Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2015

Small Craft Advisory 62, NWS Buffalo, NY

August 19, 2015

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Aug 19, 2015, 3:38 PM EDT. It took effect at Aug 20, 2015, 6:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 37 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 19, 2015, 3:38 PM EDT (19:38 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 20, 2015, 6:00 AM EDT
Expired
Aug 21, 2015, 7:06 PM EDT
In force
37 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

946 
WHUS71 KBUF 191938
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
338 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2015

LEZ040-041-200345-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.150820T1000Z-150821T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
338 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 8 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 8 AM EDT
FRIDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-200345-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.150820T1000Z-150821T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
338 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-200345-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.150820T1000Z-150821T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
338 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
10 follow-up statements
923 
WHUS71 KBUF 192349
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
749 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2015

LEZ040-041-200800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.150820T1000Z-150821T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
749 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO
8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-200800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.150820T1000Z-150821T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
749 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-200800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.150820T1000Z-150821T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
749 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

WOOD
000 
WHUS71 KBUF 200547
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
147 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

LEZ040-041-201400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.150820T1000Z-150821T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
147 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-201400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.150820T1000Z-150821T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
147 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-201400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.150820T1000Z-150821T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
147 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
843 
WHUS71 KBUF 200843
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
443 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

LEZ040-041-201645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.150820T1000Z-150821T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
443 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-201645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.150820T1000Z-150821T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
443 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-201645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.150820T1000Z-150821T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
443 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
667 
WHUS71 KBUF 201633
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1233 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

LEZ040-041-210045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150821T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1233 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-210000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150821T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1233 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-210000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150821T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1233 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
477 
WHUS71 KBUF 202346
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
746 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

LOZ042>044-210100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150821T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
746 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS AT THIS
TIME.

$$

LEZ020-210700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150821T0700Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
746 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-210300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150821T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
746 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-210800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150821T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
746 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

WOOD
847 
WHUS71 KBUF 210234
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1034 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

LOZ045-210345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150821T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1034 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA AT THIS TIME.

$$

LEZ020-210345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150821T0700Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1034 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA AT THIS
TIME.

$$

LEZ040-041-211045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150821T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1034 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

WOOD
556 
WHUS71 KBUF 210822
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
422 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015

LEZ040-041-211500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150821T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
422 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
176 
WHUS71 KBUF 211354
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
954 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015

LEZ040-041-212200-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150822T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
954 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
935 
WHUS71 KBUF 212150
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
550 PM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015

LEZ040-041-220000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150822T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
550 PM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
577 
WHUS71 KBUF 212306
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
706 PM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015

LEZ040-041-220015-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-150822T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
706 PM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD AND WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Aug 19, 2:58 PM EDT, 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 19, 2:58 PM EDT, 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
258 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
WARM AND HUMID AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A STRONG...SLOW
MOVING COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY BRINGING
POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL RETURN
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT BRINGING SEASONABLE AND PLEASANT WEATHER FOR
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
FORECAST ON TRACK. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

AFTERNOON HEATING HAS PRODUCED SOME CONVECTION IN THE NORTH COUNTRY
AND SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY...AS WELL AS UPSTREAM ACROSS CENTRAL NEW
YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLANIA. EXPECT CONVECTION TO BE WIDELY
SCATTERED FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND NORTH
COUNTRY...WITH PRECIPITATION DIMINISHING BY SUNSET WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING.

TONIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL EDGE ACROSS MICHIGAN WITH FRONT-PARALLEL
500MB FLOW CONTROLLING ITS SLOW MOVEMENT. THE BEST FORCING AND
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG/AHEAD OF THE FRONT LOOKS TO HOLD OFF
UNTIL THURSDAY BUT A SUBTLE MID-LEVEL WAVE LIFTING ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA MAY TRIGGER SCATTERED SHOWERS OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. HAVE RAMPED UP POPS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FROM LOW
CHANCE TO LIKELY TOWARD 12Z THURSDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH ELEVATED DEWPOINTS WILL MAKE FOR ANOTHER
MILD AND HUMID NIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT. LOWS WILL ONLY SLIP BACK
INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
FOR THE MID MORNING UPDATE...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF LINGER A
FAIR AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AROUND THE REGION BOTH FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. BOTH MODELS INDICATE A LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW SATURDAY
MORNING WHICH COULD START THE DAY WITH MORE CLOUDS THAN SUN. WILL
INCREASED THE CLOUD COVER TO AT LEAST PARTLY CLOUDY BOTH DAYS.
PREVIOUS DISCO BELOW...

