Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
110 PM EST FRI NOV 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSING WESTERN NEW YORK THIS AFTERNOON WILL
BRING GUSTY WINDS AND A FEW SHOWERS. NOTABLY COOLER AIR WILL DROP
TEMPERATURES DOWN TO SEASONABLE LEVELS FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW CENTERED NORTH OF JAMES BAY THIS AFTERNOON
WILL CONTINUE CONTINUE BOMBOGENESIS AS IT MOVES NE ACROSS
NORTHERN QUEBEC. A THIN LINE MARKING A STRONG COLD FRONT IS
PRODUCING BRIEF BUT STRONG WINDS IN THE 40-50 MPH RANGE...AT LEAST
ALONG THE LAKESHORES. SOME FRICTION WILL LIKELY TONE THESE VALUES
DOWN INLAND. AT 18Z THE FRONT WAS OVER PART OF THE GENESEE VALLEY
WITH A SLIGHT NNE-SSW ORIENTATION...MOVING FAIRLY QUICKLY /40-50
MPH/ EAST ACROSS THE REGION. THE FRONT APPEARS TO BE RATHER
SHALLOW...WITH AMDAR DATA SHOWING AN INVERSION AT ABOUT
900MB...WITH THE STRONGER WINDS BEING CUT OFF ABOVE THAT LEVEL.
THEREFORE EXPECT WINDS TO DROP OFF FAIRLY QUICKLY FROM WEST TO
EAST BEHIND THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO DROP DRAMATICALLY...BUT THE WINDS WILL SERVE AS A
REMINDER THAT ITS NOT SUPPOSED TO FEEL LIKE SUMMER AT THIS TIME OF
YEAR.

THE BACK EDGE OF THE HIGHER CLOUDS ARE STARTING TO MOVE OVER
WESTERN NY. THERE MAY BE SOME BRIEF CLEARING AS THIS MOVES
EAST...BUT THERE ARE PLENTY OF LOW CLOUDS THAT WILL FILL IN THE
WEAKLY UNSTABLE/WELL MIXED AIR BELOW ABOUT 900MB.

THE BLAST OF COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LOWER 850MB TEMPERATURES
BELOW ZERO FOR TONIGHT. THESE VALUES ARE NOT ABNORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR BUT WITH LAKE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 50S WE EXPECT LAKE
INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS TO RISE ABOVE 5KFT BY SATURDAY MORNING.
THIS SHOULD AT LEAST BRING LAKE EFFECT CLOUD COVER WITH A CHANCE FOR
SOME LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES. THE REGIONAL
CANADIAN MODEL WHICH USUALLY PREFORMS WELL WITH LAKE EFFECT ALSO
SUGGESTS A POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS TONIGHT. OUTSIDE OF THE
LAKE EFFECT...TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO SEASONABLE LEVELS WHICH
MEANS OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE LOW 40S AND EVEN SOME UPPER
30S IN THE NORMAL COLDER SPOTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
LOOK FOR SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS EAST OF THE LAKES TO
OPEN THE WEEKEND SATURDAY MORNING WITH GENERALLY CLOUDY SKIES
ELSEWHERE AS WESTERLY FLOW AND COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT INTERACT WITH
THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKES. MOISTURE IS QUITE SHALLOW SO SHOWER
ACTIVITY SHOULD BE GENERALLY LIGHT AND CONFINED TO AREAS SOUTHEAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO AS WELL AS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. THE CLOUDY
SKIES AND COOL TEMPS ALOFT WITH 850MB TEMPS RUNNING AROUND -2C
SHOULD YIELD TEMPERATURES MORE APPROPRIATE FOR NOVEMBER WITH HIGHS
RANGING FROM THE MID 40S ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS INLAND TO AROUND
50 NEAR THE LAKESHORES.

