERVILLE...
  GOOSE CREEK...HANAHAN...MONCKS CORNER AND MCCLELLANVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME
UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3300 7936 3303 7953 3280 7973 3279 7991
      3268 7989 3261 8000 3249 8033 3274 8045
      3305 8039 3307 8062 3318 8079 3333 8051
      3327 8030 3345 8022 3351 7999 3313 7927

$$

RFM

841 
WGUS72 KCHS 051840
FFSCHS

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
240 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2015

SCC015-019-035-051847-
/O.CAN.KCHS.FF.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151005T1930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHARLESTON SC-BERKELEY SC-DORCHESTER SC-
240 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CHARLESTON...BERKELEY AND DORCHESTER
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION. HOWEVER...THIS FLASH FLOOD 
WARNING IS CANCELLED AND HAS NOW BEEN REPLACED BY AN AREAL FLOOD 
WARNING THROUGH 230 PM EDT TUESDAY OCTOBER 6. 

LAT...LON 3300 7936 3303 7953 3280 7973 3279 7991
      3268 7989 3261 8000 3249 8033 3274 8045
      3305 8039 3307 8062 3318 8079 3333 8051
      3327 8030 3345 8022 3351 7999 3313 7927

$$

RFM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
807 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST WILL MOVE SLOWLY
EAST TONIGHT...THEN PULL FURTHER AWAY INTO THE ATLANTIC
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN RETURN THROUGH LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
ASCENT PROVIDED BY UPPER LOW CENTERED NEAR N FL/SE GA BORDER AND
SEEMINGLY ENDLESS EAST TO WEST PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BANDS OF RAIN WHICH WILL PUSH ONSHORE ALONG
CHARLESTON COUNTY AND ROTATE INLAND ACROSS FLASH FLOOD
WATCH/WARNING AREAS OF BERKELEY...DORCHESTER AND COLLETON
COUNTIES. RAIN IS THEN WRAPPING SE INTO AREAS ALONG/SOUTH OF THE
SAVANNAH RIVER WHICH HAVE ESCAPED THE HEAVIEST RAIN OF THE PAST
FEW DAYS. ADJUSTED POPS TO ACCOUNT FOR RECENT/EXPECTED RADAR
TRENDS.

WHILE HOURLY RAINFALL RATES HAVE REMAINED SOMEWHAT REDUCED AS
COMPARED WITH THE TORRENTIAL RATES OF THE PAST FEW DAYS...EVEN
OCCASIONAL MAXIMUM HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH
PER HOUR AS INDICATED BY MRMS IMAGERY WILL QUICKLY CAUSE WATER
LEVELS TO RISE AND AGGRAVATE ONGOING LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING IN SOME AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MONDAY...A NEARLY VERTICALLY STACKED LOW PRESSURE BOTH SURFACE AND
ALOFT WILL BE LOCATED SOME 150 NM SE OF SAVANNAH AT THE START OF THE
DAY WILL BEGIN TO SHOW SIGNS OF PUSHING EAST/NE IN THE AFTERNOON.
THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE REVOLVES AROUND HOW QUICKLY THIS
TRANSITION OCCURS...WHERE THE MAIN DEFORMATION ZONE/HEAVIEST
MOISTURE AXIS IS LOCATED AND THE RESULTING QPF. OUR LATEST THINKING
IS THAT THE MAIN RAIN BAND OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY INTENSITY
WILL BE FOUND OVER THE CHARLESTON TRI-COUNTY REGION...MAYBE ALSO
INTO COLLETON COUNTY DURING THE MORNING...BEFORE FINALLY PULLING
AWAY AND/OR DISSIPATING IN THE AFTERNOON AS SURFACE PRESSURE AND
HEIGHTS ALOFT BEGIN TO INCH UPWARDS. ALTHOUGH THE TREND WILL BE FOR
IMPROVING CONDITIONS WITH TIME...DUE TO THE PRE-EXISTING AND
WIDESPREAD FLOODING WE HAVE MAINTAINED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE
CHARLESTON QUAD-COUNTY REGION THROUGH LATE MORNING. IT/S POSSIBLE
THAT THE WATCH MIGHT NEED TO BE EXTENDED FURTHER IN TIME FOR AT
LEAST THE TRI-COUNTY OF CHARLESTON PENDING HOW MUCH ADDITIONAL RAINS
OCCUR. FURTHER SOUTH RAIN PROBABILITIES WILL BE NO MORE THAN IN THE
SCATTERED RANGE WITH LITTLE FORCING TO ENSUE. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER
WILL RESTRICT HIGHS TO NO MORE THAN UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.