A DEEPLY STACKED...HIGHLY ANOMALOUS FALL LIKE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES AT THE START OF THIS PERIOD WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERN FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. THIS ATYPICAL SYNOPTIC FEATURE
WILL INCLUDE MANY PARAMETERS THAT WILL HAVE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
ANOMALIES OF 3 TO 5 STD...WHICH CLIMATOLOGICALLY TRANSLATES INTO A
ONCE IN A GENERATION STORM SYSTEM. SOME OF THESE ELEMENTS WILL BE
FURTHER DISCUSSED BELOW...BUT THE ULTIMATE CONCERN IS THAT ALL OF
THE SIGNALS WILL BE THERE FOR A SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE RAIN EVENT
OVER WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

THE DEVIANT STORM SYSTEM WILL BE CENTERED OVER LAKE SUPERIOR ON
THURSDAY MORNING...BUT A 110KT H25 JET STREAKING NORTH AROUND ITS
EASTERN PERIPHERY WILL QUICKLY ENCOURAGE THE PARENT LONGWAVE TROUGH
TO BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED...THEREBY DIRECTING THE SYSTEM ACROSS
NORTHERN ONTARIO TO JAMES BAY. MEANWHILE DOWNSTREAM...A LARGELY
SOUTH TO NORTH STEERING FLOW OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WILL GIVE
LITTLE FORWARD MOMENTUM TO THE ASSOCIATED SFC COLD FRONT...WHICH
WILL BE FURTHER SLOWED BY A TRIPLE POINT/SFC WAVE OVER THE MID-
ATLANTIC STATES. THIS IS KEY TO POINT OUT...AS THE SLOW MOVING FRONT
WILL GIVE PLENTY OF TIME FOR CONVECTION TO FIRE UP ACROSS OUR AREA
AND POINTS SOUTH. THIS CONVECTION WILL BE FED BY A MOISTURE RICH
SOUTHERLY 40KT LOW LEVEL JET...WHICH WILL BE SOME 4 STD STRONGER
THAN TYPICAL MID AUGUST SRLY WINDS.

CONVERGENT PLUMES OF SUB TROPICAL MOISTURE...ONE OUT OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO AND THE OTHER FROM THE SE COAST...WILL BE DIRECTED BY THE
AFOREMENTIONED WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND MID ATLANTIC
REGION. THIS SCENARIO WILL COME AS A RESULT OF A DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW
THAT WILL BE ESTABLISHED BETWEEN -4 TO -5 STD HGT DEPARTURES OVER
THE MID WEST AND +2/3 HGT DEPARTURES OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...A
CLASSIC PATTERN FOR A HIGH QPF EVENT. PWAT VALUES WILL EASILY EXCEED
2 INCHES. REFERRING TO RICH GRUMMS FINE WORK ON CLIMATOLOGICAL
ANOMALIES...THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IN
THE VCNTY OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/MID ATLANTIC REGION.

THE SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WHICH IS STILL BEING HANDLED
DIFFERENT BY THE OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE PACKAGES (GFS FASTER/ECMWF
SLOWER)...WILL GRUDGINGLY PUSH EAST ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK DURING
THE DAY THURSDAY. OVERALL SYNOPTIC LIFT AHEAD AND ALONG THIS FRONT
WILL BE SUPPLIED BY MODERATELY STRONG FRONTOGENETIC FORCING (ESP
EAST OF THE GEN VALLEY) AND ALSO FROM BEING IN THE VCNTY OF THE RR
QUAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED 110KT H25 JET. THERMODYNAMICALLY...'TALL
SKINNY' CAPES OF 500-1000 J/KG WILL ACCOMPANY A MOISTURE RICH
AIRMASS THAT WILL HELP TO PRODUCE WARM CLOUD DEPTHS IN THE VCNTY OF
12K FT. THE CONVECTION INDUCED FROM THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL LARGELY
MOVE SOUTH TO NORTH...FAVORING TRAINING OF DOWNPOURS. THIS SHOULD BE
EERILY SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED TUESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
FINGER LAKES REGION WHEN FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS WERE ISSUED BY BOTH
BUF AND BGM. FOR THIS REASON...WE HAVE DECIDE TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. THE WATCH WILL
START EARLY THURSDAY FOR THE WESTERN COUNTIES...BUT WILL NOT
START FOR THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

SPEAKING OF TIMING...THE BULK OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FORECAST TO OVER THE WESTERN COUNTIES BETWEEN LATE THURSDAY MORNING
AND EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE SITES EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO ARE
EXPECTED TO RECEIVE THEIR GREATEST QPF BETWEEN LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS TIMING IS CONSISTENT WITH THE
SLOWER FRONTAL PROGRESSION ADVERTISED FOR DAYS BY THE ECMWF. THE
THREAT FOR HEAVY CONVECTIVE RAINS SHOULD END BY MIDNIGHT OR SO OVER
THE WESTERN COUNTIES. WILL NOT BE A SLAVE TO MODEL QPF IN THIS CASE
AS MODELS ARE NOTORIOUSLY POOR AT CONVECTIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND
PLACEMENT. WHILE BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS SHOULD BE IN THE VCNTY OF A
HALF TO ONE INCH...IT IS VERY CONCEIVABLE THAT STREAKS OF +3 INCH
AMOUNTS WILL BE OBSERVED.