LAKE EFFECT SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL RAMP UP AND BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. ONCE
AGAIN...WITH PREVAILING FLOW BEING WEST-NORTHWESTERLY...THE BULK OF
THE SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS ALONG THE LAKE ONTARIO
PLAIN AND THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...HOWEVER A FEW SCATTERED
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE AS THE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. REGARDING PRECIP TYPE...SOME OF THESE SHOWERS WILL
MIX WITH AND POSSIBLY EVEN CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FOR A PERIOD OF TIME
AS SURFACE TEMPS INLAND FROM THE LAKES SHOULD COOL INTO THE LOWER
30S WITH SUB-FREEZING DEWPOINTS...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOUTHEAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO WHERE THE MODERATING INFLUENCE OF THE LAKE WILL BE
ACCENTUATED BY THE AFOREMENTIONED WNW FLOW. HERE TEMPS ARE ONLY
EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE MID 30S. THUS...EXPECT ANY MIXED-
PRECIP/SNOW TO BE HIGHLY ELEVATION DEPENDENT. AT THIS TIME AM NOT
OVERLY CONCERNED ABOUT POTENTIAL FOR DYNAMIC COOLING INDUCING AN
EARLIER CHANGEOVER TO ACCUMULATING SNOW GIVEN THAT THE MOST
FAVORABLE WINDOW FOR LAKE EFFECT WILL BE FAIRLY NARROW AND TIED TO
THE PASSAGE OF THE FAST-MOVING SHORTWAVE AND NOT CORRELATED TO THE
COLDEST TEMPERATURES ALOFT. RAPIDLY INCREASING SHEAR AND DECREASING
MOISTURE/FALLING EQUILIBRIUM HEIGHTS BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE SHOULD
DISRUPT LAKE EFFECT BANDS ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE THE ESTABLISHMENT OF A
BAND STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ANY SNOWFALL OF NOTE.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...LOOK FOR SHOWERS TO TAPER OFF CONSIDERABLY LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT AS EQUILIBRIUM HEIGHTS CRASH BEHIND THE
SHORTWAVE...THOUGH WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE LINGERING CANNOT RULE OUT
SOME CHANGEOVER TO DRIZZLE ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND
ACROSS THE HILLS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE CONSIDERABLY THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY
SUNDAY HOWEVER AS A BROAD SURFACE HIGH MOVES ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES BRINGING SUNSHINE BY THE AFTERNOON...THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ON THE CHILLY SIDE AS THE LAST OF THE COLD AIR ALOFT CROSSES
THE FORECAST AREA. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE 40S SUNDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
ONCE AGAIN FALLING INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S...WITH A FEW 20S IN THE
TYPICALLY COOLER SPOTS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND NORTH COUNTRY SUNDAY
NIGHT THANKS TO THE CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS INDUCED BY HIGH
PRESSURE OVERHEAD.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
IT WILL BE A QUIET START TO THE WEEK ON MONDAY AS A BROAD UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE CRESTING ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND
NORTHEAST WITH EXPANSIVE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF
THE EAST COAST. A FEW SHOWERS CANNOT BE RULED OUT ON TUESDAY AS A
WEAKENING UPPER LOW OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY CROSSES THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES AS A FILLING TROUGH. THEREAFTER ATTENTION TURNS TO A
DEEP FULL LATITUDE TROUGH DIGGING ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S.. THIS
FEATURE WILL ME MOVING OUT INTO THE PLAINS BY MID-WEEK...EVENTUALLY
AFFECTING OUR FORECAST AREA IN THE WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY TIME FRAME.
THERE CONTINUE TO BE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN THE CHARACTER AND
TIMING OF THE SYSTEM AS THE ECMWF CREATES A DEEP CUTOFF LOW OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THAT DOES NOT REACH THE GREAT LAKES UNTIL LATER
THURSDAY WHILST THE FASTER GFS/GLOBAL GEM SOLUTIONS FEATURE A MORE
PROGRESSIVE TROUGH WITH SURFACE WAVES MOVING UP THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES THAT WOULD AFFECT OUR AREA BY WEDNESDAY.
UNTIL THERE IS BETTER AGREEMENT...WILL BE FORCED TO CARRY
BROADBRUSHED CHANCE POPS  FOR THE WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY
TIMEFRAME.

REGARDING TEMPERATURES...THE COMING WEEK WILL FEATURE A RETURN TO
MILD WEATHER COURTESY OF BROAD SOUTHERLY FLOW THAT WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES AS HIGH PRESSURE CENTER MOVES OFF
THE EAST COAST AND TROUGHING DEVELOPS ACROSS THE WEST. THIS WILL
BOOST TEMPERATURES INTO THE 50S MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH A RETURN TO
60S POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY AND POTENTIALLY INTO THURSDAY...DEPENDING
ON THE SPEED OF THE AFOREMENTIONED STORM SYSTEM NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

MVFR OR VFR CIGS WILL REMAIN BEHIND A COLD FRONT OVER THE GENESEE
VALLEY AND MOVING EAST AT ABOUT 40KTS. AN INVERSION IS FORMING
BEHIND THE FRONT AT ABOUT 900MB/3000 FT WITH UPSTREAM OBS SHOWING
BORDERLINE VFR CIGS THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. WINDS
ABOVE THAT LEVEL WILL BE CUT OFF AND NOT ABLE TO MIX TO THE
SURFACE...SO EXPECT A FAIRLY QUICK DECREASE IN SURFACE WIND SPEEDS
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL ALSO MOVE EAST IN
CONCERT WITH THE FRONT...SO WIND SHEAR SHOULD NOT BE AN ISSUE AS
SURFACE WINDS DROP OFF.

