Gale Watch 21, NWS Caribou, ME

469 
WHUS71 KCAR 210344
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1044 PM EST SUN DEC 20 2015

ANZ052-211200-
/O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0268.151221T1400Z-151222T0000Z/
INTRA COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME-
1044 PM EST SUN DEC 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH A FEW GUSTS UP TO 35
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ050-051-211200-
/O.CON.KCAR.GL.A.0021.151221T1400Z-151222T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT, ME TO SCHOODIC POINT, ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME OUT
25 NM-
1044 PM EST SUN DEC 20 2015

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM EST MONDAY THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.
  SEAS 6 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$


NORCROSS

172 
WHUS71 KCAR 210752
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
252 AM EST MON DEC 21 2015

ANZ050-051-211600-
/O.UPG.KCAR.GL.A.0021.151221T1400Z-151222T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KCAR.GL.W.0032.151221T1400Z-151221T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT, ME TO SCHOODIC POINT, ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME OUT
25 NM-
252 AM EST MON DEC 21 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. SEAS
  7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ052-211600-
/O.EXT.KCAR.SC.Y.0268.151221T1400Z-151222T0800Z/
INTRA COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME-
252 AM EST MON DEC 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
3 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS
  2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1231 PM EST SUN DEC 20 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY AND WILL WEAKEN AS
IT PASSES NORTH OF THE AREA TUESDAY EVENING. A STRONGER AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS WEST OF THE AREA CHRISTMAS EVE AND WILL
SEND A COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND CHRISTMAS EVE NIGHT.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATED...NO MAJOR CHANGES. ADJUSTED CLOUD COVER FOR THE
AFTERNOON.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY WITH
MAINLY SUNNY SKIES CROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL CONTINUE QUITE
GUSTY THIS MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING BY AFTERNOON AS THE RIDGE
AXIS BUILDS EAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW
TO MID 20S NORTH AND UPPER 20S TO NEAR 30 CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST.

THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST TONIGHT WITH A RETURN
SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPING. EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS WITH SOME LIGHT OVERRUNNING SNOW DEVELOPING ACROSS
THE ST JOHN VALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID TO UPPER TEENS ACROSS THE NORTH AND NEAR 20 CENTRAL AND
DOWN EAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UNSETTLED, BUT WITH A RETURN TO ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. LOW
PRES TRACKS FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST AT 12Z MON AND WEAKENS AS IT
PASSES JUST WEST OF THE STATE TUE AFTERNOON. WEAK OVERRUNNING IS
EXPECTED MON WITH A BIT OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE CROWN OF MAINE,
AND A SPOTTY SHOWER OR SOME DRIZZLE DOWNEAST. THE BEST OVERRUNNING WILL
OCCUR MON NIGHT ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE WHERE THE MODEL
SOUNDINGS INDICATE MOSTLY SNOW, WITH 2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW LIKELY
ACROSS THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY, AND PERHAPS AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW
IN THE CARIBOU/PRESQUE ISLE AREAS WEST TO CLAYTON LAKE. ACROSS
DOWN EAST MAINE, THERE WILL BE LITTLE QPF WITH SOME SPOTTY DRIZZLE
AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED SHOWER. BY TUESDAY, THE AIR MASS WARMS
ENOUGH THAT ANY SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION IN THE SAINT JOHN
VALLEY WILL END AS SOME DRIZZLE OR SPOTTY SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES TUE AFTERNOON WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID
30S IN THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY TO THE MID TO UPPER 40S ALONG AND
NEAR THE COAST.
&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
WEAK LOW PRES PASSES NORTH OF THE AREA TUE NIGHT. IT NOW LOOKS THERE
IS NO COLD AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW AND THE AREA WILL BE
BETWEEN SYSTEMS WEDNESDAY. IT WILL BE DRY AND MILD WITH TEMPS
ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. DEEP LOW PRES PASSES WEST OF THE
AREA WED NIGHT WITH PERIODS OF RAIN AND DRIZZLE ALONG WITH AREAS
OF FOG. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE
CHRISTMAS EVE WITH AREAS OF FOG. THE FOG COULD BE DENSE IN SPOTS,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CWA WHERE THERE WILL
BE QUITE A BIT OF SNOW MELT. TEMPERATURES THURSDAY COULD TAKE A
RUN TOWARD 50 DEGREES ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE, AND COULD GET WELL
INTO THE 50S ACROSS INTERIOR DOWNEAST. DID BUMP UP TEMPS ABOVE THE
MODEL CONSENSUS IN COORDINATION WITH WFO GRAY. POTENTIAL TO COME
CLOSE TO RECORD HIGHS (MORE IN THE CLIMATE SECTION BELOW). A COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA CHRISTMAS EVE NIGHT WITH A COUPLE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING PERHAPS A WET SNOW SHOWER AFTER
MIDNIGHT. CHRISTMAS DAY LOOKS DRY AND COOLER, BUT STILL WELL
ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE M/U 30S IN THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY TO
THE MID 40S DOWNEAST. MORE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST BY
SATURDAY. THE 00Z GFS DEVELOPS A WAVE ALONG THE FRONT AND WOULD
BRING SNOW TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL AREAS WITH SNOW CHANGING TO A
MIX OR RAIN DOWNEAST. THE LATEST ECMWF HOLDS OFF ANY RAIN OR SNOW
UNTIL LATE SAT NIGHT. THERE IS A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF SPREAD
BETWEEN THE OPERATIONAL MODELS AND THEIR RESPECTIVE ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS AND MEANS, AND THUS FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW.
&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY WEST WINDS CONTINUING THROUGH
THIS MORNING. VFR TONIGHT EXCEPT MVFR/IFR POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT
KFVE/KCAR IN DEVELOPING LIGHT SNOW.