ON FRIDAY...THE ALREADY SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BECOME
STALLED OVER NEW ENGLAND. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE FAR ENOUGH TO THE
EAST THOUGH TO ALLOW THE SHOWERS AND STORMS TO TAPER OFF ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY...WHILE SFC BASED RIDGING OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL
EXTEND NORTH TO PROMOTE INCREASING AMOUNTS OF SUN. IT WILL BE MUCH
MORE COMFORTABLE ON FRIDAY AS WELL...AS A REFRESHING CANADIAN
AIRMASS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL OFFER DEW POINTS IN THE 50S.
H85 TEMPS ARE FORECAST TO DROP JUST BELOW 10C...SO THIS SHOULD KEEP
FRIDAY AFTERNOON TEMPS FROM CLIMBING OUT OF THE 70S F.

FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL BE BEAUTIFUL AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE
WILL DRIFT ACROSS OUR REGION. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS
FRIDAY NIGHT WILL ENCOURAGE TEMPS TO DROP INTO THE 40S ACROSS MUCH
OF THE SRN TIER...WHILE THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL ENJOY A
NIGHT WITH MINS IN THE 50S. SATURDAY WILL FOLLOW WITH CLOUDS AND
SUNSHINE WITH TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN TOPPING OUT IN THE 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
GENERALLY UNEVENTFUL WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD...
ALTHOUGH ITS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT A CHILLY AIRMASS MOVING IN
FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES COULD SPAWN SOME WATERSPOUTS OVER LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK. MORE ON THIS IN A MOMENT.

THE SECOND ABNORMALLY DEEP CLOSED LOW IN FIVE DAYS WILL TRACK EAST
FROM THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES TO EASTERN CANADA DURING THIS PERIOD...
AND THIS WILL EVENTUALLY LEAD TO A DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES THAT WILL SUPPORT MORE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE
GOOD NEWS IS THAT THERE WILL BE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION
THOUGH...WITH THE ONLY RAINFALL COMING AS THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
FRESH CANADIAN AIRMASS PUSHES OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

TO START THIS PERIOD ON SUNDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WEDGED
OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AS OUR FORECAST AREA WILL BE SANDWICHED
BETWEEN AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND DEEPENING ATLANTIC MOISTURE
OVER NEW ENGLAND AND THE ADIRONDACKS REGION. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT ONE
MORE NICE DAY WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE AND TEMPS TOPPING OUT
IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.

CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE SOMEWHAT SUNDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
WILL TAKE AIM ON OUR REGION FROM LOWER MICHIGAN. THIS FRONT WILL
CROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK ON MONDAY...BUT WITH
LIMITED MOISTURE. WILL KNOCK POPS BACK A BIT TO LOW CHC.

A DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW WILL THEN BECOME ESTABLISHED IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. H85 TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO
BETWEEN 6 AND 8C...AND THIS WILL SEND OUR MERCURY TO BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS WHILE ESTABLISHING ENOUGH LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE
SOME LAKE CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY SOME WATERSPOUTS. WILL USE SLGT CHC
POPS FOR ANY NUISANCE SHOWERS THAT MAY DEVELOP WITHIN THIS
ENVIRONMENT. MAX TEMPS ON TUESDAY SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE FROM 70 TO
75.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT WITHOUT A DEFINITIVE TRIGGER TO FOCUS
CONVECTION...ANY ACTIVITY THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL REMAIN WIDELY
SCATTERED. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST
HALF OF TONIGHT WITH GRADUALLY LOWERING CIGS AND STEADY SOUTHERLY
WINDS AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. SHRA/TSRA WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY TOWARD 12Z THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES WESTERN NEW YORK. WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY.

OUTLOOK...

THURSDAY NIGHT...MAINLY VFR WITH SOME IFR FOG POSSIBLE WHERE
HEAVY RAINS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...VFR.
MONDAY...VFR WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK...AND MAY IMPACT THE
SOUTH SHORES OF THE LAKES. CONVECTION WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET.
ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY AS A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. WINDS AND WAVES
WILL REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS ON THURSDAY. TRANQUIL
WEATHER WILL RETURN FRIDAY AND LAST INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
     THURSDAY NIGHT FOR NYZ006>008.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR
         LEZ020.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY
         FOR LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...FRANKLIN
NEAR TERM...FRANKLIN
SHORT TERM...RSH/THOMAS
LONG TERM...RSH
AVIATION...FRANKLIN
MARINE...FRANKLIN
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 19, 4:41 AM EDT, 10 hours 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
441 AM EDT WED AUG 19 2015

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-200845-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
441 AM EDT WED AUG 19 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-200845-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
441 AM EDT WED AUG 19 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-200845-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
441 AM EDT WED AUG 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 4:00 AM EDTFlash Flood WatchBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more40 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2015Every small craft advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.