TONIGHT COLD AIR WILL ARRIVE WITH LAKE EFFECT CLOUDS DEVELOPING
AND LOWERING TO MVFR LEVELS. A CHANCE OF LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF
THE LAKES.
SATURDAY NIGHT...MVFR/VFR WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES...AND VFR ELSEWHERE.
SUNDAY...IMPROVEMENT TO VFR AREA-WIDE.
MONDAY...VFR.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION
THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME BRIEF GUSTY SW WINDS TO 40KTS IN THE
VICINITY OF THE FRONT...AND SUSTAINED WINDS 20-30KTS FOR SEVERAL
HOURS BEHIND THE FRONT...WEAKENING A LITTLE EACH HOUR THIS
AFTERNOON.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HOWEVER WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH
TONIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY WITH SUSTAINED W TO WNW
WINDS ABOVE 15KTS FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE TIME.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
         LEZ020.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
         LOZ043>045.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR LOZ042.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
         SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SMITH/ZAFF
NEAR TERM...SMITH/ZAFF
SHORT TERM...WOOD
LONG TERM...WOOD
AVIATION...SMITH/ZAFF
MARINE...SMITH/WOOD/ZAFF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
619 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-071130-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
619 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A LINE OF CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANYING
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY. ANY STORMS COULD BRING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO THE REGION. THERE WILL BE A MARGINAL RISK
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-071130-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
619 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A LINE OF CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANYING
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY. ANY STORMS COULD BRING
STRONG WIND GUSTS TO THE WATERS. THERE WILL BE A MARGINAL RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

WOOD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1140 AM EST FRI NOV 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BUFFALO                 42.89N  78.86W
11/06/2015                   ERIE               NY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LIGHT POLE DOWN ACROSS OAK STREET NEAR SENECA

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1500439

JAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1141 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015

NYZ002>004-011>014-021-061745-
ALLEGANY-ONTARIO-ORLEANS-LIVINGSTON-WYOMING-WAYNE-MONROE-GENESEE-
1141 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015

...A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH STRONG WINDS WILL AFFECT THE GENESEE
VALLEY AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES REGION...

AT 1139 AM EST...A LINE OF SHOWERS WAS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
HAMLIN BEACH STATE PARK TO NEAR JAMESTOWN WEST...AND MOVING EAST AT
45 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCHESTER...GREECE...IRONDEQUOIT...CHILI...GENEVA...CANANDAIGUA...
BROCKPORT...GENESEO...EAST ROCHESTER AND HILTON.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 390 BETWEEN EXITS 4 AND 12.
 INTERSTATE 90 BETWEEN EXITS 47 AND 42.
 INTERSTATE 86 BETWEEN EXITS 29 AND 33.

LAT...LON 4200 7824 4337 7812 4334 7776 4323 7755
      4328 7735 4327 7695 4334 7673 4303 7673
      4301 7696 4276 7697 4276 7731 4258 7737
      4258 7766 4253 7766 4253 7772 4200 7775
TIME...MOT...LOC 1639Z 269DEG 39KT 4336 7797 4203 7925

ZAFF

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1244 PM EST FRI NOV 6 2015

NYZ004>006-013-014-020-021-061815-
ALLEGANY-ONTARIO-CATTARAUGUS-LIVINGSTON-WAYNE-OSWEGO-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
1244 PM EST FRI NOV 6 2015

...A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT THE UPPER GENESEE
VALLEY AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN FINGER LAKES REGION...

AT 1242 PM EST...A LINE OF SHOWERS WAS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
NEAR CHIMNEY BLUFFS STATE PARK TO NEAR BRISTOL TO NEAR WAYLAND TO
NEAR WESTON MILLS...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GENEVA...CANANDAIGUA...DANSVILLE...WELLSVILLE...NEWARK...ALFRED...
LYONS...CLIFTON SPRINGS...CLYDE AND PHELPS.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 390 BETWEEN EXITS 4 AND 5.
 INTERSTATE 90 BETWEEN EXITS 42 AND 40.
 INTERSTATE 86 BETWEEN EXITS 29 AND 33.

LAT...LON 4200 7840 4241 7811 4262 7767 4281 7738
      4327 7697 4330 7614 4324 7626 4324 7627
      4323 7626 4323 7648 4303 7650 4301 7696
      4276 7698 4276 7731 4258 7737 4258 7766
      4253 7766 4253 7772 4200 7775
TIME...MOT...LOC 1742Z 275DEG 42KT 4324 7695 4281 7733 4262 7761 4241
7805 4202 7834

JJR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1249 PM EST FRI NOV 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1057 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND DUNKIRK                 42.49N  79.34W
11/06/2015  M51 MPH          CHAUTAUQUA         NY   BUOY

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1500440

JAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
159 PM EST FRI NOV 6 2015

NYZ006-008-062000-
LEWIS-OSWEGO-
159 PM EST FRI NOV 6 2015

...A LINE OF SHOWERS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN LEWIS AND SOUTHEASTERN
OSWEGO COUNTIES...

AT 156 PM EST...A LINE OF SHOWERS WAS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14
MILES SOUTHWEST OF STAR LAKE TO 8 MILES EAST OF CENTRAL SQUARE...AND
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HIGHMARKET...WHETSTONE GULF STATE PARK...CONSTANTIA...WEST MONROE...
WATSON...MARTINSBURG...WILLIAMSTOWN...LYONSDALE...GREIG AND
CLEVELAND.

LAT...LON 4342 7553 4347 7577 4348 7581 4333 7589
      4332 7586 4316 7588 4320 7608 4324 7611
      4350 7586 4400 7516 4361 7511
TIME...MOT...LOC 1856Z 287DEG 35KT 4398 7516 4330 7597

WELCH