WINDS WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE AS A 30-40 KT LOW LEVEL JET WILL
ARRIVE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE ATLANTIC LOW AND THE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS BETWEEN THAT FEATURE AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INLAND.
NORTH/NE WINDS WILL AVERAGE 15-25 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS UPWARDS
OF 30 OR 35 MPH...GREATEST AT AND NEAR THE COAST. CONDITIONS ON LAKE
MOULTRIE WILL BE SIMILAR...BUT FOR NOW THEY LOOK TO STAY JUST BELOW
LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. WINDS THIS STRONG COMBINED WITH THE
FULLY SATURATED SOILS OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ZONES COULD PRODUCE
SOME DOWN TREES AND TREE BRANCHES...WITH THE RISK OF SOME POWER
OUTAGES.

MONDAY NIGHT...DEEP LAYERED LOW PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED
FORCING ARE FINALLY KICKED FAR ENOUGH AWAY...AS RAIN CHANCES
STEADILY DIMINISH FROM WEST/SW TO EAST/NE. ALL LOCATIONS WILL BE
RAINFREE BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY AT THE LATEST. HIGH PRESSURE WITH
SUBTLE COOL ADVECTION WILL BUILD FROM THE NW AND ALTHOUGH SKIES
DON/T CLEAR...IS STILL ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S-
LOWER 60S AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

TUESDAY...HEIGHTS ALOFT CONTINUE TO CLIMB AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
ELONGATED FROM PENNSYLVANIA TO ILLINOIS EXPANDS SE. WE/LL FINALLY
EXPERIENCE MUCH BETTER WEATHER RETURNING WITH CONSIDERABLE DRIER AIR
THROUGHOUT THE VERTICAL AND A SOLID ANTICYCLONIC PRESSURE PATTERN TO
OCCUR. INCREASING INSOLATION WILL LEAD TO MAX TEMPS INTO THE VERY
PLEASANT LOWER AND MIDDLE 70S. LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT UNDER GENERALLY
CLEAR SKIES ALLOWS FOR LOWS IN THE MID OR UPPER 50S...LOWER 60S ON
THE BEACHES.

WEDNESDAY...MID AND UPPER RIDGING WILL ARRIVE ALOFT FROM THE WEST AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE OHIO VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES ENCOMPASSES
MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. TEMPS WILL WARM FURTHER WITH EXPANDING
THICKNESS AND HEIGHTS ALOFT CLIMBING.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY THE CONTINENTAL SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
TO THE NORTH BUILDS CLOSER TO THE CWA...WHICH WILL RE-ESTABLISH THE
WEDGE PATTERN. SHOWER CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ALONG THE
COAST BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MVFR CIGS WILL GIVE WAY TO IFR CIGS BY 6Z WHICH WILL THEN PREVAIL
FOR THE BALANCE OF THE 00Z TAF PERIOD, OCCASIONAL LIFR CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS AND IN LOW CIGS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
MIDDAY

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...IFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT
BOTH KCHS AND KSAV MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY MORNING...WITH AN
ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE STUCK BENEATH AN INVERSION. PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO PERHAPS HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT KCHS DURING
MONDAY...BEFORE FINALLY ENDING MONDAY NIGHT.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL FINALLY RETURN FOR THE BULK OF TUESDAY AND
PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT...LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SC COAST WILL SHIFT EAST. THE
GREATEST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE CHARLESTON COUNTY NEAR SHORE WATERS AND WINDS THERE SHOULD
BE CLOSER TO 20 KT. ELSEWHERE WINDS ARE MAINLY 10 KT OR LESS. LATE
TONIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHERLY THROUGHOUT AND INCREASE.
ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE SC WATER OUTSIDE CHS HARBOR
AND THE OFFSHORE GA WATERS...ALTHOUGH WILL LIKELY BE DROPPED
LATER THIS EVENING FOR THE SOUTHERN SC WATERS AS SEAS SUBSIDE
BELOW 6 FT.

