High Wind Watch 1, NWS Caribou, ME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1258 PM EST SAT JAN 17 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TODAY THEN MOVE TO THE EAST
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH SUNDAY THEN
TRACK NORTH ACROSS MAINE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...HAVE ALLOWED ALL WIND CHILL ADVISORIES TO EXPIRE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE AREA TODAY. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON BUT IT WILL REMAIN BITTER COLD. CLOUDS
WILL THEN INCREASE AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM ONTARIO
LATE TODAY. THIS EVENING WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS WILL BE
REACHED EARLY TONIGHT THEN WARMING SOUTH WINDS WILL RESULT IN A
MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES AFTER MIDNIGHT. MOISTURE OFF THE OCEAN
WILL MOVE ONTO THE DOWNEAST COAST LATE TONIGHT. AS DEW POINTS RISE
ABOVE ROAD SURFACE TEMPERATURES, SOME RIMING AND BLACK ICE WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS VERY LATE TONIGHT. A BIT OF PATCHY
FREEZING DRIZZLE IS ALSO POSSIBLE AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MOVES ONTO
THE COAST. OTHERWISE, TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH
MODERATING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN NORTHWEST OF THE REGION SUNDAY WHILE
ANOTHER LOW INTENSIFIES ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND BEGINS TO
MOVE NORTH TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. PRECIPITATION WILL EXPAND
NORTH ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL START IN THE
FORM OF SNOW ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SUNDAY. THE PRECIPITATION
WILL THEN REMAIN MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS
SUNDAY...WITH SNOW TRANSITIONING TO A WINTRY MIX OR RAIN ACROSS
CENTRAL AREAS...WITH SNOW TRANSITIONING TO A WINTRY MIX THEN TO
ALL RAIN DOWNEAST. UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS REGARDING HOW RAPIDLY
THE LOW LEVEL COLD AIR IS ERODED SUNDAY WHICH WILL DETERMINE THE
EXTENT OF ANY FREEZING RAIN. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE REGION
SUNDAY ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE AROUND AN INCH OR LESS. THE
INTENSIFYING LOW LIFTS NORTH TO MAINE SUNDAY NIGHT THOUGH THE
EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS STILL UNCERTAIN. WARMER AIR WILL BE
DRAWN NORTH IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW AND GENERALLY EXPECT
PRECIPITATION TO TRANSITION TO RAIN ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW WILL
DETERMINE THE TRANSITION TO RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS. THE LOW
LIFTS ACROSS MAINE MONDAY WITH RAIN THROUGH THE MORNING. HOW
RAPIDLY THE LOW CROSSES MAINE MONDAY IS ALSO STILL UNCERTAIN.
EXPECT PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...COLDER AIR WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW WILL ALLOW THE
PRECIPITATION TO TRANSITION BACK TO SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL EXIT TO THE NORTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT.
WILL HAVE LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION EARLY
MONDAY NIGHT PARTICULARLY ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WHERE SNOW
SHOWERS WILL THEN LINGER OVERNIGHT WHILE CLOUD COVER DECREASES
DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS
SUNDAY...THEN RISE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT
ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS AGAIN MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
COULD STILL HAVE A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTH AND
MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
TOWARD THE REGION TUESDAY. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING ACROSS THE GULF
OF MAINE COULD BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS TO MOSTLY
DOWNEAST AREAS WEDNESDAY DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY INTO EARLY
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS MAY LOWER TO MVFR DOWNEAST LATE TONIGHT AS
SOME LOWER CLOUDS BEGIN TO MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH.

SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO MVFR/IFR LEVELS SUNDAY.
IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY. COULD ALSO HAVE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR LATER SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
NORTH AND MOUNTAINS MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS COULD PERSIST DOWNEAST EARLY MONDAY NIGHT...WITH
VFR CONDITIONS LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. GENERALLY EXPECT
VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY...WITH MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE DOWNEAST LATER
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON. AN SCA
MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN LATE TONIGHT FOR INCREASING SOUTH WINDS.

SHORT TERM: GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS COULD DEVELOP ON THE WATERS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON THEN PERSIST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...WITH
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS LATER MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED IN RAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO
MONDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/DUDA
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/DUDA/NORCROSS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
351 PM EST SAT JAN 17 2015

MEZ001>006-010-011-015-016-031-032-182100-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
351 PM EST SAT JAN 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL
MAINE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP DURING SUNDAY AND THEN
CHANGE TO ALL RAIN LATE SUNDAY AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF AROUND AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION. IN
ADDITION...GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS DOWN EAST AREAS
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MEZ017-029-030-182100-
CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-
351 PM EST SAT JAN 17 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MAINE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ050>052-182100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT, ME TO SCHOODIC POINT, ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRA COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME-
351 PM EST SAT JAN 17 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.