SHORT TERM: UNSETTLED MON AND TUE WITH IFR/MVFR CEILINGS MUCH OF
THE TIME. THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME IMPROVEMENT WED WITH
PREDOMINATELY VFR. CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO IFR AND AT TIMES VLIFR
WED NIGHT INTO THU IN RAIN AND AREAS OF FOG.
&&

.MARINE...
945AM UPDATE...DROPPED GALE AS WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DROP...BUT
EXTENDED THE SCA INTO THE EVENING.

NEAR TERM: WILL CONTINUE THE GALE WARNING FOR ANZ050 UNTIL 10 AM.
HAVE DISCONTINUED THE GALE WARNING IN FAVOR OF A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR ANZ051 AND ANZ052 ALTHOUGH THERE STILL MAY BE A FEW
G35KT EARLY.

SHORT TERM: ANOTHER GALE OR AT LEAST A STRONG SCA WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED MON IN SW FLOW. THE WIND WILL DIMINISH AND THE SEAS
SUBSIDE DURING THE DAY TUE TO BELOW SCA LEVELS. ANOTHER STRONG SCA
OR GALE IS LIKELY ON CHRISTMAS EVE.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     ANZ050>052.
&&

NEAR TERM...DUDA/MCW
SHORT TERM...CB
LONG TERM...CB
AVIATION...DUDA/MCW/CB
MARINE...DUDA/MCW/CB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
245 AM EST SUN DEC 20 2015

MEZ001-002-210745-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
245 AM EST SUN DEC 20 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR FAR NORTHERN MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

INTERMITTENT LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED MONDAY WITH A STEADIER PERIOD
OF SNOW MONDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS ACROSS THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ051-052-210745-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRA COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME-
245 AM EST SUN DEC 20 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GALES ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ050-210745-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT, ME TO SCHOODIC POINT, ME OUT 25 NM-
245 AM EST SUN DEC 20 2015

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GALES ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MEZ003>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-210745-
NORTHERN SOMERSET-NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-
SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-
SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-
COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
245 AM EST SUN DEC 20 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL DOWNEAST MAINE...EAST
CENTRAL MAINE...EASTERN MAINE...INTERIOR DOWNEAST MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CB