MONDAY...A SOLID SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EVENT WILL COVER THE ENTIRE
MARITIME COMMUNITY AS THE GRADIENT PINCHES BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE
ABOUT 100 NM SE OF THE AREA AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING FROM THE
GREAT LAKES AND UPPER MIDWEST. WE/LL NEED TO CAREFULLY WATCH FOR A
MARGINAL GALE EVENT SINCE THE COLD CORE LOW ALOFT WILL GENERATE
BETTER MIXING POTENTIAL ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. HOWEVER...THERE
ARE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE VARIOUS MODELS ON HOW THIS MAY
OCCUR...SO WE TOOK A SLIGHTLY MORE CONSERVATIVE APPROACH.

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...WE ANTICIPATE AT LEAST SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH IF NOT ALL OF THE MARINE
COMMUNITY WITH AN ENHANCED GRADIENT TO PERSIST BETWEEN INLAND HIGH
PRESSURE AND ATLANTIC LOW AS IT FINALLY LIFTS NE...COMBINED WITH
NIGHT TIME AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING COOL ADVECTION.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THERE REMAINS JUST ENOUGH OF A PACKED
GRADIENT AROUND SE AND SOUTH PERIPHERY OF CONTINENTAL HIGH PRESSURE
TO PRODUCE ADVISORY CONDITIONS ACROSS AT LEAST PARTS OF THE LOCAL
WATERS DURING MID TO LATE WEEK.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
BANDS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OFFSHORE AND PIVOT
BACK TOWARD THE WEST/SOUTHWEST INTO THE CHARLESTON QUAD-COUNTY
REGION...AND PERIODS OF RAIN COULD PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST
MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY
WILL AVERAGE 3-6 INCHES ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...AND LOCALLY
GREATER AMOUNTS COULD FALL ACROSS NORTHERN CHARLESTON AND
NORTHERN BERKELEY COUNTIES. EVEN THOUGH THE RAIN WILL NOT BE AS
INTENSE AS IT WAS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
ANY RAIN WILL MAINTAIN OR EXACERBATE ONGOING LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODING. SOME LOCATIONS MAY VERY WELL SEE AMOUNTS IN
EXCESS OF 20-25 INCHES BEFORE THE END OF THIS EVENT...ESPECIALLY
IN THE CHARLESTON TRI-COUNTIES.

RIVER FLOODING...THE SANTEE RIVER NEAR JAMESTOWN AND THE EDISTO
RIVER NEAR GIVHANS FERRY WILL BOTH BE IN FLOOD MONDAY...EVEN
REACHING INTO MODERATE OR POTENTIALLY MAJOR FLOOD CATEGORY DURING
THE MID TO LATE WEEK. THE SAVANNAH RIVER AND POSSIBLY EVEN THE
OGEECHEE RIVER COULD APPROACH ACTION STAGE BY MID TO LATE
WEEK...PENDING THE AMOUNT OF RAIN THAT OCCURS UPSTREAM.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

EXCEPTIONALLY HIGH TIDE LEVELS WILL BE VERY SLOW
TO RECOVER AND ANOMALIES WILL BE STILL LARGE ENOUGH WHERE WE
ANTICIPATE AT LEAST MINOR FLOODING CONCERNS WITH AT LEAST THE
AFTERNOON HIGH TIDES EACH DAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

RIP CURRENTS...3-4 FT SWELLS ARRIVING ABOUT EVERY 11 SECONDS MONDAY
WILL PRODUCE A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES.
NORTH/NE WINDS OF 15-25 MPH AND GUSTY WILL ALSO CAUSE A MODERATE TO
PERHAPS STRONG LONG SHORE CURRENT TRAVELING FROM NORTH/NE TO
SOUTH/SW.

&&

.CLIMATE...
SEVERAL RAINFALL RECORDS HAVE BEEN SET AT CHARLESTON
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON AS NOTED BELOW.

CHARLESTON AIRPORT /KCHS/...

GREATEST 1-DAY RAINFALL.....11.50 INCHES SET ON OCTOBER 3 2015
OLD 1-DAY RAINFALL RECORD...10.52 INCHES SET ON SEPTEMBER 21 1998

GREATEST 2-DAY RAINFALL.....13.11 INCHES SET ON OCTOBER 2-3 2015
OLD 2-DAY RAINFALL RECORD...11.10 INCHES SET ON JUNE 10-11 1973

GREATEST 3-DAY RAINFALL.....14.48 INCHES SET ON OCTOBER 1-3 2015
OLD 3-DAY RAINFALL RECORD...11.95 INCHES SET ON JUNE 9-11 1973

GREATEST MONTHLY OCTOBER RAINFALL..16.01 INCHES THROUGH 9 AM TODAY
OLD MONTHLY OCTOBER RAINFALL.......12.11 INCHES SET IN 1994

DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON /KCXM/...

GREATEST 3-DAY RAINFALL.....13.80 INCHES SET ON OCTOBER 1-3 2015
OLD 3-DAY RAINFALL RECORD...12.39 INCHES SET ON JUNE 9-11 1973

GREATEST MONTHLY OCTOBER RAINFALL..14.25 INCHES THROUGH 430 AM TODAY
OLD MONTHLY OCTOBER RAINFALL.......11.74 INCHES SET IN 1959

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR SCZ043>045-049-
     050-052.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR AMZ352.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR AMZ350.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR AMZ374.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     AMZ330.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...RJB/SPR
SHORT TERM...33
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...33/RJB/SPR
MARINE...33/RJB/SPR
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
714 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

AMZ350-052315-
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
714 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ330-352-354-374-052315-
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM...INCLUDING
GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
714 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GALES...A TIGHTENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE
TO THE SOUTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST MAY BE ENOUGH
TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS AS HIGH AS 35 KNOTS
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. A GALE WATCH OR WARNING MAY EVENTUALLY BE
REQUIRED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SCZ050-052315-
CHARLESTON-
714 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
...MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.

COASTAL FLOODING...ADDITIONAL COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES WILL BE
REQUIRED DURING AT LEAST THE EARLY AND MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SCZ049-052315-
COASTAL COLLETON-
714 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
...MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.

COASTAL FLOODING...ADDITIONAL COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES COULD BE
REQUIRED DURING AT LEAST THE EARLY AND MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SCZ048-051-052315-
BEAUFORT-COASTAL JASPER-
714 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.

COASTAL FLOODING...ADDITIONAL COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES COULD BE
REQUIRED DURING AT LEAST THE EARLY AND MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SCZ040-042-047-052315-
ALLENDALE-HAMPTON-INLAND JASPER-
714 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

GAZ087-088-099>101-114>116-118-137-138-140-052315-
JENKINS-SCREVEN-CANDLER-BULLOCH-EFFINGHAM-TATTNALL-EVANS-
INLAND BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-LONG-INLAND LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-
714 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SCZ043>045-052315-
INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-INLAND BERKELEY-
714 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SCZ052-052315-
TIDAL BERKELEY-
714 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

COASTAL FLOODING...ADDITIONAL COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES COULD BE
REQUIRED DURING THE EARLY AND MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

GAZ117-119-139-141-052315-
COASTAL BRYAN-COASTAL CHATHAM-COASTAL LIBERTY-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
714 PM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015

...MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS.

COASTAL FLOODING...ADDITIONAL COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES COULD BE
REQUIRED DURING THE EARLY AND MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
653 PM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0634 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HANAHAN                 32.91N  80.00W
10/04/2015                   BERKELEY           SC   AMATEUR RADIO

            YEAMANS HALL BOULEVARD NEAR MURRAY AVENUE BLOCKED OFF
            DUE TO FLOODING. WATER ESTIMATED 2 FEET DEEP.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1501313

TIMTE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
753 PM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0711 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NNE BOONE HALL PLANTA 32.90N  79.80W
10/04/2015                   CHARLESTON         SC   NWS EMPLOYEE

            ENTRANCE TO GRAND OAKS SUBDIVISION FLOODED AND
            IMPASSABLE. TWO CARS STALLED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1501314

TIMTE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
802 PM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SSW SHADOWMOSS        32.81N  80.09W
10/04/2015  M23.51 INCH      CHARLESTON         SC   NWS EMPLOYEE

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 68 HOURS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1501315

TIMTE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
838 PM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SW JAMES ISLAND       32.71N  79.96W
10/04/2015                   CHARLESTON         SC   PUBLIC

            1.5 FEET OF WATER FLOWING ACROSS THE 1600 BLOCK OF
            RAINBOW ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1501316

TIMTE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
841 PM EDT SUN OCT 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0711 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SSW SHADOWMOSS        32.82N  80.08W
10/04/2015                   CHARLESTON         SC   NWS EMPLOYEE

            ENTRANCE TO GRAND OAKS SUBDIVISION FLOODED AND
            IMPASSABLE. TWO CARS STALLED.

&&

CORRECTED LOCATION

EVENT NUMBER CHS1501314

TIMTE